QTUM

Qtum · Qtum · gru_s7

token id: #534
symbol: QTUM
variant: –
chain: Qtum
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0197

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0039

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.88041	0.877093	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.877405	0.87461	-0.32%	0.88041	+0.34%	0.0098	✗	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.86037	0.857507	-0.33%	0.877405	+1.98%	0.0085	✗	1.08
2026-10-18	oos	0.858515	0.855612	-0.34%	0.86037	+0.22%	0.0078	✗	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.87857	0.87573	-0.32%	0.858515	-2.28%	0.0281	✓	1.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.90303	0.899992	-0.34%	0.87857	-2.71%	0.0225	✓	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.914685	0.910892	-0.41%	0.90303	-1.27%	0.0005	✓	1.07
2026-10-14	oos	0.92235	0.918878	-0.38%	0.914685	-0.83%	0.0119	✓	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.947825	0.944378	-0.36%	0.92235	-2.69%	0.0036	✓	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.927235	0.924288	-0.32%	0.947825	+2.22%	0.0075	✗	1.07
2026-10-11	oos	0.998795	0.994908	-0.39%	0.927235	-7.16%	0.0469	✓	1.01
2026-10-10	oos	1.0168	1.0096	-0.70%	0.998795	-1.77%	0.0201	✓	1.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.95631	0.952292	-0.42%	1.0168	+6.32%	0.0611	✗	1.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.929655	0.925607	-0.44%	0.95631	+2.87%	0.0222	✗	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.936105	0.931289	-0.51%	0.929655	-0.69%	0.0175	✗	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.97452	0.96913	-0.55%	0.936105	-3.94%	0.0083	✓	0.98
2026-10-05	oos	0.996535	0.990869	-0.57%	0.97452	-2.21%	0.0143	✓	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.99453	0.989353	-0.52%	0.996535	+0.20%	0.0158	✗	0.97
2026-10-03	oos	0.992245	0.987638	-0.46%	0.99453	+0.23%	0.0132	✓	0.98
2026-10-02	oos	0.99396	0.989277	-0.47%	0.992245	-0.17%	0.0003	✓	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.987135	0.982372	-0.48%	0.99396	+0.69%	0.0157	✗	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	1.0022	0.995876	-0.63%	0.987135	-1.50%	0.0240	✓	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.97227	0.966956	-0.55%	1.0022	+3.08%	0.0368	✗	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.98568	0.980203	-0.56%	0.97227	-1.36%	0.0103	✓	0.98
2026-09-27	oos	1.028	1.0228	-0.51%	0.98568	-4.12%	0.0254	✓	0.96
2026-09-26	oos	1.0319	1.0265	-0.53%	1.028	-0.38%	0.0010	✓	0.96
2026-09-25	oos	1.0511	1.0428	-0.80%	1.0319	-1.83%	0.0141	✓	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	1.0005	0.9947	-0.58%	1.0511	+5.06%	0.0585	✗	0.96
2026-09-23	oos	0.956945	0.951471	-0.57%	1.0005	+4.55%	0.0502	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	1.0114	1.0055	-0.58%	0.956945	-5.38%	0.0291	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.99676	0.990778	-0.60%	1.0114	+1.47%	0.0249	✗	0.95
2026-09-20	oos	0.95048	0.944284	-0.65%	0.99676	+4.87%	0.0096	✓	0.98
2026-09-19	oos	0.95615	0.950372	-0.60%	0.95048	-0.59%	0.0010	✓	0.98
2026-09-18	oos	0.953185	0.946335	-0.72%	0.95615	+0.31%	0.0059	✓	0.99
2026-09-17	oos	0.872145	0.868841	-0.38%	0.953185	+9.29%	0.0387	✗	0.94
2026-09-16	oos	0.8752	0.872179	-0.35%	0.872145	-0.35%	0.0025	✓	0.94
2026-09-15	oos	0.861965	0.860086	-0.22%	0.8752	+1.54%	0.0104	✗	0.95
2026-09-14	oos	0.92496	0.921015	-0.43%	0.861965	-6.81%	0.0363	✓	0.89
2026-09-13	oos	0.96504	0.958043	-0.73%	0.92496	-4.15%	0.0514	✓	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.929715	0.925092	-0.50%	0.96504	+3.80%	0.0479	✗	0.93
2026-09-11	oos	0.877485	0.874092	-0.39%	0.929715	+5.95%	0.0610	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.85591	0.853222	-0.31%	0.877485	+2.52%	0.0199	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.88856	0.885196	-0.38%	0.85591	-3.67%	0.0130	✓	0.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.88987	0.886455	-0.38%	0.88856	-0.15%	0.0043	✗	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.879515	0.876993	-0.29%	0.88987	+1.18%	0.0223	✗	0.94
