ARCSOL

? · · gru_s7

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,989

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

49.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0676

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0048

actual +0.0050

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06386	0.062991	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-21	oos	0.06335	0.062066	-2.03%	0.06386	+0.81%	0.0288	✗	-0.11
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.051006	-1.51%	0.06335	+22.32%	0.2186	✗	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.043647	-0.85%	0.05179	+17.65%	0.1736	✗	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.040996	-0.63%	0.04402	+6.70%	0.0708	✗	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.039928	-0.42%	0.041255	+2.89%	0.0343	✗	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.035502	+0.10%	0.040095	+13.06%	0.1214	✓	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.038831	+0.03%	0.035465	-8.64%	0.0924	✗	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.037081	+0.26%	0.03882	+4.96%	0.0474	✓	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.031613	+0.22%	0.036985	+17.25%	0.1546	✓	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.059651	-0.13%	0.031545	-47.19%	0.6393	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.062866	-0.15%	0.05973	-5.13%	0.0468	✓	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.061386	-0.10%	0.06296	+2.47%	0.0234	✗	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.062886	-0.14%	0.061445	-2.43%	0.0241	✓	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.06081	-0.07%	0.062975	+3.48%	0.0328	✗	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.064007	-0.07%	0.060855	-4.99%	0.0470	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.071855	-0.12%	0.06405	-10.97%	0.1128	✓	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.070293	-0.07%	0.071945	+2.27%	0.0234	✗	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.072939	-0.10%	0.070345	-3.66%	0.0355	✓	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.071017	-0.17%	0.073015	+2.64%	0.0264	✗	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.0705	-0.19%	0.071135	+0.71%	0.0088	✗	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.072106	-0.19%	0.070635	-2.22%	0.0203	✓	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.070294	-0.22%	0.07224	+2.54%	0.0267	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.072446	-0.28%	0.07045	-3.03%	0.0279	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.069757	-0.23%	0.07265	+3.90%	0.0406	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.072572	-0.24%	0.06992	-3.89%	0.0371	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.070554	-0.19%	0.07275	+2.91%	0.0307	✗	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.071592	-0.22%	0.07069	-1.48%	0.0126	✓	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.073369	-0.23%	0.07175	-2.43%	0.0224	✓	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.078265	-0.34%	0.07354	-6.35%	0.0623	✓	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.078027	-0.24%	0.07853	+0.40%	0.0058	✗	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.077957	-0.26%	0.078215	+0.07%	0.0032	✗	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.073362	-0.40%	0.07816	+6.12%	0.0718	✗	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.063701	-0.07%	0.073655	+15.55%	0.1451	✗	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.070845	-0.18%	0.063745	-10.19%	0.1052	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.070121	-0.20%	0.070975	+1.02%	0.0193	✗	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.074043	-0.24%	0.07026	-5.34%	0.0521	✓	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.079012	-0.41%	0.07422	-6.45%	0.0619	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.072926	-0.17%	0.07934	+8.61%	0.0813	✗	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.069327	-0.08%	0.07305	+5.29%	0.0541	✗	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.073073	-0.11%	0.06938	-5.15%	0.0526	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.073846	-0.09%	0.07315	-1.03%	0.0093	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.073497	-0.07%	0.07391	+0.49%	0.0071	✗	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.071997	+0.03%	0.07355	+2.19%	0.0178	✓	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.072552	+0.04%	0.071975	-0.75%	0.0083	✗	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.074761	+0.00%	0.07252	-3.00%	0.0318	✗	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.072046	+0.13%	0.07476	+3.91%	0.0348	✓	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.074096	+0.11%	0.07195	-2.79%	0.0285	✗	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.074384	+0.14%	0.074015	-0.36%	0.0047	✗	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.072108	+0.30%	0.07428	+3.32%	0.0276	✓	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072832	+0.13%	0.07189	-1.17%	0.0033	✗	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.065036	+0.33%	0.07274	+12.22%	0.1117	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.069575	+0.27%	0.06482	-6.59%	0.0747	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.067787	+0.26%	0.06939	+2.63%	0.0246	