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2022-08-28 · +1d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3315
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.7%
in alpha space · 26.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00342.01+0.33%2.1453+7.08%0.0210✓1.2013k2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.138481+0.28%0.164+18.75%0.1308✓1.041,7802022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.7545+0.27%6.339+10.45%0.0488✓1.3010.0M2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative1.6921.6961+0.24%1.919+13.42%0.0742✓1.341.2M2022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.9897+0.24%3.1823+6.70%0.0253✓1.0126k2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9331.0004+0.23%33.55+8.47%0.0242✓1.4914.6M2022-08-29
OPTIMOptimism1.0541.0563+0.22%1.174+11.39%0.0419✓1.733.3M2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum29.2629.324+0.22%32.49+11.04%0.0333✓1.88304k2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.490045+0.21%0.525+7.36%0.0228✓1.252,6092022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.060524+0.20%0.0617+2.15%0.0269✗1.26908k2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.062413+0.20%0.06651+6.77%0.0228✓1.112.2M2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4019,681.58+0.18%20,303.80+3.35%0.0035✗0.9411k2022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.32057+0.18%0.3367+5.22%0.0063✓1.16146k2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.27.2118+0.16%7.74+7.50%0.0296✓1.12534k2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00431.0059+0.16%1.1021+9.74%0.0457✓1.24973k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.304867+0.15%0.3223+5.88%0.0159✓1.08112k2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5778.6837+0.14%85.76+9.15%0.0310✓1.506.5M2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5318.5547+0.13%19.33+4.32%0.0076✗1.3222.5M2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.6549+0.13%4.983+7.18%0.0187✓1.348.9M2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.9524+0.12%2.15+10.26%0.0515✓1.22255k2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.3616+0.12%1.495+9.93%0.0503✓1.17128k2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,428.19+0.11%1,551.65+8.76%0.0332✓1.35597.1M2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.118304+0.09%0.1311+10.91%0.0674✓0.961.8M2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.646761+0.07%0.6813+5.42%0.0000✓1.41242k2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3311.3379+0.07%12.6+11.21%0.0666✓1.061.9M2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.085456+0.07%0.0924+8.20%0.0429✓0.96409k2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.002989+0.06%0.003238+8.40%0.0465✓0.911.1M2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.734+0.06%1.768+2.02%0.0152✗0.94137k2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.846628+0.04%0.87542+3.45%0.0028✗0.9814k2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2516.2537+0.04%6.7+7.18%0.0300✓1.0619.0M2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.822+0.04%5.12+6.22%0.0285✓0.861.6M2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.774683+0.04%0.8693+12.25%0.0768✓1.041.9M2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.6005+0.03%1.729+8.06%0.0428✓0.94623k2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.2013+0.02%1.2628+5.15%0.0167✓0.901.5M2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.6402+0.02%6.015+6.67%0.0327✓0.8610.1M2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.236244+0.02%0.2484+5.17%0.0152✓0.9579k2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.524422+0.01%0.55401+5.65%0.0071✓1.3041k2022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.000011771+0.01%0.00001248+6.03%0.0235✓0.95886k2022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.645043+0.01%0.698+8.22%0.0471✓0.86242k2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.326085-0.00%0.3499+7.30%0.0240✗1.26176k2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.9438-0.01%2.089+7.46%0.0299✗1.1547k2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6716.6676-0.01%17.22+3.30%0.0060✗0.72952k2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0319,549.25-0.02%20,286.97+3.75%0.0002✓1.00474.0M2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.045489-0.02%0.0491+7.91%0.0402✗0.98843k2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0964.0949-0.03%4.266+4.15%0.0352✗0.162.3M2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.4256-0.03%1.5357+7.69%0.0335✗1.11319k2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.378,471.08-0.03%9,081.72+7.18%0.0195✗1.366.5M2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.3386-0.03%4.53+4.38%0.0250✗0.491.3M2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.034488-0.04%0.0365+5.80%0.0224✗0.9386k2022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.021612-0.04%0.02267+4.86%0.0160✗0.8612.4M2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.8065-0.04%6.102+5.04%0.0341✗0.425.3M2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.428917-0.04%0.4505+4.99%0.0128✗0.9939.2M2022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.2295-0.04%1.33+8.13%0.0437✗0.95154k2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.055376-0.04%0.0606+9.39%0.0560✗0.9399k2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.9961-0.05%4.177+4.48%0.0301✗0.392.0M2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.992919-0.05%1.0799+8.71%0.0286✗1.514.6M2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana30.4530.4337-0.05%32.41+6.44%0.0194✗1.1867.0M2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.002890.002888-0.05%0.00301+4.15%0.0037✗1.02508k2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.932883-0.06%0.9656+3.45%0.0150✗0.533.6M2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.644635-0.06%0.684+6.05%0.0142✗1.224.8M2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.13362-0.06%0.1447+8.23%0.0423✗1.02553k2