2026-09-06	oos	0.882675	0.880514	-0.24%	0.879515	-0.36%	0.0136	✗	0.94
2026-09-05	oos	0.871245	0.87037	-0.10%	0.882675	+1.31%	0.0081	✗	0.94
2026-09-04	oos	0.86216	0.862014	-0.02%	0.871245	+1.05%	0.0088	✗	0.94
2026-09-03	oos	0.86012	0.861107	+0.11%	0.86216	+0.24%	0.0201	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.81706	0.818245	+0.14%	0.86012	+5.27%	0.0014	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.82502	0.825469	+0.05%	0.81706	-0.96%	0.0090	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.822535	0.823059	+0.06%	0.82502	+0.30%	0.0171	✓	0.99
2026-08-30	oos	0.79638	0.796382	+0.00%	0.822535	+3.28%	0.0211	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.823295	0.822826	-0.06%	0.79638	-3.27%	0.0257	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.816995	0.816232	-0.09%	0.823295	+0.77%	0.0038	✗	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.85261	0.851765	-0.10%	0.816995	-4.18%	0.0125	✓	0.95
2026-08-26	oos	0.894995	0.892239	-0.31%	0.85261	-4.74%	0.0607	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.84638	0.844564	-0.21%	0.894995	+5.74%	0.0519	✗	0.96
2026-08-24	oos	0.87443	0.872343	-0.24%	0.84638	-3.21%	0.0247	✓	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.881595	0.877891	-0.42%	0.87443	-0.81%	0.0194	✓	0.97
2026-08-22	oos	0.841845	0.839458	-0.28%	0.881595	+4.72%	0.0406	✗	0.96
2026-08-21	oos	0.86618	0.861215	-0.57%	0.841845	-2.81%	0.0072	✓	0.95
2026-08-20	oos	0.79543	0.789584	-0.73%	0.86618	+8.89%	0.0280	✗	0.92
2026-08-19	oos	0.717075	0.713471	-0.50%	0.79543	+10.93%	0.0655	✗	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.683095	0.680225	-0.42%	0.717075	+4.97%	0.0058	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.681495	0.679265	-0.33%	0.683095	+0.23%	0.0029	✓	0.85
2026-08-16	oos	0.676565	0.674261	-0.34%	0.681495	+0.73%	0.0116	✓	0.86
2026-08-15	oos	0.674895	0.67261	-0.34%	0.676565	+0.25%	0.0084	✗	0.86
2026-08-14	oos	0.684685	0.682195	-0.36%	0.674895	-1.43%	0.0114	✓	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.6659	0.662526	-0.51%	0.684685	+2.82%	0.0391	✗	0.88
2026-08-12	oos	0.65275	0.650059	-0.41%	0.6659	+2.01%	0.0239	✗	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.632945	0.630729	-0.35%	0.65275	+3.13%	0.0360	✗	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.646575	0.644172	-0.37%	0.632945	-2.11%	0.0122	✓	0.89
2026-08-09	oos	0.666885	0.664222	-0.40%	0.646575	-3.05%	0.0141	✓	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.666195	0.662998	-0.48%	0.666885	+0.10%	0.0067	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.654705	0.651406	-0.50%	0.666195	+1.75%	0.0222	✗	0.93
2026-08-06	oos	0.647925	0.644878	-0.47%	0.654705	+1.05%	0.0062	✗	0.92
2026-08-05	oos	0.64355	0.640625	-0.45%	0.647925	+0.68%	0.0162	✗	0.93
2026-08-04	oos	0.650875	0.647721	-0.48%	0.64355	-1.13%	0.0144	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.64975	0.646314	-0.53%	0.650875	+0.17%	0.0016	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.652095	0.64856	-0.54%	0.64975	-0.36%	0.0023	✓	0.95
2026-08-01	oos	0.646105	0.642654	-0.53%	0.652095	+0.93%	0.0036	✓	0.94
2026-07-31	oos	0.641585	0.638277	-0.52%	0.646105	+0.70%	0.0131	✗	0.94
2026-07-30	oos	0.642835	0.638879	-0.62%	0.641585	-0.19%	0.0329	✗	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.64495	0.641613	-0.52%	0.642835	-0.33%	0.0105	✓	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.65683	0.653647	-0.48%	0.64495	-1.81%	0.0141	✓	0.96
2026-07-27	oos	0.64881	0.645629	-0.49%	0.65683	+1.24%	0.0149	✗	0.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.682155	0.679326	-0.41%	0.64881	-4.89%	0.0221	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.681935	0.679105	-0.42%	0.682155	+0.03%	0.0108	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.68205	0.67828	-0.55%	0.681935	-0.02%	0.0022	✓	0.95
2026-07-23	oos	0.717005	0.710203	-0.95%	0.68205	-4.88%	0.0265	✓	0.93