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.070724	+0.22%	0.06761	-4.19%	0.0461	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.070036	+0.21%	0.07057	+0.97%	0.0083	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.067083	+0.38%	0.06989	+4.58%	0.0377	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.071325	+0.25%	0.06683	-6.07%	0.0637	✗	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.072311	+0.20%	0.07115	-1.41%	0.0154	✗	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.070668	+0.27%	0.07217	+2.40%	0.0204	✓	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.069482	+0.26%	0.07048	+1.70%	0.0160	✓	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.067061	+0.32%	0.0693	+3.66%	0.0339	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.06835	+0.37%	0.06685	-1.84%	0.0242	✗	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.06944	+0.12%	0.0681	-1.82%	0.0123	✗	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.06905	-0.07%	0.06936	+0.38%	0.0103	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.069156	-0.29%	0.0691	-0.37%	0.0075	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.073723	-0.40%	0.06936	-6.30%	0.0607	✓	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.071581	-0.42%	0.07402	+2.98%	0.0370	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.071549	-0.45%	0.07188	+0.01%	0.0042	✓	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.076529	-0.64%	0.07187	-6.69%	0.0627	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.075142	-0.74%	0.07702	+1.74%	0.0241	✗	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.071328	-0.84%	0.0757	+5.24%	0.0595	✗	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.065512	-0.62%	0.07193	+9.12%	0.0929	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.064162	-0.65%	0.06592	+2.07%	0.0254	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.065556	-0.97%	0.06458	-2.45%	0.0193	✓	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.062463	-1.51%	0.0662	+4.38%	0.0578	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.052203	-0.30%	0.06342	+21.12%	0.1947	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.054398	-0.52%	0.05236	-4.24%	0.0347	✓	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.051128	-0.34%	0.05468	+6.59%	0.0653	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.052788	-0.40%	0.0513	-3.21%	0.0258	✓	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.050722	-0.35%	0.053	+4.13%	0.0471	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.05115	-0.27%	0.0509	-0.76%	0.0051	✓	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.05169	-0.31%	0.05129	-1.08%	0.0040	✓	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.053254	-0.35%	0.05185	-2.98%	0.0270	✓	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.052676	-0.16%	0.05344	+1.29%	0.0046	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.053604	-0.18%	0.05276	-1.75%	0.0119	✓	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.051509	-0.00%	0.0537	+4.25%	0.0419	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.054027	-0.02%	0.05151	-4.68%	0.0469	✓	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055977	+0.08%	0.05404	-3.38%	0.0427	✗	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.060014	-0.01%	0.05593	-6.81%	0.0653	✓	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.062204	-0.04%	0.06002	-3.55%	0.0348	✓	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.061509	+0.10%	0.06223	+1.27%	0.0073	✓	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.064599	+0.12%	0.06145	-4.76%	0.0548	✗	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.066685	+0.13%	0.06452	-3.12%	0.0350	✗	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.070124	+0.01%	0.0666	-5.02%	0.0458	✗	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.07068	-0.01%	0.07012	-0.81%	0.0056	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.070937	+0.01%	0.07069	-0.34%	0.0040	✗	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.073105	-0.05%	0.07093	-3.02%	0.0273	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.0747	-0.07%	0.07314	-2.15%	0.0207	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.075753	-0.05%	0.07475	-1.37%	0.0168	✓	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.080281	-0.16%	0.07579	-5.75%	0.0585	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.074114	-0.10%	0.08041	+8.38%	0.0974	✗	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.078071	-0.09%	0.07419	-5.06%	0.0607	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.07872	-0.09%	0.07814	-0.82%	0.0076	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.079397	-0.08%	0.07879	-0.84%	0.0099	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.079018	-0.10%	0.07946	+0.46%	0.0115	✗	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.081003	-0.18%	0.0791	-2.53%	0.0181	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.080842	-0.13%	0.08115	+0.25%	0.0018	✓	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.082249	-0.13%	0.08095	-1.71%	0.0195	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.081281	-0.13%	0.08236	+1.19%	0.0151	✗	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.078019	-0.08%	0.08139	+4.24%	0.0447	✗	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.078988	-0.09%	0.07808	-1.24%	0.0087	✓	