ARK

ARK · native · gru_s7

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,270

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

77.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1308

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0347

actual -0.0248

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.162931	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.164002	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.162899	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.15851	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.162466	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.168475	-6.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.171543	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.170597	-5.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.179991	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.177789	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.193065	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.198497	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.200679	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.208577	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.198081	-7.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.195099	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.204329	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.210853	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.21637	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.19869	-6.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.226249	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.238822	-8.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.232189	-7.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.221211	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.23072	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.239208	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.231607	-8.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.182317	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.151916	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.153043	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.148777	-3.39%	0.173565	+12.70%	0.1997	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.143517	-5.43%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1721	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.145196	-5.37%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.1729	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.135742	-4.58%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.2050	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.130374	-4.90%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.2126	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.141422	-5.56%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.1621	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.137566	-5.23%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.1869	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.157601	-6.52%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.0971	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.131844	-4.29%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.2975	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.129379	-2.67%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.3261	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.114731	+0.11%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.5148	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.110086	+0.03%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.5850	✓	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.116345	-1.11%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5646	✗	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.115231	-0.94%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.6319	✗	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.11389	-0.53%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.5878	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.117352	-0.38%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.5210	✗	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.116877	-0.61%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.5620	✗	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.116838	-0.64%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5795	✗	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.11442	+0.45%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6651	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.109276	-0.58%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5790	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.108892	-0.09%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.7188	✗	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.110785	+0.57%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.7987	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.110342	+0.95%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.7553	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.114104	+2.29%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.6816	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.114138	+1.50%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.7025	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.115386	+0.92%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.7702	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.113289	+0.65%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.7541	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.108263	+1.37%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.5166	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.10889	+1.58%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.3188	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.109539	+1.07%	0.158	+45.79%	0.2739	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.10984	+1.24%	0.154	+41.94%	0.2334	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.110045	+2.93%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.2891	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.099245	+2.29%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.3467	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.092418	+0.52%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.3053	✓	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.085067	-1.11%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3485	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.086261	-1.39%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.4214	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.086167	-2.04%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.3720	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.087969	-1.84%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.4766	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.086842	-1.76%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.3006	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.088517	-1.70%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2465	✗	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.087867	-1.60%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.1025	✗	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.090338	-0.99%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0439	✗	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.091519	-1.09%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.0822	✗	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.092441	-1.10%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.0688	✗	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.094123	-0.44%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0292	✗	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.093772	-0.50%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.0481	✗	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.093627	-1.06%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0443	✗	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.091949	-1.16%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.0678	✗	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.092055	-1.42%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0118	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.093101	-1.77%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0036	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.091235	-1.80%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0073	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.090519	-2.23%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0070	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.091358	-2.56%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0004	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.091856	-2.72%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0294	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.090127	-2.96%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0548	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.093888	-2.87%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0040	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.094279	-3.43%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0060	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.100818	-3.29%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.0851	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.099922	-3.55%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.0912	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.098023	-3.90%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0516	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.099278	-4.04%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0448	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.101445	-3.51%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.0806	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.101996	-3.35%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1230	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.099306	-3.46%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1226	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.099075	-3.52%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1413	✓	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.101672	-3.57%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1466	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.100397	-3.55%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.1192	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.100775	-3.41%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.1080	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.10304	-3.61%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1319	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.104269	-3.23%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1275	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.101652	-3.18%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1443	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.103539	-3.23%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1238	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.104436	-3.12%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1229	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.104849	-3.28%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1240	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.101993	-3.77%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.0977	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.10088	-3.24%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.1014	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.103297	-3.31%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.0994	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.107108	-3.30%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1483	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.107007	-3.35%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1419	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.107822	-3.49%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1337	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.108162	-3.43%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.1641	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.105523	-3.37%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1466	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.101895	-3.80%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1186	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.10823	-3.75%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2208	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.105923	-4.06%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1505	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.107268	-4.94%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1450	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.103166	-3.44%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0610	✓	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.100757	-3.25%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0339	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.102985	-3.38%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0506	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.104354	-3.91%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0401	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.106287	-4.43%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0383	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.10781	-4.48%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.0640	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.111038	-4.73%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.0894	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.108833	-4.51%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.0742	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.109375	-5.51%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.0627	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.114908	-5.26%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.0916	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.117415	-5.39%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.0940	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.118129	-5.45%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.0792	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.117159	-5.97%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.0743	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.115724	-4.75%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.0665	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.114647	-4.18%	0.107	-10.57%	0.0719	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.116224	-4.28%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.0782	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.115728	-3.72%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1048	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.111597	-3.09%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.0737	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.135738	-5.37%	0.112	-21.92%	0.1713	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.139314	-6.14%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.1733	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.148936	-5.62%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.2020	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.147483	-5.87%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.0812	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.143838	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.14104	-5.34%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.0780	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.139989	-4.69%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.0534	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.144503	-4.30%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1328	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.148218	-3.99%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.1643	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.151692	-4.65%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.1628	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.150939	-4.54%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.1637	✓	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.155453	-4.69%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.1876	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.151193	-4.45%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1495	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.157646	-3.73%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1508	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.155699	-2.74%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1518	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.154549	-2.31%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1290	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.159883	-2.00%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1327	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.16029	-1.33%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.1224	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.165997	-0.52%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.1522	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.169319	-0.68%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.1543	✓	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.177136	-0.54%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.1897	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.174551	-1.05%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.1864	✓	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.179602	-1.65%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.1921	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.186252	-1.53%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.2003	✓	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.18704	-0.46%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.2497	✓	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.17762	-0.