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2022-05-10 · +1d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.5020
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-37.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
19.9%
in alpha space · 21.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 217.4117.6998+1.66%1.06-93.91%2.6954✗1.777.5M2022-05-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98922.0092+1.01%1.4486-27.18%0.2557✗1.0610.0M2022-05-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.01562.035+0.96%1.177-41.61%0.4939✗0.794.6M2022-05-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8340.84172+0.93%0.54-35.25%0.3594✗1.2531k2022-05-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.355.3951+0.84%3.68-31.21%0.2963✗1.272.9M2022-05-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520.52419+0.81%0.31-40.38%0.4308✗1.40383k2022-05-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.7211.7346+0.79%1.223-28.94%0.2432✗1.57582k2022-05-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.10912.1245+0.73%1.1829-43.91%0.5324✗0.782.5M2022-05-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4552.4727+0.72%1.587-35.36%0.4100✗0.491.9M2022-05-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2960.298058+0.70%0.197-33.45%0.3265✗1.294.1M2022-05-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.011250.011327+0.68%0.00973-13.51%0.1005✗0.76238k2022-05-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34223.3631+0.62%1.8219-45.49%0.5278✗1.267.7M2022-05-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.9112+0.60%4.27-37.85%0.4396✗0.622.8M2022-05-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002280.002294+0.60%0.00125-45.18%0.5238✗1.233.9M2022-05-11
AAVEAaveEthereum105.24105.8642+0.59%82.28-21.82%0.1562✗1.418.6M2022-05-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.726.7598+0.59%4.61-31.40%0.3404✗0.631.2M2022-05-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1070.107631+0.59%0.057-46.73%0.5864✗0.73117k2022-05-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.473230.475885+0.56%0.37834-20.05%0.1318✗1.441.4M2022-05-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.30.301674+0.56%0.19-36.67%0.3651✗1.44250k2022-05-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005360.00539+0.56%0.00367-31.53%0.3331✗0.7620k2022-05-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1342.1458+0.56%1.365-36.04%0.3975✗0.81748k2022-05-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.897.9336+0.55%4.83-38.78%0.4198✗1.13666k2022-05-11
DIADIAEthereum0.510.512796+0.55%0.35-31.37%0.3420✗0.5970k2022-05-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49890.501631+0.55%0.3939-21.05%0.1593✗1.2297k2022-05-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.3682.3805+0.53%1.637-30.87%0.2897✗1.252.6M2022-05-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.791.7994+0.53%1.32-26.26%0.2170✗1.374.0M2022-05-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.421750.423934+0.52%0.30717-27.17%0.2331✗1.3244k2022-05-11
APEApeCoinEthereum9.039.0764+0.51%5.715-36.71%0.3086✗2.2777.0M2022-05-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30330.304849+0.51%0.2258-25.55%0.2236✗1.13486k2022-05-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.8815.961+0.51%13.85-12.78%0.0840✗0.86473k2022-05-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3811.388+0.50%1.001-27.52%0.2449✗1.2117.4M2022-05-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.732.7436+0.50%1.84-32.60%0.3426✗0.84443k2022-05-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.0799+0.49%2.86-29.56%0.3025✗0.78829k2022-05-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.637+0.47%2.25-37.85%0.4302✗0.74429k2022-05-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20540.206353+0.46%0.175-14.80%0.0682✗1.43634k2022-05-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.168166+0.46%0.1257-24.91%0.1898✗1.496.2M2022-05-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06220.062484+0.46%0.0412-33.76%0.3510✗0.971.9M2022-05-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.27340.274625+0.45%0.2133-21.98%0.1716✗1.20186k2022-05-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5992.6