2022-01-20 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 140 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1921

140 of 140 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+11.98%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

85.0%

in alpha space · 85.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (140 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	9.77	8.9469	-8.43%	3.675	-62.38%	0.8757	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.757	0.69868	-7.70%	0.419	-44.65%	0.4860	✓	1.80	46.2M	2022-02-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.07094	0.066301	-6.54%	0.02609	-63.22%	0.9186	✓	1.00	682k	2022-02-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0839	1.0148	-6.38%	1.8854	+73.95%	0.6337	✗	1.01	108k	2022-02-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.52	8.9982	-5.48%	6.99	-26.58%	0.2500	✓	0.18	3.1M	2022-02-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.432	8.9514	-5.10%	6.873	-27.13%	0.2625	✓	0.12	38k	2022-02-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5776	0.549665	-4.84%	0.5485	-5.04%	0.0173	✓	1.38	1.7M	2022-02-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2825	0.268989	-4.78%	0.273	-3.36%	0.0295	✓	1.04	397k	2022-02-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18914	0.180234	-4.71%	0.15998	-15.42%	0.0969	✓	1.58	6,611	2022-02-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3693	0.351923	-4.71%	0.247	-33.12%	0.3328	✓	1.51	4.3M	2022-02-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5815	1.5169	-4.09%	1.9802	+25.21%	0.2784	✗	0.84	1.3M	2022-02-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.97	3.8079	-4.08%	2.81	-29.22%	0.2833	✓	1.46	32.4M	2022-02-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.111	2.0284	-3.91%	1.664	-21.17%	0.1818	✓	1.15	1.9M	2022-02-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.1614	1.1161	-3.90%	0.9001	-22.50%	0.1980	✓	1.22	30.5M	2022-02-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.41	74.4176	-3.87%	50.46	-34.81%	0.3620	✓	1.88	7.7M	2022-02-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.35	3.2212	-3.85%	2.42	-27.76%	0.2706	✓	1.09	752k	2022-02-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.81	5.588	-3.82%	3.87	-33.39%	0.3490	✓	1.30	17.0M	2022-02-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.06	2.9443	-3.78%	1.57	-48.69%	0.6105	✓	1.30	7.8M	2022-02-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.97	37.4996	-3.77%	26.69	-31.51%	0.3266	✓	0.96	104.1M	2022-02-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.90658	0.873232	-3.68%	0.75237	-17.01%	0.1235	✓	1.80	866k	2022-02-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6385	2.5448	-3.55%	2.8917	+9.60%	0.1425	✗	1.05	4.3M	2022-02-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.78	4.6145	-3.46%	4.37	-8.58%	0.0374	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-02-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050637	0.048918	-3.39%	0.059376	+17.26%	0.2107	✗	1.20	8.4M	2022-02-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.481	7.2273	-3.39%	6.265	-16.25%	0.1247	✓	1.29	301k	2022-02-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08157	0.078903	-3.27%	0.07126	-12.64%	0.0914	✓	0.74	56k	2022-02-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,414.30	30,387.43	-3.27%	21,669.76	-31.02%	0.3284	✓	0.69	21.5M	2022-02-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8114	3.6884	-3.23%	2.3136	-39.30%	0.4557	✓	0.76	2,257	2022-02-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8707	1.8114	-3.17%	1.6691	-10.78%	0.0657	✓	1.14	89k	2022-02-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5606	0.543122	-3.12%	0.4201	-25.06%	0.2372	✓	1.39	2.6M	2022-02-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.36	3.2558	-3.10%	1.98	-41.07%	0.4767	✓	1.47	2.2M	2022-02-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01551	0.015037	-3.05%	0.01266	-18.38%	0.1605	✓	0.82	21k	2022-02-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.539	2.4627	-3.01%	2.168	-14.61%	0.1133	✓	1.01	24k	2022-02-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.68	4.5394	-3.01%	4.93	+5.34%	0.0984	✗	1.13	2.3M	2022-02-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1598	