ARCSOL

? · · gru_s7

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

40.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4017

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0694

actual +0.1748

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.047901	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.04883	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.042059	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.039583	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.038554	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.034119	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.037227	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.035341	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.029098	-7.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.056343	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.059453	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.057728	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.059005	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.05679	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.059746	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.067851	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.066243	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.069058	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.0666	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.06584	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.067326	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.065286	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.06748	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.064578	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.067642	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.0655	-7.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.066544	-7.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.068526	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.07374	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.074006	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.074287	-4.96%	0.050705	-35.13%	0.3833	✓	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.068567	-6.91%	0.05179	-29.69%	0.2778	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.058754	-7.83%	0.04402	-30.94%	0.2879	✓	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.066095	-6.87%	0.041255	-41.87%	0.4699	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.065433	-6.87%	0.040095	-42.93%	0.4818	✓	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.069461	-6.41%	0.035465	-52.22%	0.6632	✓	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.074311	-6.34%	0.03882	-51.07%	0.6415	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.069094	-5.42%	0.036985	-49.37%	0.6211	✓	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.065747	-5.24%	0.031545	-54.53%	0.7266	✓	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.06964	-4.80%	0.05973	-18.35%	0.1465	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.070693	-4.35%	0.06296	-14.82%	0.1022	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.070519	-4.12%	0.061445	-16.46%	0.1243	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.069589	-3.32%	0.062975	-12.50%	0.0915	✓	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.070322	-3.03%	0.060855	-16.09%	0.1382	✓	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.072777	-2.65%	0.06405	-14.33%	0.1190	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.07022	-2.40%	0.071945	-0.01%	0.0331	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.07261	-1.90%	0.070345	-4.96%	0.0218	✓	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.073363	-1.23%	0.073015	-1.70%	0.0052	✓	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.071904	+0.02%	0.071135	-1.05%	0.0064	✗	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072118	-0.85%	0.070635	-2.89%	0.0034	✓	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.064555	-0.41%	0.07224	+11.45%	0.1296	✗	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.069449	+0.08%	0.07045	+1.53%	0.0306	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.067517	-0.14%	0.07265	+7.45%	0.0814	✗	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.07085	+0.40%	0.06992	-0.92%	0.0036	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.07024	+0.50%	0.07275	+4.09%	0.0470	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.068066	+1.85%	0.07069	+5.78%	0.0432	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.07227	+1.57%	0.07175	+0.84%	0.0018	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.07332	+1.59%	0.07354	+1.90%	0.0115	✓	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.071794	+1.86%	0.07853	+11.42%	0.0969	✓	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.070167	+1.25%	0.078215	+12.86%	0.1200	✓	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.0676	+1.12%	0.07816	+16.92%	0.1588	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.069326	+1.80%	0.073655	+8.16%	0.0651	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.068031	-1.92%	0.063745	-8.10%	0.0542	✓	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.066043	-4.42%	0.070975	+2.71%	0.0892	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.064772	-6.61%	0.07026	+1.30%	0.1014	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.069079	-6.67%	0.07422	+0.27%	0.0893	✗	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.066924	-6.89%	0.07934	+10.38%	0.1953	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.066985	-6.80%	0.07305	+1.64%	0.1152	✗	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.071413	-7.28%	0.06938	-9.92%	0.0001	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.070353	-7.06%	0.07315	-3.37%	0.0550	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.067069	-6.76%	0.07391	+2.75%	0.1452	✗	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.061963	-6.00%	0.07355	+11.57%	0.2257	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.060775	-5.89%	0.071975	+11.45%	0.2231	