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2022-09-12 · +1d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0546
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.33%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
18.3%
in alpha space · 95.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.94%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.205739-0.27%0.199-3.54%0.0807✗1.09135k2022-09-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012843-0.29%0.00001209-6.13%0.0456✗1.011.0M2022-09-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.183337-0.31%0.165-10.28%0.0151✗1.151,7442022-09-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.493281-0.31%0.4625-6.53%0.0567✗1.16384k2022-09-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,251.84-0.31%20,237.10-9.34%0.0013✓0.9213k2022-09-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.0129-0.31%0.01252-3.25%0.0387✗0.65233k2022-09-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024798-0.33%0.02317-6.87%0.0454✗1.082,9582022-09-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020949-0.34%0.02007-4.52%0.0206✗0.61191k2022-09-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.682-0.34%9.254-4.75%0.0452✗0.861.2M2022-09-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4161.199-0.34%59.1-3.76%0.0744✗1.0414.0M2022-09-13
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.063662-0.35%0.060682-5.01%0.0009✓0.47123k2022-09-13
QNTQuantEthereum106.65106.2763-0.35%97.87-8.23%0.0155✗0.933.5M2022-09-13
GTGateEthereum4.38394.3685-0.35%4.1432-5.49%0.0246✗0.74688k2022-09-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.068906-0.35%0.06468-6.46%0.0343✗0.938202022-09-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006333-0.35%0.005899-7.19%0.0041✓0.641,9622022-09-13
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.97e-7-0.35%8.60e-7-4.44%0.0354✗0.741.7M2022-09-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.059784-0.36%0.0572-4.67%0.0446✗0.8590k2022-09-13
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.6194-0.36%11.9339-5.77%0.0510✗1.0221k2022-09-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.039555-0.36%0.0361-9.07%0.0152✗1.0289k2022-09-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.9797-0.37%9.73-11.71%0.0200✗1.34288k2022-09-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7963-0.37%1.68-6.82%0.0395✗1.02627k2022-09-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.9611-0.38%4.66-6.43%0.0280✗0.87839k2022-09-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7122,316.12-0.39%20,174.78-9.94%0.0039✗1.00480.9M2022-09-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.049105-0.40%0.0452-8.32%0.0062✗0.85145k2022-09-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006209-0.40%0.006216-0.29%0.0400✗0.3730k2022-09-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.071698-0.41%0.0679-5.68%0.0504✗1.0025k2022-09-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.009012-0.42%0.00851-5.97%0.0415✗0.943.3M2022-09-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.560606-0.43%0.50798-9.77%0.0415✗1.3439k2022-09-13
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.361153-0.43%0.35-3.50%0.0792✗1.061,1592022-09-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4239-0.43%1.41-1.40%0.0242✓-0.14124k2022-09-13
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.234494-0.43%0.2161-8.24%0.0097✗0.87527k2022-09-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.113368-0.43%0.104654-8.08%0.0131✗0.896.5M2022-09-13
HIVEHivenative0.58020.577686-0.43%0.5504-5.14%0.0163✗0.62836k2022-09-13
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.131328-0.43%0.1253-5.00%0.0764✗1.181.4M2022-09-13
XMRMoneroMonero163.77163.0591-0.43%145.44-11.19%0.0131✓0.971.4M2022-09-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04525.0233-0.43%4.9699-1.49%0.0040✓0.06119k2022-09-13
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.6492-0.44%1.5348-7.35%0.0391✗1.06241k2022-09-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.06e-7-0.44%8.70e-7-4.40%0.0373✗0.7415k2022-09-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00451-0.44%1.0223+1.77%0.0817✗0.572.6M2022-09-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.013096-0.44%0.012152-7.62%0.0128✗0.84882k2022-09-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.204385-0.45%0.1898-7.55%0.0434✗1.12108k2022-09-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.5058-0.45%15.2-8.32%0.0006✓0.781.5M2022-09-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.480823-0.45%0.449-7.04%0.0584✗1.214,2692022-09-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.668954-0.45%0.622-7.44%0.0464✗1.143.3M2022-09-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.091084-0.45%0.0848-7.32%0.0316✗0.9814k2022-09-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