AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s7
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 141
Track record at +30d
assessed
17
of 47 predictions shown
direction hit
76.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0493
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0610
actual -0.0629
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.019479 | 0.018356 | -5.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.018657 | -5.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.019495 | -5.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018393 | -5.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.019383 | -5.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.020783 | -6.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.0192 | -6.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.017628 | -5.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.018403 | -5.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.017861 | -5.08% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.019619 | -5.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.021082 | -6.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.018871 | -5.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.018804 | -5.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.02098 | -6.06% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.020552 | -5.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.021161 | -6.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.021469 | -6.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.021357 | -6.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.021225 | -6.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.021487 | -6.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.022039 | -6.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.021083 | -6.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.020411 | -6.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.023173 | -7.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.023643 | -7.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.022946 | -7.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.022378 | -7.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.021616 | -7.14% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.022968 | -6.64% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.021804 | -6.51% | 0.019479 | -16.48% | 0.0667 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.019302 | -8.68% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.019585 | -8.35% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0469 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.019867 | -8.02% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.0354 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.018727 | -8.26% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0289 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.018952 | -7.89% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0890 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.019638 | -7.82% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0379 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.019046 | -6.83% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.0636 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.018982 | -6.32% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.0583 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.020082 | -6.90% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.019221 | -6.00% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.017567 | -5.74% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1662 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019149 | -4.83% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0123 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.019727 | -3.79% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0301 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.020248 | -2.53% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0465 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.020352 | -1.22% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.020505 | -0.42% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0220 | ✗ | 1.00 |