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2022-08-01 · +1d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0212
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.1%
in alpha space · 57.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
HIVEHivenative0.77450.744224-3.91%0.5942-23.28%0.2108✓1.171.4M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.113-2.35%1.0822-5.05%0.0078✓1.65205k2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.146756-1.77%0.1359-9.04%0.0632✓1.11698k2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.7234-1.49%5.73-1.38%0.0087✓0.61732k2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2509-1.04%3.3336+1.47%0.0361✗0.891.2M2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.822384-1.04%0.816-1.81%0.0105✗1.493,6872022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.6992-0.88%8.196-6.61%0.0465✓1.062.4M2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.4746-0.85%6.51-0.31%0.0131✗0.621.2M2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.219.0433-0.82%21.17+10.26%0.1165✗0.862.2M2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.5005-0.76%1.635+8.13%0.1102✗1.981.7M2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.142754-0.73%0.1378-4.17%0.0195✓1.2859k2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,531.86-0.68%10,752.27-7.40%0.0528✓1.404.2M2022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000104135-0.63%0.00010013-4.45%0.0153✓1.94592k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1917-0.62%1.126-6.10%0.0432✓1.1010k2022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.537004-0.57%0.5474+1.35%0.0365✗1.41234k2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045918-0.57%0.044-4.72%0.0309✓0.962,3002022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.036593-0.56%0.03854+4.73%0.0706✗1.5212.6M2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.9286-0.56%3.0467+3.45%0.0491✗0.77978k2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0418-0.56%5.05-0.39%0.0104✗0.711.2M2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.343609-0.54%0.34832+0.82%0.0298✗1.3112k2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4428.2921-0.52%27.79-2.29%0.0008✓1.39641k2022-08-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002417-0.49%0.002266-6.71%0.0522✓1.001.8M2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5875-0.49%3.801+5.44%0.0791✗1.735.0M2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum103.46102.9571-0.49%103.43-0.03%0.0171✗1.014.2M2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.8567-0.47%36.59+4.48%0.0659✗1.416.9M2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041111-0.46%0.0396-4.12%0.0224✓1.2371k2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.8059-0.45%9.54-3.15%0.0210✓0.521.7M2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.9175-0.42%3.985+1.30%0.0259✗0.721.4M2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.6525-0.42%56.33-4.36%0.0233✓1.3932k2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.083844-0.41%0.08676+3.05%0.0507✗1.3429k2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1814.1221-0.41%14.94+5.36%0.0736✗1.411.9M2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.05148-0.41%0.04946-4.31%0.0289✓0.9015k2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.02353-0.39%0.024372+3.18%0.0472✗0.989,6292022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.3012-0.38%1.3359+2.27%0.0448✗1.515.6M2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.064557-0.38%0.0595-8.18%0.0639✓1.44154k2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.48534-0.37%0.45527-6.54%0.0543✓0.7863k2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.074-0.37%1.0569-1.95%0.0034✓1.0313k2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.4071-0.37%2.285-5.42%0.0347✓1.41177k2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.264734-0.36%0.2502-5.83%0.0426✓1.13768k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.304799-0.36%0.3039-0.65%0.0109✗1.12300k2022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.503-0.35%33.21-1.22%0.0151✗1.94229k2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.176994-0.34%0.1716-3.38%0.0155✓1.263.5M2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.051273-0.34%0.048695-5.35%0.0370✓1.1938k2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.517277-0.33%0.519+0.00%0.0174✗1.1513k2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.08024-0.32%0.08648+7.43%0.0933✗1.50773k2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.092067-0.32%0.08996-2.60%0.0201✓0.241.1M2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.191905-0.31%0.18917-1.73%0.0141✗2.311,2222022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.709372-0.31%0.65971-7.29%0.0540✓1.5188k2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.3147-0.30%8-4.08%0.0233✓1.246.8M2022-08-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.383-0.29%2.46+2.93%0.0450✗1.07301k2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7899-0.29%1.796+0.06%0.0113✗0.64189k2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.334041-0.29%0.328-2.09%0.0056✓1.03959k2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.905-0.29%5.16+4.90%0.0575✗0.552.0M2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.077-0.28%1.218+12.78%0.1316✗0.701.5M2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0194-0.28%1.874-7.46%0.0591✓1.27415k2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.210025-0.27%0.225+6.84%0.0856✗1.361,6972022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.321-0.27%3.18-4.50%0.0373✓0.4994k2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5559-0.27%1.55-0.64%0.0011✓0.22268k2022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.57e-7-0.26%0.00000101+5.21%0.0657✗1.0025k2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.8396-0.24%3.883+0.88%0.0185✗0.591.7M2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