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.082588	-0.18%	0.07906	-4.45%	0.0388	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.083065	-0.26%	0.08274	-0.65%	0.0033	✗	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.083642	-0.31%	0.08328	-0.74%	0.0019	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.083364	-0.25%	0.0839	+0.39%	0.0009	✓	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.087755	-0.43%	0.08357	-5.17%	0.0466	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.083865	-0.34%	0.08813	+4.73%	0.0481	✗	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.083927	-0.38%	0.08415	-0.12%	0.0024	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.083385	-0.40%	0.08425	+0.63%	0.0113	✗	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.082333	-0.36%	0.08372	+1.32%	0.0108	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.082405	-0.33%	0.08263	-0.06%	0.0034	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.083441	-0.30%	0.08268	-1.21%	0.0145	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.079972	-0.25%	0.08369	+4.39%	0.0485	✗	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.07975	-0.24%	0.08017	+0.29%	0.0009	✓	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.078695	-0.22%	0.07994	+1.36%	0.0188	✗	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.081712	-0.31%	0.07887	-3.78%	0.0329	✓	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.084301	-0.40%	0.08197	-3.15%	0.0348	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.073704	-0.12%	0.08464	+14.70%	0.1338	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.077158	-0.13%	0.07379	-4.49%	0.0482	✓	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.081797	-0.20%	0.07726	-5.73%	0.0546	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.089065	-0.39%	0.08196	-8.33%	0.0772	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.088191	-0.72%	0.08941	+0.65%	0.0183	✗	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.083253	-0.28%	0.08883	+6.40%	0.0647	✗	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.083644	-0.39%	0.08349	-0.57%	0.0089	✗	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.082797	-0.38%	0.08397	+1.03%	0.0129	✗	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.083603	-0.41%	0.08311	-1.00%	0.0131	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.083207	-0.43%	0.08395	+0.45%	0.0079	✗	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.082376	-0.49%	0.08357	+0.95%	0.0212	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.080625	-0.66%	0.08278	+2.00%	0.0259	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.074916	-0.43%	0.08116	+7.87%	0.0778	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.073839	-0.47%	0.07524	+1.42%	0.0185	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.070622	-0.39%	0.07419	+4.64%	0.0496	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.076209	-0.54%	0.0709	-7.47%	0.0752	✓	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.07312	-0.42%	0.07662	+4.34%	0.0488	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.077772	-0.74%	0.07343	-6.28%	0.0567	✓	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.074048	-0.79%	0.07835	+4.97%	0.0560	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.071229	-0.70%	0.07464	+4.06%	0.0469	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.063711	-0.39%	0.07173	+12.15%	0.1194	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.064079	-0.39%	0.06396	-0.58%	0.0026	✓	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.064764	-0.39%	0.06433	-1.06%	0.0184	✓	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.063781	-0.37%	0.06502	+1.56%	0.0216	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.064222	-0.42%	0.06402	-0.73%	0.0005	✓	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.063757	-0.39%	0.06449	+0.75%	0.0221	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.063855	-0.38%	0.06401	-0.14%	0.0164	✓	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.064967	-0.43%	0.0641	-1.76%	0.0128	✓	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.064356	-0.41%	0.06525	+0.97%	0.0202	✗	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.065613	-0.42%	0.06462	-1.93%	0.0169	✓	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.067326	-0.54%	0.06589	-2.66%	0.0257	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.061564	-0.35%	0.06769	+9.57%	0.0889	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.073069	-0.94%	0.06178	-16.24%	0.1764	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.060152	-0.18%	0.07376	+22.40%	0.1888	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.063623	-0.34%	0.06026	-5.61%	0.0436	✓	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.066888	-0.38%	0.06384	-4.92%	0.0547	✓	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.063908	-0.24%	0.06714	+4.81%	0.0421	✗	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.062758	-0.18%	0.06406	+1.89%	0.0176	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.068333	-0.36%	0.06287	-8.33%	0.0745	✓	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.069286	-0.39%	0.06858	-1.41%	0.0079	✓	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.067168	-0.36%	0.06956	+3.19%	0.0356	✗	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.069184	-0.35%	0.06741	