2026-07-22	oos	0.714225	0.711569	-0.37%	0.717005	+0.39%	0.0224	✗	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	0.71017	0.707894	-0.32%	0.714225	+0.57%	0.0150	✗	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	0.714125	0.710961	-0.44%	0.71017	-0.55%	0.0195	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.7202	0.716324	-0.54%	0.714125	-0.84%	0.0107	✓	0.93
2026-07-18	oos	0.701725	0.6981	-0.52%	0.7202	+2.63%	0.0328	✗	0.94
2026-07-17	oos	0.67816	0.675817	-0.35%	0.701725	+3.47%	0.0244	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.670865	0.669306	-0.23%	0.67816	+1.09%	0.0113	✗	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.68752	0.685221	-0.33%	0.670865	-2.42%	0.0070	✓	0.96
2026-07-14	oos	0.686005	0.682922	-0.45%	0.68752	+0.22%	0.0108	✗	0.97
2026-07-13	oos	0.670695	0.66719	-0.52%	0.686005	+2.28%	0.0146	✓	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.683295	0.68172	-0.23%	0.670695	-1.84%	0.0071	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.688075	0.686677	-0.20%	0.683295	-0.69%	0.0044	✓	0.99
2026-07-10	oos	0.69289	0.691423	-0.21%	0.688075	-0.69%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.693145	0.69167	-0.21%	0.69289	-0.04%	0.0133	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.70322	0.701358	-0.26%	0.693145	-1.43%	0.0268	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.686755	0.685127	-0.24%	0.70322	+2.40%	0.0439	✗	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.709955	0.707842	-0.30%	0.686755	-3.27%	0.0192	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.713515	0.7089	-0.65%	0.709955	-0.50%	0.0052	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.71721	0.71494	-0.32%	0.713515	-0.52%	0.0100	✓	1.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.71646	0.71373	-0.38%	0.71721	+0.10%	0.0043	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.69666	0.694468	-0.31%	0.71646	+2.84%	0.0143	✗	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.685435	0.683339	-0.31%	0.69666	+1.64%	0.0062	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.677905	0.676013	-0.28%	0.685435	+1.11%	0.0116	✓	1.05
2026-06-29	oos	0.69129	0.688976	-0.33%	0.677905	-1.94%	0.0130	✗	1.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.690225	0.687512	-0.39%	0.69129	+0.15%	0.0073	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.675145	0.670921	-0.63%	0.690225	+2.23%	0.0371	✗	1.13
2026-06-26	oos	0.67875	0.676692	-0.30%	0.675145	-0.53%	0.0010	✓	1.14
2026-06-25	oos	0.6547	0.65104	-0.56%	0.67875	+3.67%	0.0360	✗	1.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.680135	0.67775	-0.35%	0.6547	-3.74%	0.0108	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.690495	0.688172	-0.34%	0.680135	-1.50%	0.0194	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.7081	0.705617	-0.35%	0.690495	-2.49%	0.0020	✓	1.15
2026-06-21	oos	0.709205	0.706846	-0.33%	0.7081	-0.16%	0.0111	✓	1.14
2026-06-20	oos	0.73695	0.734341	-0.35%	0.709205	-3.76%	0.0169	✓	1.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.72568	0.723322	-0.32%	0.73695	+1.55%	0.0051	✗	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.726765	0.724501	-0.31%	0.72568	-0.15%	0.0094	✓	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.762855	0.760106	-0.36%	0.726765	-4.73%	0.0163	✓	1.16
2026-06-16	oos	0.74631	0.743896	-0.32%	0.762855	+2.22%	0.0464	✗	1.18
2026-06-15	oos	0.75257	0.750295	-0.30%	0.74631	-0.83%	0.0066	✗	1.19
2026-06-14	oos	0.744585	0.741789	-0.38%	0.75257	+1.07%	0.0042	✗	1.19
2026-06-13	oos	0.73593	0.733926	-0.27%	0.744585	+1.18%	0.0087	✓	1.18
2026-06-12	oos	0.71637	0.714805	-0.22%	0.73593	+2.73%	0.0124	✗	1.20
2026-06-11	oos	0.71831	0.716885	-0.20%	0.71637	-0.27%	0.0002	✓	1.19
2026-06-10	oos	0.683675	0.683064	-0.09%	0.71831	+5.07%	0.0100	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.70054	0.699822	-0.10%	0.683675	-2.41%	0.0187	✓	1.18
2026-06-08	oos	0.71057	0.709902	-0.09%	0.70054	-1.41%	0.0131	✗	1.19
2026-06-07	oos	0.71076	0.710439	-0.05%	0.71057	-0.03%	0.0047	✗	1.19
2026-06-06	oos	0.6851	0.685703	+0.09%	0.71076	+3.75%	0.0105	✗	1.18