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.062421	-5.71%	0.07252	+9.55%	0.2064	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.059701	-5.86%	0.07476	+17.88%	0.2844	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.04998	-4.55%	0.07195	+37.41%	0.4447	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.052081	-4.75%	0.074015	+35.36%	0.4304	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.049019	-4.45%	0.07428	+44.80%	0.4894	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.05047	-4.77%	0.07189	+35.64%	0.4314	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.048435	-4.84%	0.07274	+42.91%	0.4749	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.048775	-4.90%	0.06482	+26.38%	0.3466	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.049309	-4.90%	0.06939	+33.83%	0.4145	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.050798	-4.94%	0.06761	+26.52%	0.3547	✗	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.050199	-4.85%	0.07057	+33.76%	0.4029	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.051173	-4.71%	0.06989	+30.15%	0.3726	✗	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.049029	-4.82%	0.06683	+29.74%	0.3812	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.051412	-4.86%	0.07115	+31.66%	0.3956	✗	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.0531	-5.06%	0.07217	+29.04%	0.3605	✗	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.057075	-4.91%	0.07048	+17.43%	0.2775	✗	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.059306	-4.70%	0.0693	+11.36%	0.2137	✗	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.058502	-4.80%	0.06685	+8.79%	0.1826	✗	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.061522	-4.65%	0.0681	+5.55%	0.1536	✗	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.063583	-4.53%	0.06936	+4.14%	0.1158	✗	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.066956	-4.51%	0.0691	-1.45%	0.0491	✗	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.067508	-4.50%	0.06936	-1.88%	0.0271	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.067698	-4.56%	0.07402	+4.36%	0.0880	✗	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.070033	-4.25%	0.07188	-1.72%	0.0226	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.071725	-4.05%	0.07187	-3.85%	0.0003	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.072755	-4.00%	0.07702	+1.62%	0.0505	✗	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.077349	-3.81%	0.0757	-5.86%	0.0272	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.071323	-3.86%	0.07193	-3.05%	0.0152	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.074984	-4.04%	0.06592	-15.64%	0.1302	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.07556	-4.10%	0.06458	-18.04%	0.1561	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.076119	-4.21%	0.0662	-16.69%	0.1352	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.075837	-4.13%	0.06342	-19.82%	0.1681	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.077942	-3.95%	0.05236	-35.48%	0.3818	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.077588	-4.15%	0.05468	-32.45%	0.3451	✓	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.078828	-4.29%	0.0513	-37.71%	0.4264	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.077834	-4.37%	0.053	-34.88%	0.3822	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.074556	-4.51%	0.0509	-34.81%	0.3799	✓	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.075589	-4.39%	0.05129	-35.13%	0.3829	✓	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.079347	-4.10%	0.05185	-37.33%	0.4194	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.079941	-4.01%	0.05344	-35.83%	0.3893	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.080591	-3.94%	0.05276	-37.12%	0.3978	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.080173	-4.06%	0.0537	-35.74%	0.3850	✓	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.084496	-4.12%	0.05151	-41.55%	0.4808	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.080713	-4.08%	0.05404	-35.78%	0.3895	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.080729	-4.18%	0.05593	-33.61%	0.3510	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.080175	-4.23%	0.06002	-28.31%	0.2758	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.078944	-4.46%	0.06223	-24.69%	0.2241	✓	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.078623	-4.91%	0.06145	-25.68%	0.2378	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.079284	-5.26%	0.06452	-22.91%	0.1976	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.075905	-5.32%	0.0666	-16.93%	0.1171	✓	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.075432	-5.64%	0.07012	-12.28%	0.0687	✓	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.07447	-5.58%	0.07069	-10.37%	0.0470	✓	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.077535	-5.41%	0.07093	-13.47%	0.0811	✓	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.079679	-5.86%	0.07314	-13.59%	0.0880	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.0691	-6.36%	0.07475	+1.30%	0.0714	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.072411	-6.28%	0.07579	-1.90%	0.0370	✓	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.076972	-6.09%	0.08041	-1.89%	0.0405	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.084002	-6.05%	0.07419	-17.02%	0.1345	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.083013	-6.55%	0.07814	-12.03%	0.0595	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.078669	-5.77%	0.07879	-5.63%	0.0026	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.079216	-5.66%	0.07946	-5.37%	0.0167	✓	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.078358	-5.72%	0.0791	-4.82%	0.0169	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.078794	-6.14%	0.08115	-3.34%	0.0251	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.078328	-6.27%	0.08095	-3.14%	0.0330	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.077885	-5.91%	0.08236	-0.51%	0.0646	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.076206	-6.10%	0.08139	