8=======>

2022-02-15 · +1d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0045
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.3%
in alpha space · 67.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.54%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.1795.0641-2.22%5.046-2.57%0.0124✓1.03709k2022-02-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046680.046087-1.27%0.04583-1.82%0.0071✓0.822.4M2022-02-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0290390.028692-1.20%0.028284-2.60%0.0059✓1.3091k2022-02-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.63930.632037-1.14%0.625-2.24%0.0189✗1.931.8M2022-02-16
PROPropyEthereum2.372.3433-1.12%2.34-1.27%0.0290✗1.95870k2022-02-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.30141.287-1.11%1.2019-7.65%0.0540✓0.921.5M2022-02-16
MOVRMoonriverBase98.652897.7246-0.94%95.5515-3.14%0.0012✓1.52315k2022-02-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0549530.054444-0.93%0.056084+2.06%0.0497✗1.297.4M2022-02-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.1008-0.83%1.05-5.41%0.0158✓2.021.1M2022-02-16
UOSUltraEthereum1.33181.3226-0.68%1.4263+7.10%0.0954✗1.282.3M2022-02-16
QTUMQtumQtum7.56347.5139-0.65%7.8678+4.02%0.0691✗1.48145k2022-02-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1210.120221-0.64%0.116-4.13%0.0202✓1.0070k2022-02-16
MANADecentralandEthereum3.3353.3144-0.62%3.2632-2.15%0.0015✓1.103.1M2022-02-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01360.013517-0.61%0.01344-1.18%0.0188✗1.581.8M2022-02-16
COMPCompoundEthereum136.04135.2354-0.59%136.01-0.02%0.0262✗1.3258k2022-02-16
DIADIAEthereum0.990.984276-0.58%0.97-2.02%0.0009✓1.00270k2022-02-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.183.1617-0.57%3.17-0.31%0.0250✗1.4417.3M2022-02-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07290.072486-0.57%0.0695-4.66%0.0147✓1.7664.3M2022-02-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.7763.7553-0.55%3.7402-0.95%0.0099✗0.8930k2022-02-16
STXStacksnative1.581.5718-0.52%1.55-1.90%0.0016✓1.00997k2022-02-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.49320.490739-0.50%0.4872-1.22%0.0145✗1.408.9M2022-02-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03430.034133-0.49%0.0335-2.33%0.0042✓1.47499k2022-02-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.034470.034305-0.48%0.03198-7.22%0.0514✓1.2110.4M2022-02-16
FIDABonfidaSolana2.462.4485-0.47%2.348-4.55%0.0264✓1.0085k2022-02-16
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38641.38-0.46%1.6305+17.61%0.1916✗1.60131k2022-02-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.997.9555-0.43%8.24+3.13%0.0407✗0.361.7M2022-02-16
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.6301-0.43%4.58-1.51%0.0053✓0.361.8M2022-02-16
SUSHISushiEthereum4.434.411-0.43%4.3-2.93%0.0037✓1.408.0M2022-02-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.17482.1656-0.42%2.2822+4.94%0.0623✗0.632.9M2022-02-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche93.0792.6845-0.41%95.39+2.49%0.0513✗1.45102.9M2022-02-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94745.9232-0.41%5.8668-1.36%0.0044✓0.33441k2022-02-16
ORCAOrcaSolana3.233.217-0.40%3.17-1.86%0.0008✓1.00882k2022-02-16
XMRMoneroMonero182.65181.9169-0.40%179.36-1.80%0.0017✓1.021.2M2022-02-16
AVTAventusEthereum2.852.8386-0.40%3.31+16.14%0.1692✗1.00639k2022-02-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.211.2055-0.37%1.12-7.44%0.0521✓1.38751k2022-02-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,489.0224,403.78-0.35%23,690.00-3.26%0.0149✓0.957.4M2022-02-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7821.7044-0.35%22.08+1.38%0.0352✗1.1624.7M2022-02-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16280.162236-0.35%0.1562-4.05%0.0171✓1.343.3M2022-02-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.095.0725-0.34%4.9-3.73%0.0151✓1.262.6M2022-02-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.01374.0003-0.33%3.9514-1.55%0.0029✓0.972.3M2022-02-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0173060.017249-0.33%0.016969-1.95%0.0016✓1.16503k2022-02-16
BTTCBTTC0.000002220.000002213-0.32%0.00000218-1.80%0.0005✓1.0014.5M2022-02-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.46690.465422-0.32%0.4482-4.01%0.0103✓1.7624.6M2022-02-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59570.593866-0.31%0.602+1.06%0.0300✗1.06948k2022-02-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.921.9143-0.30%1.86-3.12%0.0071✓1.392.9M2022-02-16
FTTFTXEthereum47.1747.0305-0.30%46.38-1.67%0.0042✗1.1730.8M2022-02-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081320.081083-0.29%0.08117-0.18%0.0130✗0.7786k2022-02-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27920.278399-0.29%0.2693-3.55%0.0168✓1.061.7M2022-02-16