103+0.43%1.653-36.40%0.3435✗1.671.1M2022-05-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046280.046481+0.43%0.03319-28.28%0.2548✗1.2187k2022-05-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006020.006046+0.43%0.00457-24.09%0.2061✗1.091.7M2022-05-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5465+0.42%1.05-31.82%0.3488✗0.57221k2022-05-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.2824.3814+0.42%19.2-20.92%0.1477✗1.353.8M2022-05-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56680.569118+0.41%0.415-26.78%0.2238✗1.36299k2022-05-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.280.281121+0.40%0.1885-32.68%0.3454✗0.802,9402022-05-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2793.2921+0.40%2.497-23.85%0.1684✗1.597.4M2022-05-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7490.751978+0.40%0.486-35.11%0.3473✗1.321.7M2022-05-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11150.111941+0.40%0.0782-29.87%0.2442✗1.69232k2022-05-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.2182.2267+0.39%1.428-35.62%0.3948✗0.73903k2022-05-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029420.029535+0.39%0.0209-28.96%0.2851✗0.90227k2022-05-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.654390.656845+0.38%0.49716-24.03%0.1890✗1.3293k2022-05-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.7913.8052+0.37%2.496-34.16%0.3332✗1.31190k2022-05-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.413.4227+0.37%2.35-31.09%0.2672✗1.61357k2022-05-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1140.114424+0.37%0.0833-26.93%0.2236✗1.393.7M2022-05-11
XVGVergenative0.00630.006323+0.37%0.00436-30.79%0.2915✗1.18885k2022-05-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.7332.7428+0.36%1.785-34.69%0.3290✗1.4884k2022-05-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0410.041146+0.36%0.0314-23.41%0.1866✗1.24179k2022-05-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,038.9031,148.94+0.35%28,313.90-8.78%0.0303✗0.9640k2022-05-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0270.027095+0.35%0.014-48.15%0.5258✗1.9923.0M2022-05-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.18820.188852+0.35%0.143-24.02%0.1914✗1.28372k2022-05-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33610.337265+0.35%0.3065-8.81%0.0645✗0.46514k2022-05-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.271.2744+0.35%0.91-28.35%0.2829✗0.80142k2022-05-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1550.155535+0.34%0.1188-23.35%0.1701✗1.47108k2022-05-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11341.1172+0.34%0.76561-31.23%0.2903✗1.29805k2022-05-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1294.1428+0.33%2.623-36.47%0.4032✗0.801.4M2022-05-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7760.778583+0.33%0.574-26.03%0.2305✗1.1050k2022-05-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.43.4112+0.33%2.339-31.21%0.2711✗1.5720k2022-05-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4760.477563+0.33%0.318-33.19%0.3506✗0.831.1M2022-05-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30420.305176+0.32%0.2219-27.05%0.2461✗1.07316k2022-05-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.1770.177565+0.32%0.1056-40.34%0.4094✗1.63902k2022-05-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.151.1537+0.32%0.82-28.70%0.2468✗1.40892k2022-05-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021437+0.31%0.01772-17.08%0.1502✗0.59405k2022-05-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5050.506564+0.31%0.299-40.79%0.4258✗1.501.7M2022-05-11
UMAUMAEthereum4.1944.2059+0.28%2.847-32.12%0.2879✗1.512.2M2022-05-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7570.759097+0.28%0.471-37.78%0.3916✗1.26869k2022-05-11
SCSiacoinnative0.006170.006187+0.28%0.00435-29.50%0.2641✗1.30382k2022-05-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1921.1952+0.27%0.856-28.19%0.2375✗1.428.3M2022-05-11
ZECZcashZcash93.0893.328+0.27%83.09-10.73%0.0333✗1.225.1M2022-05-11
