ARK

ARK · native · gru_s7

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,273

Track record at +7d

assessed

381

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0547

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0184

actual -0.0093

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.18393	0.179237	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.18695	0.182241	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.170103	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.169636	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.165063	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.169139	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.175189	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.177973	-2.29%	0.18393	+0.98%	0.0100	✓	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.17702	-2.33%	0.18695	+3.14%	0.0276	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.18613	-2.43%	0.17451	-8.52%	0.0627	✓	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.184345	-2.37%	0.173985	-7.85%	0.0589	✓	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.199994	-3.37%	0.16914	-18.27%	0.1509	✓	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.206733	-2.86%	0.173255	-18.59%	0.1611	✓	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.208691	-2.74%	0.17946	-16.36%	0.1402	✓	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.216545	-3.60%	0.18215	-18.91%	0.1774	✓	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.20547	-4.21%	0.18125	-15.50%	0.1070	✓	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.203122	-2.67%	0.19077	-8.59%	0.0360	✓	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.212437	-2.65%	0.188815	-13.48%	0.0736	✓	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.218533	-2.48%	0.20696	-7.64%	0.0235	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.224035	-3.09%	0.21283	-7.94%	0.0304	✓	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.20573	-2.80%	0.21456	+1.37%	0.0644	✗	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.234495	-3.59%	0.22464	-7.64%	0.0080	✓	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.248198	-4.75%	0.2145	-17.68%	0.1427	✓	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.241749	-3.76%	0.208695	-16.92%	0.1686	✓	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.229036	-4.03%	0.21823	-8.56%	0.0730	✓	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.239542	-3.16%	0.22409	-9.41%	0.0882	✓	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.247712	-4.94%	0.231185	-11.28%	0.0725	✓	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.239608	-5.79%	0.21165	-16.78%	0.1285	✓	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.186692	-3.42%	0.243225	+25.83%	0.2593	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.154856	-2.44%	0.26057	+64.16%	0.5299	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.153924	-2.58%	0.251205	+58.99%	0.5196	✗	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.149348	-3.02%	0.23865	+54.97%	0.5052	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.1481	-2.41%	0.247355	+62.99%	0.4698	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.149713	-2.43%	0.260575	+69.82%	0.5129	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.139319	-2.06%	0.25433	+78.78%	0.5598	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.134239	-2.08%	0.1933	+41.00%	0.2521	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.145304	-2.97%	0.15873	+5.99%	0.0265	✓	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.141175	-2.75%	0.158	+8.84%	0.0360	✓	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.161636	-4.12%	0.154	-8.65%	0.1513	✓	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.13368	-2.95%	0.15176	+10.17%	0.0765	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.130937	-1.50%	0.15344	+15.43%	0.1124	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.11364	-0.84%	0.142255	+24.13%	0.1813	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.109041	-0.92%	0.13709	+24.57%	0.2312	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.117037	-0.52%	0.149755	+27.29%	0.2713	✗	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.115807	-0.45%	0.145165	+24.79%	0.2587	✗	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.114165	-0.29%	0.168585	+47.24%	0.4001	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.11746	-0.29%	0.13775	+16.94%	0.1987	✗	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.11714	-0.39%	0.132925	+13.03%	0.1550	✗	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.11706	-0.45%	0.114605	-2.54%	0.0062	✗	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.113752	-0.14%	0.11005	-3.39%	0.0215	✗	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.109467	-0.40%	0.117645	+7.04%	0.0605	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.108673	-0.29%	0.116325	+6.73%	0.0556	✗	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.109918	-0.22%	0.114495	+3.94%	0.0346	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.109032	-0.25%	0.1178	+7.78%	0.0466	✗	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.111338	-0.19%	0.1176	+5.43%	0.0371	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.111862	