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.180794	+0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.179443	+1.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.176026	+0.59%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0366	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.176875	-0.51%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0050	✓	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.172218	-0.77%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0267	✓	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.170329	-1.92%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.0782	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.17249	-1.75%	0.149	-15.13%	0.1109	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.179598	-1.26%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.1595	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.170947	-0.55%	0.151	-12.15%	0.0789	✓	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.176334	-0.14%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.0917	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.174104	+0.25%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.0843	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.172623	+0.11%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.0806	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.171434	-0.15%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0262	✓	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.172113	-0.30%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0435	✓	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.171696	-1.18%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.0650	✓	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.16943	-1.39%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.0806	✓	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.1638	-1.83%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.0781	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.17218	-1.27%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.0714	✓	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.176215	-1.48%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.0858	✓	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.17227	-2.10%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.0746	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.169199	-1.90%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0535	✓	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.165976	-1.56%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0284	✓	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.167386	-1.98%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0174	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.158857	-3.01%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0063	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.16419	-2.56%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0150	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.166142	-2.65%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0110	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.164502	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.163517	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.166648	-2.58%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0493	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.160801	-3.16%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.0748	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.160117	-3.58%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.0759	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.159853	-3.29%	0.175	+5.87%	0.1032	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.1611	-3.41%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.0825	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.154946	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.160818	-3.42%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.0809	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.157023	-3.52%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0262	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.154987	-3.87%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0197	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.152112	-3.38%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0135	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.15606	-3.35%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.0776	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.156707	-3.26%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0733	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.16144	-3.06%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0655	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.167922	-2.88%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.0681	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.166664	-2.80%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.0895	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.166978	-2.60%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.0794	✓	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.159773	-2.68%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0515	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.166426	-2.53%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.0781	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.171965	-2.31%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.0828	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.172328	-2.12%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.0795	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.175747	-1.79%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.0732	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.18517	-2.10%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.0699	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.185106	-1.81%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.0699	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.171718	-1.80%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0390	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.167372	-1.88%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0297	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.169408	-1.89%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0307	✓	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.171035	-1.97%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0551	✓	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.167242	-1.69%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0237	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.163058	-1.77%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0098	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.160139	-2.31%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0085	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.158972	-2.47%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0254	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.159889	-2.54%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0109	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.165162	-2.78%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0095	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.167071	-2.73%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0496	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.169768	-2.79%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0761	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.166695	-3.19%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0101	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.166384	-3.22%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0133	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.16568	-3.31%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0616	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.169551	-3.30%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0462	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.168323	-3.58%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.0686	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.172423	-3.70%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0445	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.174007	-3.72%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0420	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.164655	-3.46%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.0755	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.165538	-3.94%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.0749	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.172744	-4.28%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0585	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.177472	-4.49%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.0854	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.176041	-4.53%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.0673	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.174307	-4.45%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0553	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.173757	-4.38%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.0596	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.18042	-4.66%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.0669	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.182233	-4.79%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0589	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.180197	-5.14%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0374	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.194547	-5.07%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.1145	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.190293	-5.17%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1513	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.17702	-4.41%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1214	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.172682	-4.90%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.0641	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.176657	-4.49%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0406	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.173758	-4.58%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0229	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.173396	-4.49%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0385	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.177461	-4.43%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.0660	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.17683	-4.42%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0055	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.15545	-2.85%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0224	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.193467	-4.81%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.0685	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.198008	-4.91%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.0862	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.205552	-5.30%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.0950	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.199849	-4.97%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0475	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.208554	-5.02%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0694	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.221011	-6.00%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0291	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.22502	-5.39%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0347	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.242047	-5.43%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0585	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.245722	-5.59%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.0679	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.244737	-5.59%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.0730	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.235978	-5.36%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0624	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.243205	-5.69%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.0668	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.242399	-5.66%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0520	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.244593	-5.60%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0354	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.245527	-6.48%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0541	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.246751	-6.12%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0036	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.258132	-5.74%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0054	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.272482	-5.69%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.0578	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.270713	-5.60%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.0532	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.272061	-5.44%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0050	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.281693	-5.16%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0223	