MINAMina Protocolnative1.431.4338+0.26%0.99-30.77%0.2865✗1.24755k2022-05-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147680.014806+0.26%0.012056-18.36%0.1589✗0.69198k2022-05-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche44.5444.6549+0.26%31.1-30.18%0.2737✗1.3045.0M2022-05-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1920.192492+0.26%0.119-38.02%0.4356✗0.6719k2022-05-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.8923.9505+0.25%19.91-16.66%0.1038✗1.204.4M2022-05-11
KSMKusamaHydration93.0393.2642+0.25%72.92-21.62%0.1685✗1.141.1M2022-05-11
XMRMoneroMonero163.04163.4433+0.25%140.01-14.13%0.0883✗0.983.0M2022-05-11
NANOnanopayBase1.38521.3886+0.25%1.0802-22.01%0.1727✗1.16161k2022-05-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0191160.019161+0.24%0.014156-25.95%0.2349✗1.004.3M2022-05-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.013440.01347+0.23%0.01058-21.28%0.1783✗0.933.2M2022-05-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.15340.153744+0.22%0.1157-24.58%0.2164✗1.001.1M2022-05-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5068550.507984+0.22%0.3862-23.80%0.1916✗1.225.7M2022-05-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.053417+0.22%0.04295-19.42%0.1591✗0.879,7632022-05-11
DODODODOEthereum0.2380.238507+0.21%0.166-30.25%0.2735✗1.314.7M2022-05-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.467240.468217+0.21%0.37334-20.10%0.1460✗1.19144k2022-05-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4671+0.21%2.28-34.10%0.3611✗0.86557k2022-05-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.076.0821+0.20%4.89-19.44%0.1413✗1.144.1M2022-05-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.10790.108114+0.20%0.065-39.76%0.4139✗1.40204k2022-05-11
XEMNEMnative0.06080.060918+0.19%0.049-19.41%0.1403✗1.1469k2022-05-11
ADACardanoCardano0.62830.629499+0.19%0.5161-17.86%0.1158✗1.2242.0M2022-05-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.5713.5957+0.19%10.75-20.78%0.1492✗1.2619.8M2022-05-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.3911.3936+0.19%1.068-23.22%0.2074✗0.8725k2022-05-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.76030.761708+0.19%0.5963-21.57%0.1555✗1.326.1M2022-05-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin11.3611.3805+0.18%8.58-24.47%0.2042✗1.167.4M2022-05-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.842.8451+0.18%1.74-38.73%0.3907✗1.49371k2022-05-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.15580.156049+0.16%0.1138-26.96%0.2173✗1.451.8M2022-05-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39110.391666+0.14%0.2974-23.96%0.1982✗1.148.5M2022-05-11
BANDBandEthereum2.2432.2462+0.14%1.809-19.35%0.1253✗1.35537k2022-05-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.08230.082415+0.14%0.056-31.96%0.3214✗0.96416k2022-05-11
STXStacksnative0.680.680938+0.14%0.58-14.71%0.0888✗1.06260k2022-05-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.963.9651+0.13%3.46-12.63%0.0911✗0.67804k2022-05-11
XECeCashnative0.000058420.000058495+0.13%0.0000364-37.69%0.3960✗1.166.7M2022-05-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.31281.3143+0.12%1.0189-22.39%0.1907✗0.9489k2022-05-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.588.5897+0.11%6.93-19.23%0.1299✗1.2519.6M2022-05-11
XTZTezosTezos2.11412.1165+0.11%1.7776-15.92%0.0931✗1.20866k2022-05-11
ZENHorizenBase25.4125.4329+0.09%19.64-22.71%0.1603✗1.45173k2022-05-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.24580.246014+0.09%0.1517-38.28%0.3959✗1.296.8M2022-05-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.3511.3577+0.07%9.05-20.26%0.1456✗1.2011.8M2022-05-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.6817.6904+0.06%14.26-19.34%0.1308✗1.25695k2022-05-11
QNTQuantEthereum72.3972.43+0.06%64.1-11.45%0.0529✗1.023.5M2022-05-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062880.062909+0.05%0.04918-21.79%0.1866✗0.8826k2022-05-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5063.5074+0.04%2.897-17.37%0.1250✗0.9881k2022-05-11
SOLSolanaSolana66.8666.884+0.04%50.82-23.99%0.1868✗1.3087.4M2022-05-11
HIVEHivenative0.59690.597097+0.03%0.4772-20.05%0.1466✗1.141.5M2022-05-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.93751.9381+0.03%1.7025-12.13%0.0891✗0.6015k2022-05-11
STEEMSteemnative0.29290.292958+0.02%0.1956-33.22%0.3362✗1.002.7M2022-05-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash231.66231.7046+0.02%193.96-16.27%0.1052✗1.075.2M2022-05-11