-0.53%	0.117595	+4.57%	0.0297	✗	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.114075	-0.23%	0.11391	-0.37%	0.0122	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.112164	-0.35%	0.10991	-2.35%	0.0010	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.106617	-0.17%	0.10899	+2.06%	0.0347	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.106951	-0.23%	0.110155	+2.76%	0.0342	✗	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.107823	-0.51%	0.1093	+0.85%	0.0143	✗	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.107782	-0.66%	0.111545	+2.81%	0.0207	✗	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.10627	-0.60%	0.112455	+5.18%	0.0622	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.09584	-1.22%	0.114335	+17.84%	0.0973	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.09046	-1.61%	0.11256	+22.43%	0.1115	✗	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.085018	-1.17%	0.106795	+24.15%	0.0776	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.085843	-1.87%	0.107195	+22.54%	0.0633	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.086994	-1.10%	0.108375	+23.21%	0.0476	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.088682	-1.05%	0.1085	+21.07%	0.0395	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.087474	-1.04%	0.106915	+20.95%	0.0241	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.089041	-1.11%	0.097025	+7.75%	0.0283	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.088212	-1.21%	0.09194	+2.96%	0.0322	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.089914	-1.45%	0.08602	-5.72%	0.0590	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.091511	-1.10%	0.08748	-5.45%	0.0524	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.092428	-1.11%	0.08796	-5.89%	0.0229	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.093201	-1.41%	0.08962	-5.20%	0.0142	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.092831	-1.50%	0.088395	-6.21%	0.0237	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.093201	-1.51%	0.090045	-4.85%	0.0233	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.092216	-0.87%	0.089295	-4.01%	0.0164	✓	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.092498	-0.95%	0.09124	-2.30%	0.0068	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.093767	-1.06%	0.092525	-2.37%	0.0193	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.091923	-1.06%	0.093465	+0.60%	0.0015	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.091466	-1.21%	0.094535	+2.11%	0.0047	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.092494	-1.35%	0.094245	+0.52%	0.0085	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.093046	-1.46%	0.09463	+0.22%	0.0230	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.09146	-1.53%	0.093025	+0.16%	0.0077	✓	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.095239	-1.47%	0.093385	-3.39%	0.0223	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.095967	-1.70%	0.094775	-2.92%	0.0095	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.102513	-1.67%	0.09291	-10.88%	0.0762	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.101794	-1.74%	0.092585	-10.63%	0.0759	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.100076	-1.89%	0.09376	-8.08%	0.0496	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.101418	-1.97%	0.09442	-8.74%	0.0675	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.103276	-1.77%	0.09288	-11.66%	0.0797	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.103712	-1.72%	0.09666	-8.41%	0.0383	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.101071	-1.74%	0.097625	-5.09%	0.0170	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.100862	-1.78%	0.10425	+1.52%	0.0254	✗	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.10349	-1.84%	0.1036	-1.74%	0.0070	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.10213	-1.88%	0.102	-2.01%	0.0036	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.102275	-1.97%	0.10346	-0.84%	0.0041	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.103943	-2.77%	0.105135	-1.65%	0.0050	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.105984	-1.63%	0.10553	-2.06%	0.0226	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.103349	-1.56%	0.102865	-2.02%	0.0419	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.10522	-1.66%	0.102685	-4.03%	0.0362	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.105964	-1.70%	0.105435	-2.19%	0.0180	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.106306	-1.93%	0.10409	-3.98%	0.0181	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.103079	-2.75%	0.104335	-1.56%	0.0046	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.102689	-1.51%	0.1069	+2.53%	0.0090	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.105145	-1.58%	0.107745	+0.85%	0.0038	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.108953	-1.64%	0.10499	-5.21%	0.0154	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.108825	-1.71%	0.107	-3.36%	0.0188	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.109548	-1.94%	0.1078	-3.51%	0.0246	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.110055	-1.74%	0.1084	-3.21%	0.0350	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.10722	