+0.28%	0.0719	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.070774	-5.94%	0.07808	+3.77%	0.0977	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.069763	-5.97%	0.07906	+6.56%	0.1233	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.066448	-6.28%	0.08274	+16.70%	0.2200	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.070895	-7.47%	0.08328	+8.69%	0.1533	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.067999	-7.40%	0.0839	+14.26%	0.2249	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.072112	-7.96%	0.08357	+6.66%	0.2078	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.068689	-7.97%	0.08813	+18.07%	0.2673	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.066138	-7.80%	0.08415	+17.31%	0.2503	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.059234	-7.39%	0.08425	+31.72%	0.3696	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.059384	-7.69%	0.08372	+30.14%	0.3970	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.059863	-7.93%	0.08263	+27.08%	0.1740	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.05888	-8.03%	0.08268	+29.15%	0.2032	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.059242	-8.14%	0.08369	+29.77%	0.2305	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.058922	-7.95%	0.08017	+25.25%	0.1893	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.058787	-8.29%	0.07994	+24.71%	0.1781	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.059821	-8.32%	0.07887	+20.87%	0.1375	✗	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.059323	-8.20%	0.08197	+26.85%	0.1833	✗	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.060484	-8.20%	0.08464	+28.46%	0.2115	✗	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.062147	-8.19%	0.07379	+9.01%	0.0583	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.056805	-8.05%	0.07726	+25.06%	0.1982	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.067605	-8.34%	0.08196	+11.12%	0.0613	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.055348	-8.15%	0.08941	+48.37%	0.3422	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.058711	-8.03%	0.08883	+39.14%	0.3085	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.06159	-8.27%	0.08349	+24.35%	0.1773	✗	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.058596	-8.53%	0.08397	+31.08%	0.2256	✗	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.057379	-8.73%	0.08311	+32.19%	0.2228	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.062807	-8.42%	0.08395	+22.41%	0.1752	✗	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.063751	-8.35%	0.08357	+20.14%	0.1755	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.061688	-8.49%	0.08278	+22.80%	0.2165	✗	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.063617	-8.37%	0.08116	+16.89%	0.2687	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.064183	-8.36%	0.07524	+7.42%	0.1406	✗	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.060839	-8.61%	0.07419	+11.45%	0.1904	✗	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.062802	-8.24%	0.0709	+3.59%	0.0841	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.066081	-7.84%	0.07662	+6.86%	0.1286	✗	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.069809	-7.18%	0.07343	-2.37%	0.0394	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.069686	-6.90%	0.07835	+4.68%	0.1111	✗	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.070127	-6.71%	0.07464	-0.71%	0.0568	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.06241	-6.54%	0.07173	+7.41%	0.1360	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.073958	-6.41%	0.06396	-19.06%	0.1495	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.064243	-6.30%	0.06433	-6.17%	0.0016	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.062477	-6.34%	0.06502	-2.53%	0.0394	✓	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.060391	-6.49%	0.06402	-0.87%	0.0581	✓	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.06213	-6.61%	0.06449	-3.07%	0.0363	✓	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.060641	-6.94%	0.06401	-1.76%	0.0524	✓	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.061952	-7.01%	0.0641	-3.78%	0.0348	✓	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.06153	-7.47%	0.06525	-1.88%	0.0601	✓	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.060147	-7.99%	0.06462	-1.15%	0.0784	✓	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.063227	-7.54%	0.06589	-3.64%	0.0445	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.064804	-6.85%	0.06769	-2.70%	0.0445	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.067802	-6.81%	0.06178	-15.09%	0.0850	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.064846	-6.82%	0.07376	+5.99%	0.1405	✗	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.065434	-6.76%	0.06026	-14.14%	0.0641	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.067482	-6.42%	0.06384	-11.47%	0.0404	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.069258	-7.11%	0.06714	-9.95%	0.0245	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.071452	-6.55%	0.06406	-16.22%	0.1023	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.066532	-6.29%	0.06287	-11.45%	0.0500	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.066011	-6.95%	0.06858	-3.33%	0.0445	✓	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.056155	-6.35%	0.06956	+16.01%	0.2240	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.054932	-6.15%	0.06741	+15.17%	0.2133	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.053053	-6.81%	0.06943	+21.96%	0.2809	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.049991	-6.65%	0.07004	+30.79%	0.3487	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.051231	-6.90%	0.06657	+20.97%	0.2722	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.050897	-6.87%	0.06844	+25.23%	0.3057	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.048877	-6.60%	0.0717	+37.02%	0.3922	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.051113	-6.71%	0.07521	+37.27%	0.3964	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.050231	