8=======>

2022-07-26 · +1d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0078
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.7%
in alpha space · 35.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
RADRadworksEthereum2.652.5799-2.65%3.04+14.72%0.0798✗1.10157k2022-07-27
HIVEHivenative0.50060.494944-1.13%0.5342+6.71%0.0153✓1.191.5M2022-07-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.614.5642-0.99%5.13+11.28%0.0712✗0.59713k2022-07-27
FISStafiEthereum0.45780.453789-0.88%0.3958-13.54%0.2335✓1.263902022-07-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.115.9858-0.71%16.85+4.66%0.0159✓0.892.2M2022-07-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9113.8839-0.69%3.73-4.63%0.1137✓0.95638k2022-07-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.29010.288108-0.69%0.2994+3.21%0.0546✓1.21337k2022-07-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81220.80664-0.68%0.9749+20.03%0.0648✗1.62209k2022-07-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.845253-0.68%0.835-1.88%0.0698✓0.751.1M2022-07-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42250.419791-0.64%0.456+7.93%0.0058✓1.00224k2022-07-27
QNTQuantEthereum92.9692.3934-0.61%97.1+4.45%0.0298✓1.033.7M2022-07-27
OPTIMOptimism0.8260.820994-0.61%1.051+27.24%0.1097✗1.781.1M2022-07-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09040.089858-0.60%0.09551+5.65%0.0160✓1.00722k2022-07-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019890.019772-0.60%0.02029+2.01%0.0555✓1.06136k2022-07-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7520.747535-0.59%0.815+8.38%0.0323✓1.543,6872022-07-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092060.000091523-0.58%0.00009892+7.45%0.0672✓1.88715k2022-07-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.7821.6571-0.56%21.26-2.39%0.1365✓1.53454k2022-07-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94950.944201-0.56%0.9751+2.70%0.0409✓0.953.5M2022-07-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.7402-0.47%15.48+20.94%0.0860✗1.411.3M2022-07-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162440.161725-0.44%0.1755+8.04%0.1070✓2.451,1272022-07-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.972.957-0.44%3.75+26.26%0.1077✗1.693.7M2022-07-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.66e-7-0.43%9.20e-7+5.75%0.0167✓1.0025k2022-07-27
XEMNEMnative0.0445030.044312-0.43%0.048196+8.30%0.0086✓1.2022k2022-07-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6780.675122-0.42%0.728+7.37%0.0602✓1.765.2M2022-07-27
QTUMQtumQtum3.68813.6727-0.42%4.1269+11.90%0.0339✗1.0826k2022-07-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06580.065526-0.42%0.07649+16.25%0.0553✗1.2927k2022-07-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3944-0.40%1.42+1.43%0.0000✓0.24319k2022-07-27
METISMetisEthereum27.7627.6485-0.40%33.64+21.18%0.1192✗1.00164k2022-07-27
DIADIAEthereum0.398220.396623-0.40%0.43281+8.69%0.0289✗0.7651k2022-07-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.607290.604878-0.40%0.65033+7.09%0.0483✓1.5780k2022-07-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.1625.0609-0.39%32.94+30.92%0.1736✗1.301.3M2022-07-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0186060.018533-0.39%0.019996+7.47%0.0387✗0.48163k2022-07-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.260814-0.38%0.2616-0.08%0.0020✓0.0131k2022-07-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4720.47026-0.37%0.488+3.39%0.0540✓1.1811k2022-07-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03940.039256-0.36%0.04101+4.09%0.0319✓0.981,9372022-07-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16861.1643-0.36%1.3251+13.39%0.0156✗1.485.1M2022-07-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41540.413892-0.36%0.4491+8.11%0.0340✓1.50220k2022-07-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0772.0696-0.35%2.286+10.06%0.0124✓1.45132k2022-07-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.5876.5649-0.34%7.151+8.56%0.0133✓1.285.3M2022-07-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.904410.901497-0.32%1.0309+13.98%0.0575✗0.9910k2022-07-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.184413-0.32%0.1847-0.16%0.1089✓1.431,6202022-07-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028020.027932-0.32%0.02999+7.03%0.0335✓1.361,2882022-07-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.034.0175-0.31%4.18+3.72%0.0162✓0.73612k2022-07-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1783.1683-0.31%3.31+4.15%0.0031✓0.611.5M2022-07-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044310.044175-0.30%0.04622+4.31%0.0263✓0.9315k2022-07-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058670.005849-0.30%0.005933+1.12%0.0558✓0.913,1552022-07-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.177.149-0.29%7.99+11.44%0.0752✗0.47704k2022-07-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1609-0.29%3.1-2.21%0.0601✓0.5377k2022-07-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.5451.5406-0.29%1.593+3.11%0.0159✓0.64223k2022-07-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6913.6806-0.28%3.913+6.01%0.0202✗0.531.9M2022-07-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.9010.89858-0.27%0.967+7.33%0.0642✓1.79551k2022-07-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,861.886,843.73-0.26%7,170.14+4.49%0.0581✓1.364.0M2022-07-27
