2022-01-27 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 144 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0861

144 of 144 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+18.85%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

58.3%

in alpha space · 53.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.24%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (144 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.82	17.5102	+4.10%	14.09	-16.23%	0.3097	✗	1.81	3.9M	2022-02-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.55	91.7818	+2.49%	90.32	+0.86%	0.0764	✗	1.18	164.2M	2022-02-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00534	0.005463	+2.31%	0.00431	-19.29%	0.3531	✗	2.27	21.3M	2022-02-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5781	0.590964	+2.23%	0.4599	-20.45%	0.3291	✗	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	93.16	95.1961	+2.19%	110.79	+18.92%	0.0990	✓	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	73.6045	74.885	+1.74%	64.8155	-11.94%	0.2065	✗	1.22	442k	2022-02-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002125	0.000021611	+1.70%	0.00002435	+14.59%	0.0469	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.39	8.5284	+1.65%	8.98	+7.03%	0.0159	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.81	0.823076	+1.61%	1.139	+40.62%	0.2478	✓	1.51	532k	2022-02-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0794	0.080646	+1.57%	0.0685	-13.73%	0.2263	✗	1.24	352k	2022-02-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1146	0.116348	+1.53%	0.1506	+31.41%	0.2095	✓	0.95	349k	2022-02-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.00965	0.009793	+1.48%	0.00985	+2.07%	0.0621	✗	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.314	0.318469	+1.42%	0.29	-7.64%	0.1642	✗	1.38	1.6M	2022-02-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	5.1383	+1.35%	4.47	-11.83%	0.1896	✗	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.65	0.658646	+1.33%	0.7	+7.69%	0.0350	✗	1.88	1.2M	2022-02-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	88.89	90.0643	+1.32%	107.8	+21.27%	0.1124	✓	1.32	7.5M	2022-02-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.725	0.734145	+1.26%	0.679	-6.34%	0.1346	✗	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9095	2.9411	+1.09%	3.4172	+17.45%	0.0806	✓	1.36	2.6M	2022-02-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.37	6.4378	+1.06%	6.27	-1.57%	0.0373	✗	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,425.82	2,451.64	+1.06%	2,780.71	+14.63%	0.0696	✓	1.10	569.1M	2022-02-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.94	123.2072	+1.04%	113.35	-7.04%	0.1486	✗	1.28	74k	2022-02-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4054	0.409381	+0.98%	0.3486	-14.01%	0.2263	✗	1.28	10.9M	2022-02-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.47	47.9273	+0.96%	50.44	+6.26%	0.0083	✓	1.16	7.5M	2022-02-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.7764	+0.93%	1.67	-5.11%	0.1313	✗	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.7	37.0399	+0.93%	33.26	-9.37%	0.1878	✗	1.57	626k	2022-02-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014097	0.014224	+0.90%	0.01194	-15.30%	0.2357	✗	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1754	0.176866	+0.84%	0.1751	-0.17%	0.0797	✗	1.36	4.0M	2022-02-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.861	0.867217	+0.72%	0.895	+3.95%	0.0383	✗	1.37	2.4M	2022-02-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.32	10.3866	+0.65%	9.06	-12.21%	0.2044	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.064	16.1642	+0.62%	19.708	+22.68%	0.1212	✓	1.51	10.9M	2022-02-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04646	0.046744	+0.61%	0.01784	-61.60%	1.0309	✗	1.32	9.5M	2022-02-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.314	+0.61%	2.3	+0.00%	0.0580	✗	1.02	800k	2022-02-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.3979	+0.53%	3.6	+6.51%	0.0055	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0754	1.0808	+0.51%	0.99036	-7.90%	0.1376	✗	0.98	387k	