.100839-0.46%0.0968-4.44%0.0388✗0.762,7302022-09-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8316-0.46%1.81-1.63%0.0373✗0.4758k2022-09-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.645042-0.46%0.595-8.18%0.0263✗1.02178k2022-09-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.314783-0.46%0.30966-2.08%0.0561✗0.69326k2022-09-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87128.2799-0.46%117.6-8.75%0.0363✗1.184.4M2022-09-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.047251-0.46%0.04273-9.99%0.0326✓0.6514k2022-09-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60954.3561-0.46%51.566-5.57%0.0400✗0.88264k2022-09-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.6789-0.46%6.47-3.58%0.0199✗0.492.1M2022-09-13
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.499069-0.46%0.4637-7.52%0.0318✗1.0138.3M2022-09-13
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.909936-0.47%0.846269-7.43%0.0175✗0.8649k2022-09-13
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.00418-0.47%0.00381-9.29%0.0059✗0.94103k2022-09-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.6143-0.48%1.553-4.25%0.0382✗0.7329k2022-09-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,708.37-0.49%1,574.71-8.27%0.0606✗1.36569.9M2022-09-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.224602-0.49%0.2103-6.82%0.0137✗0.7667k2022-09-13
DASHDashDash47.1746.9398-0.49%43.77-7.21%0.0421✗1.07312k2022-09-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.022688-0.49%0.02043-10.39%0.0068✗1.0710.3M2022-09-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.134039-0.49%0.1243-7.72%0.0381✗1.082.7M2022-09-13
ZENHorizenBase16.4816.3974-0.50%14.84-9.95%0.0314✗1.2579k2022-09-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.9181-0.50%6.134+3.13%0.1031✗0.643.1M2022-09-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0855-0.50%1.0027-8.09%0.0014✓0.7736k2022-09-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006179-0.50%0.00563-9.34%0.0266✓0.63911k2022-09-13
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.397751-0.51%0.38116-4.66%0.0635✗1.0131k2022-09-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.066363-0.51%0.0594-10.94%0.0010✓1.0579k2022-09-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.021906-0.51%0.020191-8.30%0.0166✓0.6212k2022-09-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,606.95-0.51%1,471.37-8.91%0.0166✗1.003.3M2022-09-13
ZECZcashZcash62.9262.5975-0.51%58.92-6.36%0.0616✗1.171.1M2022-09-13
PROPropyEthereum0.730.726255-0.51%0.71-2.74%0.0025✓0.2444k2022-09-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.2161-0.52%4.082-3.68%0.0223✗0.522.3M2022-09-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.273576-0.52%0.263-4.36%0.0413✗0.77563k2022-09-13
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9990.5137-0.52%82.97-8.81%0.0732✗1.536.0M2022-09-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.176381-0.52%0.16284-8.16%0.0333✗1.08271k2022-09-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.7414-0.53%2.618-5.01%0.0410✗0.83523k2022-09-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.321984-0.53%0.2966-8.37%0.0208✗0.986.0M2022-09-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5315.4474-0.53%13.897-10.52%0.0284✗1.2819.6M2022-09-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.9247-0.53%1.785-7.75%0.1040✗1.7160k2022-09-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.9021-0.53%1.9586+2.42%0.1179✗0.851.4M2022-09-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.7163-0.54%7.025-9.45%0.0249✗1.1318.0M2022-09-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.3456-0.54%6.12-4.08%0.0188✗0.522.1M2022-09-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.953882-0.54%0.8796-8.29%0.0515✗1.27899k2022-09-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.065042-0.55%0.059-9.79%0.0299✗1.22563k2022-09-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.141333-0.55%0.13476-5.17%0.0791✗1.21151k2022-09-13
SOLSolanaSolana37.4637.2544-0.55%33.01-11.88%0.0072✗1.2254.5M2022-09-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.2615-0.55%4.142-3.34%0.0100✗0.372.2M2022-09-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.405753-0.55%0.4008-1.76%0.1017✗1.09202k2022-09-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.53901-0.55%0.493-9.04%0.0385✗1.2277k2022-09-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2719-0.55%1.152-9.93%0.0013✓0.931.1M2022-09-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.29008-0.56%0.2679-8.16%0.0268✗1.022.7M2022-09-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.964601-0.56%0.913-5.88%0.0695✗1.191.5M2022-09-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2624-0.56%1.1703-7.81%0.0439✗1.141.1M2022-09-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.849462-0.56%0.82473-3.46%0.0531✗0.7913k2022-09-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001642-0.57%0.001531-7.27%0.0013✓0.685,8832022-09-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.352345-0.57%0.32139-9.30%0.0210✗1.0833k2022-09-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.4606-0.57%5.136-6.48%0.0852✗1.406.4M2022-09-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.478245-0.57%0.434-9.77%0.0122✗1.047,9852022-09-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.1365-0.57%1.0525-7.92%0.0850✗1.544.4M2022-09-13