2026-06-05	oos	0.69036	0.691058	+0.10%	0.6851	-0.76%	0.0052	✗	1.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.76215	0.761984	-0.02%	0.69036	-9.42%	0.0489	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.81049	0.810016	-0.06%	0.76215	-5.96%	0.0568	✓	1.12
2026-06-02	oos	0.80413	0.803088	-0.13%	0.81049	+0.79%	0.0557	✗	1.16
2026-06-01	oos	0.85952	0.856316	-0.37%	0.80413	-6.44%	0.0124	✗	1.11
2026-05-31	oos	0.871225	0.86785	-0.39%	0.85952	-1.34%	0.0259	✗	1.14
2026-05-30	oos	0.86329	0.860049	-0.38%	0.871225	+0.92%	0.0159	✗	1.13
2026-05-29	oos	0.86026	0.857156	-0.36%	0.86329	+0.35%	0.0009	✓	1.13
2026-05-28	oos	0.86704	0.863486	-0.41%	0.86026	-0.78%	0.0015	✓	1.12
2026-05-27	oos	0.87128	0.867945	-0.38%	0.86704	-0.49%	0.0111	✗	1.12
2026-05-26	oos	0.883135	0.8794	-0.42%	0.87128	-1.34%	0.0134	✗	1.13
2026-05-25	oos	0.906795	0.903105	-0.41%	0.883135	-2.61%	0.0007	✓	1.17
2026-05-24	oos	0.89659	0.892524	-0.45%	0.906795	+1.14%	0.0117	✗	1.17
2026-05-23	oos	0.930025	0.926073	-0.42%	0.89659	-3.60%	0.0372	✓	1.15
2026-05-22	oos	0.90177	0.897409	-0.48%	0.930025	+3.13%	0.0175	✗	1.15
2026-05-21	oos	0.924435	0.919404	-0.54%	0.90177	-2.45%	0.0124	✗	1.16
2026-05-20	oos	0.89491	0.887719	-0.80%	0.924435	+3.30%	0.0395	✗	1.16
2026-05-19	oos	0.882935	0.878917	-0.46%	0.89491	+1.36%	0.0074	✗	1.16
2026-05-18	oos	0.89824	0.89498	-0.36%	0.882935	-1.70%	0.0109	✓	1.15
2026-05-17	oos	0.88611	0.883324	-0.31%	0.89824	+1.37%	0.0237	✗	1.16
2026-05-16	oos	0.909195	0.906473	-0.30%	0.88611	-2.54%	0.0124	✓	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.930055	0.927117	-0.32%	0.909195	-2.24%	0.0054	✓	1.16
2026-05-14	oos	0.984055	0.981225	-0.29%	0.930055	-5.49%	0.0246	✓	1.15
2026-05-13	oos	0.98506	0.981868	-0.32%	0.984055	-0.10%	0.0238	✓	1.16
2026-05-12	oos	1.0312	1.0273	-0.37%	0.98506	-4.47%	0.0250	✓	1.13
2026-05-11	oos	1.0322	1.0267	-0.54%	1.0312	-0.10%	0.0213	✗	1.11
2026-05-10	oos	1.0451	1.0342	-1.05%	1.0322	-1.23%	0.0045	✓	1.11
2026-05-09	oos	0.96792	0.965279	-0.27%	1.0451	+7.98%	0.0588	✗	1.09
2026-05-08	oos	0.96765	0.964572	-0.32%	0.96792	+0.03%	0.0028	✓	1.08
2026-05-07	oos	0.922025	0.91843	-0.39%	0.96765	+4.95%	0.0497	✗	1.07
2026-05-06	oos	0.921375	0.918745	-0.29%	0.922025	+0.07%	0.0216	✗	1.01
2026-05-05	oos	0.89518	0.892917	-0.25%	0.921375	+2.93%	0.0245	✗	1.05
2026-05-04	oos	0.87405	0.871839	-0.25%	0.89518	+2.42%	0.0127	✗	1.05
2026-05-03	oos	0.87045	0.867884	-0.29%	0.87405	+0.41%	0.0099	✓	1.04
2026-05-02	oos	0.8802	0.877362	-0.32%	0.87045	-1.11%	0.0063	✓	1.04
2026-05-01	oos	0.87351	0.870507	-0.34%	0.8802	+0.77%	0.0052	✗	1.04
2026-04-30	oos	0.86168	0.858471	-0.37%	0.87351	+1.37%	0.0086	✓	1.04
2026-04-29	oos	0.8742	0.870794	-0.39%	0.86168	-1.43%	0.0181	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.88667	0.883125	-0.40%	0.8742	-1.41%	0.0023	✓	1.05
2026-04-27	oos	0.89128	0.887832	-0.39%	0.88667	-0.52%	0.0130	✗	1.05
2026-04-26	oos	0.90848	0.905162	-0.37%	0.89128	-1.89%	0.0022	✓	1.05
2026-04-25	oos	0.8956	0.892727	-0.32%	0.90848	+1.44%	0.0037	✗	1.06
2026-04-24	oos	0.90403	0.901113	-0.32%	0.8956	-0.93%	0.0087	✓	1.06
2026-04-23	oos	0.906965	0.903701	-0.36%	0.90403	-0.32%	0.0115	✗	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.90316	0.900226	-0.32%	0.906965	+0.42%	0.0065	✗	1.06
2026-04-21	oos	0.910885	0.907431	-0.38%	0.90316	-0.85%	0.0305	✓	1.07
2026-04-20	oos	0.915695	0.911699	-0.44%	0.910885	-0.53%	0.0077	✓	1.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.88507	0.881203	-0.44%	0.915695	+3.46%	0.0093	✗	1.07
2026-04-18	oos	0.918605	0.914932	-0.40%	0.88507	-3.65%	0.0059	✓	1.07
2026-04-17	oos	0.95899	0.954782	-0.44%	0.918605	-4.21%	0.0196	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.921225	0.917268	-0.43%	0.95899	+4.10%	0.0175	✗	1.06
2026-04-15	oos	0.90905	0.905285	-0.41%	0.921225	+1.34%	0.0128	✗	1.06
2026-04-14	oos	0.90133	0.89707	-0.47%	0.90905	+0.86%	0.0038	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.92342	0.918659	-0.52%	0.90133	-2.39%	0.0152	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.882435	0.877587	-0.55%	0.92342	+4.64%	0.0046	✓	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.918595	0.913951	-0.51%	0.882435	-3.94%	0.0002	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	0.916705	0.912818	-0.42%	0.918595	+0.21%	0.0050	✗	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.922265	0.917707	-0.49%	0.916705	-0.60%	0.0191	✓	1.09