8676-0.24%3.951+1.91%0.0322✗0.88754k2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004768-0.24%0.00462-3.35%0.0154✓1.32112k2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.0856-0.24%6.03-1.15%0.0010✓0.66623k2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.858973-0.24%0.823-4.41%0.0216✓1.735.0M2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3538-0.23%4.526+3.71%0.0459✗0.581.2M2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010186-0.23%0.00965-5.48%0.0422✓0.974.7M2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0291-0.23%0.9992-3.13%0.0152✓1.171.1M2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.3461-0.23%8.248-1.40%0.0054✗1.408.5M2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2433-0.22%1.163-6.66%0.0537✓1.0643k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048198-0.21%0.0463-4.14%0.0236✓1.347,6872022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.9837-0.20%8.1+1.25%0.0313✗1.37263k2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.77045-0.20%0.744-3.63%0.0228✓0.99377k2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.323151-0.20%0.318-1.79%0.0020✓1.1576k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8863-0.20%2.017+6.72%0.0845✗1.42234k2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009362-0.19%0.00928-1.07%0.0067✗1.26359k2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.17167-0.19%0.1596-7.21%0.0575✓1.25491k2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.0181-0.19%1.966-2.77%0.0105✓1.28637k2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.64477-0.19%0.608-5.88%0.0415✓1.4088k2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031983-0.18%0.03144-1.87%0.0019✓1.2414k2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019963-0.18%0.021484+7.43%0.0798✗0.51165k2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.164412-0.17%0.1674+1.64%0.0333✗1.2494k2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.953449-0.16%0.908-4.92%0.0270✓1.77513k2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8544-0.16%2.7482-3.88%0.0187✓1.5612k2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.061103-0.16%0.0581-5.07%0.0344✓1.30799k2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.937322-0.16%0.9732+3.66%0.0486✗0.903.2M2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.335476-0.16%0.3198-4.82%0.0333✓1.183.1M2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.470309-0.15%0.4462-5.27%0.0346✓1.47273k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011953-0.15%0.00001175-1.84%0.0019✓1.23986k2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.362243-0.14%0.34061-6.11%0.0456✓1.301.0M2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.423334-0.13%0.4029-4.95%0.0331✓1.33127k2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.153901-0.13%0.1435-6.88%0.0578✓0.993.5M2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.5597-0.13%22.85-3.14%0.0110✓1.6027.5M2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021533-0.13%0.02154-0.09%0.0130✗1.03159k2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.1375-0.12%17.17-5.45%0.0380✓1.37116k2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.262786-0.12%0.2502-4.90%0.0340✓1.23101k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.078887-0.12%0.0777-1.62%0.0062✓0.731,1722022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001695-0.11%0.001664-1.94%0.0059✓1.0211k2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.2376-0.11%11.02-2.04%0.0046✓1.21243k2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7938-0.11%2.8083+0.41%0.0172✗0.981.0M2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.057173-0.11%0.05605-2.07%0.0125✓0.6022k2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9439-0.11%2.716-7.84%0.0630✓1.4349k2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.120574-0.10%0.1155-4.31%0.0298✓1.07352k2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,149.81-0.10%23,023.60-0.64%0.0066✗0.9814k2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.053148-0.10%0.0531-0.19%0.0145✗1.25269k2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.6376-0.10%6.638-0.09%0.0214✗1.7311.3M2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration64.2364.1716-0.09%60.95-5.11%0.0369✓1.18354k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.7222-0.09%29.4-4.39%0.0323✓0.9510.2M2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.12539-0.09%0.1238-1.35%0.0006✓0.994,9522022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.1211-0.09%14.5774-3.68%0.0222✓1.1868k2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.46130.460901-0.09%0.4398-4.66%0.0315✓1.25778k2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.261574-0.09%0.2618+0.00%0.0010✗0.0128k2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.3904-0.08%9.92-4.61%0.0294✓1.3714.4M2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8577-0.08%2.72-4.90%0.0307✓1.52192k2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.619111-0.08%0.6132-1.03%0.0046✗1.16642k2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029989-0.07%0.0314+4.63%0.0620✗1.311,2932022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5634-0.06%2.6+1.36%0.0358✗1.7595k2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.792557-0.06%0.774-2.40%0.0085✓1.23218k2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0158-0.06%0.95943-5.60%0.0408✓1.32525k2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.496359-0.05%0.4841-2.52%0.0112✓1.1247k2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.220909-0.04%0.212-4.07%0.0225✓1.51821k2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.276886-0.04%0.2636-4.84%0.0359✓1.0867k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.123557-0.03%0.1168-5.50%0.0393✓1.382.8M2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.5082-0.03%6.57+0.92%0.0267✗1.401.1M2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