8=======>

2022-03-17 · +1d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1515
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-7.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.2%
in alpha space · 17.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum4.5954.5946-0.01%4.609+0.30%0.0092✓0.627.0M2022-03-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.40960.40868-0.22%0.4424+8.01%0.0539✗1.27416k2022-03-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0165490.016494-0.33%0.017275+4.39%0.0308✗0.78167k2022-03-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07110.070856-0.34%0.0717+0.84%0.0069✓0.94150k2022-03-18
KCSKuCoinnative18.16218.0995-0.34%18.259+0.53%0.0092✓0.907.3M2022-03-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,887.4040,743.63-0.35%41,510.70+1.52%0.0004✓0.9652k2022-03-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4042.3953-0.36%2.369-1.46%0.0337✓1.13534k2022-03-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001820.000001813-0.37%0.00000186+2.20%0.0131✗0.6212.6M2022-03-18
RADRadworksEthereum4.344.3238-0.37%4.31-0.69%0.0207✓0.88521k2022-03-18
TRXTRONTron0.0607880.060561-0.37%0.061738+1.56%0.0065✗0.64281k2022-03-18
XVGVergenative0.009130.009095-0.38%0.00928+1.64%0.0028✓1.151.6M2022-03-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022210.000022125-0.38%0.00002236+0.68%0.0127✓1.172.8M2022-03-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.312.301-0.39%2.4+3.90%0.0227✗0.97154k2022-03-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040270.040112-0.39%0.04078+1.27%0.0004✓0.8525k2022-03-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.26109.8196-0.40%111.9+1.49%0.0011✓1.0025.9M2022-03-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50580.50375-0.41%0.512+1.23%0.0013✓0.75452k2022-03-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049740.049538-0.41%0.04977+0.06%0.0170✓1.09459k2022-03-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,950.3340,780.23-0.42%41,774.98+2.01%0.0042✗1.00700.4M2022-03-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV77.9177.5809-0.42%80.59+3.44%0.0231✗0.751.0M2022-03-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.4114.3476-0.43%15.02+4.23%0.0245✗1.0739.3M2022-03-18
GTGateEthereum6.30866.2803-0.45%6.34+0.50%0.0035✓0.653.2M2022-03-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.1519.0638-0.45%20.21+5.54%0.0321✗1.32270k2022-03-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6390.636116-0.45%0.64+0.16%0.0122✓0.922.2M2022-03-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash296.36295.017-0.45%305.71+3.15%0.0171✗0.936.5M2022-03-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15080.150116-0.45%0.1516+0.53%0.0109✓1.04229k2022-03-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.056.0225-0.46%6.14+1.49%0.0047✗0.74830k2022-03-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1896950.188831-0.46%0.192891+1.68%0.0015✓0.9919.3M2022-03-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.71640.713129-0.46%0.74+3.29%0.0303✗0.34749k2022-03-18
COMPCompoundEthereum111.36110.851-0.46%119.38+7.20%0.0513✗1.1548k2022-03-18
XMRMoneroMonero187.84186.9786-0.46%195+3.81%0.0235✗0.931.7M2022-03-18
SCSiacoinnative0.008860.008819-0.46%0.00919+3.72%0.0194✗1.09441k2022-03-18
PROPropyEthereum1.451.4433-0.46%1.4-3.45%0.0514✓1.05217k2022-03-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.927.7698-0.47%28.09+0.68%0.0067✓0.91836k2022-03-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011990.011934-0.47%0.01224+2.09%0.0113✗0.709,5442022-03-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40950.407561-0.47%0.4108+0.32%0.0159✓1.198.8M2022-03-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1164260.115874-0.47%0.119322+2.49%0.0132✗0.812.8M2022-03-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0720.071658-0.48%0.0728+1.11%0.0001✓0.809,6122022-03-18
DASHDashDash96.4295.9612-0.48%98.87+2.54%0.0099✗1.001.7M2022-03-18
