CAP

Cap · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #71
symbol: CAP
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-26
predictions: 327

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

108

of 109 predictions shown

direction hit

38.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0825

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0064

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.066581	0.066378	-0.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-20	oos	0.068735	0.068513	-0.32%	0.066581	-3.13%	0.0303	✓	-0.57
2026-10-19	oos	0.066889	0.06671	-0.27%	0.068735	+2.76%	0.0378	✗	-0.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.070477	0.070214	-0.37%	0.066889	-5.09%	0.0498	✓	-0.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.073935	0.073625	-0.42%	0.070477	-4.68%	0.0391	✓	-0.60
2026-10-16	oos	0.072748	0.072437	-0.43%	0.073935	+1.63%	0.0196	✗	-0.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.07849	0.078084	-0.52%	0.072748	-7.32%	0.0755	✓	-0.62
2026-10-14	oos	0.073752	0.073417	-0.46%	0.07849	+6.42%	0.0711	✗	-0.63
2026-10-13	oos	0.088248	0.08779	-0.52%	0.073752	-16.43%	0.1881	✓	-0.74
2026-10-12	oos	0.097059	0.09601	-1.08%	0.088248	-9.08%	0.0725	✓	-0.72
2026-10-11	oos	0.092361	0.091814	-0.59%	0.097059	+5.09%	0.0354	✗	-0.86
2026-10-10	oos	0.092402	0.09149	-0.99%	0.092361	-0.04%	0.0179	✗	-0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.086635	0.086084	-0.64%	0.092402	+6.66%	0.0749	✗	-0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.073139	0.072795	-0.47%	0.086635	+18.45%	0.1834	✗	-0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.07128	0.070939	-0.48%	0.073139	+2.61%	0.0125	✗	-0.94
2026-10-06	oos	0.087975	0.086605	-1.56%	0.07128	-18.98%	0.2261	✓	-1.17
2026-10-05	oos	0.073941	0.073514	-0.58%	0.087975	+18.98%	0.1767	✗	-1.17
2026-10-04	oos	0.065278	0.065005	-0.42%	0.073941	+13.27%	0.1190	✗	-1.12
2026-10-03	oos	0.069035	0.068753	-0.41%	0.065278	-5.44%	0.0292	✓	-1.10
2026-10-02	oos	0.074028	0.073455	-0.77%	0.069035	-6.74%	0.0590	✓	-1.10
2026-10-01	oos	0.069846	0.069283	-0.81%	0.074028	+5.99%	0.0619	✗	-1.08
2026-09-30	oos	0.069306	0.068772	-0.77%	0.069846	+0.78%	0.0326	✗	-1.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.059839	0.059391	-0.75%	0.069306	+15.82%	0.1533	✗	-1.12
2026-09-28	oos	0.056407	0.055931	-0.84%	0.059839	+6.09%	0.0702	✗	-1.20
2026-09-27	oos	0.053595	0.053222	-0.70%	0.056407	+5.25%	0.0436	✗	-1.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.051578	0.051231	-0.67%	0.053595	+3.91%	0.0458	✗	-1.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.052128	0.051752	-0.72%	0.051578	-1.05%	0.0011	✓	-1.17
2026-09-24	oos	0.049949	0.049561	-0.78%	0.052128	+4.36%	0.0465	✗	-1.15
2026-09-23	oos	0.053106	0.052483	-1.17%	0.049949	-5.94%	0.0494	✓	-1.16
2026-09-22	oos	0.046809	0.046436	-0.80%	0.053106	+13.45%	0.1108	✗	-1.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.045872	0.045545	-0.71%	0.046809	+2.04%	0.0223	✗	-1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.044741	0.044554	-0.42%	0.045872	+2.53%	0.1107	✗	-1.26
2026-09-19	oos	0.047769	0.047337	-0.91%	0.044741	-6.34%	0.0576	✓	-1.27
2026-09-18	oos	0.05581	0.055411	-0.72%	0.047769	-14.41%	0.1428	✓	-1.26
