8=======>

2022-03-01 · +1d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2761
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.9%
in alpha space · 77.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum9.4479.1708-2.92%8.421-10.86%0.0684✓1.421.9M2022-03-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75820.742715-2.04%0.7291-3.84%0.0018✓1.392.5M2022-03-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.278.1388-1.59%7.94-3.99%0.0138✓0.92461k2022-03-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.98611.959-1.37%1.9592-1.36%0.0125✓1.0475k2022-03-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53940.532045-1.36%0.5029-6.77%0.0323✓2.012.1M2022-03-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.10480.103467-1.27%0.0991-5.44%0.0253✓1.50613k2022-03-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.06943-1.24%0.0655-6.83%0.0372✓1.7676.7M2022-03-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42180.416587-1.24%0.4033-4.39%0.0128✓1.6414.7M2022-03-02
FIDABonfidaSolana1.811.791-1.05%2.237+23.59%0.2326✗0.8676k2022-03-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.77183-1.05%0.75-3.85%0.0082✓1.711.0M2022-03-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.826.7494-1.03%6.64-2.64%0.0005✓1.41942k2022-03-02
API3Api3Ethereum8.0948.0127-1.00%7.3-9.81%0.0873✓0.492.9M2022-03-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.11e-76.05e-7-1.00%6.29e-7+3.00%0.0516✗1.001.1M2022-03-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57242.5469-0.99%2.7751+7.88%0.0964✗0.882.7M2022-03-02
BANDBandEthereum4.2274.1856-0.98%4.016-4.99%0.0258✓1.301.8M2022-03-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.2627.0043-0.94%26.56-2.57%0.0001✓1.381.6M2022-03-02
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.5563-0.92%2.52-2.33%0.0023✓1.00488k2022-03-02
XTZTezosTezos3.49183.4606-0.89%3.494+0.06%0.0249✗1.282.1M2022-03-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076330.075674-0.86%0.07258-4.91%0.0268✓1.2569k2022-03-02
CELLCellframeEthereum1.70181.6877-0.83%1.6226-4.65%0.0242✓1.27278k2022-03-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum57.1956.7232-0.82%55.59-2.80%0.0047✓1.306.7M2022-03-02
LUNATerraTerra 289.7288.994-0.81%92.43+3.02%0.0550✗1.434.8M2022-03-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.9739-0.81%1.93-3.02%0.0067✓1.332.0M2022-03-02
STXStacksnative1.291.28-0.78%1.25-3.10%0.0094✓1.20596k2022-03-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004710.004674-0.77%0.00469-0.42%0.0231✗1.649.6M2022-03-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1774.1452-0.76%3.976-4.81%0.0269✓1.232.3M2022-03-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.83590.829596-0.75%0.8082-3.31%0.0088✓1.45270k2022-03-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13620.135187-0.74%0.1299-4.63%0.0245✓1.293.1M2022-03-02
MANADecentralandEthereum2.83712.8166-0.72%2.7532-2.96%0.0084✓1.203.3M2022-03-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0713.049-0.71%2.98-2.96%0.0123✓0.89218k2022-03-02
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.3135-0.71%2.35+0.86%0.0276✗1.00443k2022-03-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07290.072388-0.70%0.0714-2.06%0.0017✓1.0112k2022-03-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.19540.19404-0.70%0.197+0.82%0.0315✗1.372.8M2022-03-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.28044.2508-0.69%4.413+3.10%0.0511✗1.14244k2022-03-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39960.396867-0.68%0.397-0.65%0.0174✗1.431.3M2022-03-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1933.1712-0.68%2.99-6.36%0.0475✓0.95741k2022-03-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.8269-0.68%4.65-4.32%0.0193✓1.51456k2022-03-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.291.2813-0.68%1.27-1.55%0.0036✓1.04885k2022-03-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011460.011383-0.68%0.01231+7.42%0.0950✗1.392.8M2022-03-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07860.078073-0.67%0.0775-1.40%0.0082✗1.311.0M2022-03-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5462.5291-0.67%2.647+3.97%0.0630✗1.4613.6M2022-03-02
HIVEHivenative1.03521.0283-0.66%0.9988-3.52%0.0149✓1.192.1M2022-03-02
XECeCashnative0.000078960.000078444-0.65%0.00007594-3.82%0.0193✓1.104.5M2022-03-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.08461.0776-0.65%1.0742-0.96%0.0128✗1.33175k2022-03-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2615.1615-0.65%15.16-0.66%0.0176✗1.482.4M2022-03-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94995.912-0.64%5.9424-0.13%0.0088✗0.31433k2022-03-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3419.2169-0.64%19.31-0.16%0.0186✗1.1620.6M2022-03-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.755560.750755-0.64%0.73047-3.32%0.0110✓1.37206k2022-03-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.315978-0.64%0.308-3.14%0.0100✓1.312.2M2022-03-02