MOVRMoonriverBase28.352528.3565+0.01%21.4392-24.38%0.1862✗1.38195k2022-05-11
COMPCompoundEthereum88.8188.8221+0.01%70.97-20.09%0.1366✗1.3037k2022-05-11
GMTGMTEthereum1.81.8002+0.01%1.317-26.83%0.2448✗1.009.5M2022-05-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1079150.107925+0.01%0.084774-21.44%0.1723✗1.027.1M2022-05-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14210.142101+0.00%0.107-24.70%0.1989✗1.251.2M2022-05-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.09693.0967-0.01%2.5145-18.81%0.1288✓1.17188k2022-05-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.8150.814924-0.01%0.62-23.93%0.1804✓1.37344k2022-05-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014710.014706-0.03%0.00948-35.55%0.3392✓1.4745.0M2022-05-11
KCSKuCoinnative13.91913.9147-0.03%11.39-18.17%0.1428✓0.854.1M2022-05-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011520.011516-0.03%0.00936-18.75%0.1383✓1.021.0M2022-05-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,002.3930,990.68-0.04%28,972.34-6.55%0.0004✗1.00634.5M2022-05-11
DASHDashDash73.3373.2973-0.04%58.06-20.82%0.1588✓1.101.0M2022-05-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.75214.7492-0.06%4.0098-15.62%0.0909✓1.16134k2022-05-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum10.5710.5635-0.06%7.42-29.80%0.2671✓1.278.0M2022-05-11
PROPropyEthereum1.411.409-0.07%1.07-24.11%0.2371✓0.56528k2022-05-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1314.1203-0.07%9.48-32.91%0.3024✓1.423.5M2022-05-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016140.000016129-0.07%0.00001195-25.96%0.2182✓1.211.2M2022-05-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,340.512,338.70-0.08%2,075.93-11.30%0.0507✓1.01464.2M2022-05-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.621.6186-0.08%1.41-12.96%0.0668✓1.05134k2022-05-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.58480.584237-0.10%0.4525-22.62%0.1813✓1.1012.6M2022-05-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001450.000001448-0.11%0.00000121-16.55%0.1306✓0.737.7M2022-05-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.031090.031052-0.12%0.02413-22.39%0.1919✓0.8930k2022-05-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum13,692.5513,675.94-0.12%11,348.99-17.12%0.1107✓1.122.6M2022-05-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12810.127881-0.17%0.078-39.11%0.4267✓1.004.0M2022-05-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0431.0412-0.17%1.001-4.03%0.0371✗1.13574k2022-05-11
TRXTRONTron0.0770550.076914-0.18%0.074146-3.78%0.0197✗0.83463k2022-05-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin80.1279.9562-0.20%66.31-17.24%0.1130✓1.0917.5M2022-05-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10220.101983-0.21%0.0924-9.59%0.0425✓0.83169k2022-05-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.906999-0.22%0.8-11.99%0.0519✓1.093.3M2022-05-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1483970.148031-0.25%0.125737-15.27%0.0945✓1.0113.8M2022-05-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.2663.1035-0.25%52.8-16.53%0.1173✓0.902.0M2022-05-11
GTGateEthereum5.83485.8196-0.26%4.9785-14.68%0.1241✓0.474.7M2022-05-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9771.9718-0.26%1.502-24.03%0.1806✓1.355.3M2022-05-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.18e-78.15e-7-0.32%5.80e-7-29.06%0.3168✓0.351.1M2022-05-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.7381.7315-0.37%1.406-19.10%0.1405✓1.005.2M2022-05-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0109120.010868-0.40%0.009172-15.95%0.1039✓0.9738k2022-05-11
FTTFTXEthereum33.0832.9405-0.42%29.94-9.49%0.0315✓0.9412.7M2022-05-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42455.3963-0.52%5.25-3.22%0.0087✓0.28284k2022-05-11
XYMSymbolnative0.08130.080846-0.56%0.0681-16.24%0.1259✓0.67619k2022-05-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.414.2856-0.79%9.91-31.18%0.2763✓1.32134k2022-05-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.097640.096751-0.91%0.06818-30.17%0.2895✓0.8918k2022-05-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.