2026-04-08	oos	0.90918	0.905424	-0.41%	0.922265	+1.44%	0.0076	✗	1.09
2026-04-07	oos	0.95507	0.951024	-0.42%	0.90918	-4.80%	0.0325	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.92641	0.922155	-0.46%	0.95507	+3.09%	0.0124	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.969285	0.965112	-0.43%	0.92641	-4.42%	0.0385	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.96028	0.955109	-0.54%	0.969285	+0.94%	0.0131	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.96962	0.963034	-0.68%	0.96028	-0.96%	0.0083	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.88023	0.876821	-0.39%	0.96962	+10.16%	0.0995	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.93812	0.931694	-0.68%	0.88023	-6.17%	0.0370	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.89006	0.880851	-1.03%	0.93812	+5.40%	0.0647	✗	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.80961	0.80676	-0.35%	0.89006	+9.94%	0.0747	✗	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.77248	0.770265	-0.29%	0.80961	+4.81%	0.0374	✗	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.818	0.815262	-0.33%	0.77248	-5.56%	0.0481	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.81898	0.816326	-0.32%	0.818	-0.12%	0.0026	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.84978	0.846628	-0.37%	0.81898	-3.62%	0.0048	✗	1.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.90831	0.903244	-0.56%	0.84978	-6.44%	0.0230	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.92962	0.924792	-0.52%	0.90831	-2.29%	0.0294	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.88349	0.879669	-0.43%	0.92962	+5.22%	0.0603	✗	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.82721	0.824573	-0.32%	0.88349	+6.80%	0.0234	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.84707	0.844494	-0.30%	0.82721	-2.34%	0.0044	✓	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.885555	0.882978	-0.29%	0.84707	-4.35%	0.0180	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.87821	0.876153	-0.23%	0.885555	+0.84%	0.0021	✓	1.03
2026-03-18	oos	0.89425	0.892229	-0.23%	0.87821	-1.79%	0.0039	✗	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.94753	0.945184	-0.25%	0.89425	-5.62%	0.0168	✓	1.04
2026-03-16	oos	0.95221	0.949811	-0.25%	0.94753	-0.49%	0.0111	✗	1.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.9366	0.93427	-0.25%	0.95221	+1.67%	0.0103	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.88128	0.879283	-0.23%	0.9366	+6.28%	0.0400	✗	1.04
2026-03-13	oos	0.90989	0.907636	-0.25%	0.88128	-3.14%	0.0337	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.87576	0.873534	-0.25%	0.90989	+3.90%	0.0346	✗	1.05
2026-03-11	oos	0.8941	0.891662	-0.27%	0.87576	-2.05%	0.0229	✓	1.06
2026-03-10	oos	0.87908	0.876781	-0.26%	0.8941	+1.71%	0.0158	✗	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.86781	0.865726	-0.24%	0.87908	+1.30%	0.0080	✓	1.06
2026-03-08	oos	0.84932	0.847378	-0.23%	0.86781	+2.18%	0.0154	✓	1.07
2026-03-07	oos	0.86311	0.861173	-0.22%	0.84932	-1.60%	0.0069	✗	1.07
2026-03-06	oos	0.89296	0.890856	-0.24%	0.86311	-3.34%	0.0183	✓	1.07
2026-03-05	oos	0.93319	0.930619	-0.28%	0.89296	-4.31%	0.0013	✓	1.07
2026-03-04	oos	0.94185	0.939125	-0.29%	0.93319	-0.92%	0.0205	✗	1.07
2026-03-03	oos	0.91313	0.910855	-0.25%	0.94185	+3.15%	0.0348	✓	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.93206	0.929662	-0.26%	0.91313	-2.03%	0.0099	✓	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.89376	0.89188	-0.21%	0.93206	+4.29%	0.0071	✓	1.12
2026-02-28	oos	0.91254	0.909849	-0.29%	0.89376	-2.06%	0.0028	✓	1.14
2026-02-27	oos	0.90907	0.906487	-0.28%	0.91254	+0.38%	0.0125	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.926435	0.923485	-0.32%	0.90907	-1.87%	0.0123	✗	1.15