DODODODOEthereum0.4790.475985-0.63%0.468-2.30%0.0015✓1.294.2M2022-03-02
PROPropyEthereum1.841.8285-0.63%1.82-1.09%0.0098✗1.21452k2022-03-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2451.2372-0.62%1.164-6.51%0.0483✓1.061.3M2022-03-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02820.028024-0.62%0.0268-4.96%0.0288✓1.33500k2022-03-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80.795059-0.62%0.7872-1.60%0.0031✓1.099.7M2022-03-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.30580.303935-0.61%0.2945-3.70%0.0158✓1.32328k2022-03-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020450.020326-0.61%0.01892-7.48%0.0587✓1.092.2M2022-03-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.9686.4322-0.61%83.42-4.07%0.0184✓1.43118.3M2022-03-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6071.5972-0.61%1.548-3.67%0.0141✓1.45863k2022-03-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6171.6072-0.61%1.59-1.67%0.0030✓1.151.8M2022-03-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0494850.049187-0.60%0.04679-5.45%0.0372✓1.078.1M2022-03-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0221.8881-0.60%20.76-5.72%0.0357✓1.44328k2022-03-02
MOVRMoonriverBase66.415666.0216-0.59%71.55+7.73%0.0969✗1.38223k2022-03-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.6968-0.59%16.15+2.28%0.0369✗0.712.2M2022-03-02
AAVEAaveEthereum143.34142.5109-0.58%137.7-3.93%0.0183✓1.346.8M2022-03-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0914.0087-0.58%13.69-2.84%0.0099✓1.09331k2022-03-02
QTUMQtumQtum6.70536.6668-0.58%6.4867-3.26%0.0113✓1.34226k2022-03-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9820.8598-0.57%20.73-1.19%0.0071✗1.129.1M2022-03-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5821.573-0.57%1.464-7.46%0.0592✓1.053.4M2022-03-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5735770.570337-0.56%0.570611-0.52%0.0140✗1.132.8M2022-03-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.12173.1043-0.56%3.0322-2.87%0.0131✓0.883.6M2022-03-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,756.2421,636.54-0.55%22,346.94+2.72%0.0440✗0.985.9M2022-03-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034260.034074-0.54%0.03397-0.85%0.0077✗0.901.2M2022-03-02
XMRMoneroMonero177.8176.8382-0.54%177.46-0.19%0.0154✗1.001.1M2022-03-02
FTTFTXEthereum46.2546.0015-0.54%46.16-0.19%0.0162✗1.0722.8M2022-03-02
RADRadworksEthereum5.125.0927-0.53%5.59+9.18%0.1052✗1.01828k2022-03-02
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0543-0.53%1.02-3.77%0.0300✓0.27286k2022-03-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.3530.1889-0.53%29.52-2.73%0.0095✓1.085.2M2022-03-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.012490.012424-0.53%0.012216-2.19%0.0046✓1.0315k2022-03-02
ZENHorizenBase39.3439.1343-0.52%38.92-1.07%0.0118✗1.45280k2022-03-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.23180.230622-0.51%0.2308-0.43%0.0183✗1.472.6M2022-03-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6262.6127-0.51%2.895+10.24%0.1185✗1.33584k2022-03-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.36521.3583-0.50%1.389+1.75%0.0386✗1.362.8M2022-03-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2033.1869-0.50%3.114-2.78%0.0130✓0.85477k2022-03-02
SCSiacoinnative0.009790.009741-0.50%0.00957-2.25%0.0027✓1.25563k2022-03-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.890.885538-0.50%0.917+3.03%0.0502✗1.282.3M2022-03-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.25792.2466-0.50%2.2311-1.19%0.0016✓0.7126k2022-03-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57650.573633-0.50%0.5665-1.73%0.0016✓0.91642k2022-03-02
SUSHISushiEthereum3.473.4529-0.49%3.41-1.73%0.0026✓1.266.8M2022-03-02
KSMKusamaHydration138.55137.8782-0.48%138.31-0.17%0.0169✗1.15973k2022-03-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25760.256358-0.48%0.2571-0.19%0.0138✗0.912.0M2022-03-02
ZECZcashZcash119.02118.4484-0.48%125.91+5.79%0.0745✗1.137.2M2022-03-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4788-0.48%6.43-1.23%0.0030✓0.88452k2022-03-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5221.5147-0.48%1.496-1.71%0.0009✓1.12939k2022-03-02
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8236.7905-0.48%6.7-1.80%0.0032✓1.3927k2022-03-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1696-0.48%2.13-2.29%0.0045✓1.17354k2022-03-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1430.9925-0.47%32.25+3.56%0.0534✗1.1450.3M2022-03-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,139.1043,930.42-0.47%44,262.00+0.28%0.0192✗0.9752k2022-03-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.028850.028716-0.47%0.02832-1.84%0.0046✓0.774.1M2022-03-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.918.8122-0.46%18.61-1.53%0.0037✓1.2129.4M2022-03-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.3962.385-0.46%2.298-4.09%0.0263✓0.9123k2022-03-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.525.4948-0.46%5.57+0.91%0.0238✗0.86510k2022-03-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.322-0.46%1.359+2.33%0.0433✗1.312.0M2022-03-02