-6.53%	0.07485	+39.28%	0.4073	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.047571	-6.08%	0.07517	+48.41%	0.4692	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.047429	-5.84%	0.06678	+32.58%	0.3576	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.048617	-5.96%	0.07902	+52.84%	0.5012	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.045032	-5.10%	0.06856	+44.49%	0.4389	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.040792	-4.40%	0.06671	+56.34%	0.4997	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.042575	-4.52%	0.06458	+44.83%	0.4237	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.044373	-4.88%	0.06653	+42.62%	0.4136	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.045077	-5.04%	0.06516	+37.27%	0.3765	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.045634	-5.19%	0.06662	+38.42%	0.3856	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.047049	-5.33%	0.0665	+33.80%	0.3524	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.045901	-5.28%	0.06537	+34.89%	0.3564	✗	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.042306	-5.21%	0.06838	+53.22%	0.4856	✗	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.038582	-5.48%	0.06957	+70.43%	0.5918	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.03399	-6.59%	0.07276	+99.95%	0.7609	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.040256	-6.37%	0.06959	+61.86%	0.5474	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.04374	-6.04%	0.07018	+50.76%	0.4705	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.045704	-5.98%	0.07211	+48.34%	0.4519	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.040013	-5.87%	0.07456	+75.39%	0.6226	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.041323	-5.98%	0.07646	+73.97%	0.6130	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.039408	-6.13%	0.071	+69.13%	0.5859	✗	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.039849	-6.61%	0.07094	+66.25%	0.5750	✗	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.036067	-6.56%	0.05996	+55.34%	0.5067	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.032652	-6.23%	0.05853	+68.09%	0.5859	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.033479	-7.29%	0.05693	+57.66%	0.5317	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.035372	-8.05%	0.05355	+39.20%	0.4153	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.033363	-10.27%	0.05503	+48.01%	0.4989	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.035065	-11.21%	0.05465	+38.39%	0.4402	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.033098	-10.21%	0.05233	+41.97%	0.4561	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.046193	-10.01%	0.05479	+6.74%	0.1695	✗	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.037755	-9.81%	0.05374	+28.38%	0.3605	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.024124	-14.30%	0.05065	+79.93%	0.7417	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.02646	-14.04%	0.05037	+63.65%	0.6438	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.025795	-15.62%	0.0517	+69.12%	0.6952	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.052155	-9.91%	0.04745	-18.03%	0.0955	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.093914	-9.02%	0.04267	-58.66%	0.8223	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.083402	-8.11%	0.04459	-50.87%	0.6712	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.082455	-8.86%	0.04665	-48.44%	0.5890	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.067866	-7.69%	0.04747	-35.43%	0.3794	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.06741	-7.88%	0.04813	-34.23%	0.3361	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.070457	-8.00%	0.0497	-35.10%	0.3607	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.071191	-8.46%	0.04846	-37.69%	0.4080	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.070743	-8.29%	0.04463	-42.14%	0.4764	✓	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.072495	-8.60%	0.04082	-48.54%	0.5895	✓	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.070314	-8.56%	0.03639	-52.68%	0.6915	✓	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.072257	-9.03%	0.042995	-45.87%	0.5511	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.074098	-10.09%	0.04655	-43.51%	0.4911	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.068356	-9.04%	0.04861	-35.32%	0.3712	✓	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.061427	-7.95%	0.04251	-36.30%	0.3932	✓	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.064816	-8.97%	0.04395	-38.27%	0.3987	✓	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.058714	-8.16%	0.04198	-34.33%	0.3361	✓	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.067668	-10.37%	0.04267	-43.48%	0.4592	✓	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.057035	-7.65%	0.0386	-37.50%	0.3862	✓	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.070728	-11.23%	0.03482	-56.30%	0.6880	✓	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.061954	-9.15%	0.03611	-47.05%	0.5462	✓	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.05779	-8.81%	0.03847	-39.29%	0.3789	✓	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.0627	-10.90%	0.03718	-47.16%	0.4961	✓	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.044157	-5.16%	0.03949	-15.18%	0.0501	✓	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.040168	-3.74%	0.03686	-11.67%	0.0135	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.041244	-4.31%	0.05133	+19.10%	0.2765	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.03991	-5.90%	0.04186	-1.30%	0.1716	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.04484	-6.45%	0.02815	-41.27%	0.3468	✓	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.049985	-8.39%	0.03078	-43.59%	0.3568	✓	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.047066	-8.75%	0.03057	-40.73%	0.3131	✓	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.045352	-9.13%	0.05789	+15.99%	0.3614	✗	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.045785	-9.10%	0.10322	+104.92%	0.9588	✗	