-1.81%	0.10599	-2.94%	0.0324	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.103298	-2.48%	0.10426	-1.57%	0.0190	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.110646	-1.60%	0.106835	-4.99%	0.1011	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.108113	-2.08%	0.110715	+0.28%	0.0318	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.1092	-3.23%	0.11172	-1.00%	0.0200	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.105394	-1.35%	0.112	+4.83%	0.0263	✗	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.102849	-1.24%	0.1092	+4.86%	0.0354	✗	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.105092	-1.40%	0.10592	-0.62%	0.0218	✗	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.106586	-1.85%	0.11245	+3.55%	0.1105	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.109063	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.11069	-1.93%	0.110405	-2.18%	0.0491	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.114077	-2.12%	0.112845	-3.17%	0.0477	✗	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.111717	-1.98%	0.10684	-6.26%	0.0033	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.112136	-3.13%	0.10414	-10.03%	0.0291	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.118542	-2.26%	0.106585	-12.12%	0.0595	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.121078	-2.43%	0.108595	-12.49%	0.0697	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.121647	-2.63%	0.11121	-10.99%	0.0587	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.120351	-3.41%	0.11287	-9.41%	0.0311	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.11946	-1.68%	0.116545	-4.07%	0.0218	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.118134	-1.27%	0.113975	-4.74%	0.0349	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.119856	-1.28%	0.115755	-4.66%	0.0250	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.119473	-0.61%	0.121285	+0.90%	0.0289	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.114912	-0.21%	0.1241	+7.77%	0.0195	✗	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.141269	-1.51%	0.120205	-16.20%	0.1255	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.14496	-2.34%	0.115155	-22.42%	0.1628	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.154404	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.151814	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.148084	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.1447	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.144206	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.148345	-1.76%	0.14344	-5.01%	0.0840	✗	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.150949	-2.22%	0.14843	-3.85%	0.0849	✗	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.154129	-3.12%	0.15781	-0.80%	0.0879	✗	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.155165	-1.87%	0.156685	-0.91%	0.0461	✗	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.159932	-1.94%	0.151745	-6.96%	0.0214	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.155414	-1.79%	0.149	-5.84%	0.0196	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.161174	-1.58%	0.14687	-10.31%	0.0500	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.158239	-1.15%	0.151	-5.67%	0.0134	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.156611	-1.00%	0.15437	-2.42%	0.0045	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.161494	-1.01%	0.15909	-2.49%	0.0182	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.16091	-0.95%	0.158125	-2.66%	0.0129	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.165244	-0.97%	0.163095	-2.26%	0.0020	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.168207	-1.33%	0.15824	-7.18%	0.0225	✓	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.176374	-0.97%	0.16376	-8.05%	0.0379	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.173446	-1.68%	0.16008	-9.26%	0.0602	✓	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.181118	-0.82%	0.1582	-13.37%	0.0953	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.187497	-0.88%	0.16315	-13.75%	0.0888	✓	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.186885	-0.55%	0.162445	-13.55%	0.0909	✓	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.177554	-0.81%	0.1781	-0.50%	0.0076	✓	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.178875	-0.74%	0.17641	-2.10%	0.0105	✗	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.175853	-0.93%	0.18261	+2.88%	0.0435	✗	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.173254	-1.00%	0.189155	+8.09%	0.0624	✗	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.174961	-1.59%	0.18791	+5.69%	0.0217	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.170426	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.171446	-1.28%	0.179	+3.07%	0.0093	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.173164	-1.36%	0.1802	+2.64%	0.0404	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.178485	-1.87%	0.177505	-2.41%	0.0705	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.170402	-0.87%	0.175	+1.81%	0.0089	✓	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.175209	-0.77%	0.17779	+0.69%	0.0163	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.172145	