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.281348	-5.08%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.0738	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.260597	-5.37%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.0834	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.266849	-5.51%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.1087	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.273166	-5.62%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.1683	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.273492	-5.60%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1574	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.273595	-5.94%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.1168	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.275461	-5.99%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.0882	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.267732	-5.60%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0186	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.263841	-5.82%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0475	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.256071	-5.84%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0081	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.259276	-5.96%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0165	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.247482	-5.71%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0267	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.243462	-5.60%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0126	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.250015	-5.30%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0047	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.250158	-5.57%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0050	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.24576	-6.02%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0405	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.248705	-4.93%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0356	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.238767	-4.50%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0532	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.239447	-4.44%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0488	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.245417	-4.92%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0211	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.245318	-4.89%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0274	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.247582	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.242323	-4.62%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.0845	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.246318	-4.65%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0090	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.242277	-4.74%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0499	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.232748	-4.17%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.0896	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.243025	-4.22%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0442	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.250613	-4.53%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0383	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.250912	-5.73%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0309	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.260947	-4.94%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0338	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.268965	-4.93%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0114	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.26679	-4.73%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0491	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.272724	-4.78%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0875	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.277025	-5.22%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0646	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.277973	-5.21%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0668	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.270974	-4.88%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0702	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.273478	-4.72%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0059	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.27716	-4.54%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0491	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.283742	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.279184	-4.50%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0062	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.279845	-4.55%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0321	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.275118	-4.15%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0118	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.267289	-3.76%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0538	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.28556	-3.85%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0502	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.297076	-4.30%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0615	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.275036	-3.93%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0076	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.272938	-3.54%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0072	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.264883	-3.39%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0127	✓	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.26482	-3.16%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0530	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.267211	-3.14%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0249	✓	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.262218	-3.33%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0258	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.252803	-2.33%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0311	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.25417	-2.80%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0554	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.261699	-2.75%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0400	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.268893	-3.10%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0022	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.276585	-3.54%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0105	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.278673	-3.62%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0025	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.278807	-3.56%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0417	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.285499	-3.34%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0772	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.286205	-3.16%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0604	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.289022	-3.68%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.1336	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.301574	-3.72%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.1112	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.308272	-4.36%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.0934	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.29905	-4.11%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.2033	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.297314	-4.17%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1683	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.275402	-3.54%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.2415	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.265441	-3.12%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.3428	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.259138	-2.51%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2710	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.270414	-3.13%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.2910	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.309086	-3.08%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.2173	✗	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.310101	-3.22%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2630	✗	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.300905	-2.89%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2813	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.298911	-3.11%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.3078	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.309938	-2.92%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.2107	✗	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.312404	-2.12%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.2324	✗	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.320276	-2.45%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.2061	✗	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.330342	-2.83%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.2334	✗	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.321548	-3.07%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.2183	✗	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.318327	-2.81%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.2304	✗	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.317909	-2.37%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.2108	✗	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.308874	-2.13%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.2065	✗	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.314679	-2.33%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.2009	✗	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.323564	-2.59%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1453	✗	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.319254	-2.55%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.1344	✗	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.312804	-2.81%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1558	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.311344	-3.07%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.1148	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.326735	-3.20%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0894	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.342334	-2.82%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.0937	✗	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.352303	-2.77%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0312	✗	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.371621	-3.10%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0167	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.374137	-2.91%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0133	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.341025	-3.24%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0273	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.340718	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.413967	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.424063	-3.18%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.1272	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.423178	-3.81%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.2113	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.437729	-3.28%	0.274	-39.46%	0.2847	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.42663	-3.29%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.2768	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.429477	-3.14%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.2900	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.438063	-2.94%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2143	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.437692	-3.36%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2177	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.417592	-3.65%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.2243	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.408132	-3.79%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.2307	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.400254	-3.94%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.1846	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.405928	-4.03%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2474	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.398011	-4.21%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.2374	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.403267	-4.03%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.2200	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.391793	-4.08%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.1934	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.417219	-4.11%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.2197	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.421927	-4.55%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2401	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.395444	-5.98%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.1728	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.427847	-5.21%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.2166	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.438517	-5.11%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2264	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.428291	-5.47%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.1979	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.444771	-5.69%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2239	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.43968	-5.79%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.2113	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.430376	-6.07%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1553	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.433589	-5.64%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1610	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.465284	-5.97%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.2266	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.43096	-5.61%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.1094	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.427055	-5.80%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.0918	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.429906	-5.64%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1473	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.426834	-5.63%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.1775	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.422063	-6.02%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.0914	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.420625	-6.69%	0.438	-2.83%	0.0792	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.399419	-7.09%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0124	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.395203	-7.33%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0104	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.394061	-7.97%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0169	✓	1.18
2025-09-04	oos	0.425515	0.396631	-6.79%	0.443395	+4.20%	0.0077	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.