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.046443-0.57%0.042163-9.74%0.0032✓0.8928k2022-09-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039769-0.58%0.03648-8.80%0.0133✓0.702,2982022-09-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.051302-0.58%0.0496-3.88%0.0667✗0.96234k2022-09-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.063587-0.58%0.059635-6.76%0.0416✗1.011.2M2022-09-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4457-0.58%2.32-5.69%0.0109✗0.61261k2022-09-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.8854-0.59%6.4-7.59%0.0315✗1.004.3M2022-09-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.9505-0.59%1.7866-8.94%0.0299✗1.1223k2022-09-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.11343-0.59%0.1076-5.70%0.0393✗0.88188k2022-09-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.048909-0.59%0.0441-10.37%0.0197✗1.18546k2022-09-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.163226-0.59%0.1561-4.93%0.0928✗1.319132022-09-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001315-0.59%0.001236-6.57%0.0246✗0.832.2M2022-09-13
XVGVergenative0.003570.003549-0.60%0.00337-5.60%0.0520✗0.99483k2022-09-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.113715-0.60%0.1104-3.50%0.0331✗0.60188k2022-09-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.2735-0.60%3.0233-8.20%0.0293✗1.0419k2022-09-13
FTTFTXEthereum28.4628.2884-0.60%25.89-9.03%0.0178✗1.026.8M2022-09-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.6188-0.60%6.034-9.39%0.0546✗1.406.9M2022-09-13
KSMKusamaHydration52.2151.8935-0.61%46.38-11.17%0.0046✓1.03363k2022-09-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.437582-0.61%0.42001-4.60%0.0618✗0.98379k2022-09-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2318.1165-0.62%16.8-7.84%0.0196✓0.53396k2022-09-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.023885-0.62%0.024692+2.73%0.0426✗0.09465k2022-09-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001616-0.63%0.001519-6.58%0.0206✗0.79374k2022-09-13
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7354.3864-0.63%55.83+2.01%0.1594✗1.278,6412022-09-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.073523-0.64%0.06913-6.58%0.0475✓0.13378k2022-09-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.889028-0.65%0.8463-5.42%0.1149✗1.5789k2022-09-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1569-0.65%2.022-6.86%0.0688✗1.2732k2022-09-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.037057-0.65%0.03367-9.73%0.0152✗1.0635k2022-09-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.233064-0.65%0.2085-11.13%0.0174✓0.9057k2022-09-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.2948-0.66%5.72+7.32%0.1447✗0.642.0M2022-09-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.5199-0.66%4.5-1.10%0.0593✗0.611.4M2022-09-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.04239-0.66%0.03987-6.57%0.0054✓0.5323k2022-09-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.2233-0.67%3.055-5.86%0.0146✓0.37676k2022-09-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.440628-0.67%0.4014-9.51%0.0301✗1.1875k2022-09-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0935.0585-0.68%4.418-13.25%0.0306✓1.001.4M2022-09-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.15077-0.68%0.1392-8.30%0.0247✗1.00119k2022-09-13
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000045658-0.68%0.00004395-4.39%0.0541✗0.883.0M2022-09-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.101988-0.69%0.0924-10.03%0.0075✗1.01336k2022-09-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.292248-0.70%0.26692-9.30%0.0040✓0.9015k2022-09-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3425-0.70%1.244-7.99%0.0575✗1.28323k2022-09-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.6092-0.71%7.07-7.75%0.0489✗1.1710.0M2022-09-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.4917-0.71%4.212-6.90%0.0344✗0.94273k2022-09-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.3876-0.72%1.2429-11.07%0.0032✓1.08922k2022-09-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.886-0.72%8.75-2.23%0.0463✗0.592.4M2022-09-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1215.0117-0.72%14.53-3.90%0.0722✗1.001.8M2022-09-