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.170863	-0.91%	0.17355	+0.64%	0.0044	✓	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.170682	-0.59%	0.17367	+1.15%	0.0461	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.171488	-0.66%	0.17556	+1.70%	0.0594	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.172105	-0.95%	0.181895	+4.69%	0.0558	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.170035	-1.03%	0.17189	+0.05%	0.0114	✓	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.164885	-1.18%	0.176575	+5.83%	0.0020	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.172337	-1.18%	0.173675	-0.42%	0.0199	✓	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.176808	-1.15%	0.17244	-3.59%	0.0302	✓	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.173572	-1.36%	0.171695	-2.43%	0.0561	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.170143	-1.35%	0.172625	+0.09%	0.0345	✓	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.166302	-1.37%	0.17375	+3.05%	0.0118	✓	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.168072	-1.57%	0.17181	+0.61%	0.0011	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.15978	-2.45%	0.16685	+1.87%	0.0047	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.166104	-1.43%	0.1744	+3.50%	0.0084	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.168127	-1.48%	0.17886	+4.80%	0.0001	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.166769	-1.63%	0.175965	+3.80%	0.0018	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.165702	-1.70%	0.17247	+2.31%	0.0182	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.16808	-1.75%	0.168605	-1.44%	0.0321	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.162091	-2.38%	0.17076	+2.84%	0.0357	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.161422	-2.79%	0.16379	-1.36%	0.0136	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.162479	-1.70%	0.16851	+1.95%	0.0571	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.163701	-1.85%	0.17066	+2.32%	0.0562	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.156866	-2.50%	0.16953	+5.37%	0.0022	✓	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.163784	-1.64%	0.168575	+1.24%	0.0196	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.160059	-1.65%	0.171065	+5.11%	0.0068	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.158458	-1.72%	0.16605	+2.99%	0.0112	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.155194	-1.43%	0.166055	+5.47%	0.0165	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.159158	-1.43%	0.165295	+2.37%	0.0214	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.159755	-1.38%	0.16679	+2.96%	0.0328	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.164201	-1.40%	0.160885	-3.39%	0.0111	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.170415	-1.44%	0.16651	-3.70%	0.0291	✗	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.169035	-1.41%	0.16275	-5.08%	0.0002	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.168979	-1.44%	0.16123	-5.96%	0.0219	✗	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.161545	-1.60%	0.15744	-4.10%	0.0066	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.168674	-1.22%	0.161465	-5.44%	0.0002	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.173829	-1.25%	0.161995	-7.97%	0.0014	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.173789	-1.29%	0.166535	-5.41%	0.0237	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.175843	-1.74%	0.1729	-3.38%	0.0178	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.184733	-2.34%	0.17146	-9.35%	0.0205	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.186206	-1.22%	0.17144	-9.06%	0.0192	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.172787	-1.19%	0.164175	-6.12%	0.0288	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.168461	-1.24%	0.17075	+0.11%	0.0508	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.170269	-1.40%	0.176025	+1.94%	0.0404	✗	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.170628	-2.20%	0.17606	+0.91%	0.0412	✗	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.168169	-1.14%	0.17895	+5.20%	0.0456	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.16386	-1.29%	0.18915	+13.95%	0.0815	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.160778	-1.92%	0.18851	+15.00%	0.0577	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.161133	-1.14%	0.17487	+7.29%	0.0315	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.16209	-1.20%	0.17057	+3.97%	0.0149	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.167644	-1.32%	0.17268	+1.65%	0.0169	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.169387	-1.38%	0.17447	+1.58%	0.0354	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.172096	-1.46%	0.17011	-2.59%	0.0280	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.169585	-1.51%	0.165995	-3.59%	0.0494	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.169217	-1.57%	0.163925	-4.65%	0.0248	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.16873	-1.53%	0.162995	-4.87%	0.0382	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.172403	-1.67%	0.164055	-6.43%	0.0549	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.171599	-1.71%	0.169885	-2.69%	0.0505	