COMPCompoundEthereum48.1448.0163-0.26%54.92+14.08%0.0277✗1.3932k2022-07-27
STEEMSteemnative0.23350.232918-0.25%0.2449+4.88%0.0400✓1.17768k2022-07-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025070.025011-0.23%0.0269+7.30%0.0497✓1.5912.6M2022-07-27
DODODODOEthereum0.14280.142506-0.21%0.1526+6.86%0.0311✓1.292.8M2022-07-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11282.1085-0.20%2.2453+6.27%0.0058✓0.89971k2022-07-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201520.020112-0.20%0.021274+5.57%0.0207✓1.006,9032022-07-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.964640.962814-0.19%1.019+5.63%0.0306✓1.139,1202022-07-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27980.279275-0.19%0.3134+12.01%0.0265✗1.1570k2022-07-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014320.001429-0.19%0.001486+3.77%0.0423✓1.0520k2022-07-27
KSMKusamaHydration58.1358.0263-0.18%62.3+7.17%0.0218✓1.21231k2022-07-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403990.403276-0.18%0.40309-0.22%0.1145✓1.48592k2022-07-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.84890.847409-0.18%0.8888+4.70%0.0454✓1.211.2M2022-07-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03310.033043-0.17%0.0357+7.85%0.0177✓1.2368k2022-07-27
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6556.6436-0.17%8.035+20.74%0.0863✗1.355.7M2022-07-27
XMRMoneroMonero151.3151.0424-0.17%161.72+6.89%0.0177✓1.121.2M2022-07-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.10350.103326-0.17%0.1142+10.34%0.0154✗1.10617k2022-07-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.19862.1949-0.17%2.3441+6.62%0.0060✗0.78884k2022-07-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0524420.052354-0.17%0.054158+3.27%0.0140✓0.6218k2022-07-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5530.552084-0.17%0.595+7.59%0.0360✓1.4483k2022-07-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.047222-0.16%0.0502+6.13%0.0333✓1.23256k2022-07-27
FTTFTXEthereum27.0727.027-0.16%29.43+8.72%0.0119✗0.9510.5M2022-07-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5211.5186-0.16%1.639+7.76%0.0353✓1.45212k2022-07-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.112428-0.15%0.1197+6.31%0.0150✓1.015,4502022-07-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010870.000010854-0.15%0.00001154+6.16%0.0361✓1.271.0M2022-07-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7513.7455-0.15%3.909+4.21%0.0038✓0.601.1M2022-07-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6360.635098-0.14%0.695+9.28%0.0155✗0.97360k2022-07-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53720.536445-0.14%0.5756+7.15%0.0214✓1.19642k2022-07-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,133.3021,105.13-0.13%22,891.50+8.32%0.0062✗0.9819k2022-07-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.3544-0.13%4.6+5.50%0.0080✗0.61555k2022-07-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26932.2664-0.13%2.5415+11.99%0.0064✓1.579,1162022-07-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14870.148512-0.13%0.1577+6.05%0.0390✓1.29379k2022-07-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.7120.6846-0.12%23.4+12.99%0.0001✓1.6027.5M2022-07-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.58554.5209-0.12%57.973+6.21%0.0034✓0.84369k2022-07-27
