CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s7
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +30d
assessed
79
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
13.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7194
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0607
actual +0.6198
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.062847 | -5.61% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.064961 | -5.49% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.063144 | -5.60% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.066304 | -5.92% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.069523 | -5.97% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.068116 | -6.37% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.073606 | -6.22% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.068816 | -6.69% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.08327 | -5.64% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.090868 | -6.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.087423 | -5.35% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.087001 | -5.85% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.082029 | -5.32% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.069188 | -5.40% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.067719 | -5.00% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.083188 | -5.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.070807 | -4.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.062592 | -4.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.066237 | -4.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.070926 | -4.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.066932 | -4.17% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.066109 | -4.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.056561 | -5.48% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.052818 | -6.36% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.050105 | -6.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.047867 | -7.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.048277 | -7.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.04588 | -8.15% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.048679 | -8.34% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.042538 | -9.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.041565 | -9.39% | 0.066581 | +45.14% | 0.4206 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.040733 | -8.96% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.5505 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.043244 | -9.47% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.4456 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.051205 | -8.25% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.3370 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.050894 | -7.44% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.4629 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.055531 | -7.48% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.3653 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.053217 | -7.16% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5054 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.058506 | -9.17% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.3010 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.044849 | -4.71% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.8191 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.043087 | -3.97% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 0.9133 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.042944 | -3.45% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 0.9103 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.044 | -3.22% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.8853 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.045857 | -3.35% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.7359 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.045421 | -2.92% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.5527 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.045276 | -2.89% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.5514 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.041411 | -3.60% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.8705 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.042815 | -4.23% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.6794 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.043469 | -3.92% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.5599 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.046803 | -4.05% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.4715 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.070086 | -3.59% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.1776 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.067824 | -3.87% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.1560 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.065586 | -4.10% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.1404 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.06521 | -4.33% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0166 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.066109 | -4.49% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0679 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.066717 | -4.59% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.1043 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.063074 | -4.50% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.1301 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.067252 | -4.76% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.1689 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.065922 | -5.06% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.1780 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.065521 | -4.80% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.1181 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.065859 | -5.06% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.1979 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.066456 | -5.19% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.2091 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.064065 | -4.49% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.3098 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.061047 | -5.72% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0524 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.063353 | -6.56% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.1663 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.064278 | -6.81% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.2569 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.065506 | -7.26% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.3258 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.062554 | -6.82% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.4151 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.058076 | -6.51% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.6855 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.060044 | -8.08% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.2928 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.053147 | -6.34% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.3470 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.051805 | -6.31% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.3624 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.050904 | -7.07% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.3748 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.043073 | -6.63% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.6069 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.03718 | -5.60% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.6736 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.034715 | -5.95% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.7527 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.033721 | -6.25% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.7361 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.028514 | -7.45% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 0.9821 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.025601 | -8.01% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.0711 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.023026 | -9.23% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3394 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.025312 | -8.28% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5328 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.027234 | -7.79% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.4345 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.025135 | -7.87% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.5744 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.036025 | -8.16% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.1987 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.031788 | -7.93% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.2525 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.024344 | -6.60% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6294 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.025422 | -6.87% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6223 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.022501 | -6.56% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.7741 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021116 | -6.29% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7330 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.019602 | -6.60% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0502 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025213 | -6.90% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8190 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022132 | -6.17% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 0.9835 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.019906 | -6.00% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0449 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.018757 | -6.20% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1458 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.019727 | -6.19% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.1737 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017252 | -6.68% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.3858 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.01769 | -6.34% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.3895 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.017562 | -5.92% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.3576 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017358 | -5.74% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.2869 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017317 | -5.64% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.3549 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.015446 | -6.11% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3255 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018147 | -5.03% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.0958 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.015959 | -6.16% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2365 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.014755 | -7.46% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1378 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.018695 | -4.69% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7340 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.020997 | -3.45% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5371 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021822 | -3.33% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.4580 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020191 | -3.60% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4078 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020554 | -3.23% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.2937 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.02251 | -3.25% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1123 | ✗ | 1.00 |