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.175401	-2.03%	0.171755	-4.07%	0.0804	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.177527	-1.78%	0.17464	-3.38%	0.0971	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.168015	-1.49%	0.172185	+0.96%	0.0545	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.169275	-1.77%	0.17192	-0.24%	0.0604	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.177261	-1.77%	0.171345	-5.05%	0.0004	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.182366	-1.86%	0.175335	-5.64%	0.0216	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.181008	-1.83%	0.17458	-5.32%	0.0024	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.179309	-1.71%	0.17904	-1.86%	0.0109	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.1788	-1.61%	0.18074	-0.54%	0.0177	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.185865	-1.78%	0.170555	-9.87%	0.0245	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.187772	-1.90%	0.172325	-9.97%	0.0101	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.185391	-2.40%	0.18046	-5.00%	0.0065	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.201013	-1.91%	0.185815	-9.33%	0.0473	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.196692	-1.98%	0.184385	-8.12%	0.0504	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.183203	-1.07%	0.182425	-1.49%	0.0175	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.178465	-1.72%	0.181725	+0.08%	0.0283	✗	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.183276	-0.91%	0.189235	+2.31%	0.0543	✗	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.180467	-0.90%	0.191405	+5.11%	0.0793	✗	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.180206	-0.73%	0.189955	+4.64%	0.0767	✗	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.184376	-0.70%	0.20493	+10.37%	0.0969	✗	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.183859	-0.62%	0.20067	+8.46%	0.1155	✗	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.162097	+1.30%	0.18518	+15.73%	0.0743	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.202091	-0.57%	0.181585	-10.66%	0.0313	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.206243	-0.95%	0.18496	-11.18%	0.0272	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.212516	-2.09%	0.182105	-16.10%	0.0554	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.206638	-1.74%	0.18154	-13.68%	0.0521	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.215487	-1.86%	0.18568	-15.43%	0.0306	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.227681	-3.16%	0.18501	-21.31%	0.0461	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.232769	-2.14%	0.160015	-32.72%	0.1005	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.249975	-2.34%	0.20325	-20.59%	0.0298	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.253932	-2.44%	0.20823	-19.99%	0.0520	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.252937	-2.43%	0.21705	-16.27%	0.0516	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.243706	-2.26%	0.2103	-15.66%	0.0442	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.251486	-2.48%	0.219565	-14.86%	0.0279	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.250524	-2.49%	0.23511	-8.49%	0.0098	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.252657	-2.49%	0.23785	-8.21%	0.0108	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.255253	-2.78%	0.26027	-0.87%	0.0115	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.255682	-2.72%	0.25924	-1.37%	0.0583	✗	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.266772	-2.59%	0.24934	-8.95%	0.0055	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.281315	-2.63%	0.25788	-10.74%	0.0271	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.279207	-2.64%	0.25693	-10.41%	0.0233	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.28017	-2.62%	0.259115	-9.94%	0.0174	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.289193	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.288407	-2.69%	0.26255	-11.42%	0.0212	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.267839	-2.74%	0.26284	-4.55%	0.0323	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.274612	-2.76%	0.27386	-3.02%	0.0305	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.281551	-2.73%	0.28892	-0.18%	0.0219	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.281989	-2.67%	0.28677	-1.02%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.281852	-3.10%	0.28772	-1.09%	0.0278	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.283685	-3.19%	0.29702	+1.37%	0.0265	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.274764	-3.12%	0.296395	+4.51%	0.0540	✗	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.27066	-3.39%	0.27538	-1.71%	0.0528	✗	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.263584	-3.08%	0.28944	+6.43%	0.0966	✗	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.266945	-3.18%	0.28973	+5.08%	0.0743	✗	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.254652	-2.98%	0.29088	+10.83%	0.1022	✗	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.250469	-2.88%	0.29302	+13.62%	0.1060	✗	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.256318	-2.91%	0.2836	+7.42%	0.0301	✗	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.25665	