-2.91%	0.0244	✓	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.069763	-0.40%	0.06943	-0.87%	0.0043	✓	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.066324	-0.37%	0.07004	+5.21%	0.0550	✗	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.068157	-0.41%	0.06657	-2.73%	0.0199	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.071382	-0.44%	0.06844	-4.55%	0.0424	✓	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.074856	-0.47%	0.0717	-4.67%	0.0420	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.074462	-0.52%	0.07521	+0.48%	0.0145	✗	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.074776	-0.52%	0.07485	-0.43%	0.0023	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.066525	-0.38%	0.07517	+12.56%	0.1215	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.078371	-0.82%	0.06678	-15.49%	0.1615	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.068305	-0.37%	0.07902	+15.26%	0.1444	✗	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.066487	-0.33%	0.06856	+2.77%	0.0318	✗	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.064364	-0.33%	0.06671	+3.30%	0.0359	✗	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.066296	-0.35%	0.06458	-2.93%	0.0267	✓	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.064921	-0.37%	0.06653	+2.10%	0.0245	✗	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.066315	-0.46%	0.06516	-2.19%	0.0165	✓	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.066175	-0.49%	0.06662	+0.18%	0.0071	✗	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.06502	-0.54%	0.0665	+1.73%	0.0272	✗	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.068004	-0.55%	0.06537	-4.40%	0.0447	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.069202	-0.53%	0.06838	-1.71%	0.0159	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.072359	-0.55%	0.06957	-4.38%	0.0340	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.069208	-0.55%	0.07276	+4.56%	0.0510	✗	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.069808	-0.53%	0.06959	-0.84%	0.0013	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.071744	-0.51%	0.07018	-2.68%	0.0229	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.07414	-0.56%	0.07211	-3.29%	0.0252	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.076031	-0.56%	0.07456	-2.48%	0.0215	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.070634	-0.51%	0.07646	+7.69%	0.0793	✗	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.070425	-0.73%	0.071	+0.08%	0.0090	✗	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.059716	-0.41%	0.07094	+18.31%	0.1731	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.058319	-0.36%	0.05996	+2.44%	0.0268	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.056685	-0.43%	0.05853	+2.81%	0.0351	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.053363	-0.35%	0.05693	+6.31%	0.0646	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.054803	-0.41%	0.05355	-2.69%	0.0216	✓	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.054414	-0.43%	0.05503	+0.70%	0.0115	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.052122	-0.40%	0.05465	+4.43%	0.0474	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.05454	-0.46%	0.05233	-4.49%	0.0427	✓	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.0535	-0.45%	0.05479	+1.95%	0.0237	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.050441	-0.41%	0.05374	+6.10%	0.0654	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.050143	-0.45%	0.05065	+0.56%	0.0113	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.051382	-0.62%	0.05037	-2.57%	0.0204	✓	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.04723	-0.46%	0.0517	+8.96%	0.0904	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.042593	-0.18%	0.04745	+11.20%	0.1057	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.044515	-0.17%	0.04267	-4.31%	0.0454	✓	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.046526	-0.27%	0.04459	-4.42%	0.0416	✓	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.047325	-0.31%	0.04665	-1.73%	0.0148	✓	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.047909	-0.46%	0.04747	-1.37%	0.0065	✓	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.049422	-0.56%	0.04813	-3.16%	0.0275	✓	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.04818	-0.58%	0.0497	+2.56%	0.0297	✗	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.044422	-0.47%	0.04846	+8.58%	0.0876	✗	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.040713	-0.26%	0.04463	+9.33%	0.0913	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.036389	-0.00%	0.04082	+12.17%	0.1154	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.042916	-0.18%	0.03639	-15.36%	0.1643	✓	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.046356	-0.42%	0.042995	-7.64%	0.0787	✓	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.048264	-0.71%	0.04655	-4.24%	0.0382	✓	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.042317	-0.45%	0.04861	+14.35%	0.1384	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.043663	-0.65%	0.04251	-3.28%	0.0271	✓	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.041701	-0.67%	0.04395	+4.69%	0.0522	✗	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.042238	-1.01%	0.04198	-1.62%	0.0064	✓	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.03834	