2026-02-25	oos	0.95313	0.947043	-0.64%	0.926435	-2.80%	0.0135	✓	1.15
2026-02-24	oos	0.86893	0.866719	-0.25%	0.95313	+9.69%	0.0283	✗	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.880105	0.877491	-0.30%	0.86893	-1.27%	0.0003	✓	1.10
2026-02-22	oos	0.91432	0.911087	-0.35%	0.880105	-3.74%	0.0155	✗	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.940855	0.937728	-0.33%	0.91432	-2.82%	0.0198	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.961455	0.957477	-0.41%	0.940855	-2.14%	0.0170	✓	1.10
2026-02-19	oos	0.937415	0.934888	-0.27%	0.961455	+2.56%	0.0116	✗	1.10
2026-02-18	oos	0.94552	0.94258	-0.31%	0.937415	-0.86%	0.0146	✓	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.964055	0.960954	-0.32%	0.94552	-1.92%	0.0009	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.98535	0.982424	-0.30%	0.964055	-2.16%	0.0035	✗	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.98353	0.980077	-0.35%	0.98535	+0.19%	0.0043	✗	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	1.0256	1.0218	-0.38%	0.98353	-4.11%	0.0225	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.994905	0.992044	-0.29%	1.0256	+3.09%	0.0180	✗	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.951765	0.949935	-0.19%	0.994905	+4.53%	0.0043	✗	1.09
2026-02-11	oos	0.915535	0.912061	-0.38%	0.951765	+3.96%	0.0558	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.89853	0.898206	-0.04%	0.915535	+1.89%	0.0476	✗	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.92647	0.926021	-0.05%	0.89853	-3.02%	0.0098	✓	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.924285	0.924889	+0.07%	0.92647	+0.24%	0.0045	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.942885	0.944291	+0.15%	0.924285	-1.97%	0.0377	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.953125	0.955003	+0.20%	0.942885	-1.07%	0.0073	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.871405	0.875871	+0.51%	0.953125	+9.38%	0.0502	✗	1.16
2026-02-04	oos	1.0391	1.0409	+0.17%	0.871405	-16.14%	0.0066	✓	1.22
2026-02-03	oos	1.0712	1.0724	+0.11%	1.0391	-3.00%	0.0124	✓	1.23
2026-02-02	oos	1.1027	1.1031	+0.03%	1.0712	-2.86%	0.0197	✓	1.26
2026-02-01	oos	1.0644	1.0667	+0.21%	1.1027	+3.60%	0.0058	✓	1.21
2026-01-31	oos	1.0623	1.0645	+0.20%	1.0644	+0.20%	0.0285	✓	1.27
2026-01-30	oos	1.1439	1.1417	-0.19%	1.0623	-7.13%	0.0141	✗	1.28
2026-01-29	oos	1.1667	1.164	-0.23%	1.1439	-1.95%	0.0112	✓	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	1.2541	1.2488	-0.42%	1.1667	-6.96%	0.0010	✓	1.29
2026-01-27	oos	1.2817	1.2753	-0.50%	1.2541	-2.16%	0.0175	✓	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	1.2571	1.2514	-0.45%	1.2817	+1.96%	0.0113	✗	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	1.2211	1.2163	-0.39%	1.2571	+2.94%	0.0081	✗	1.28
2026-01-24	oos	1.2757	1.27	-0.45%	1.2211	-4.28%	0.0025	✓	1.28
2026-01-23	oos	1.2804	1.2753	-0.39%	1.2757	-0.36%	0.0059	✗	1.28
2026-01-22	oos	1.2921	1.2867	-0.41%	1.2804	-0.91%	0.0051	✓	1.28
2026-01-21	oos	1.3255	1.3202	-0.40%	1.2921	-2.52%	0.0229	✓	1.28
2026-01-20	oos	1.3028	1.298	-0.37%	1.3255	+1.74%	0.0058	✗	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	1.368	1.3625	-0.40%	1.3028	-4.77%	0.0164	✗	1.30
2026-01-18	oos	1.4	1.3943	-0.41%	1.368	-2.29%	0.0040	✓	1.30
2026-01-17	oos	1.4762	1.4701	-0.42%	1.4	-5.16%	0.0287	✓	1.28
2026-01-16	oos	1.4544	1.4486	-0.39%	1.4762	+1.50%	0.0242	✗	1.28
2026-01-15	oos	1.4334	1.4269	-0.46%	1.4544	+1.46%	0.0202	✗	1.29
2026-01-14	oos	1.5706	1.5582	-0.79%	1.4334	-8.73%	0.0655	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	1.4677	1.4603	-0.51%	1.5706	+7.01%	0.0526	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	1.3898	1.3824	-0.53%	1.4677	+5.61%	0.0039	✓	1.24
2026-01-11	oos	1.4367	1.4293	-0.52%	1.3898	-3.27%	0.0324	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	1.4856	1.4775	-0.55%	1.4367	-3.29%	0.0349	✓	1.26
2026-01-09	oos	1.4893	1.4802	-0.61%	1.4856	-0.25%	0.0057	✓	1.33
2026-01-08	oos	1.4799	1.4727	-0.49%	1.4893	+0.64%	0.0186	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	1.4637	1.4572	-0.45%	1.4799	+1.10%	0.0199	✗	1.60
