2022-01-22 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1144

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+18.07%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

36.4%

in alpha space · 46.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.58%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.11	16.9035	+4.93%	13.9	-13.72%	0.2948	✗	1.83	4.1M	2022-02-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.77	1.8197	+2.81%	1.57	-11.30%	0.2222	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	94.78	97.3296	+2.69%	82.97	-12.46%	0.2252	✗	1.21	142.2M	2022-02-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5834	0.598806	+2.64%	0.4442	-23.86%	0.3829	✗	1.55	1.4M	2022-02-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7316	0.750421	+2.57%	0.7421	+1.44%	0.1198	✗	2.00	1.1M	2022-02-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.59	7.7839	+2.56%	8.64	+13.83%	0.0369	✓	1.24	3.0M	2022-02-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.9941	86.14	+2.55%	68.7997	-18.09%	0.2946	✗	1.29	486k	2022-02-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	98.78	101.2889	+2.54%	106.88	+8.20%	0.0016	✓	1.02	7.0M	2022-02-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0732	0.075007	+2.47%	0.0692	-5.46%	0.1472	✗	1.23	299k	2022-02-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.00935	0.009567	+2.32%	0.00929	-0.64%	0.1022	✗	1.34	1.8M	2022-02-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9521	3.0154	+2.15%	2.9731	+0.71%	0.0883	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4454	0.454635	+2.07%	0.4311	-3.21%	0.1216	✗	1.26	2.4M	2022-02-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.3	122.5975	+1.91%	106.4	-11.55%	0.2095	✗	1.25	88k	2022-02-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0461	2.0846	+1.88%	1.9047	-6.91%	0.1583	✗	1.25	714k	2022-02-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002053	0.000020915	+1.88%	0.00002404	+17.10%	0.0626	✓	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0799	0.081393	+1.87%	0.0877	+9.76%	0.0004	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-02-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04896	0.049854	+1.83%	0.04508	-7.92%	0.1826	✗	1.51	1.9M	2022-02-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00793	0.008072	+1.79%	0.00451	-43.13%	0.7154	✗	2.46	23.2M	2022-02-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.01	19.3484	+1.78%	18.64	-1.95%	0.1027	✗	1.20	14.5M	2022-02-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	21.51	21.8924	+1.78%	26.51	+23.25%	0.1509	✓	0.75	353k	2022-02-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.711	0.723564	+1.77%	0.64	-9.99%	0.1825	✗	1.10	2.0M	2022-02-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.80696	0.821004	+1.74%	1.1385	+41.09%	0.2601	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,411.90	2,453.64	+1.73%	2,569.00	+6.51%	0.0150	✓	1.12	502.4M	2022-02-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.651026	+1.72%	0.72	+12.50%	0.0035	✓	1.92	1.3M	2022-02-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.319	0.324418	+1.70%	0.279	-12.54%	0.2273	✗	1.41	1.8M	2022-02-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.06	5.1457	+1.69%	5.07	+0.20%	0.0704	✗	1.02	1.1M	2022-02-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.1609	+1.67%	6.72	+10.89%	0.0752	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.87	0.88441	+1.66%	0.739	-15.06%	0.2559	✗	1.40	2.3M	2022-02-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.17	50.9684	+1.59%	47.35	-5.62%	0.1392	✗	1.21	6.3M	2022-02-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00998	0.010137	+1.57%	0.01004	+0.60%	0.0785	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0326	0.03311	+1.56%	0.0263	-19.33%	0.3104	✗	1.48	1.1M	2022-02-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.19	13.3863	+1.49%	12.48	-5.38%	0.1308	✗	1.12	841k	2022-02-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.7121	+1.46%	5.27	-6.39%	0.1218	✗	0.76	645k	2022-02-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.62	1.6426	+1.40%	1.37	-15.43%	0.2401	✗	1.08	2.6M	2022-02-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.86	16.0795	+1.38%	13.51	-14.82%	