AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

52.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0620

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0234

actual -0.0063

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019024	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019275	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020179	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019028	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020095	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021585	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.019924	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018294	-1.89%	0.019479	+4.46%	0.0462	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019018	-1.84%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0372	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018489	-1.74%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1105	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020248	-2.01%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0184	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.021858	-2.72%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0407	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019542	-2.02%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1405	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019511	-2.12%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0457	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.021777	-2.49%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1343	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021246	-2.32%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0599	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.021939	-2.56%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1005	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022276	-2.66%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0383	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022197	-2.79%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0368	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022112	-2.96%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0768	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022315	-2.78%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0702	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.022944	-2.95%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0230	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.021898	-2.81%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0332	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021217	-2.89%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0276	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024146	-3.12%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0793	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.024675	-3.29%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.0817	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.023962	-3.34%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0552	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023319	-3.23%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0213	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.022527	-3.23%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0581	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.023838	-3.11%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0262	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.022616	-3.03%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020317	-3.88%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1645	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.020572	-3.74%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1768	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.020828	-3.57%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1351	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.019756	-3.22%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0985	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.019971	-2.94%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0506	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020691	-2.88%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0418	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.019959	-2.36%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0535	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.019891	-1.83%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0055	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.020991	-2.68%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0322	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020137	-1.52%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0237	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018491	-0.79%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.1014	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.019952	-0.84%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0585	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020432	-0.34%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0790	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020819	+0.22%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0066	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020761	+0.77%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0208	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020812	+1.07%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0684	✓	1.00