3.0676	-2.92%	3.0659	-2.97%	0.0159	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.98	24.2562	-2.90%	20	-19.94%	0.1726	✓	1.44	34.3M	2022-02-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.583	3.4794	-2.89%	2.973	-17.02%	0.1473	✓	0.71	523k	2022-02-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.655547	0.636691	-2.88%	0.594043	-9.38%	0.0529	✓	1.16	2.3M	2022-02-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.25	29.3866	-2.85%	25.4	-16.03%	0.1221	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-02-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.682	0.663061	-2.78%	0.489	-28.30%	0.2832	✓	1.51	8.0M	2022-02-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.79	2.7133	-2.75%	1.58	-43.37%	0.5225	✓	1.30	2.7M	2022-02-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	79.35	77.1829	-2.73%	85.07	+7.21%	0.1145	✗	1.22	87.3M	2022-02-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	239.61	233.0816	-2.72%	151.15	-36.92%	0.4162	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0173	0.989882	-2.70%	0.827	-18.71%	0.1655	✓	1.01	22.7M	2022-02-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.328	0.319248	-2.67%	0.254	-22.56%	0.2174	✓	0.80	51k	2022-02-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	198.37	193.1068	-2.65%	146.18	-26.31%	0.2613	✓	1.22	17.6M	2022-02-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.19	4.0791	-2.65%	7.47	+78.28%	0.6189	✗	0.99	471k	2022-02-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.17	43.9823	-2.63%	42.78	-5.29%	0.0119	✓	1.12	24.7M	2022-02-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.6	46.3634	-2.60%	38.13	-19.89%	0.1742	✓	1.51	620k	2022-02-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	121.15	118.0574	-2.55%	102.42	-15.46%	0.1251	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-02-19
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0699	1.0427	-2.55%	0.9635	-9.94%	0.0588	✓	1.43	3.7M	2022-02-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.89	6.7187	-2.49%	5.31	-22.93%	0.2228	✓	0.89	1.0M	2022-02-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6442	0.628198	-2.48%	0.5576	-13.44%	0.1009	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.75	7.5653	-2.38%	5.69	-26.58%	0.2711	✓	0.98	3.9M	2022-02-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01217	0.011882	-2.37%	0.00967	-20.54%	0.1917	✓	1.02	641k	2022-02-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.96	7.7767	-2.30%	5.08	-36.18%	0.4154	✓	0.74	1.0M	2022-02-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3945	1.3624	-2.30%	1.0275	-26.32%	0.2694	✓	0.91	402k	2022-02-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	18.34	17.9187	-2.30%	14.06	-23.34%	0.2283	✓	1.01	807k	2022-02-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.095	3.0244	-2.28%	2.586	-16.45%	0.1323	✓	1.73	1.1M	2022-02-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03533	0.034531	-2.26%	0.02878	-18.54%	0.1691	✓	0.93	8.3M	2022-02-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.2113	5.0953	-2.22%	4.2985	-17.51%	0.1527	✓	1.23	443k	2022-02-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.59	14.2703	-2.19%	15.11	+3.56%	0.0668	✗	0.68	813k	2022-02-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.861	3.7769	-2.18%	3.281	-15.02%	0.1295	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-02-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06785	0.066387	-2.16%	0.02516	-62.92%	0.9525	✓	1.26	12.0M	2022-02-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1313	1.107	-2.15%	1.1527	+1.89%	0.0556	✗	1.07	2.4M	2022-02-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0529	0.051805	-2.07%	0.0593	+12.10%	0.1492	✗	1.00	23.9M	2022-02-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04537	0.04444	-2.05%	0.04064	-10.43%	0.0739	✓	1.10	24k	2022-02-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	24.39	23.9205	-1.93%	20.48	-16.03%	0.1333	✓	1.56	1.0M	2022-02-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2346	0.230141	-1.90%	0.198	-15.60%	0.1313	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-02-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.0241	-1.89%	5.28	-14.01%	0.1225	✓	0.67	505k	