2026-01-06	oos	1.5151	1.5036	-0.76%	1.4637	-3.39%	0.0151	✗	1.59
2026-01-05	oos	1.4615	1.452	-0.65%	1.5151	+3.67%	0.0451	✗	1.63
2026-01-04	oos	1.3934	1.3873	-0.44%	1.4615	+4.89%	0.0102	✗	1.63
2026-01-03	oos	1.3749	1.3687	-0.45%	1.3934	+1.34%	0.0018	✓	1.64
2026-01-02	oos	1.3822	1.3743	-0.58%	1.3749	-0.53%	0.0112	✓	1.63
2026-01-01	oos	1.3373	1.3316	-0.42%	1.3822	+3.36%	0.0151	✗	1.63
2025-12-31	oos	1.3375	1.325	-0.94%	1.3373	-0.02%	0.0137	✓	1.63
2025-12-30	oos	1.2769	1.2723	-0.36%	1.3375	+4.75%	0.0667	✗	1.63
2025-12-29	oos	1.2937	1.2875	-0.48%	1.2769	-1.30%	0.0324	✓	1.64
2025-12-28	oos	1.2693	1.265	-0.34%	1.2937	+1.92%	0.0368	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	1.3008	1.2928	-0.62%	1.2693	-2.42%	0.0196	✓	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	1.1997	1.1956	-0.34%	1.3008	+8.43%	0.0750	✗	1.61
2025-12-25	oos	1.2119	1.209	-0.24%	1.1997	-1.01%	0.0101	✓	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	1.2547	1.2514	-0.26%	1.2119	-3.40%	0.0240	✓	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	1.2602	1.2556	-0.36%	1.2547	-0.44%	0.0041	✓	1.63
2025-12-22	oos	1.2528	1.2494	-0.27%	1.2602	+0.59%	0.0296	✗	1.64
2025-12-21	oos	1.2495	1.2464	-0.25%	1.2528	+0.27%	0.0067	✗	1.64
2025-12-20	oos	1.2931	1.2902	-0.22%	1.2495	-3.37%	0.0380	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	1.3088	1.3062	-0.19%	1.2931	-1.20%	0.0145	✓	1.67
2025-12-18	oos	1.2297	1.228	-0.14%	1.3088	+6.43%	0.0134	✗	1.66
2025-12-17	oos	1.279	1.274	-0.39%	1.2297	-3.85%	0.0209	✓	1.66
2025-12-16	oos	1.3645	1.3607	-0.27%	1.279	-6.27%	0.0309	✓	1.64
2025-12-15	oos	1.3748	1.3721	-0.20%	1.3645	-0.75%	0.0329	✓	1.66
2025-12-14	oos	1.4232	1.4184	-0.34%	1.3748	-3.40%	0.0020	✓	1.65
2025-12-13	oos	1.5249	1.5109	-0.92%	1.4232	-6.67%	0.0216	✓	1.64
2025-12-12	oos	1.401	1.3972	-0.27%	1.5249	+8.84%	0.0878	✗	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	1.4442	1.4387	-0.38%	1.401	-2.99%	0.0141	✗	1.64
2025-12-10	oos	1.4817	1.477	-0.32%	1.4442	-2.53%	0.0314	✓	1.65
2025-12-09	oos	1.508	1.5028	-0.35%	1.4817	-1.74%	0.0025	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	1.4482	1.4438	-0.31%	1.508	+4.13%	0.0077	✗	1.61
2025-12-07	oos	1.411	1.407	-0.28%	1.4482	+2.63%	0.0244	✗	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	1.4341	1.4301	-0.28%	1.411	-1.61%	0.0340	✓	1.62
2025-12-05	oos	1.4338	1.43	-0.26%	1.4341	+0.02%	0.0043	✗	1.62
2025-12-04	oos	1.4938	1.4891	-0.32%	1.4338	-4.02%	0.0116	✗	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	1.568	1.5618	-0.39%	1.4938	-4.73%	0.0207	✓	1.62
2025-12-02	oos	1.5234	1.5174	-0.39%	1.568	+2.93%	0.0048	✓	1.62
2025-12-01	oos	1.4132	1.4092	-0.29%	1.5234	+7.79%	0.0149	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	1.5396	1.5343	-0.34%	1.4132	-8.21%	0.0070	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	1.5966	1.5912	-0.34%	1.5396	-3.57%	0.0248	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	1.6139	1.6088	-0.31%	1.5966	-1.07%	0.0063	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	1.606	1.601	-0.31%	1.6139	+0.49%	0.0154	✗	1.63
2025-11-26	oos	1.6006	1.5953	-0.33%	1.606	+0.34%	0.0084	✓	1.61
2025-11-25	oos	1.6068	1.6019	-0.30%	1.6006	-0.38%	0.0588	✓	1.64
2025-11-24	oos	1.5759	1.5713	-0.29%	1.6068	+1.96%	0.0400	✗	1.65
2025-11-23	oos	1.5337	1.5305	-0.21%	1.5759	+2.75%	0.0024	✗	1.61
2025-11-22	oos	1.5386	1.5366	-0.13%	1.5337	-0.32%	0.0417	✓	1.61
2025-11-21	oos	1.5401	1.5387	-0.09%	1.5386	-0.10%	0.0069	✗	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.6038	1.6018	-0.12%	1.5401	-3.97%	0.0136	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	1.691	1.6866	-0.26%	1.6038	-5.16%	0.0330	✗	1.51
2025-11-18	oos	1.7404	1.7353	-0.29%	1.691	-2.84%	0.0028	✓	1.46
2025-11-17	oos	1.7034	1.6993	-0.24%	1.7404	+2.17%	0.0109	✗	1.48
2025-11-16	oos	1.7135	1.7092	-0.25%	1.7034	-0.59%	0.0302	✗	1.50
2025-11-15	oos	1.7541	1.7484	-0.33%	1.7135	-2.32%	0.0015	✓	1.51
2025-11-14	oos	1.723	1.7191	-0.23%	1.7541	+1.81%	0.0037	✗	1.51
2025-11-13	oos	1.7726	1.7677	-0.28%	1.723	-2.80%	0.0578	✗	1.58