-0.67%	0.04267	+10.54%	0.1060	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.034703	-0.34%	0.0386	+10.86%	0.1074	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.035944	-0.46%	0.03482	-3.57%	0.0324	✓	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.038192	-0.72%	0.03611	-6.13%	0.0566	✓	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.03692	-0.70%	0.03847	+3.47%	0.0399	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.039111	-0.96%	0.03718	-5.85%	0.0517	✓	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.036546	-0.85%	0.03949	+7.14%	0.0833	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.049977	-2.64%	0.03686	-28.19%	0.3052	✓	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.040926	-2.23%	0.05133	+22.62%	0.2357	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.027938	-0.75%	0.04186	+48.70%	0.4040	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.030496	-0.92%	0.02815	-8.54%	0.0800	✓	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.030045	-1.72%	0.03078	+0.69%	0.0241	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.05755	-0.59%	0.03057	-47.19%	0.6329	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.101729	-1.44%	0.05789	-43.92%	0.5918	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.089884	-0.97%	0.10322	+13.73%	0.1423	✗	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.089114	-1.50%	0.09076	+0.32%	0.0391	✗	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.073167	-0.48%	0.09047	+23.05%	0.2149	✗	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.072829	-0.48%	0.07352	+0.46%	0.0096	✗	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.076169	-0.54%	0.07318	-4.44%	0.0462	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.077221	-0.71%	0.07658	-1.53%	0.0116	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.076699	-0.57%	0.07777	+0.82%	0.0208	✗	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.078806	-0.65%	0.07714	-2.75%	0.0123	✓	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.07644	-0.60%	0.07932	+3.15%	0.0365	✗	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.078897	-0.67%	0.0769	-3.19%	0.0191	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.081426	-1.19%	0.07943	-3.62%	0.0313	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.074474	-0.90%	0.08241	+9.66%	0.0853	✗	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.06642	-0.46%	0.07515	+12.62%	0.1289	✗	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.07069	-0.72%	0.06673	-6.28%	0.0469	✓	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.063667	-0.41%	0.0712	+11.37%	0.1198	✗	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.074608	-1.18%	0.06393	-15.32%	0.1534	✓	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.061589	-0.28%	0.0755	+22.25%	0.1984	✗	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.078612	-1.34%	0.06176	-22.49%	0.2356	✓	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.067539	-0.96%	0.07968	+16.85%	0.1546	✗	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.062764	-0.96%	0.06819	+7.61%	0.1438	✗	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.068792	-2.24%	0.06337	-9.95%	0.0675	✓	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.046443	-0.25%	0.07037	+51.14%	0.4459	✗	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.041768	+0.09%	0.04656	+11.57%	0.0946	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.043096	-0.01%	0.04173	-3.18%	0.0225	✓	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.042349	-0.14%	0.0431	+1.63%	0.0514	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.047786	-0.30%	0.04241	-11.52%	0.1169	✓	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.054225	-0.61%	0.04793	-12.15%	0.1008	✓	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.051268	-0.61%	0.05456	+5.78%	0.0620	✗	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.049604	-0.61%	0.05158	+3.35%	0.0347	✗	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.050078	-0.58%	0.04991	-0.91%	0.0127	✓	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.057368	-0.70%	0.05037	-12.81%	0.1190	✓	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.060024	-0.74%	0.05777	-4.47%	0.0369	✓	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.062078	-0.72%	0.06047	-3.29%	0.0263	✓	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.069598	-0.72%	0.06253	-10.80%	0.1075	✓	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.080245	-1.48%	0.0701	-13.93%	0.1408	✓	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.066153	-1.19%	0.08145	+21.66%	0.2426	✗	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.0543	-0.86%	0.06695	+22.24%	0.2187	✗	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.048691	-0.79%	0.05477	+11.59%	0.1306	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.051259	-0.76%	0.04908	-4.98%	0.0401	✓	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.054229	-0.72%	0.05165	-5.44%	0.0480	✓	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.056765	-0.69%	0.05462	-4.44%	0.0269	✓	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.065975	-1.92%	0.05716	-15.03%	0.1589	✓	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.048612	-0.75%	0.06727	+37.34%	0.2970	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.04844	-0.96%	0.04898	+0.14%	