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.00827-0.72%0.00796-4.44%0.0849✗1.18428k2022-09-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.318118-0.72%0.289387-9.69%0.0086✗0.99471k2022-09-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.788471-0.72%0.73147-7.90%0.0432✗1.13624k2022-09-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.8575-0.73%0.8066-6.62%0.0619✗1.17946k2022-09-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.3654-0.74%6.97-6.06%0.0596✗1.10224k2022-09-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3996-0.74%1.3-7.80%0.0373✗1.0668k2022-09-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.050921-0.74%0.0479-6.63%0.0607✗1.16178k2022-09-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.348804-0.74%0.3308-5.86%0.0697✗1.1772k2022-09-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.9212-0.74%2.719-7.61%0.0907✗1.552.9M2022-09-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.5285-0.75%4.1321-9.44%0.0273✓0.618.1M2022-09-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.5511-0.76%1.41-9.79%0.0329✗1.2343k2022-09-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3721.2076-0.76%18.87-11.70%0.0274✗1.3818.0M2022-09-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,677.12-0.76%9,017.07-7.53%0.0778✗1.424.1M2022-09-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.199858-0.77%0.1934-3.97%0.0702✗0.983.2M2022-09-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.039589-0.78%0.0403+1.00%0.1108✗0.899,1922022-09-13
METISMetisEthereum29.9329.6966-0.78%27.9-6.78%0.1120✗1.66159k2022-09-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.132-0.78%2.0329-5.39%0.0705✗1.1313k2022-09-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2214.1086-0.78%13.18-7.31%0.0561✗1.19925k2022-09-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.508873-0.79%0.4865-5.15%0.0447✗0.86396k2022-09-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.331952-0.79%0.3105-7.20%0.0422✗1.0482k2022-09-13
STXStacksnative0.38790.384793-0.80%0.3497-9.85%0.0164✗1.07314k2022-09-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.018339-0.81%0.017211-6.91%0.0413✗1.009912022-09-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.003081-0.81%0.002827-8.98%0.0097✗0.911.2M2022-09-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.8232-0.82%4.6029-5.35%0.1096✗1.49122k2022-09-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.153431-0.82%0.1444-6.66%0.0453✗1.01336k2022-09-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.9472-0.82%6.58-6.07%0.0438✓0.109.1M2022-09-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.011.0016-0.84%0.921-8.81%0.0411✓0.412.7M2022-09-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.664391-0.84%0.61-8.96%0.0262✗1.07111k2022-09-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.735506-0.86%0.6606-10.96%0.0539✗1.54210k2022-09-13
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.256-0.87%1.182-6.71%0.1167✗1.692.7M2022-09-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.564065-0.87%0.52-8.61%0.0386✗1.1466k2022-09-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4538.116-0.87%35.29-8.22%0.0879✗1.5810.6M2022-09-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.29501-0.87%0.298+0.13%0.1232✗1.0874k2022-09-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.127468-0.88%0.1082-15.86%0.0327✓1.252.5M2022-09-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.17-0.91%2.03-7.31%0.0668✗1.27227k2022-09-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.5199-0.92%1.455-5.15%0.0743✗1.1371k2022-09-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.170939-0.94%0.16738-3.00%0.0588✗0.765152022-09-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66047.5882-0.94%7.2349-5.55%0.0214✓0.2511.9M2022-09-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.01189-0.95%0.010998-8.38%0.0268✗1.006492022-09-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000297136-0.95%0.00035806+19.35%0.2147✗0.272.3M2022-09-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3412.2198-0.97%12.092-2.01%0.0288✗0.3816.0M2022-09-13
FLOWFlownative2.1022.0798-1.06%1.864-11.32%0.0390✗1.42967k2022-09-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5566.4785-1.18%5.871-10.45%0.0030✓0.976.2M2022-09-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.063931-1.25%0.05951-8.08%0.0591✗1.251.2M2022-09-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.213443-1.37%0.1963-9.29%0.0053✓0.7526k2022-09-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-77.38e-7-1.41%6.96e-7-7.05%0.0324✗0.872.3M2022-09-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.40225-1.72%0.3444-15.86%0.0701✓0.8189k2022-09-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.187226-2.28%0.1365-28.76%0.3014✓0.1483k2022-09-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.