2022-02-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0464	3.0615	+0.49%	2.7102	-11.04%	0.1778	✗	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.62	5.6476	+0.49%	4.46	-20.64%	0.2847	✗	0.95	960k	2022-02-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04978	0.050024	+0.49%	0.04782	-3.94%	0.1176	✗	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.23	15.3041	+0.49%	14.72	-3.35%	0.1008	✗	1.21	81.3M	2022-02-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.64	290.9209	+0.44%	315.57	+8.95%	0.0281	✓	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9645	0.96869	+0.43%	0.7651	-20.67%	0.3366	✗	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01041	0.010453	+0.42%	0.00997	-4.23%	0.1128	✗	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.67	5.6929	+0.40%	4.934	-12.98%	0.1973	✗	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.21	19.2868	+0.40%	19.06	-0.78%	0.0721	✗	1.18	13.6M	2022-02-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5654	5.5814	+0.29%	6.1323	+10.19%	0.0213	✓	1.43	227k	2022-02-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2343	0.234959	+0.28%	0.226	-3.54%	0.1023	✗	1.24	1.8M	2022-02-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.482	0.483353	+0.28%	0.438	-9.13%	0.1768	✗	1.53	5.5M	2022-02-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020242	0.020289	+0.23%	0.01882	-7.02%	0.1324	✗	1.12	3.2M	2022-02-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.9814	+0.23%	12.91	-7.46%	0.1304	✗	0.99	841k	2022-02-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007022	0.000070366	+0.21%	0.00007538	+7.35%	0.0124	✓	1.11	5.8M	2022-02-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0947	0.09489	+0.20%	0.0854	-9.82%	0.1811	✗	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	144.6	144.8791	+0.19%	157.91	+9.20%	0.0348	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-02-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.59	1.5928	+0.18%	1.437	-9.62%	0.1679	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.399	1.4011	+0.15%	1.524	+8.93%	0.0240	✓	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	64.73	64.8063	+0.12%	81.79	+26.36%	0.1652	✓	1.32	92.3M	2022-02-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00962	0.009626	+0.06%	0.00906	-5.82%	0.1140	✗	1.05	611k	2022-02-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1127	0.112757	+0.05%	0.1212	+7.54%	0.0056	✓	1.30	3.9M	2022-02-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0428	1.0432	+0.04%	0.8873	-14.91%	0.2197	✗	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.67	18.6736	+0.02%	21.2	+13.55%	0.0478	✓	1.55	841k	2022-02-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530399	0.530017	-0.07%	0.544581	+2.67%	0.0349	✓	1.21	3.7M	2022-02-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3156	2.3139	-0.07%	1.8651	-19.46%	0.2791	✓	1.24	841k	2022-02-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	106.92	106.8291	-0.08%	108.29	+1.28%	0.0546	✓	1.33	35.7M	2022-02-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.99692	0.995985	-0.09%	1.2108	+21.46%	0.1297	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.873	5.8669	-0.10%	5.009	-14.71%	0.2006	✓	0.83	145k	2022-02-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.3	24.2741	-0.11%	24.45	+0.62%	0.0781	✓	1.67	2.7M	2022-02-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.84	5.8326	-0.13%	5.38	-7.88%	0.1208	✓	0.78	504k	2022-02-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8838	0.882556	-0.14%	0.9533	+7.86%	0.0001	✓	1.51	3.2M	2022-02-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02909	0.029047	-0.15%	0.02842	-2.30%	0.0692	✓	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0638	0.063686	-0.18%	0.0674	+5.64%	0.0007	✓	1.12	21k	2022-02-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5616	1.5582	-0.22%	1.5733	+0.74%	0.0471	✓	1.11	89k	2022-02-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	144.54	144.156	-0.27%	136.67	-5.44%	0.1226	✓	1.36	14.3M	2022-02-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4474	0.446168	-0.28%	0.3655	-18.31%	0.2699	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,188.37	