0.2415	✗	1.24	75.4M	2022-02-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1764	0.178813	+1.37%	0.1686	-4.42%	0.1353	✗	1.41	4.3M	2022-02-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014961	0.015163	+1.35%	0.012214	-18.36%	0.2822	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-02-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.911944	+1.33%	0.92	+2.22%	0.0797	✗	1.63	569k	2022-02-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5565	5.6298	+1.32%	5.7431	+3.36%	0.0584	✗	1.44	263k	2022-02-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.59	95.8159	+1.30%	100.47	+6.22%	0.0252	✗	1.34	8.4M	2022-02-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0543	0.054976	+1.25%	0.0681	+25.41%	0.1343	✓	1.47	684k	2022-02-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4163	0.421463	+1.24%	0.3572	-14.20%	0.2364	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0068	3.0438	+1.23%	2.8682	-4.61%	0.1263	✗	1.23	3.8M	2022-02-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.61	5.679	+1.23%	4.2	-25.13%	0.3518	✗	0.92	1.0M	2022-02-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006839	0.000069202	+1.19%	0.00006783	-0.82%	0.0784	✗	1.08	6.5M	2022-02-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	35.28	35.6987	+1.19%	32.14	-8.90%	0.1899	✗	1.56	613k	2022-02-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.76	18.9811	+1.18%	17.63	-6.02%	0.1582	✗	1.55	944k	2022-02-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	11.2868	+1.14%	8.52	-23.66%	0.3536	✗	1.33	12.7M	2022-02-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0381	1.0498	+1.13%	0.88573	-14.68%	0.2254	✗	1.02	402k	2022-02-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.496	0.501566	+1.12%	0.444	-10.48%	0.2069	✗	1.57	8.0M	2022-02-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.129	15.2958	+1.10%	18.137	+19.88%	0.0829	✓	1.61	10.7M	2022-02-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	291.88	294.9649	+1.06%	283.16	-2.99%	0.0980	✗	1.05	7.0M	2022-02-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0713	1.0824	+1.04%	0.8572	-19.99%	0.2947	✗	1.13	104.1M	2022-02-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1498	0.151334	+1.02%	0.1488	-0.67%	0.0552	✗	0.70	536k	2022-02-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	59.8	60.4099	+1.02%	70.08	+17.19%	0.0774	✓	1.31	87.3M	2022-02-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.5253	+1.01%	3.77	+8.02%	0.0021	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.161	1.1727	+1.01%	1.003	-13.61%	0.2255	✗	1.27	4.0M	2022-02-21
HIVE	Hive	native	0.7987	0.806642	+0.99%	0.8148	+2.02%	0.0706	✗	1.48	3.8M	2022-02-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.366	1.3794	+0.98%	1.34	-1.90%	0.0938	✗	1.19	1.8M	2022-02-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1135	0.114598	+0.97%	0.1229	+8.28%	0.0030	✓	1.34	4.3M	2022-02-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020108	0.020294	+0.93%	0.018035	-10.31%	0.1788	✗	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	152.34	153.7124	+0.90%	148	-2.85%	0.0928	✗	1.01	2.6M	2022-02-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.33	2.3509	+0.90%	2.17	-6.87%	0.1357	✗	1.03	819k	2022-02-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06237	0.062911	+0.87%	0.05994	-3.90%	0.0936	✗	0.83	60k	2022-02-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	147.18	148.4529	+0.86%	128.58	-12.64%	0.2124	✗	1.26	17.6M	2022-02-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.11	6.1621	+0.85%	4.92	-19.48%	0.2823	✗	1.05	3.9M	2022-02-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0594	0.059873	+0.80%	0.0613	+3.20%	0.0376	✗	1.13	21k	2022-02-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05051	0.050892	+0.76%	0.01937	-61.65%	1.0393	✗	1.35	12.0M	2022-02-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2331	0.234841	+0.75%	0.2206	-5.36%	0.1313	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.8	5.8424	+0.73%	5.241	-9.64%	0.1514	✗	0.79	163k	2022-02-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0094	0.009468	+0.72%	0.00847	-9.89%	0.1704	✗	1.09	641k	2022-02-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	35,066.43	35,294.75	+0.65%	