2022-02-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01207	0.011842	-1.89%	0.0051	-57.75%	0.8088	✓	2.38	23.2M	2022-02-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.11	1.0891	-1.88%	0.99	-10.81%	0.0718	✓	1.68	556k	2022-02-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		104.32	102.3597	-1.88%	87.64	-15.99%	0.1417	✓	0.96	1.8M	2022-02-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1484	0.145621	-1.87%	0.1472	-0.81%	0.0286	✗	1.27	4.2M	2022-02-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.4	7.2657	-1.82%	6.41	-13.38%	0.1145	✓	0.77	638k	2022-02-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.18	19.8233	-1.77%	15.52	-23.09%	0.2275	✓	1.22	73.6M	2022-02-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	118.84	116.7765	-1.74%	112.33	-5.48%	0.0201	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-02-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23	22.602	-1.73%	17.86	-22.35%	0.2162	✓	1.37	58.5M	2022-02-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.731	4.6497	-1.72%	4.472	-5.47%	0.0294	✓	0.68	445k	2022-02-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.057	6.9359	-1.72%	6.787	-3.83%	0.0013	✓	1.45	251k	2022-02-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7088	3.646	-1.69%	5.7961	+56.28%	0.4628	✗	-0.05	371k	2022-02-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1141	0.112207	-1.66%	0.0963	-15.60%	0.1347	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-02-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2832	0.278516	-1.65%	0.2512	-11.30%	0.0851	✓	1.29	1.9M	2022-02-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.428	0.420926	-1.65%	0.325	-24.07%	0.2398	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-02-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.97	7.8434	-1.59%	7.27	-8.78%	0.0758	✓	0.01	1.2M	2022-02-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.92	6.8102	-1.59%	5.766	-16.68%	0.1565	✓	0.71	163k	2022-02-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.143	1.1249	-1.59%	0.861	-24.67%	0.2477	✓	1.39	2.3M	2022-02-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	69.09	68.0214	-1.55%	54.84	-20.63%	0.1997	✓	1.11	6.3M	2022-02-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0322	6.924	-1.54%	6.6548	-5.37%	0.0275	✓	0.86	4.3M	2022-02-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9838	3.9226	-1.54%	3.0416	-23.65%	0.2377	✓	1.18	3.9M	2022-02-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.026039	0.025648	-1.50%	0.020617	-20.82%	0.2037	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	119.9355	118.1478	-1.49%	84.5568	-29.50%	0.3182	✓	1.16	489k	2022-02-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.231498	0.228262	-1.40%	0.204174	-11.80%	0.0967	✓	1.05	24.4M	2022-02-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.939	0.925924	-1.39%	0.749	-20.23%	0.1981	✓	0.99	2.0M	2022-02-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	162.17	159.983	-1.35%	121.25	-25.23%	0.2605	✓	1.19	95k	2022-02-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	28.976	-1.34%	28.7	-2.28%	0.0058	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-02-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009053	0.000089327	-1.33%	0.00007811	-13.72%	0.1198	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-02-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1095	0.108058	-1.32%	0.1018	-7.03%	0.0446	✓	1.07	41k	2022-02-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.155509	0.153477	-1.31%	0.141002	-9.33%	0.0692	✓	1.11	6.5M	2022-02-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0736	0.072668	-1.27%	0.0806	+9.51%	0.1236	✗	1.42	826k	2022-02-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01227	0.012117	-1.24%	0.01191	-2.93%	0.0014	✓	1.32	2.1M	2022-02-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.73	186.3934	-1.24%	161.12	-14.63%	0.1316	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1002	0.098972	-1.23%	0.0784	-21.76%	0.2172	✓	1.12	244k	2022-02-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.8	2.7667	-1.19%	2.38	-15.00%	0.1365	✓	1.00	855k	2022-02-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0452	0.044665	-1.18%	0.03	-33.63%	0.3786	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1666	0.164688	-1.15%	0.1444	-13.33%	0.1186	✓	0.91	362k	2022-02-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,418.10	40,943.89	-1.14%	39,901.00	-3.66%	0.0120	✓	0.98	16k	2022-02-19