-3.12%	0.28016	+5.75%	0.0018	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.251859	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.255803	-2.21%	0.27195	+3.96%	0.0242	✗	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.244936	-2.04%	0.27572	+10.28%	0.0832	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.245222	-2.14%	0.26246	+4.74%	0.0471	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.252502	-2.17%	0.257905	-0.08%	0.0227	✗	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.252324	-2.18%	0.264	+2.35%	0.0322	✗	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.254335	-2.24%	0.264925	+1.83%	0.0602	✗	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.248437	-2.21%	0.26149	+2.92%	0.0613	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.252188	-2.38%	0.26159	+1.26%	0.0436	✗	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.247139	-2.83%	0.250025	-1.69%	0.0224	✓	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.238613	-1.76%	0.250575	+3.17%	0.0254	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.249003	-1.86%	0.25811	+1.73%	0.0169	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.256737	-2.20%	0.25794	-1.74%	0.0104	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.256748	-3.54%	0.26017	-2.25%	0.0160	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.268823	-2.07%	0.25406	-7.45%	0.0628	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.276812	-2.16%	0.258335	-8.69%	0.0435	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.274167	-2.10%	0.25433	-9.18%	0.0463	✓	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.280081	-2.21%	0.24288	-15.20%	0.0484	✓	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.285446	-2.34%	0.253725	-13.19%	0.0403	✓	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.286297	-2.37%	0.2625	-10.49%	0.0234	✓	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.278621	-2.20%	0.26616	-6.57%	0.0103	✓	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.280925	-2.13%	0.2745	-4.37%	0.0062	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.284367	-2.06%	0.28291	-2.56%	0.0182	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.290584	-2.00%	0.28005	-5.55%	0.0493	✓	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.285586	-2.31%	0.28642	-2.03%	0.0030	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.286385	-2.32%	0.292285	-0.31%	0.0392	✗	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.28071	-2.20%	0.29326	+2.17%	0.0252	✗	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.271851	-2.12%	0.284875	+2.57%	0.0170	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.290813	-2.08%	0.28704	-3.35%	0.0135	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.301993	-2.71%	0.29035	-6.46%	0.0173	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.278918	-2.58%	0.296505	+3.56%	0.0830	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.277688	-1.86%	0.292345	+3.32%	0.0407	✗	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.269893	-1.56%	0.29318	+6.94%	0.0418	✗	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.269827	-1.33%	0.287035	+4.96%	0.0038	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.27222	-1.33%	0.27774	+0.67%	0.0496	✗	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.266454	-1.77%	0.296985	+9.48%	0.0555	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.258037	-0.31%	0.31041	+19.92%	0.0910	✗	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.259603	-0.72%	0.2863	+9.49%	0.0092	✗	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.268039	-0.40%	0.282945	+5.14%	0.0171	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.275031	-0.89%	0.274165	-1.20%	0.0124	✗	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.283474	-1.14%	0.273475	-4.62%	0.0527	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.28591	-1.12%	0.27588	-4.59%	0.0262	✗	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.285513	-1.24%	0.27126	-6.17%	0.0683	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.29166	-1.26%	0.25884	-12.37%	0.0577	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.292286	-1.10%	0.26148	-11.52%	0.0436	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.29484	-1.74%	0.26911	-10.32%	0.1298	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.307976	-1.67%	0.27749	-11.40%	0.0607	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.314586	-2.40%	0.28673	-11.04%	0.0680	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.305057	-2.18%	0.289155	-7.28%	0.1715	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.30392	-2.04%	0.29554	-4.74%	0.1077	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.281737	-1.32%	0.300075	+5.10%	0.0880	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.270347	-1.33%	0.31321	+14.31%	0.1806	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.26493	-0.33%	0.32233	+21.26%	0.1727	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.276183	-1.06%	0.311865	+11.72%	0.1302	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.313722	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.315263	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.305363	-1.45%	0.31026	+0.13%	0.1061	