2026-09-17	oos	0.054984	0.054732	-0.46%	0.05581	+1.50%	0.1002	✗	-1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.060022	0.05958	-0.74%	0.054984	-8.39%	0.0765	✓	-1.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.057324	0.056893	-0.75%	0.060022	+4.71%	0.0639	✗	-1.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.064413	0.062739	-2.60%	0.057324	-11.01%	0.1454	✓	-1.64
2026-09-13	oos	0.047068	0.047224	+0.33%	0.064413	+36.85%	0.3424	✓	-1.80
2026-09-12	oos	0.044869	0.045112	+0.54%	0.047068	+4.90%	0.0316	✓	-1.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04448	0.04475	+0.61%	0.044869	+0.87%	0.0039	✓	-1.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.045466	0.045735	+0.59%	0.04448	-2.17%	0.0121	✗	-1.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.047448	0.04762	+0.36%	0.045466	-4.18%	0.0888	✗	-1.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.046785	0.046965	+0.38%	0.047448	+1.42%	0.0063	✓	-1.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.046622	0.046757	+0.29%	0.046785	+0.35%	0.0149	✗	-1.89
2026-09-06	oos	0.042957	0.043069	+0.26%	0.046622	+8.53%	0.0501	✓	-1.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.044706	0.044743	+0.08%	0.042957	-3.91%	0.0289	✗	-1.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.045241	0.045266	+0.05%	0.044706	-1.18%	0.0088	✗	-1.86
2026-09-03	oos	0.04878	0.048684	-0.20%	0.045241	-7.25%	0.1124	✓	-1.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.072695	0.072297	-0.55%	0.04878	-32.90%	0.3246	✓	-1.38
2026-09-01	oos	0.070557	0.070163	-0.56%	0.072695	+3.03%	0.0338	✗	-1.38
2026-08-31	oos	0.068387	0.068002	-0.56%	0.070557	+3.17%	0.0162	✗	-1.38
2026-08-30	oos	0.068164	0.06776	-0.59%	0.068387	+0.33%	0.0251	✗	-1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.069214	0.068785	-0.62%	0.068164	-1.52%	0.0193	✓	-1.41
2026-08-28	oos	0.069928	0.069473	-0.65%	0.069214	-1.02%	0.0034	✓	-1.40
2026-08-27	oos	0.066045	0.06564	-0.61%	0.069928	+5.88%	0.0197	✗	-1.41
2026-08-26	oos	0.070614	0.070111	-0.71%	0.066045	-6.47%	0.0381	✓	-1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.069435	0.068938	-0.72%	0.070614	+1.70%	0.0328	✗	-1.38
2026-08-24	oos	0.068823	0.068339	-0.70%	0.069435	+0.89%	0.0079	✗	-1.39
2026-08-23	oos	0.069367	0.068834	-0.77%	0.068823	-0.78%	0.0220	✗	-1.39
2026-08-22	oos	0.070097	0.069559	-0.77%	0.069367	-1.04%	0.0093	✗	-1.38
2026-08-21	oos	0.067073	0.066588	-0.72%	0.070097	+4.51%	0.0287	✗	-1.38
2026-08-20	oos	0.064753	0.064229	-0.81%	0.067073	+3.58%	0.1703	✗	-1.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.067798	0.067111	-1.01%	0.064753	-4.49%	0.0632	✗	-1.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.068975	0.068359	-0.89%	0.067798	-1.71%	0.1635	✗	-2.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.070634	0.069748	-1.25%	0.068975	-2.35%	0.0033	✓	-2.48
2026-08-16	oos	0.067132	0.066504	-0.94%	0.070634	+5.22%	0.1303	✗	-2.72
2026-08-15	oos	0.062121	0.061637	-0.78%	0.067132	+8.07%	0.0776	✗	-2.70
2026-08-14	oos	0.065324	0.063979	-2.06%	0.062121	-4.90%	0.0276	✓	-2.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.056743	0.056232	-0.90%	0.065324	+15.12%	0.1312	✗	-2.62
2026-08-12	oos	0.055292	0.054779	-0.93%	0.056743	+2.62%	0.0358	✗	-2.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.054776	0.053903	-1.59%	0.055292	+0.94%	0.0205	✗	-2.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.046134	0.045424	-1.54%	0.054776	+18.73%	0.1722	✗	-2.52