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.052292	-9.48%	0.09076	+57.11%	0.6756	✗	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.054756	-9.45%	0.09047	+49.61%	0.5894	✗	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.056743	-9.26%	0.07352	+17.58%	0.3549	✗	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.063894	-8.85%	0.07318	+4.39%	0.2306	✗	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.073059	-10.30%	0.07658	-5.98%	0.1781	✗	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.060927	-9.00%	0.07777	+16.16%	0.4884	✗	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.049968	-8.77%	0.07714	+40.84%	0.6971	✗	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.04456	-9.21%	0.07932	+61.61%	0.8430	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.047216	-8.59%	0.0769	+48.89%	0.7521	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.050201	-8.09%	0.07943	+45.42%	0.7220	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.052871	-7.50%	0.08241	+44.17%	0.7239	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.060988	-9.34%	0.07515	+11.71%	0.5547	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.045095	-7.93%	0.06673	+36.24%	0.5823	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.044901	-8.20%	0.0712	+45.57%	0.6438	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.040414	-8.15%	0.06393	+45.30%	0.6227	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.039205	-8.29%	0.0755	+76.61%	0.8155	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.03417	-8.42%	0.06176	+65.53%	0.7630	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.029554	-9.09%	0.07968	+145.09%	1.4086	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.03231	-8.29%	0.06819	+93.56%	1.3872	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.0334	-8.06%	0.06337	+74.43%	1.0527	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.032996	-8.37%	0.07037	+95.42%	1.0805	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.032712	-8.47%	0.04656	+30.27%	0.5937	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.030721	-8.95%	0.04173	+23.68%	0.5683	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.032125	-8.63%	0.0431	+22.58%	0.4985	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.032354	-8.45%	0.04241	+20.01%	0.3378	✗	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.031836	-8.70%	0.04793	+37.45%	0.4870	✗	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.034081	-7.96%	0.05456	+47.34%	0.4307	✗	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.037248	-7.51%	0.05158	+28.09%	0.3017	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.042123	-7.50%	0.04991	+9.60%	0.1612	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.040243	-7.57%	0.05037	+15.69%	0.2384	✗	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.042577	-7.78%	0.05777	+25.12%	0.2694	✗	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.038155	-7.55%	0.06047	+46.52%	0.4256	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.03709	-7.51%	0.06253	+55.94%	0.4874	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.041279	-7.69%	0.0701	+56.75%	0.5159	✗	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.040949	-7.71%	0.08145	+83.57%	0.6933	✗	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.041533	-7.87%	0.06695	+48.51%	0.4045	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.038928	-7.97%	0.05477	+29.48%	0.2467	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.036816	-8.00%	0.04908	+22.64%	0.1210	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.033286	-7.54%	0.05165	+43.47%	0.2767	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.04379	-9.54%	0.05462	+12.83%	0.0962	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.036639	-8.45%	0.05716	+42.83%	0.2822	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.03005	-7.02%	0.06727	+108.14%	0.6880	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.027881	-7.34%	0.04898	+62.78%	0.5476	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.029166	-7.59%	0.04891	+54.97%	0.5068	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.029878	-8.27%	0.044	+35.09%	0.4238	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.030967	-8.22%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.3487	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.034134	-7.99%	0.03731	+0.57%	0.1172	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.036003	-8.06%	0.03251	-16.98%	0.1129	✓	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.035853	-8.21%	0.03523	-9.81%	0.0744	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.036758	-8.10%	0.03633	-9.18%	0.0925	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.036991	-8.19%	0.03601	-10.62%	0.0651	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.037219	-8.33%	0.03574	-11.97%	0.0139	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.040523	-8.19%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.1218	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.040512	-8.30%	0.03516	-20.42%	0.0946	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.038655	-8.27%	0.03534	-16.14%	0.1140	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.045971	-9.38%	0.03487	-31.26%	0.2405	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.037352	-8.14%	0.03703	-8.93%	0.0587	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.041039	-9.31%	0.04027	-11.01%	0.0359	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.035034	-8.24%	0.04554	+19.28%	0.3264	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.03283	-8.65%	0.04354	+21.15%	0.3414	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.033126	-9.02%	0.04617	+26.81%	0.3351	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.031388	-8.78%	0.04127	+19.94%	0.2869	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.025128	-7.58%	0.0401	+47.48%	0.4554	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.033751	-9.39%	0.04472	+20.05%	0.1906	✗	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.02904	-8.01%	0.04437	+40.54%	0.3394	