0.0088	✓	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.043638	-0.82%	0.04891	+11.16%	0.1105	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.042332	-0.98%	0.044	+2.92%	0.0396	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.037035	-0.74%	0.04275	+14.58%	0.1470	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.032367	-0.44%	0.03731	+14.76%	0.1466	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.035088	-0.40%	0.03251	-7.72%	0.0341	✓	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.036179	-0.41%	0.03523	-3.03%	0.0240	✓	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.035825	-0.51%	0.03633	+0.89%	0.0296	✓	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.035544	-0.55%	0.03601	+0.76%	0.0038	✓	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.03356	-0.53%	0.03574	+5.93%	0.0511	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.034968	-0.54%	0.03374	-4.04%	0.0589	✓	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.035147	-0.55%	0.03516	-0.51%	0.0236	✓	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.034684	-0.53%	0.03534	+1.35%	0.0364	✗	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.036836	-0.52%	0.03487	-5.83%	0.0800	✓	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.040043	-0.56%	0.03703	-8.05%	0.0633	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.045237	-0.67%	0.04027	-11.57%	0.1176	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.04324	-0.69%	0.04554	+4.59%	0.0422	✗	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.045775	-0.86%	0.04354	-5.70%	0.0524	✓	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.040996	-0.66%	0.04617	+11.87%	0.1272	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.039846	-0.63%	0.04127	+2.92%	0.0320	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.044377	-0.77%	0.0401	-10.33%	0.0821	✓	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.044024	-0.78%	0.04472	+0.79%	0.0171	✗	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.044683	-0.88%	0.04437	-1.57%	0.0126	✓	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.041835	-1.10%	0.04508	+6.57%	0.0706	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.039699	-0.80%	0.0423	+5.70%	0.0162	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.035794	-0.57%	0.04002	+11.17%	0.1255	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.047569	-1.74%	0.036	-25.64%	0.2507	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.039519	-1.25%	0.04841	+20.96%	0.1797	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.032114	-0.64%	0.04002	+23.82%	0.2502	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.029924	-0.55%	0.03232	+7.41%	0.1130	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.031382	-0.57%	0.03009	-4.66%	0.0416	✓	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.032389	-0.55%	0.03156	-3.10%	0.0124	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.033555	-0.55%	0.03257	-3.47%	0.0384	✓	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.036901	-0.54%	0.03374	-9.06%	0.0785	✓	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.038924	-0.60%	0.0371	-5.26%	0.0830	✓	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.038823	-0.61%	0.03916	+0.26%	0.0043	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.039752	-0.62%	0.03906	-2.35%	0.0379	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.040039	-0.62%	0.04	-0.72%	0.0004	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.04037	-0.57%	0.04029	-0.76%	0.0474	✗	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.043886	-0.58%	0.0406	-8.02%	0.0542	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.043907	-0.62%	0.04414	-0.09%	0.0330	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.041899	-0.57%	0.04418	+4.84%	0.0453	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.050057	-1.33%	0.04214	-16.93%	0.0969	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.040425	-0.58%	0.05073	+24.77%	0.2352	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.04466	-1.30%	0.04066	-10.14%	0.0925	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.037935	-0.64%	0.04525	+18.52%	0.1838	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.035658	-0.78%	0.03818	+6.23%	0.0529	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.036041	-1.01%	0.03594	-1.29%	0.0646	✓	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.034086	-0.94%	0.03641	+5.81%	0.0849	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.027114	-0.28%	0.03441	+26.55%	0.2104	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.036807	-1.19%	0.02719	-27.01%	0.3532	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.03135	-0.70%	0.03725	+17.99%	0.1818	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.028291	-0.31%	0.03157	+11.24%	0.1456	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.030659	-0.46%	0.02838	-7.86%	0.0433	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.032456	-0.59%	0.0308	-5.67%	0.0180	✓	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.029922	-0.53%	0.03265	+8.54%	0.0681	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.030212	-0.52%	0.03008	-0.95%	0.0444	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.029323	-0.63%	0.03037	+2.91%	0.0667	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.030779	-0.68%	0.02951	