XEMNEMnative0.09820.097732-0.48%0.1+1.83%0.0061✗0.8539k2022-03-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.1513.0872-0.48%13.65+3.80%0.0201✗1.10357k2022-03-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0116030.011548-0.48%0.011938+2.89%0.0147✗0.9311k2022-03-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016840.016759-0.48%0.01673-0.65%0.0217✓1.001.3M2022-03-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24460.243423-0.48%0.2478+1.31%0.0014✓0.832.2M2022-03-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1080.10748-0.48%0.105-2.78%0.0340✓0.5339k2022-03-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.386.349-0.49%6.37-0.16%0.0109✓0.71764k2022-03-18
MOVRMoonriverBase50.13849.8929-0.49%54.2608+8.22%0.0572✗1.34159k2022-03-18
XVSVenusEthereum8.778.727-0.49%8.77+0.00%0.0157✓1.043.1M2022-03-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8334.8092-0.49%4.828-0.10%0.0093✓0.66537k2022-03-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1761.1702-0.50%1.216+3.40%0.0189✗0.982.9M2022-03-18
SUSHISushiEthereum3.173.1541-0.50%3.31+4.42%0.0250✗1.166.1M2022-03-18
QNTQuantEthereum114.23113.6394-0.52%116.39+1.89%0.0055✗0.924.5M2022-03-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034580.034401-0.52%0.03367-2.63%0.0359✓0.72853k2022-03-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.1482.1369-0.52%2.189+1.91%0.0085✗0.7821k2022-03-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.024760.024631-0.52%0.0271+9.45%0.0746✗1.05293k2022-03-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.025020.02489-0.52%0.02515+0.52%0.0044✓0.742.7M2022-03-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.5616.4732-0.52%16.88+1.93%0.0044✓1.0014.5M2022-03-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4081.4005-0.53%1.451+3.05%0.0082✗1.36529k2022-03-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4831.475-0.54%1.591+7.28%0.0559✗0.99639k2022-03-18
QTUMQtumQtum5.93755.9053-0.54%6.123+3.12%0.0137✗1.13102k2022-03-18
ADACardanoCardano0.83650.83196-0.54%0.852+1.85%0.0038✓1.0065.1M2022-03-18
KSMKusamaHydration133.2132.4761-0.54%148.53+11.51%0.0922✗1.12664k2022-03-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71590.711961-0.55%0.7285+1.76%0.0033✓0.997.2M2022-03-18
AVTAventusEthereum2.122.1083-0.55%2.07-2.36%0.0269✓0.43309k2022-03-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094180.093659-0.55%0.0956+1.51%0.0030✓0.8830k2022-03-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.1728.0136-0.56%28.63+1.63%0.0009✓1.1442.9M2022-03-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.4417.3429-0.56%17.61+0.97%0.0040✓0.976.3M2022-03-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1145.0855-0.56%5.34+4.42%0.0300✗0.9576k2022-03-18
XTZTezosTezos3.08433.067-0.56%3.1614+2.50%0.0086✗1.091.1M2022-03-18
DODODODOEthereum0.3890.386811-0.56%0.402+3.34%0.0166✗1.102.8M2022-03-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74170.73749-0.57%0.7552+1.82%0.0037✓1.0017.7M2022-03-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.16071.1541-0.57%1.1296-2.68%0.0474✓1.302.1M2022-03-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.23956.2038-0.57%6.0844-2.49%0.0277✓0.42184k2022-03-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.31790.316074-0.57%0.3288+3.43%0.0133✗1.31866k2022-03-18
ZENHorizenBase38.7238.4966-0.58%41.26+6.56%0.0435✗1.30244k2022-03-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,412.7219,299.11-0.59%20,575.06+5.99%0.0430✗1.055.5M2022-03-18
XYMSymbolnative0.13490.13411-0.59%0.133-1.41%0.0239✓0.78296k2022-03-18
HIVEHivenative0.91690.911477-0.59%0.9186+0.19%0.0147✓1.132.0M2022-03-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.811.7992-0.59%1.85+2.21%0.0022✓1.281.3M2022-03-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3893.3688-0.59%3.346-1.27%0.0215✓0.73494k2022-03-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.70710.702879-0.60%0.7275+2.89%0.0081✗1.3293k2022-03-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.6361-0.61%18.96+1.12%0.0043✓1.0825.1M2022-03-18