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06212.0543-0.06%12.6602+4.96%0.0135✗0.9735k2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.099134-0.07%0.1063+7.16%0.0298✗1.093.6M2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.8268-0.07%1.955+6.95%0.0062✗1.6890k2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.51-0.07%1.615+6.88%0.0232✗1.2088k2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59112.5032-0.08%119.61+6.24%0.0191✗1.144.7M2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.035672-0.08%0.0373+4.48%0.0154✗0.7911k2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.03549-0.09%0.03677+3.52%0.0016✓1.0131k2022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.159063-0.09%0.1725+8.35%0.0302✗1.382,2552022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum92.3192.2292-0.09%101.16+9.59%0.0616✗0.843.3M2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.861694-0.09%0.918733+6.52%0.0344✗0.8177k2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.7134-0.10%1.8412+7.35%0.0319✗1.0931k2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.313304-0.10%0.33586+7.09%0.0365✗0.90378k2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.082.0778-0.11%2.13+2.40%0.0043✓0.79384k2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1613.1453-0.11%13.83+5.09%0.0092✗1.131.0M2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.139444-0.11%0.148+6.02%0.0223✗1.01149k2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.327683-0.11%0.3476+5.96%0.0229✗0.9850k2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.35290.352486-0.12%0.3701+4.87%0.0058✗1.17410k2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.519.4987-0.12%10.28+8.10%0.0348✗1.20386k2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.118259-0.12%0.123+3.89%0.0017✗1.0230k2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8543.7952-0.12%48.57+10.76%0.0582✗1.2312k2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.8622-0.13%6.29+7.16%0.0542✗0.442.1M2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.32284.317-0.13%4.397+1.72%0.0100✓0.77775k2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.079092-0.14%0.0843+6.44%0.0286✗0.9614k2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.55910.5446-0.14%11.438+8.32%0.0398✗1.1310.4M2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.101161-0.14%0.1045+3.16%0.0004✓0.87200k2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC8.50e-78.49e-7-0.14%8.90e-7+4.71%0.0187✗0.782.3M2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.042934-0.14%0.044565+3.65%0.0061✗0.8529k2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.12003-0.14%0.1306+8.65%0.0642✗0.553.8M2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.6033-0.14%2.856+9.55%0.0610✗0.86734k2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.6632-0.14%1.7099+2.66%0.0087✓0.991.2M2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.272709-0.14%0.291+6.55%0.0296✗0.963.2M2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.213089-0.15%0.2219+3.98%0.0074✓1.30133k2022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.434264-0.15%0.4607+5.93%0.0179✗1.12364k2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.362509-0.15%0.3855+6.19%0.0259✗0.9745k2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.202097-0.15%0.2102+3.85%0.0018✗1.0261k2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.068866-0.15%0.07284+5.61%0.0124✗1.1927k2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.74719-0.15%0.79536+6.29%0.0296✗0.89509k2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.1902-0.15%1.263+5.96%0.0154✗1.20491k2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.012982-0.15%0.013701+5.38%0.0304✗0.641.3M2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.097948-0.16%0.1032+5.20%0.0242✗0.76247k2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.838688-0.16%0.946+12.62%0.1055✗0.404.2M2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.098.0773-0.16%8.46+4.57%0.0287✗0.482.1M2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.782962-0.16%0.7824-0.23%0.0552✓1.48161k2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.217955-0.16%0.2257+3.39%0.0016✗0.90528k2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.061652-0.16%0.063828+3.37%0.0040✓1.051.7M2022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.165.1517-0.16%5.31+2.91%0.0141✗0.442.5M2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.1272-0.16%1.189+5.31%0.0172✗0.981.9M2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.931682-0.16%0.987+5.77%0.0129✗1.22972k2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.8498-0.16%7.276+6.05%0.0220✗1.0413.1M2022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.00551-0.17%0.005874+6.44%0.0393✗0.672,5882022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.366671-0.17%0.4238+15.38%0.1034✗1.1289k2022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.29243-0.17%0.30106+2.77%0.0094✓1.0412k2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.524085-0.17%0.553+5.33%0.0146✗1.0678k2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase14.814.7735-0.18%16.44+11.08%0.0668✗1.09119k2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0287-0.19%6.38+5.63%0.0405✗0.441.9M2022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.163692-0.19%0.174+6.10%0.0219✗1.07399k2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.131472-0.19%0.13956+5.95%0.0144✗1.23210k2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash61.1761.0548-0.19%63.75+4.22%0.0016✓1.131.9M2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.487074-0.19%0.527+7.99%0.0367✗1.1486k2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.290723-0.19%0.305285+4.81%0.0091✗1.08593k2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38212.3578-0.20%12.777+3.19%0.0149✗0.506.1M2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.044309-0.20%0.044446+0.11%0.0162✓0.5228k2022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3872-0.20%1.44+3.60%0.0400✗-0.07105k2