PROPropyEthereum0.760.759129-0.11%0.78+2.63%0.0192✓0.6083k2022-07-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.196775-0.11%0.207+5.08%0.0688✓1.55834k2022-07-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.43e-73.42e-7-0.11%3.55e-7+3.57%0.0397✓0.99229k2022-07-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008680.008671-0.10%0.0091+4.84%0.0279✓0.994.2M2022-07-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068690.06862-0.10%0.07332+6.74%0.0100✗0.731,5492022-07-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141890.014176-0.09%0.014597+2.88%0.0403✓0.901.2M2022-07-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068940.006888-0.09%0.006764-1.89%0.0613✓0.5642k2022-07-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.95.8948-0.09%6.27+6.27%0.0398✓1.32248k2022-07-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026830.026806-0.09%0.02867+6.86%0.0307✓1.2715k2022-07-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2279.2191-0.09%10.316+11.80%0.0071✗1.3713.2M2022-07-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.5811.5797-0.08%1.753+10.88%0.0052✗1.29619k2022-07-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43510.434748-0.08%0.4706+8.16%0.0070✓1.1242k2022-07-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.003002-0.08%0.003099+3.16%0.0463✓1.021.0M2022-07-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07880.078739-0.08%0.0823+4.44%0.0510✓1.24162k2022-07-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017410.017397-0.08%0.01805+3.68%0.0221✓0.77324k2022-07-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06210.062054-0.07%0.0654+5.31%0.0238✓0.99156k2022-07-27
TRXTRONTron0.0653390.065293-0.07%0.068748+5.22%0.0099✓0.80382k2022-07-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.94.8968-0.07%5.05+3.06%0.0193✓0.65514k2022-07-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.366150.365922-0.06%0.39357+7.49%0.0222✓1.24113k2022-07-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2894490.289272-0.06%0.307853+6.36%0.0376✓1.301.0M2022-07-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.878770.878262-0.06%0.956+8.79%0.0199✓1.36392k2022-07-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.107539-0.06%0.1138+5.76%0.0276✓1.09362k2022-07-27
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7585.7551-0.05%6.826+18.55%0.0387✗1.7111.5M2022-07-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2613.2594-0.05%3.422+4.94%0.0046✓0.69488k2022-07-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36680.366635-0.05%0.3958+7.91%0.0279✓1.3673k2022-07-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3292.328-0.04%2.727+17.09%0.0236✗1.7592k2022-07-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3446.3415-0.04%6.864+8.20%0.0192✓1.2816.2M2022-07-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18020.180132-0.04%0.1896+5.22%0.0570✓1.411,0652022-07-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1831.1826-0.03%1.316+11.24%0.0111✗1.241.2M2022-07-27
SOLSolanaSolana36.2936.2798-0.03%40.24+10.88%0.0015✓1.3781.1M2022-07-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.190512.1881-0.02%13.2156+8.41%0.0114✓1.2073k2022-07-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2042.2036-0.02%2.549+15.65%0.0364✗1.4237k2022-07-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3012.3006-0.02%2.441+6.08%0.0118✓0.92105k2022-07-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.09465.0937-0.02%5.1981+2.03%0.0051✗0.20219k2022-07-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.5952.5946-0.02%2.741+5.63%0.0314✓1.12597k2022-07-27
ZENHorizenBase15.1715.168-0.01%16.08+6.00%0.0485✓1.3997k2022-07-27
KCSKuCoinnative9.6649.6627-0.01%10.224+5.79%0.0295✓1.122.1M2022-07-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.953.8932-0.01%59.04+9.54%0.0025✗1.1513.5M2022-07-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.2598-0.01%2.55+12.83%0.0041✗1.52184k2022-07-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8626-0.01%2.0057+7.68%0.0205✓1.2324k2022-07-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14440.144391-0.01%0.15339+6.23%0.0615✓1.58176k2022-07-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12050.120495-0.00%0.1293+7.30%0.0069✓1.013.1M2022-07-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.292850.292838-0.00%0.3082+5.24%0.0526✓1.359,6072022-07-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.00629+0.00%0.01109+76.31%0.4892✓1.01352k2022-07-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11950.119506+0.00%0.126+5.44%0.0494✗1.3354k2022-07-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27630.276328+0.01%0.2981+7.89%0.0168✗1.202.7M2022-07-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35121.3514+0.01%1.4426+6.76%0.0463✗1.45540k2022-07-27
XECeCashnative0.00003920.000039205+0.01%0.0000419+6.89%0.0249✗1.191.8M2022-07-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1515.1523+0.02%16.79+10.83%0.0039✗1.381.3M2022-07-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05860.058612+0.02%0.0633+8.02%0.0342✗1.44342k2022-07-27
STXStacksnative0.39480.39489+0.02%0.4135+4.74%0.0525✗1.28606k2022-07-27