SOLSolanaSolana87.8887.3449-0.61%89.87+2.26%0.0035✓1.2596.2M2022-03-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7940.789163-0.61%0.836+5.29%0.0313✗1.322.0M2022-03-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1292.116-0.61%2.251+5.73%0.0352✗1.349.5M2022-03-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,814.672,797.42-0.61%2,939.17+4.42%0.0287✗1.04501.7M2022-03-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.80063.7773-0.61%3.8721+1.88%0.0125✗0.623.9M2022-03-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.1526.9829-0.62%28.05+3.31%0.0193✗0.983.9M2022-03-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.33894.3119-0.62%4.3273-0.27%0.0097✓0.663.4M2022-03-18
UNIUniswapEthereum9.239.1723-0.63%9.62+4.23%0.0273✗1.026.1M2022-03-18
DIADIAEthereum0.930.924133-0.63%0.94+1.08%0.0097✗0.37279k2022-03-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.566.5186-0.63%6.43-1.98%0.0283✓0.74954k2022-03-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7523.7282-0.63%3.671-2.16%0.0283✓0.64538k2022-03-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2831.2748-0.64%1.365+6.39%0.0434✗1.253.0M2022-03-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.061.0532-0.64%1.05-0.94%0.0232✓1.01525k2022-03-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5151.5052-0.65%1.574+3.89%0.0251✗0.981.8M2022-03-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.085144-0.65%0.0868+1.28%0.0050✓1.22494k2022-03-18
FTTFTXEthereum43.0642.7804-0.65%44.58+3.53%0.0205✗1.0414.9M2022-03-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32250.320395-0.65%0.3368+4.43%0.0209✗1.4610.3M2022-03-18
ZECZcashZcash153.41152.4066-0.65%172.57+12.49%0.1052✗0.9610.3M2022-03-18
ORCAOrcaSolana2.062.0465-0.66%2.19+6.31%0.0543✗0.67192k2022-03-18
XECeCashnative0.000078450.000077932-0.66%0.00008127+3.59%0.0230✗0.954.5M2022-03-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.09432.0805-0.66%2.1269+1.56%0.0060✓0.81123k2022-03-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21930.217851-0.66%0.2232+1.78%0.0043✓1.00285k2022-03-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003450.003427-0.66%0.00358+3.77%0.0149✗1.445.2M2022-03-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2116.1697-0.67%6.264+0.85%0.0048✓1.00475k2022-03-18
GITCOINGITCOIN5.6125.5743-0.67%5.917+5.43%0.0331✗1.3325k2022-03-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.512.4155-0.68%12.43-0.56%0.0091✓0.521.2M2022-03-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.05931.0521-0.68%1.0729+1.28%0.0035✓1.16116k2022-03-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.134.1016-0.69%4.24+2.66%0.0053✓1.40341k2022-03-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.1394.1099-0.70%4.289+3.62%0.0240✗0.93204k2022-03-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.20230.20087-0.71%0.2119+4.75%0.0277✗1.291.8M2022-03-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.120.119151-0.71%0.1214+1.17%0.0048✓1.182.3M2022-03-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011020.010941-0.72%0.0115+4.36%0.0257✗1.213.1M2022-03-18
STXStacksnative1.271.2608-0.72%1.3+2.36%0.0120✗0.93444k2022-03-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.6924.5111-0.72%25.79+4.46%0.0255✗1.27735k2022-03-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.51160.507892-0.72%0.588+14.93%0.1265✗1.004,8972022-03-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0397840.039494-0.73%0.0395-0.71%0.0188✓0.955.0M2022-03-18
SGBSongbirdnative0.06330.062837-0.73%0.0644+1.74%0.0046✓1.00300k2022-03-18
LUNATerraTerra 286.8486.1837-0.76%88.61+2.04%0.0002✓1.408.8M2022-03-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.1123.0885-0.76%3.3831+8.71%0.0751✗0.814.6M2022-03-18