2026-08-09	oos	0.039386	0.039139	-0.63%	0.046134	+17.13%	0.1305	✗	-2.33
2026-08-08	oos	0.036911	0.036662	-0.68%	0.039386	+6.70%	0.0695	✗	-2.32
2026-08-07	oos	0.035967	0.035685	-0.79%	0.036911	+2.62%	0.0344	✗	-2.31
2026-08-06	oos	0.030811	0.030524	-0.93%	0.035967	+16.74%	0.1878	✗	-2.45
2026-08-05	oos	0.02783	0.027658	-0.62%	0.030811	+10.71%	0.0955	✗	-2.39
2026-08-04	oos	0.025369	0.025213	-0.61%	0.02783	+9.70%	0.1200	✗	-2.47
2026-08-03	oos	0.027598	0.027433	-0.60%	0.025369	-8.08%	0.0560	✓	-2.42
2026-08-02	oos	0.029535	0.029337	-0.67%	0.027598	-6.56%	0.0624	✓	-2.44
2026-08-01	oos	0.027282	0.027127	-0.57%	0.029535	+8.26%	0.1148	✗	-2.55
2026-07-31	oos	0.039226	0.038655	-1.46%	0.027282	-30.45%	0.3510	✓	-2.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.034526	0.033977	-1.59%	0.039226	+13.61%	0.0693	✗	-2.50
2026-07-29	oos	0.026065	0.025889	-0.68%	0.034526	+32.46%	0.3253	✗	-2.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.027298	0.027044	-0.93%	0.026065	-4.52%	0.0346	✓	-2.92
2026-07-27	oos	0.024081	0.023897	-0.77%	0.027298	+13.36%	0.1401	✗	-2.92
2026-07-26	oos	0.022534	0.022384	-0.66%	0.024081	+6.87%	0.0022	✓	-2.95
2026-07-25	oos	0.020987	0.020856	-0.63%	0.022534	+7.37%	0.0612	✗	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.02708	0.026781	-1.10%	0.020987	-22.50%	0.2471	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.023588	0.023379	-0.88%	0.02708	+14.81%	0.1619	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.021176	0.021022	-0.73%	0.023588	+11.39%	0.1310	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.019997	0.019856	-0.71%	0.021176	+5.90%	0.0709	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.02103	0.020866	-0.78%	0.019997	-4.91%	0.0623	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.018488	0.018366	-0.66%	0.02103	+13.75%	0.1273	✗	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.018888	0.018764	-0.66%	0.018488	-2.12%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.018668	0.01856	-0.57%	0.018888	+1.18%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.018416	0.018317	-0.54%	0.018668	+1.37%	0.0170	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.018352	0.018253	-0.54%	0.018416	+0.35%	0.0236	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.016452	0.016382	-0.43%	0.018352	+11.55%	0.1177	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.019108	0.019019	-0.47%	0.016452	-13.90%	0.1878	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.017007	0.016933	-0.44%	0.019108	+12.35%	0.1443	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.015945	0.015873	-0.45%	0.017007	+6.66%	0.0695	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.019616	0.019542	-0.37%	0.015945	-18.71%	0.1979	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.021747	0.021677	-0.32%	0.019616	-9.80%	0.1149	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.022573	0.022495	-0.35%	0.021747	-3.66%	0.0488	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.020944	0.020882	-0.30%	0.022573	+7.78%	0.0952	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.02124	0.021173	-0.32%	0.020944	-1.39%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.023265	0.023149	-0.50%	0.02124	-8.70%	0.0926	✓	1.00