-4.78%	0.0666	✓	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.031754	-1.01%	0.03099	-3.40%	0.0991	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.029782	-0.69%	0.03208	+6.97%	0.1226	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.029189	-0.68%	0.02999	+2.04%	0.0594	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.027984	-0.62%	0.02939	+4.37%	0.1202	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.029749	-1.36%	0.02816	-6.63%	0.0860	✓	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.028999	-1.23%	0.03016	+2.72%	0.0208	✓	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.024881	-0.75%	0.02936	+17.11%	0.1910	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.022464	-0.56%	0.02507	+10.98%	0.0592	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.026172	-0.94%	0.02259	-14.50%	0.0839	✓	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.025154	-1.63%	0.02642	+3.32%	0.0099	✓	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.023215	-1.92%	0.02557	+8.03%	0.2376	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.019001	-0.99%	0.02367	+23.35%	0.3409	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017378	-1.04%	0.01919	+9.28%	0.0847	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015983	-1.22%	0.01756	+8.53%	0.0793	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012962	-0.29%	0.01618	+24.46%	0.1852	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.013054	-0.28%	0.013	-0.69%	0.0466	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013582	-0.35%	0.01309	-3.96%	0.0478	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.014451	-0.54%	0.01363	-6.19%	0.0244	✓	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.014488	-0.63%	0.01453	-0.34%	0.0161	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.015447	-1.24%	0.01458	-6.78%	0.1460	✓	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.013064	-0.50%	0.01564	+19.12%	0.1606	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.013407	-0.69%	0.01313	-2.74%	0.0500	✓	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011931	-0.32%	0.0135	+12.78%	0.0438	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012911	-0.76%	0.01197	-7.99%	0.0510	✓	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.013254	-0.64%	0.01301	-2.47%	0.0520	✗	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.013299	-0.75%	0.01334	-0.45%	0.0572	✓	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013365	-1.00%	0.0134	-0.74%	0.0453	✓	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011532	-0.15%	0.0135	+16.88%	0.1333	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011449	-0.09%	0.01155	+0.79%	0.0656	✗	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012129	-0.26%	0.01146	-5.76%	0.0275	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012478	-0.34%	0.01216	-2.88%	0.0464	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.013356	-0.55%	0.01252	-6.78%	0.0046	✓	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.012269	-0.33%	0.01343	+9.10%	0.0841	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.01193	-0.25%	0.01231	+2.93%	0.1095	✓	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.011416	-0.47%	0.01196	+4.27%	0.1212	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.021266	-0.25%	0.01147	-46.20%	0.4409	✓	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.022306	-0.33%	0.02132	-4.74%	0.0151	✓	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019727	-0.17%	0.02238	+13.26%	0.0883	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021507	-0.20%	0.01976	-8.31%	0.0184	✓	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.021093	-0.17%	0.02155	+1.99%	0.0022	✓	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.022466	-0.28%	0.02113	-6.21%	0.0828	✓	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.023282	-0.37%	0.02253	-3.59%	0.0357	✓	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.023109	-0.48%	0.02337	+0.65%	0.0237	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020992	-0.32%	0.02322	+10.26%	0.0605	✗	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.020559	-0.39%	0.02106	+2.03%	0.0784	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019837	-0.32%	0.02064	+3.72%	0.0470	✗	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.020367	-0.40%	0.0199	-2.69%	0.0803	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.020276	-0.46%	0.02045	+0.39%	0.0599	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020896	-0.64%	0.02037	-3.14%	0.0250	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.020162	-0.83%	0.02103	+3.44%	0.0237	✗	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017859	-0.40%	0.02033	+13.39%	0.2712	✗	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.016792	-0.35%	0.01793	+6.41%	0.0226	✗	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.017073	-0.33%	0.01685	-1.63%	0.0095	✗	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.019434	-0.34%	0.01713	-12.15%	0.0485	✓	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.020142	-0.34%	0.0195	-3.51%	0.0179	✓	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.019818	-0.31%	0.02021	+1.66%	0.0177	✗	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.022081	-0.40%	0.01988	-10.33%	0.0617	✓	3.53

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.