.067385-0.02%0.068+0.89%0.0209✗0.96229k2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.6622-0.02%39.81-4.46%0.0288✓1.3681.1M2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.7177-0.02%1.635-4.83%0.0315✓1.45327k2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.5732-0.01%7.179-5.22%0.0379✓1.2616.9M2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6299-0.01%1.57-3.68%0.0206✓1.37114k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.323-0.00%1.27-4.01%0.0256✓1.241.2M2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.095109+0.01%0.0936-1.58%0.0012✗1.216,7862022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.419421+0.01%0.39795-5.11%0.0376✗1.21118k2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000045145+0.01%0.00004282-5.14%0.0386✗1.161.9M2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.575+0.02%1.4894-5.42%0.0382✗1.44589k2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.01502+0.02%0.015628+4.07%0.0505✓0.881.6M2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero160.69160.7245+0.02%156.99-2.30%0.0098✗1.111.3M2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.6031+0.02%93.42-3.27%0.0131✗1.6610.2M2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001096+0.02%0.001085-1.02%0.0053✓1.291.4M2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2688+0.03%2.1689-4.37%0.0298✗1.2329k2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4234+0.03%1.364-4.15%0.0270✗1.272.5M2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.207065+0.03%0.202-2.42%0.0076✗1.401,1792022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.116237+0.03%0.1134-2.41%0.0087✗1.30472k2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,631.35+0.03%1,631.28+0.03%0.0154✓1.26387.0M2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4206+0.04%1.36-4.23%0.0259✗1.441.1M2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.7006+0.04%60.953+0.46%0.0145✓0.85345k2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0794+0.04%1.0451-3.13%0.0149✗1.411.4M2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003257+0.04%0.003157-3.04%0.0188✗1.021.0M2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.085842+0.05%0.0857-0.12%0.0128✓1.18137k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4363+0.06%2.419-0.66%0.0042✓0.92105k2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.780.780431+0.06%0.76-2.56%0.0191✗0.6179k2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8209+0.06%1.7139-5.82%0.0450✗1.26492k2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.8925+0.07%17.22-3.69%0.0217✗1.351.3M2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060242+0.07%0.0612+1.66%0.0330✓1.40339k2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9622+0.07%2.934-0.88%0.0042✓1.12619k2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4759.5248+0.09%58.09-2.32%0.0102✗1.1613.6M2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.413204+0.10%0.3926-4.89%0.0340✗1.39583k2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017918+0.10%0.01794+0.22%0.0109✓0.78229k2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1511+0.12%3.9681-4.29%0.0316✗1.0939k2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.342822+0.12%0.3267-4.59%0.0342✗1.147.7M2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006329+0.13%0.006204-1.84%0.0088✗0.909,1592022-08-02
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.71e-7+0.13%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0089✓0.836.4M2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.231032+0.14%0.2308+0.04%0.0172✓1.4897k2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.070074+0.15%0.06831-2.38%0.0159✗0.78373k2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.1921+0.15%7.928-3.08%0.0175✗1.2410.0M2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.513575+0.15%0.4966-3.16%0.0182✗1.2541.9M2022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070607+0.15%0.0745+5.67%0.0669✓1.08567k2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0201+0.16%1.0235+0.49%0.0151✓0.9660k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.165682+0.16%0.1626-1.70%0.0002✓1.54212k2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.30e-7+0.18%3.39e-7+2.97%0.0393✓0.96178k2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,322.30+0.21%22,989.40-1.22%0.0021✗1.00414.2M2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.118559+0.22%0.115136-2.68%0.0171✗0.996.8M2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9852+0.22%9.938-0.25%0.0086✓1.082.1M2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068875+0.22%0.066529-3.19%0.0205✗1.151.7M2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003750.003759+0.23%0.00371-1.07%0.0031✓1.31559k2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash62.8763.0182+0.24%61.49-2.20%0.0092✗1.251.5M2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.2034+0.26%5.0698-2.32%0.0234✗0.21210k2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006668+0.27%0.006716+0.99%0.0139✓0.5438k2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008442+0.27%0.00839-0.36%0.0050✓0.911.6M2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.309999+0.28%0.30205-2.29%0.0116✗1.17398k2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87138.2863+0.30%133.77-2.97%0.0186✗1.194.3M2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.729337+0.32%0.742+2.06%0.0321✓1.21806k2022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4314+0.34%4.3491-1.52%0.0098✗0.73916k2022-08-02
DASHDashDash49.7549.9242+0.35%48.53-2.45%0.0147✗1.11574k2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.560521+0.56%0.5396-3.19%0.0240✗1.14341k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.735541+0.62%0.709-3.01%0.0184✗1.4980k2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.064529+0.67%0.073+13.88%0.1333✓0.81155k2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.