BANDBandEthereum4.654.6369-0.28%4.87+4.73%0.0687✗1.261.9M2022-02-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.723.6336-0.28%24.03+1.39%0.0408✗1.56383k2022-02-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin22.3322.269-0.27%23.08+3.36%0.0548✗1.2210.4M2022-02-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.81.7951-0.27%1.81+0.56%0.0279✗1.261.3M2022-02-16
UMAUMAEthereum6.396.3733-0.26%6.53+2.19%0.0407✗1.051.9M2022-02-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.3617.3158-0.25%16.75-3.51%0.0226✓0.681.2M2022-02-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9711.966-0.25%1.952-0.96%0.0138✗1.351.1M2022-02-16
XTZTezosTezos4.14834.1379-0.25%4.0382-2.65%0.0042✓1.302.4M2022-02-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.0128.9389-0.25%28.51-1.72%0.0025✗1.1268.5M2022-02-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055860.055725-0.24%0.05759+3.10%0.0548✗1.411.2M2022-02-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.22170.221166-0.24%0.2202-0.68%0.0179✗1.433.7M2022-02-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031220.000031148-0.23%0.00003095-0.86%0.0155✗1.402.4M2022-02-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89850.89645-0.23%0.8933-0.58%0.0139✗1.1212.4M2022-02-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.96394.9533-0.21%4.8292-2.71%0.0062✓1.23343k2022-02-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013980.01395-0.21%0.01389-0.64%0.0075✗0.7613k2022-02-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09290.092716-0.20%0.09-3.12%0.0082✓1.38784k2022-02-16
AAVEAaveEthereum172.28171.945-0.19%170.44-1.07%0.0131✗1.418.0M2022-02-16
MINAMina Protocolnative2.772.7646-0.19%2.65-4.33%0.0225✓1.27390k2022-02-16
ZECZcashZcash126.04125.8005-0.19%125.58-0.36%0.0171✗1.227.2M2022-02-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.916.8975-0.18%6.76-2.17%0.0063✓0.89449k2022-02-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5587.5445-0.18%7.454-1.38%0.0032✗0.98407k2022-02-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7113.7046-0.17%3.6017-2.95%0.0113✓1.082.5M2022-02-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0929.04-0.17%28.31-2.68%0.0107✓0.951.2M2022-02-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,051.4043,987.38-0.15%43,960.80-0.21%0.0146✗0.9851k2022-02-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07470.074594-0.14%0.0757+1.34%0.0320✗1.1117k2022-02-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.4418.4141-0.14%17.65-4.28%0.0152✓1.753.6M2022-02-16
KCSKuCoinnative20.57720.5482-0.14%20.855+1.35%0.0351✗1.3110.2M2022-02-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.725.712-0.14%5.47-4.37%0.0309✓0.80407k2022-02-16
ZENHorizenBase43.1243.0601-0.14%40.62-5.80%0.0343✓1.55400k2022-02-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.162.157-0.14%2.13-1.39%0.0082✗1.332.2M2022-02-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8260.824859-0.14%0.787-4.72%0.0297✓1.111.8M2022-02-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8872.883-0.14%2.809-2.70%0.0051✓1.341.1M2022-02-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.3517.3267-0.13%17.14-1.21%0.0081✗1.2170.2M2022-02-16
HIVEHivenative1.13271.1312-0.13%1.1125-1.78%0.0091✗1.661.9M2022-02-16
QNTQuantEthereum132.67132.4957-0.13%129.55-2.35%0.0064✓1.037.8M2022-02-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1511.1355-0.13%10.78-3.32%0.0218✓0.69760k2022-02-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2960.295623-0.13%0.288-2.70%0.0114✓0.9577k2022-02-16
LUNATerraTerra 256.8556.7798-0.12%56.02-1.46%0.0086✗1.426.9M2022-02-16
XECeCashnative0.000087920.000087812-0.12%0.00008539-2.88%0.0101✓1.154.8M2022-02-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0223130.022286-0.12%0.021773-2.42%0.0041✓1.232.4M2022-02-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.74131.5834-0.12%127.84-2.96%0.0093✓1.2634.8M2022-02-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5813.5768-0.12%3.514-1.87%0.0040✓0.88502k2022-02-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.179390.179182-0.12%0.17624-1.76%0.0083✗1.6034k2022-02-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6423940.641693-0.11%0.677091+5.40%0.0719✗1.173.5M2022-02-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16660.166419-0.11%0.1678+0.72%0.0242✗1.03470k2022-02-16
KSMKusamaHydration176.23176.0402-0.11%166.77-5.37%0.0355✓1.20930k2022-02-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006130.006124-0.10%0.00601-1.96%0.0126✗2.0218.1M2022-02-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7671.7652-0.10%1.688-4.47%0.0263✓1.192.1M2022-02-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7724.7674-0.10%4.803+0.65%0.0205✗0.84383k2022-02-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045420.04538-0.09%0.04466-1.67%0.0022✗1.1730k2022-02-16
