AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

63.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0410

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0052

actual -0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019391	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019622	-0.36%	0.019479	-1.08%	0.0040	✓	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020564	-0.55%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0589	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019364	-0.42%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0681	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020462	-0.41%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0602	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.022026	-0.67%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0678	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020344	-0.97%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0955	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018588	-0.32%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0919	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019317	-0.30%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0131	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018771	-0.25%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0123	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020583	-0.38%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0642	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.0223	-0.76%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0867	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019864	-0.40%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1184	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.01985	-0.42%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0068	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022209	-0.56%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0888	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021633	-0.54%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0618	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022378	-0.61%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0258	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.02274	-0.63%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0002	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022684	-0.66%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0144	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022633	-0.67%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0057	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022815	-0.60%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0033	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023489	-0.65%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0410	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.0224	-0.59%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0551	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021718	-0.59%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0342	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024742	-0.73%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1116	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025309	-0.80%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0159	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024592	-0.79%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0329	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023912	-0.77%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0395	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023106	-0.74%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0419	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024404	-0.81%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0259	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023147	-0.75%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0656	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020961	-0.83%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0420	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021201	-0.79%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021436	-0.76%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0075	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020294	-0.59%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.02047	-0.52%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.02119	-0.54%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0368	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020366	-0.37%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0788	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020204	-0.29%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021391	-0.83%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0482	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020377	-0.34%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0561	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018617	-0.11%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0851	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020084	-0.18%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0522	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020483	-0.10%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020773	-0.01%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020618	+0.08%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0232	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020613	+0.10%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0068	✗	1.00