37,085.85	-0.28%	39,137.80	+5.24%	0.0028	✓	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056453	0.056289	-0.29%	0.059459	+5.32%	0.0068	✗	0.94	478k	2022-02-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.93	8.8993	-0.34%	9.33	+4.48%	0.0092	✗	0.75	724k	2022-02-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.745	6.7191	-0.38%	6.245	-7.41%	0.0852	✓	0.24	38k	2022-02-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2126	4.1955	-0.41%	4.0234	-4.49%	0.1035	✓	1.21	403k	2022-02-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1614	0.160718	-0.42%	0.1441	-10.72%	0.1426	✓	0.66	573k	2022-02-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0403	0.040106	-0.48%	0.04014	-0.40%	0.0571	✓	1.14	30k	2022-02-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	164.64	163.8056	-0.51%	124.78	-24.21%	0.3334	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08437	0.083936	-0.51%	0.08727	+3.44%	0.0219	✓	1.19	46k	2022-02-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.0984	0.097891	-0.52%	0.101	+2.64%	0.0221	✓	1.04	43k	2022-02-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194019	0.193011	-0.52%	0.192899	-0.58%	0.0533	✓	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141443	0.140677	-0.54%	0.127595	-9.79%	0.1513	✓	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.26	2.2472	-0.57%	2.05	-9.29%	0.1525	✓	1.19	626k	2022-02-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.33	24.1917	-0.57%	28.91	+18.82%	0.1233	✗	1.07	3.8M	2022-02-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.065	0.06462	-0.58%	0.073	+12.31%	0.0484	✗	1.44	605k	2022-02-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.13	18.0236	-0.59%	18.04	-0.50%	0.0694	✓	1.38	54.6M	2022-02-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4535	0.450618	-0.64%	0.4281	-5.60%	0.1252	✓	1.45	2.1M	2022-02-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8032	0.797986	-0.65%	0.7459	-7.13%	0.1236	✓	1.10	20.0M	2022-02-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5092	0.505793	-0.67%	0.504	-1.02%	0.0732	✓	1.36	2.8M	2022-02-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	91.73	91.1053	-0.68%	93.68	+2.13%	0.0323	✓	1.18	3.0M	2022-02-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.05	4.0217	-0.70%	3.25	-19.75%	0.2817	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.89	3.8621	-0.72%	4.058	+4.32%	0.0095	✗	0.78	396k	2022-02-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07195	0.071383	-0.79%	0.06611	-8.12%	0.1168	✓	0.78	60k	2022-02-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.23	2.2112	-0.84%	1.24	-44.39%	0.6575	✓	1.55	2.6M	2022-02-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.038232	0.037898	-0.87%	0.048351	+26.47%	0.1813	✗	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.61	19.432	-0.91%	17.73	-9.59%	0.1555	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.31	88.4781	-0.93%	84.76	-5.09%	0.0912	✓	0.94	1.7M	2022-02-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.5312	6.4658	-1.00%	6.4106	-1.85%	0.0561	✓	0.93	4.2M	2022-02-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.637	2.6102	-1.02%	2.305	-12.59%	0.2028	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-02-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.95	1.9301	-1.02%	1.276	-34.56%	0.4889	✓	1.47	4.6M	2022-02-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.12	5.0665	-1.04%	4.68	-8.59%	0.1166	✓	0.73	457k	2022-02-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0357	0.035323	-1.06%	0.0274	-23.25%	0.3294	✓	1.48	887k	2022-02-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.79	2.7602	-1.07%	2.394	-14.19%	0.2138	✓	1.40	26.3M	2022-02-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9364	0.926205	-1.09%	0.8598	-8.18%	0.1339	✓	1.16	37.9M	2022-02-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.65	2.6206	-1.11%	1.5	-43.40%	0.6355	✓	1.52	2.2M	2022-02-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4851	3.4443	-1.17%	6.0612	+73.92%	0.5663	✗	-0.02	371k	2022-02-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2527	2.225	-1.23%	2.6813	+19.02%	0.1384	✗	0.94	3.1M	