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8897.8831-0.07%8.239+4.44%0.0494✗0.3437k2022-02-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0051.0043-0.07%0.983-2.19%0.0001✓1.382.5M2022-02-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1156.1108-0.07%6.358+3.97%0.0530✗0.8672k2022-02-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.98590.985321-0.06%0.9602-2.61%0.0019✓1.54588k2022-02-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.4933.4704-0.06%32.25-3.70%0.0207✓1.065.5M2022-02-16
RADRadworksEthereum5.665.6567-0.06%6.07+7.24%0.0873✗1.08682k2022-02-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.6197.554-0.06%94.6-3.08%0.0167✓0.911.2M2022-02-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.10780.107739-0.06%0.1052-2.41%0.0004✓1.561.1M2022-02-16
CBKCobakEthereum2.4752.4737-0.05%2.452-0.93%0.0083✗1.1020k2022-02-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3880.387795-0.05%0.373-3.87%0.0181✓1.342.3M2022-02-16
STORJStorjEthereum1.22641.2258-0.05%1.1915-2.84%0.0121✓1.04211k2022-02-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.732.7288-0.05%2.67-2.20%0.0057✓1.03388k2022-02-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58120.580973-0.04%0.5683-2.22%0.0009✓1.362.4M2022-02-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66050.660285-0.03%0.6989+5.81%0.0806✗1.53709k2022-02-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.1920.1834-0.03%19.78-2.03%0.0011✗1.3734.9M2022-02-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.3163.293-0.03%63.42+0.17%0.0218✗1.278.8M2022-02-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1517840.15175-0.02%0.148737-2.01%0.0042✓1.026.4M2022-02-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.31390.313842-0.02%0.3067-2.29%0.0053✓1.14538k2022-02-16
ETHEthereumEthereum3,186.243,185.66-0.02%3,124.45-1.94%0.0017✓1.14581.4M2022-02-16
UNIUniswapEthereum11.4811.478-0.02%11.22-2.26%0.0019✓1.3412.2M2022-02-16
SOLSolanaSolana105.61105.5941-0.02%101.94-3.48%0.0152✓1.29179.7M2022-02-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48640.486342-0.01%0.4754-2.26%0.0006✗1.502.0M2022-02-16
XYMSymbolnative0.17610.176086-0.01%0.1747-0.80%0.0030✗0.70388k2022-02-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.331.3299-0.01%1.274-4.21%0.0238✓1.233.4M2022-02-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,583.5244,582.73-0.00%43,895.56-1.54%0.0000✗1.00642.7M2022-02-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.626.6203+0.00%6.52-1.51%0.0023✗0.83482k2022-02-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97060.970692+0.01%0.9791+0.88%0.0262✓1.1326.7M2022-02-16
NANOnanopayBase2.33572.3359+0.01%2.2584-3.31%0.0141✗1.27436k2022-02-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.098270.09828+0.01%0.09789-0.39%0.0138✓1.1451k2022-02-16
XVGVergenative0.011910.011911+0.01%0.01171-1.68%0.0045✓1.391.2M2022-02-16
SCSiacoinnative0.011070.011073+0.03%0.01078-2.62%0.0107✗1.04483k2022-02-16
ADACardanoCardano1.10871.109+0.03%1.0833-2.29%0.0059✗1.13107.6M2022-02-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.266.2625+0.04%6.08-2.88%0.0126✗1.09590k2022-02-16
DODODODOEthereum0.540.540268+0.05%0.539-0.19%0.0201✓1.444.5M2022-02-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2863.2877+0.05%3.217-2.10%0.0091✗0.81218k2022-02-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.030920.030936+0.05%0.03216+4.01%0.0521✓0.866.2M2022-02-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.860240.860694+0.05%0.83537-2.89%0.0064✗1.51334k2022-02-16
GTGateEthereum6.93116.9353+0.06%6.8827-0.70%0.0060✓0.883.9M2022-02-16
IMXImmutableEthereum2.482.4816+0.06%2.4-3.23%0.0178✗1.013.2M2022-02-16
XLMStellarStellar0.2210860.221233+0.07%0.21874-1.06%0.0046✓1.0321.9M2022-02-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6728.6902+0.07%28.63-0.14%0.0222✓1.562.0M2022-02-16
XEMNEMnative0.11430.114387+0.08%0.1142-0.09%0.0147✓1.0539k2022-02-16
TRXTRONTron0.0668370.066889+0.08%0.066472-0.55%0.0074✓0.88327k2022-02-16
DASHDashDash109.33109.415+0.08%115.33+5.49%0.0701✓1.122.0M2022-02-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.86341.865+0.09%1.8241-2.11%0.0045✗1.1469k2022-02-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.1716.1858+0.10%15.91-1.61%0.0008✓1.05483k2022-02-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08720.087286+0.10%0.0851-2.41%0.0062✗1.23195k2022-02-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash343.69344.1077+0.12%334.55-2.66%0.0127✗1.008.9M2022-02-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.47.4099+0.13%7.24-2.16%0.0185✗0.301.2M2022-02-16
XVSVenusEthereum9.879.8839+0.14%11.78+19.35%0.1962✓1.333.0M2022-02-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.981.9829+0.15%1.86-6.06%0.0453✗1.201.4M2022-02-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.28640.286902+0.18%0.285-0.49%0.0174✓1.554.2M2022-02-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.