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5781.566-0.76%1.645+4.25%0.0302✗0.953.4M2022-03-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5163240.512365-0.77%0.537425+4.09%0.0270✗1.041.8M2022-03-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20890.207291-0.77%0.2441+16.85%0.1435✗1.001.8M2022-03-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.147730.14659-0.77%0.1531+3.64%0.0264✗0.8514k2022-03-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.22750.225692-0.79%0.2302+1.19%0.0002✓1.00180k2022-03-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.43892.4193-0.80%2.4451+0.25%0.0130✓1.181.7M2022-03-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.635.5846-0.81%5.95+5.68%0.0364✗1.35458k2022-03-18
UMAUMAEthereum7.7387.6752-0.81%7.638-1.29%0.0308✓1.306.0M2022-03-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072310.071717-0.82%0.07318+1.20%0.0011✓1.0759k2022-03-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7624.7227-0.83%4.924+3.40%0.0233✗0.92103k2022-03-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78930.782749-0.83%0.8733+10.64%0.0853✗1.213.8M2022-03-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06830.067731-0.83%0.0711+4.10%0.0250✗1.18363k2022-03-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.0412.9312-0.83%13.06+0.15%0.0015✓0.423.0M2022-03-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche79.4778.8056-0.84%85.76+7.91%0.0585✗1.31120.2M2022-03-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.3149.888-0.84%50.47+0.32%0.0134✓1.254.9M2022-03-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.923.8869-0.84%4.055+3.44%0.0224✗1.00368k2022-03-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.60.594705-0.88%0.68+13.33%0.1043✗1.49511k2022-03-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2390.236885-0.89%0.233-2.51%0.0329✓0.8236k2022-03-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.05152.0332-0.89%2.1916+6.83%0.0608✗0.7114k2022-03-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.3994.3592-0.91%5.029+14.32%0.1178✗1.262.4M2022-03-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.258.1744-0.92%8.18-0.85%0.0135✓0.711.6M2022-03-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.852720.844715-0.94%0.84294-1.15%0.0246✓1.13111k2022-03-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.21050.208521-0.94%0.2087-0.86%0.0223✓1.162.3M2022-03-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.42350.419493-0.95%0.4549+7.41%0.0428✗1.922.1M2022-03-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06030.059724-0.96%0.0633+4.98%0.0239✗1.7242.5M2022-03-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.1856.1254-0.96%6.275+1.46%0.0143✗0.493.7M2022-03-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.0714.9241-0.97%15.01-0.40%0.0200✓1.292.3M2022-03-18
BANDBandEthereum3.5293.4935-1.01%3.723+5.50%0.0416✗1.11631k2022-03-18
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6541.6372-1.01%1.639-0.91%0.0150✓0.8150k2022-03-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4110.406411-1.12%0.616+49.88%0.3938✗1.111.9M2022-03-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1311.118-1.15%1.515+33.95%0.2850✗0.951.0M2022-03-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.132.1049-1.18%2.26+6.10%0.0505✗1.04343k2022-03-18
AAVEAaveEthereum155.68153.8308-1.19%160.34+2.99%0.0158✗1.297.3M2022-03-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.52511.5069-1.19%1.578+3.47%0.0180✗1.41272k2022-03-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000012110.000001195-1.35%0.000001177-2.87%0.0072✓-0.421.7M2022-03-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5552.5192-1.40%2.566+0.43%0.0015✓1.0052k2022-03-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.024010.02364-1.54%0.04379+82.38%0.5851✗1.5713.0M2022-03-18
NANOnanopayBase2.5992.5546-1.71%2.3491-9.62%0.1074✓1.18119k2022-03-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.28380.278616-1.83%0.3002+5.78%0.0520✗1.14183k2022-03-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.0648.8532-2.33%9.5428+5.28%0.0551✗1.0056.6M2022-03-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.