37,023.00	+5.58%	0.0065	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-02-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.78	0.784989	+0.64%	0.7113	-8.81%	0.1585	✗	1.10	22.7M	2022-02-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1394	0.140262	+0.62%	0.1283	-7.96%	0.1405	✗	0.95	362k	2022-02-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.518861	0.522055	+0.62%	0.519067	+0.04%	0.0715	✗	1.21	2.3M	2022-02-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.037804	+0.54%	0.0474	+26.06%	0.1168	✓	2.02	24.3M	2022-02-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.41	108.9869	+0.53%	102.78	-5.19%	0.1310	✗	1.33	30.5M	2022-02-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.07873	0.079146	+0.53%	0.0791	+0.47%	0.0649	✗	1.19	41k	2022-02-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.26	18.3547	+0.52%	16.19	-11.34%	0.2006	✗	1.38	58.5M	2022-02-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133158	0.133783	+0.47%	0.128094	-3.80%	0.1021	✗	1.08	6.7M	2022-02-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03631	0.036467	+0.43%	0.03591	-1.10%	0.0768	✗	1.13	25k	2022-02-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.8	4.82	+0.42%	4.83	+0.63%	0.0369	✗	0.72	491k	2022-02-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.804	2.8155	+0.41%	2.583	-7.88%	0.1291	✗	0.79	523k	2022-02-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.23	24.324	+0.39%	25	+3.18%	0.0321	✗	1.10	3.3M	2022-02-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.54	20.6157	+0.37%	17.77	-13.49%	0.2212	✗	1.34	34.9M	2022-02-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.665	3.6781	+0.36%	4.021	+9.71%	0.0470	✓	0.78	445k	2022-02-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.66	5.6799	+0.35%	5.83	+3.00%	0.0197	✗	0.84	616k	2022-02-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19237	0.193032	+0.34%	0.17816	-7.39%	0.1384	✗	1.07	24.9M	2022-02-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2394	4.2509	+0.27%	3.7534	-11.46%	0.1898	✗	1.20	443k	2022-02-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4385	0.439544	+0.24%	0.3661	-16.51%	0.2599	✗	1.42	2.6M	2022-02-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.84	23.8942	+0.23%	21.87	-8.26%	0.1813	✗	1.71	2.7M	2022-02-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05675	0.056846	+0.17%	0.059472	+4.80%	0.0072	✗	0.96	486k	2022-02-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,897.64	22,936.29	+0.17%	19,642.84	-14.21%	0.2016	✗	0.86	21.5M	2022-02-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.244	0.244394	+0.16%	0.248	+1.64%	0.0358	✗	0.93	67k	2022-02-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.68	8.6892	+0.11%	9.06	+4.38%	0.0011	✓	0.75	800k	2022-02-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.0434	2.0452	+0.09%	2.4827	+21.50%	0.1310	✓	1.16	4.3M	2022-02-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02985	0.029869	+0.07%	0.0257	-13.90%	0.2037	✗	0.98	8.3M	2022-02-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.24	89.2835	+0.05%	80.87	-9.38%	0.1507	✗	0.95	1.8M	2022-02-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.944	6.9463	+0.03%	6.04	-13.02%	0.1591	✗	0.36	38k	2022-02-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.1002	+0.01%	1.25	-40.48%	0.5970	✗	1.44	2.6M	2022-02-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.42	4.419	-0.02%	3.28	-25.79%	0.3707	✓	1.34	16.1M	2022-02-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.6708	5.6693	-0.03%	6.0829	+7.27%	0.0199	✗	0.93	4.5M	2022-02-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.65	1.6496	-0.03%	1.6127	-2.26%	0.0833	✓	1.12	95k	2022-02-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5076	0.507372	-0.04%	0.4728	-6.86%	0.1421	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	2.8873	-0.09%	2.34	-19.03%	0.2924	✓	1.51	32.4M	2022-02-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036765	0.036725	-0.11%	0.050288	+36.78%	0.2432	✗	1.31	10.3M	2022-02-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.0944	0.094231	-0.18%	0.0927	-1.80%	0.0743	✓	1.07	41k	2022-02-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	34,807.70	34,731.34	-0.22%	37,080.10	+6.53%	0.0108	✗	1.01	26k	