BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s7
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
36.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1136
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0099
actual +0.0275
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0824 | -1.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.0234 | -0.97% | 2.1044 | +3.00% | 0.0349 | ✗ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9475 | -0.96% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0680 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3869 | -1.17% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1970 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3993 | -1.60% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0183 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.9036 | -1.26% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2453 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.8003 | -0.90% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0570 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.3369 | -1.83% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2423 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.0454 | -2.05% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1270 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7237 | -1.48% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2162 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.6024 | -1.44% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0538 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5648 | -1.23% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0517 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5538 | -1.36% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0258 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3787 | -1.02% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1491 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2849 | -0.98% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0519 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.2028 | -0.88% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0356 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2218 | -0.96% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0105 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2323 | -1.08% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0125 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0286 | -0.87% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2281 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3657 | -1.14% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2698 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.4014 | -1.19% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0215 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.3128 | -1.21% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1054 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3694 | -1.39% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0318 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.1052 | -1.25% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2324 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.206 | -1.21% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.0984 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.992502 | -0.90% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2080 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2839 | -2.39% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2409 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.943571 | -1.13% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3259 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0186 | -1.85% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0650 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.888303 | -1.06% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1769 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.790262 | -1.30% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1322 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.734361 | -1.70% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0217 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.58561 | -0.79% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.625545 | -0.74% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0624 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.713324 | -0.91% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1815 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.741823 | -1.12% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0327 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.697656 | -1.05% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0652 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.57928 | -0.57% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2302 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.717708 | -2.28% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2263 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.547462 | -0.52% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.2998 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.507589 | -0.24% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0801 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.49847 | -0.32% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.451099 | -0.00% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1256 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.438044 | +0.07% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0315 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.451382 | +0.07% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0225 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.447924 | +0.12% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0226 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.452727 | +0.12% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0182 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.456984 | +0.10% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0125 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.454403 | +0.00% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.487721 | -0.38% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1207 | ✓ | 1.00 |