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.058084-0.20%0.0576-1.03%0.0509✓1.16252k2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.96-0.20%3.47+16.99%0.1041✗1.493.8M2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.0492-0.20%0.0525+6.49%0.0283✗1.00249k2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.3393-0.21%0.3664+7.76%0.0373✗1.07170k2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001343-0.21%0.001401+4.11%0.0129✗0.802.1M2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.044089-0.21%0.04816+9.01%0.0646✗0.6416k2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.7978-0.21%9.1+3.22%0.0017✓0.961.5M2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.061772-0.21%0.0637+2.91%0.0027✓0.91107k2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.006406-0.21%0.00649+1.09%0.0103✓0.631.1M2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.237.1204-0.21%35-5.91%0.0849✓0.711.6M2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.281695-0.21%0.2981+5.60%0.0235✗0.907.1M2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.209747-0.22%0.2159+2.71%0.0014✓0.822.9M2022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.061257-0.22%0.063437+3.33%0.0128✗0.60142k2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.020341-0.22%0.020994+2.98%0.0015✓0.8213k2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.913975-0.22%0.989+7.97%0.0332✗1.241.4M2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.263214-0.22%0.2566-2.73%0.0597✓0.9394k2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero146.4146.0658-0.23%152.71+4.31%0.0084✗0.981.2M2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.099371-0.23%0.101+1.41%0.0106✓0.733,2112022-08-29
DASHDashDash44.1444.0382-0.23%47.46+7.52%0.0392✗0.97466k2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.629519-0.23%0.672+6.50%0.0310✗0.93235k2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.066959-0.24%0.06742+0.45%0.0232✓0.829142022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.3243-0.25%2.24-3.86%0.0560✓0.5293k2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.102466-0.26%0.105918+3.10%0.0025✓0.837.1M2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52820.526804-0.26%0.5461+3.39%0.0039✗0.871.3M2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum25.3525.281-0.27%27.34+7.85%0.0428✗0.967.3M2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.03841.0356-0.27%1.0621+2.28%0.0058✓0.8550k2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79351.651-0.27%54.194+4.64%0.0209✗0.74328k2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.024134-0.27%0.02554+5.54%0.0096✗1.283,4352022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2756.2577-0.27%6.682+6.49%0.0327✗0.895.2M2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1064.0946-0.28%4.203+2.36%0.0107✓1.00245k2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.410792-0.29%0.441+7.04%0.0337✗1.018,1172022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.27418-0.30%0.283+2.91%0.0048✗0.73710k2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.57e-7-0.30%8.80e-7+2.33%0.0038✓0.8116k2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008454-0.31%0.00891+5.07%0.0244✗0.766.2M2022-08-29
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.189697-0.32%0.2019+6.10%0.0255✗1.00146k2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.041764-0.32%0.0441+5.25%0.0188✗0.97175k2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-77.75e-7-0.32%8.65e-7+11.23%0.0785✗0.85542k2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3853.2032-0.33%55.79+4.51%0.0112✗0.9812.8M2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.159222-0.34%0.15839-0.86%0.0815✓2.076362022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001582-0.34%0.001636+3.09%0.0015✓0.96538k2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration45.445.2402-0.35%50.12+10.40%0.0665✗0.98560k2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.022061-0.36%0.02336+5.51%0.0275✗0.81419k2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003916-0.36%0.00407+3.56%0.0020✓0.99158k2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.6421-0.37%3.8811+6.17%0.0417✗0.593.7M2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.006682-0.38%0.006696-0.18%0.0137✓0.4358k2022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.259998-0.38%0.2615+0.19%0.0055✗0.0191k2022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.001497-0.40%0.001529+1.73%0.0047✓0.709,7092022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.037159-0.43%0.03792+1.61%0.0094✓0.812,7072022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.022859-0.45%0.023085+0.53%0.0059✗0.11262k2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.085975-0.47%0.08429-2.42%0.0220✓0.06598k2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1755.1498-0.49%5.2836+2.10%0.0208✗0.13119k2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.730.726406-0.49%0.74+1.37%0.0063✗0.3384k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.014701-0.54%0.0151+2.17%0.0015✓0.69165k2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.496686-0.58%0.523+4.68%0.0211✗0.83625k2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.00012434-0.61%0.0001317+5.28%0.0290✗0.77352k2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55375.5194-0.62%5.7778+4.04%0.0384✗0.205.2M2022-08-29
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38864.3594-0.67%4.68+6.64%0.0342✗1.00147k2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.361251-0.73%0.36085-0.84%0.0357✓0.94321k2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43525.3889-0.85%6.0774+11.82%0.1114✗0.244.6M2022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.008166-1.02%0.00853+3.39%0.0023✓1.12477k2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000046760.000045179-3.38%0.00004993+6.78%0.0685✗0.861.7M2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.7332-3.69%3.276-15.48%0.1527✓0.60650k2022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.