2022-02-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.78	3.7716	-0.22%	3.73	-1.32%	0.0775	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-02-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.059	3.0519	-0.23%	2.889	-5.56%	0.1021	✓	0.87	1.1M	2022-02-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9512	0.948827	-0.25%	0.7852	-17.45%	0.2550	✓	1.21	34.7M	2022-02-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3321	-0.34%	2.16	-7.69%	0.1411	✓	1.19	737k	2022-02-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.07	96.7411	-0.34%	87.04	-10.33%	0.1721	✓	1.22	2.8M	2022-02-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	190.08	189.4246	-0.34%	125.92	-33.75%	0.4739	✓	1.21	1.3M	2022-02-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.08	2.072	-0.38%	1.3	-37.50%	0.5458	✓	1.47	6.6M	2022-02-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.46	2.4484	-0.47%	1.58	-35.77%	0.5259	✓	1.62	2.2M	2022-02-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.506	1.4986	-0.49%	1.384	-8.10%	0.1486	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.979	1.9685	-0.53%	1.933	-2.32%	0.0773	✓	1.09	24k	2022-02-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.71467	0.710865	-0.53%	0.64579	-9.64%	0.1908	✓	1.75	848k	2022-02-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.567	2.5516	-0.60%	2.321	-9.58%	0.1783	✓	1.54	1.1M	2022-02-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01275	0.012666	-0.66%	0.01284	+0.71%	0.0341	✓	0.88	21k	2022-02-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	33.44	33.189	-0.75%	39.81	+19.05%	0.1168	✗	1.20	29.0M	2022-02-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2179	0.216242	-0.76%	0.2293	+5.23%	0.0023	✓	1.12	440k	2022-02-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.96	6.9064	-0.77%	5.95	-14.51%	0.1711	✓	0.41	2.8M	2022-02-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.62	12.5184	-0.80%	13.77	+9.11%	0.0573	✗	0.70	813k	2022-02-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.27	29.0161	-0.87%	23.83	-18.59%	0.2523	✓	1.02	109.3M	2022-02-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6015	3.555	-1.29%	5.8395	+62.14%	0.4955	✗	0.01	371k	2022-02-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.424	6.3389	-1.33%	5.32	-17.19%	0.2340	✓	1.08	301k	2022-02-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7227	2.6797	-1.58%	2.8775	+5.69%	0.0152	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	62.89	61.8211	-1.70%	50.13	-20.29%	0.3075	✓	1.80	7.8M	2022-02-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2645	0.259094	-2.04%	0.2042	-22.80%	0.3255	✓	1.61	4.6M	2022-02-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.7106	0.695493	-2.13%	1.646	+131.64%	0.7872	✗	1.37	108k	2022-02-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9642	2.8989	-2.20%	2.2241	-24.97%	0.3124	✓	0.87	2,942	2022-02-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15638	0.152551	-2.45%	0.15154	-3.10%	0.0899	✓	1.53	7,011	2022-02-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5039	1.4602	-2.90%	1.7569	+16.82%	0.1403	✗	0.82	1.6M	2022-02-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.054184	0.052392	-3.31%	0.023018	-57.52%	0.8768	✓	1.00	575k	2022-02-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5658	0.545594	-3.57%	0.481	-14.99%	0.1922	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-21
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.4442	1.3879	-3.90%	0.8883	-38.49%	0.5005	✓	1.00	4.1M	2022-02-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.82	4.6292	-3.96%	5.72	+18.67%	0.1905	✗	0.39	471k	2022-02-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5482	0.526076	-4.04%	0.3401	-37.96%	0.5360	✓	1.84	48.9M	2022-02-21
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	2.0433	-4.96%	1.99	-7.44%	0.0807	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-21
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.392	6.9438	-6.06%	2.332	-68.45%	1.1454	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-21
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.07202	0.067548	-6.21%	0.03362	-53.32%	0.7520	✓	1.00	12.6M	2022-02-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.