BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s7
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
27.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2747
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0308
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0155 | -4.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9568 | -4.23% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8817 | -4.31% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3113 | -4.30% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3201 | -4.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.839 | -4.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7389 | -4.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2564 | -5.21% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0505 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9762 | -5.37% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0307 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6687 | -4.62% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1659 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5528 | -4.49% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4124 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5173 | -4.22% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4471 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5064 | -4.37% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2281 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3385 | -3.90% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3134 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2464 | -3.94% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6159 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1647 | -4.02% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5406 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1838 | -4.04% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3183 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1945 | -4.12% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2569 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.991675 | -4.44% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4297 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3244 | -4.13% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1323 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3598 | -4.13% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0434 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2732 | -4.20% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0128 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3279 | -4.38% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0486 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0718 | -4.23% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1908 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1709 | -4.08% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1094 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.964611 | -3.69% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0806 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2422 | -5.56% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1157 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.919247 | -3.68% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4436 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.989959 | -4.61% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2765 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.868518 | -3.26% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.4995 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.774113 | -3.32% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.4056 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.714692 | -4.33% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4954 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.570984 | -3.27% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5235 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.610336 | -3.15% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7288 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.694249 | -3.56% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2182 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.721996 | -3.76% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2602 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.680093 | -3.54% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1463 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.569367 | -2.27% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2387 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.69849 | -4.90% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.54063 | -1.76% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0378 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.50352 | -1.04% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1780 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.495568 | -0.90% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3759 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.450603 | -0.11% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5375 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.438441 | +0.16% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5122 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.453567 | +0.56% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2620 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.451224 | +0.85% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5322 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.456614 | +0.98% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2193 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.461377 | +1.06% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1293 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.460435 | +1.33% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1425 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.489737 | +0.03% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0947 | ✗ | 1.00 |