COMPCompoundEthereum125.94125.3703-0.45%122.45-2.77%0.0090✓1.2258k2022-03-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72680.723548-0.45%0.7242-0.36%0.0050✗0.351.2M2022-03-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8630.7255-0.44%30.37-1.59%0.0006✓0.931.5M2022-03-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.122467-0.43%0.116-5.69%0.0478✓0.5444k2022-03-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226820.022584-0.43%0.021073-7.09%0.0590✓0.86124k2022-03-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2420.24097-0.43%0.247+2.07%0.0349✗0.8659k2022-03-02
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3410.2961-0.42%10.05-2.80%0.0101✓1.1810.8M2022-03-02
ETHEthereumEthereum2,977.722,965.28-0.42%2,948.56-0.98%0.0068✗1.04561.7M2022-03-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.0978-0.42%10.14+0.00%0.0121✗0.66928k2022-03-02
XYMSymbolnative0.15230.15168-0.41%0.149-2.17%0.0081✓0.81294k2022-03-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.85690.853421-0.41%0.8204-4.26%0.0260✓1.1320.7M2022-03-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.52530.523178-0.40%0.5144-2.08%0.0005✓1.37484k2022-03-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16150.160848-0.40%0.1595-1.24%0.0038✓1.03446k2022-03-02
TRXTRONTron0.0621790.061929-0.40%0.061505-1.08%0.0023✓0.77299k2022-03-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092240.09187-0.40%0.091-1.34%0.0031✓1.0643k2022-03-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2241.2191-0.40%1.202-1.80%0.0002✓1.202.9M2022-03-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4502-0.40%2.43-1.22%0.0037✓1.00263k2022-03-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7715.7483-0.39%6.038+4.63%0.0617✗1.05181k2022-03-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09223.0802-0.39%3.0297-2.02%0.0060✓0.882.4M2022-03-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.012183-0.38%0.01235+0.98%0.0225✗0.7413k2022-03-02
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001982-0.38%0.00000196-1.51%0.0034✓0.6614.0M2022-03-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048680.048494-0.38%0.04875+0.14%0.0197✗1.20681k2022-03-02
XEMNEMnative0.10970.109284-0.38%0.1064-3.01%0.0151✓0.9741k2022-03-02
SOLSolanaSolana98.798.327-0.38%100.73+2.06%0.0392✗1.26131.2M2022-03-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5024.485-0.38%4.505+0.07%0.0145✗0.84435k2022-03-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.6949-0.37%6.71-0.15%0.0084✗0.511.2M2022-03-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165530.164912-0.37%0.16542-0.07%0.0173✗1.1924k2022-03-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,439.9544,277.39-0.37%43,912.34-1.19%0.0037✓1.00632.3M2022-03-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4455.4257-0.36%5.551+1.95%0.0337✗0.9171k2022-03-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1989270.198235-0.35%0.193624-2.67%0.0108✓1.0720.5M2022-03-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.3615.3074-0.34%15.29-0.46%0.0130✗1.1852.2M2022-03-02
GTGateEthereum6.75536.7322-0.34%6.803+0.71%0.0189✗0.702.8M2022-03-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041870.041728-0.34%0.04078-2.60%0.0111✓0.9929k2022-03-02
QNTQuantEthereum119.35118.9505-0.33%117.95-1.17%0.0034✗0.996.4M2022-03-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37530.374059-0.33%0.3742-0.29%0.0166✗1.368.7M2022-03-02
XVGVergenative0.010440.010406-0.32%0.01037-0.67%0.0114✗1.241.3M2022-03-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.694811-0.31%0.703+0.86%0.0245✗1.072.5M2022-03-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.78327.7673-0.31%320.43-2.54%0.0111✓0.977.6M2022-03-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1339910.133581-0.31%0.133081-0.68%0.0075✗0.943.7M2022-03-02
DASHDashDash100.0199.7158-0.29%100.9+0.89%0.0253✗1.131.5M2022-03-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027130.000027051-0.29%0.00002591-4.50%0.0281✓1.253.9M2022-03-02
ADACardanoCardano0.96430.961574-0.28%0.9394-2.58%0.0100✓1.1197.3M2022-03-02
XVSVenusEthereum9.359.3236-0.28%9.78+4.60%0.0623✗1.213.4M2022-03-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.65112.3441-0.27%110.35-2.04%0.0045✓1.1229.5M2022-03-02
KCSKuCoinnative20.74620.6901-0.27%20.355-1.88%0.0045✓0.999.5M2022-03-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6887.4637-0.25%86.11-1.79%0.0056✓0.84905k2022-03-02
NANOnanopayBase1.92111.9165-0.24%1.8782-2.23%0.0061✓1.18179k2022-03-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07430.074138-0.22%0.0754+1.48%0.0287✗0.99155k2022-03-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016560.016532-0.17%0.01634-1.33%0.0064✗1.5212.5M2022-03-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.