2025-11-12	oos	1.8397	1.8326	-0.39%	1.7726	-3.65%	0.0015	✓	1.58
2025-11-11	oos	1.8526	1.8422	-0.56%	1.8397	-0.69%	0.0201	✗	1.60
2025-11-10	oos	1.9526	1.9445	-0.41%	1.8526	-5.12%	0.0034	✓	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	1.9274	1.9195	-0.41%	1.9526	+1.31%	0.0024	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	1.9391	1.9317	-0.38%	1.9274	-0.60%	0.0404	✓	1.64
2025-11-07	oos	1.9803	1.9705	-0.49%	1.9391	-2.08%	0.0006	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	1.7402	1.7322	-0.46%	1.9803	+13.79%	0.1040	✗	1.53
2025-11-05	oos	1.7668	1.7601	-0.38%	1.7402	-1.50%	0.0275	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	1.6816	1.6748	-0.40%	1.7668	+5.06%	0.0178	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	1.7127	1.7055	-0.42%	1.6816	-1.81%	0.0648	✗	1.61
2025-11-02	oos	1.9062	1.8956	-0.55%	1.7127	-10.15%	0.0442	✓	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	1.9209	1.9103	-0.55%	1.9062	-0.77%	0.0090	✓	1.57
2025-10-31	oos	1.8542	1.8445	-0.52%	1.9209	+3.60%	0.0335	✗	1.57
2025-10-30	oos	1.8227	1.813	-0.53%	1.8542	+1.73%	0.0045	✓	1.57
2025-10-29	oos	1.9662	1.955	-0.57%	1.8227	-7.30%	0.0457	✓	1.54
2025-10-28	oos	1.9677	1.955	-0.64%	1.9662	-0.08%	0.0464	✗	1.58
2025-10-27	oos	2.0146	2.0013	-0.66%	1.9677	-2.33%	0.0005	✓	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	2.0561	2.0416	-0.71%	2.0146	-2.02%	0.0070	✓	1.58
2025-10-25	oos	2.0024	1.9883	-0.70%	2.0561	+2.68%	0.0073	✓	1.60
2025-10-24	oos	2.0022	1.9881	-0.70%	2.0024	+0.01%	0.0018	✓	1.60
2025-10-23	oos	1.9817	1.9682	-0.68%	2.0022	+1.03%	0.0037	✓	1.60
2025-10-22	oos	1.9103	1.8985	-0.62%	1.9817	+3.74%	0.0057	✓	1.60
2025-10-21	oos	1.9539	1.9403	-0.70%	1.9103	-2.23%	0.0040	✓	1.60
2025-10-20	oos	2.0054	1.9897	-0.79%	1.9539	-2.57%	0.0146	✗	1.62
2025-10-19	oos	1.9754	1.9608	-0.74%	2.0054	+1.52%	0.0050	✓	1.60
2025-10-18	oos	1.951	1.9393	-0.60%	1.9754	+1.25%	0.0034	✓	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	1.9039	1.895	-0.47%	1.951	+2.48%	0.0180	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	1.9469	1.9378	-0.47%	1.9039	-2.21%	0.0081	✗	1.59
2025-10-15	oos	1.9967	1.9861	-0.53%	1.9469	-2.49%	0.0181	✗	1.60
2025-10-14	oos	2.0833	2.0726	-0.51%	1.9967	-4.16%	0.0051	✓	1.59
2025-10-13	oos	2.1431	2.1314	-0.55%	2.0833	-2.79%	0.0079	✗	1.59
2025-10-12	oos	2.0736	2.0612	-0.60%	2.1431	+3.35%	0.0362	✗	1.56
2025-10-11	oos	1.8642	1.858	-0.33%	2.0736	+11.24%	0.0533	✗	1.48
2025-10-10	oos	1.8564	1.8492	-0.39%	1.8642	+0.42%	0.0380	✗	1.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.4184	2.4044	-0.58%	1.8564	-23.24%	0.1864	✓	0.97
2025-10-08	oos	2.361	2.3358	-1.07%	2.4184	+2.43%	0.0479	✗	0.99
2025-10-07	oos	2.1119	2.1011	-0.51%	2.361	+11.79%	0.1018	✗	0.93
2025-10-06	oos	2.2461	2.2355	-0.48%	2.1119	-5.97%	0.0321	✓	0.92
2025-10-05	oos	2.2013	2.1909	-0.48%	2.2461	+2.03%	0.0161	✗	0.92
2025-10-04	oos	2.219	2.2087	-0.47%	2.2013	-0.80%	0.0113	✓	0.93
2025-10-03	oos	2.2901	2.2791	-0.48%	2.219	-3.11%	0.0278	✓	0.93
2025-10-02	oos	2.2757	2.2609	-0.65%	2.2901	+0.63%	0.0001	✓	0.93
2025-10-01	oos	2.2512	2.2287	-1.00%	2.2757	+1.09%	0.0052	✓	0.96
2025-09-30	oos	2.1253	2.1121	-0.62%	2.2512	+5.92%	0.0274	✗	0.92
2025-09-29	oos	2.1696	2.1553	-0.66%	2.1253	-2.04%	0.0115	✓	0.98
2025-09-28	oos	2.1798	2.1659	-0.64%	2.1696	-0.47%	0.0179	✓	1.03
2025-09-27	oos	2.1455	2.1334	-0.57%	2.1798	+1.60%	0.0022	✓	1.05
2025-09-26	oos	2.1906	2.179	-0.53%	2.1455	-2.06%	0.0153	✓	1.06
2025-09-25	oos	2.0536	2.0456	-0.39%	2.1906	+6.67%	0.0621	✗	1.05
2025-09-24	oos	2.2369	2.2235	-0.60%	2.0536	-8.19%	0.0425	✓	0.95
2025-09-23	oos	2.1573	2.1452	-0.56%	2.2369	+3.69%	0.0307	✗	0.94
2025-09-22	oos	2.1717	2.1594	-0.57%	2.1573	-0.66%	0.0050	✓	0.93
2025-09-21	oos	2.3435	2.3292	-0.61%	2.1717	-7.33%	0.0508	✓	0.86
2025-09-20	oos	2.3902	2.3757	-0.61%	2.3435	-1.95%	0.0097	✓	0.98
2025-09-19	oos	2.4013	2.3874	-0.58%	2.3902	-0.46%	0.0007	✓	0.98
2025-09-18	oos	2.4847	2.4694	-0.62%	2.4013	-3.36%	0.0159	✓	0.99
2025-09-17	oos	2.4803	2.46	-0.82%	2.4847	+0.18%	0.0045	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.