2022-02-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.243	0.239993	-1.24%	0.232	-4.53%	0.0828	✓	0.96	67k	2022-02-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.955	2.9169	-1.29%	2.576	-12.83%	0.1649	✓	0.79	431k	2022-02-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.9	5.8199	-1.36%	5.7	-3.39%	0.0640	✓	0.85	561k	2022-02-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.76	26.3916	-1.38%	30.18	+12.78%	0.0939	✗	0.79	377k	2022-02-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.75	12.574	-1.38%	14.7	+15.29%	0.1214	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,269.30	36,699.09	-1.53%	39,589.70	+6.23%	0.0240	✗	1.01	47k	2022-02-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,910.78	23,542.06	-1.54%	20,876.08	-12.69%	0.1675	✓	0.93	19.5M	2022-02-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.0582	-1.57%	2.874	-7.50%	0.1061	✓	0.86	944k	2022-02-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.58	1.5537	-1.66%	1.441	-8.80%	0.1413	✓	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.121	2.0846	-1.71%	2.285	+7.73%	0.0367	✗	1.08	23k	2022-02-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.722	5.6234	-1.72%	5.391	-5.78%	0.0923	✓	0.98	320k	2022-02-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.75	6.6296	-1.78%	6.27	-7.11%	0.0700	✓	0.28	2.0M	2022-02-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.42	1.3938	-1.85%	1.148	-19.15%	0.2599	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.83214	0.816104	-1.93%	0.69949	-15.94%	0.2422	✓	1.72	681k	2022-02-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30	29.4157	-1.95%	29.89	-0.37%	0.0421	✓	1.14	130.3M	2022-02-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.35	37.5825	-2.00%	43.29	+12.88%	0.0797	✗	1.21	35.1M	2022-02-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2367	0.231904	-2.03%	0.2767	+16.90%	0.1196	✗	1.12	469k	2022-02-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0541	0.052993	-2.05%	0.0712	+31.61%	0.1850	✗	2.16	22.4M	2022-02-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7628	2.6975	-2.36%	2.7384	-0.88%	0.0375	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	54.08	52.6401	-2.66%	78.15	+44.51%	0.3084	✗	1.70	8.6M	2022-02-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.97	3.8597	-2.78%	6.528	+64.43%	0.5130	✗	0.25	570k	2022-02-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.7225	2.6465	-2.79%	2.2359	-17.87%	0.2118	✓	0.85	8,523	2022-02-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.57	4.4358	-2.94%	3.874	-15.23%	0.1990	✓	1.24	3.1M	2022-02-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2772	0.268972	-2.97%	0.2129	-23.20%	0.3126	✓	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01439	0.013938	-3.14%	0.01217	-15.43%	0.1833	✓	0.93	19k	2022-02-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17087	0.164863	-3.52%	0.15626	-8.55%	0.1336	✓	1.57	18k	2022-02-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8569	0.824429	-3.79%	1.6235	+89.46%	0.6008	✗	1.50	107k	2022-02-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5303	0.510106	-3.81%	0.5505	+3.81%	0.0169	✓	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8043	1.7312	-4.05%	1.8532	+2.71%	0.0284	✓	0.78	2.6M	2022-02-26
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.093	0.088895	-4.41%	0.141	+51.61%	0.4102	✗	1.00	141k	2022-02-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.050557	0.048235	-4.59%	0.02263	-55.24%	0.8079	✓	1.00	332k	2022-02-26
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2041	1.1475	-4.70%	0.794	-34.06%	0.4194	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-02-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.38	2.2379	-5.97%	1.86	-21.85%	0.2361	✓	1.00	3.8M	2022-02-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04444	0.041756	-6.04%	0.03453	-22.30%	0.2411	✓	1.00	6.4M	2022-02-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6525	0.612233	-6.17%	0.3507	-46.25%	0.6547	✓	1.91	52.0M	2022-02-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.617	6.1377	-7.24%	2.581	-60.99%	0.9174	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.