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.067694	0.066928	-1.13%	0.063482	-6.22%	0.0394	✓	0.95	486k	2022-02-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0964	0.095332	-1.11%	0.08925	-7.42%	0.0496	✓	1.16	34k	2022-02-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.8682	0.858827	-1.08%	0.5475	-36.94%	0.4304	✓	1.41	1.4M	2022-02-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.8	128.4158	-1.07%	115.59	-10.95%	0.0861	✓	1.36	30.5M	2022-02-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.679	1.6623	-0.99%	1.491	-11.20%	0.0923	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.09	9.9909	-0.98%	9.9	-1.88%	0.0014	✓	0.75	800k	2022-02-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5001	0.495188	-0.98%	0.4172	-16.58%	0.1529	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.49	14.3526	-0.95%	10.03	-30.78%	0.3397	✓	1.32	12.4M	2022-02-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.88195	-0.90%	0.85	-4.49%	0.0099	✓	1.91	1.3M	2022-02-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068235	-0.89%	0.05154	-25.14%	0.2613	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	26.19	25.9694	-0.84%	20.82	-20.50%	0.2053	✓	1.11	14.5M	2022-02-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2589	1.2486	-0.82%	0.9969	-20.81%	0.2090	✓	1.14	100.6M	2022-02-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.429	19.2735	-0.80%	19.839	+2.11%	0.0518	✗	1.62	10.7M	2022-02-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,670.97	40,420.31	-0.62%	40,101.94	-1.40%	0.0062	✓	1.00	636.6M	2022-02-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.38	7.3472	-0.44%	5.92	-19.78%	0.2069	✓	0.64	652k	2022-02-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	357.74	356.1581	-0.44%	312.05	-12.77%	0.1178	✓	1.03	6.6M	2022-02-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.03	2.022	-0.40%	1.58	-22.17%	0.2315	✓	1.07	2.7M	2022-02-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	11.36	11.323	-0.33%	9.99	-12.06%	0.1088	✓	1.17	2.9M	2022-02-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1782	0.177624	-0.32%	0.1581	-11.28%	0.1068	✓	0.69	573k	2022-02-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.715	3.7035	-0.31%	3.6074	-2.90%	0.0067	✓	1.39	3.1M	2022-02-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.272	1.2681	-0.31%	1.132	-11.01%	0.0940	✓	1.39	4.0M	2022-02-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002648	0.000026414	-0.25%	0.0000275	+3.85%	0.0593	✗	1.35	1.7M	2022-02-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.01234	0.012316	-0.19%	0.01032	-16.37%	0.1591	✓	1.26	1.8M	2022-02-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0653	1.0633	-0.19%	0.8878	-16.66%	0.1530	✓	1.94	1.2M	2022-02-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,000.94	2,995.67	-0.18%	2,764.44	-7.88%	0.0652	✓	1.08	485.8M	2022-02-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0723	0.072231	-0.10%	0.0679	-6.09%	0.0462	✓	1.11	21k	2022-02-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.35	2.3486	-0.06%	1.82	-22.55%	0.2362	✓	1.33	3.1M	2022-02-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018378	0.018389	+0.06%	0.015145	-17.59%	0.1769	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-02-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8203	2.8228	+0.09%	2.071	-26.57%	0.2934	✗	1.16	665k	2022-02-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6721	0.672771	+0.10%	0.4814	-28.37%	0.3195	✗	1.08	2.5M	2022-02-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.43	25.4687	+0.15%	30.94	+21.67%	0.2048	✓	0.72	342k	2022-02-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	127.52	128.0805	+0.44%	91.34	-28.37%	0.3217	✗	1.16	142.2M	2022-02-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.32	132.9143	+0.45%	110.71	-16.33%	0.1695	✗	0.94	6.7M	2022-02-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.12	21.6518	+2.52%	16.06	-23.96%	0.2724	✗	1.87	4.1M	2022-02-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.