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.304587	-1.27%	0.285505	-7.46%	0.0381	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.31473	-1.42%	0.274	-14.18%	0.0511	✓	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.315047	-1.29%	0.26582	-16.72%	0.0031	✓	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.323437	-1.48%	0.27914	-14.98%	0.0409	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.335095	-1.44%	0.318915	-6.20%	0.0060	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.327239	-1.35%	0.320415	-3.41%	0.0019	✓	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.323458	-1.24%	0.309865	-5.39%	0.0216	✓	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.322333	-1.02%	0.308515	-5.26%	0.0176	✓	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.313388	-0.69%	0.319275	+1.17%	0.0171	✓	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.319459	-0.84%	0.31918	-0.93%	0.0661	✓	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.329043	-0.94%	0.328305	-1.16%	0.0516	✓	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.32499	-0.80%	0.33998	+3.78%	0.0361	✓	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.319508	-0.73%	0.33173	+3.07%	0.0253	✓	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.318592	-0.81%	0.327525	+1.97%	0.0373	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.333845	-1.09%	0.32564	-3.52%	0.0518	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.348002	-1.21%	0.31558	-10.41%	0.0532	✓	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.357158	-1.43%	0.32218	-11.09%	0.0388	✓	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.375793	-2.01%	0.332165	-13.38%	0.0613	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.379411	-1.55%	0.327595	-14.99%	0.0630	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.345844	-1.88%	0.32185	-8.68%	0.0260	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.345678	-2.25%	0.3212	-9.17%	0.0082	✓	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.42137	-1.83%	0.337535	-21.36%	0.0988	✓	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.43026	-1.77%	0.352265	-19.57%	0.0881	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.43098	-2.04%	0.36235	-17.64%	0.1020	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.443573	-1.99%	0.38349	-15.27%	0.0664	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.431377	-2.22%	0.385365	-12.65%	0.0420	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.432488	-2.46%	0.35246	-20.51%	0.1030	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.443924	-1.64%	0.35363	-21.65%	0.1466	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.444318	-1.89%	0.42924	-5.22%	0.0438	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.425685	-1.78%	0.438	+1.06%	0.0074	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.416697	-1.77%	0.439955	+3.72%	0.0047	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.408971	-1.85%	0.452595	+8.62%	0.0083	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.414898	-1.91%	0.44116	+4.30%	0.0459	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.406681	-2.13%	0.443395	+6.71%	0.0391	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.410855	-2.23%	0.451335	+7.41%	0.0301	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.399647	-2.16%	0.45289	+10.87%	0.0106	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.426068	-2.07%	0.433395	-0.39%	0.0328	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.432441	-2.17%	0.424195	-4.04%	0.0394	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.405547	-3.57%	0.41666	-0.93%	0.0109	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.440778	-2.35%	0.42299	-6.29%	0.0118	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.451389	-2.33%	0.415515	-10.09%	0.0224	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.44177	-2.50%	0.42021	-7.26%	0.0096	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.459206	-2.63%	0.40847	-13.39%	0.0365	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.454022	-2.72%	0.43509	-6.78%	0.0114	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.443365	-3.24%	0.442055	-3.52%	0.0451	✗	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.447452	-2.63%	0.42058	-8.47%	0.0352	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.478568	-3.28%	0.45137	-8.78%	0.0582	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.442823	-3.01%	0.462155	+1.23%	0.0450	✗	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.438253	-3.33%	0.453095	-0.05%	0.0377	✗	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.442318	-2.92%	0.47161	+3.51%	0.0476	✗	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.440742	-2.56%	0.466725	+3.19%	0.0309	✗	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.43687	-2.73%	0.458205	+2.02%	0.0098	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.435702	-3.34%	0.459515	+1.94%	0.0169	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.415348	-3.39%	0.494815	+15.09%	0.1295	✗	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.411121	-3.59%	0.45655	+7.06%	0.0447	✗	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.408955	-4.50%	0.453335	+5.87%	0.0464	✗	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.