ADACardanoCardano0.46830.468408+0.02%0.5113+9.18%0.0104✗1.2741.4M2022-07-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3152.3156+0.02%2.4306+4.99%0.0280✗0.99806k2022-07-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.2703+0.03%1.38+8.66%0.0292✗1.46912k2022-07-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3905+0.04%1.5+7.91%0.0336✗1.42122k2022-07-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3110.311124+0.04%0.3287+5.69%0.0361✗1.187.5M2022-07-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8970470.897467+0.05%0.963744+7.44%0.0044✗0.9857k2022-07-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.276131+0.05%0.294+6.52%0.0186✗1.06620k2022-07-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2726+0.05%1.355+6.53%0.0389✗1.322.4M2022-07-27
BANDBandEthereum1.4081.4087+0.05%1.523+8.17%0.0339✗1.45303k2022-07-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.04062+0.05%0.0433+6.65%0.0416✗1.377,5232022-07-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.003962+0.05%0.00426+7.58%0.0311✗1.35106k2022-07-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008375+0.06%0.00854+2.03%0.0520✗0.931.4M2022-07-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3215.3242+0.06%5.655+6.28%0.0253✗1.111.9M2022-07-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09720.097259+0.06%0.1112+14.40%0.0291✓1.362.4M2022-07-27
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.983+0.06%5.31+6.63%0.0470✗1.44939k2022-07-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097250.000973157+0.07%0.001066+9.66%0.0089✗1.301.7M2022-07-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.23690.237063+0.07%0.2485+4.90%0.0385✗1.1162k2022-07-27
FLOWFlownative1.5961.5971+0.07%1.776+11.28%0.0090✓1.26379k2022-07-27
AAVEAaveEthereum81.2681.3198+0.07%94.7+16.54%0.0248✓1.668.1M2022-07-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.288.2861+0.07%8.8+6.28%0.0287✗1.15241k2022-07-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,449.631,450.71+0.07%1,636.40+12.88%0.0246✓1.25354.3M2022-07-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22450.224667+0.07%0.2375+5.79%0.0417✗1.26119k2022-07-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046636+0.08%0.0521+11.80%0.0077✓1.34765k2022-07-27
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.71e-7+0.08%9.20e-7+5.75%0.0097✗0.845.9M2022-07-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.05691.0577+0.08%1.1075+4.79%0.0384✗1.1045k2022-07-27
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5575+0.09%1.6434+5.61%0.0450✗1.28492k2022-07-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7826.7881+0.09%7.687+13.34%0.0283✓1.258.7M2022-07-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.317390.317689+0.09%0.33765+6.38%0.0324✗1.21400k2022-07-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0625680.062636+0.11%0.067138+7.30%0.0198✗1.161.8M2022-07-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.662778+0.12%0.719+8.61%0.0150✗1.25149k2022-07-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1055780.105706+0.12%0.112668+6.72%0.0138✗1.016.7M2022-07-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08310.083225+0.15%0.0856+3.01%0.0377✗0.85148k2022-07-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,261.5721,295.11+0.16%22,962.59+8.00%0.0016✓1.00395.4M2022-07-27
ZECZcashZcash55.7555.8387+0.16%61.75+10.76%0.0015✓1.291.4M2022-07-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20850.208832+0.16%0.2257+8.25%0.0380✗1.5099k2022-07-27
XVGVergenative0.003420.003426+0.17%0.00356+4.09%0.0653✗1.35539k2022-07-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049050.049136+0.17%0.05302+8.09%0.0365✗1.46747k2022-07-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.13440.134681+0.21%0.1445+7.51%0.0271✗1.2784k2022-07-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04770.047803+0.22%0.0514+7.76%0.0414✗1.48109k2022-07-27
GTGateEthereum4.01664.0254+0.22%4.1939+4.41%0.0146✗0.72919k2022-07-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.095111+0.22%0.1029+8.43%0.0243✗1.34491k2022-07-27
DASHDashDash43.9944.09+0.23%48.06+9.25%0.0010✓1.11517k2022-07-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81580.817674+0.23%0.8899+9.08%0.0262✗1.441.4M2022-07-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.94119.2279+0.24%127.39+7.10%0.0229✗1.164.0M2022-07-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6490.650735+0.27%0.708+9.09%0.0088✗1.21758k2022-07-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48870.490331+0.33%0.5154+5.46%0.0382✗1.14350k2022-07-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6510.653635+0.40%0.712+9.37%0.0320✗1.5372k2022-07-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06530.065566+0.41%0.0689+5.51%0.0337✗1.08264k2022-07-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07630.076627+0.43%0.0809+6.03%0.0401✗1.236,3652022-07-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.