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.026333	-7.21%	0.04508	+58.84%	0.4947	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.028282	-8.18%	0.0423	+37.34%	0.4843	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.029816	-8.68%	0.04002	+22.57%	0.4765	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.027524	-8.50%	0.036	+19.68%	0.4120	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.027731	-8.69%	0.04841	+59.40%	0.7090	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.026819	-9.12%	0.04002	+35.62%	0.6216	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.028167	-9.11%	0.03232	+4.29%	0.2925	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.028825	-10.15%	0.03009	-6.20%	0.2742	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.027106	-9.62%	0.03156	+5.24%	0.4368	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.026539	-9.70%	0.03257	+10.82%	0.4638	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.025435	-9.68%	0.03374	+19.82%	0.6357	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.026855	-10.96%	0.0371	+23.01%	0.6334	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.026214	-10.71%	0.03916	+33.38%	0.7127	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.022717	-9.39%	0.03906	+55.80%	0.8915	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.020654	-8.57%	0.04	+77.07%	0.9885	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.023772	-10.02%	0.04029	+52.50%	0.9068	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.022832	-10.71%	0.0406	+58.78%	0.8201	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.021218	-10.36%	0.04414	+86.48%	1.1106	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.017628	-8.14%	0.04418	+130.22%	1.5504	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.016179	-7.86%	0.04214	+139.98%	1.7592	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.014923	-7.77%	0.05073	+213.54%	1.8530	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012193	-6.21%	0.04066	+212.77%	1.7673	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012278	-6.20%	0.04525	+245.68%	1.9174	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.012772	-6.30%	0.03818	+180.12%	1.7917	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.01357	-6.61%	0.03594	+147.35%	1.7333	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.013619	-6.59%	0.03641	+149.73%	1.8723	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.014438	-7.68%	0.03441	+120.01%	1.6830	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012378	-5.73%	0.02719	+107.08%	1.6388	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.0127	-5.93%	0.03725	+175.93%	1.9884	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011432	-4.49%	0.03157	+163.74%	1.8211	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012293	-5.51%	0.02838	+118.14%	1.6071	✗	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.012551	-5.92%	0.0308	+130.88%	1.5627	✗	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.012654	-5.56%	0.03265	+143.66%	1.4951	✗	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.012776	-5.37%	0.03008	+122.81%	1.3915	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011163	-3.35%	0.03037	+162.94%	1.4265	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011062	-3.47%	0.02951	+157.50%	1.4184	✗	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.011629	-4.36%	0.03099	+154.85%	1.5434	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.011852	-5.33%	0.03208	+156.23%	1.4482	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.012556	-6.51%	0.02999	+123.31%	1.3217	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.011373	-7.61%	0.02939	+138.75%	1.3404	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011109	-7.12%	0.02816	+135.45%	1.0937	✗	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.0103	-10.20%	0.03016	+162.95%	1.3612	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.020119	-5.63%	0.02936	+37.71%	0.7905	✗	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.021188	-5.33%	0.02507	+12.02%	0.5698	✗	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.018526	-6.25%	0.02259	+14.32%	0.6295	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.0204	-5.34%	0.02642	+22.60%	0.7077	✗	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.019946	-5.60%	0.02557	+21.01%	0.7298	✗	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.021295	-5.48%	0.02367	+5.06%	0.4522	✗	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022102	-5.43%	0.01919	-17.89%	0.1105	✗	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.021881	-5.77%	0.01756	-24.38%	0.0093	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.019764	-6.15%	0.01618	-23.17%	0.0033	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.019312	-6.43%	0.013	-37.02%	0.2613	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.018568	-6.69%	0.01309	-34.22%	0.2405	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.019125	-6.48%	0.01363	-33.35%	0.3575	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019103	-6.22%	0.01453	-28.67%	0.3924	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.019712	-6.27%	0.01458	-30.67%	0.4331	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019023	-6.43%	0.01564	-23.07%	0.2683	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.016504	-7.95%	0.01313	-26.77%	0.1537	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.015361	-8.84%	0.0135	-19.88%	0.0668	✓	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.015575	-9.08%	0.01197	-30.12%	0.0980	✓	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.017969	-7.85%	0.01301	-33.28%	0.1075	✓	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.018666	-7.64%	0.01334	-33.99%	0.1728	✓	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.018329	-7.80%	0.0134	-32.60%	0.0906	✓	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.020613	-7.02%	0.0135	-39.11%	0.1110	✓	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.021623	-7.04%	0.01155	-50.34%	0.3063	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.