2021-12-22 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3402

136 of 136 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+20.19%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

66.9%

in alpha space · 94.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-25.00%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02388	0.020177	-15.51%	0.0092	-61.47%	0.4977	✓	1.00	34.3M	2022-01-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.62	9.2547	-12.86%	7.97	-24.95%	0.1836	✓	-0.12	4.2M	2022-01-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.59	3.1289	-12.84%	2.45	-31.75%	0.0431	✓	1.00	11.9M	2022-01-21
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5055	1.3217	-12.21%	0.906	-39.82%	0.0006	✓	1.31	11.9M	2022-01-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.7654	1.5517	-12.11%	0.5186	-70.62%	0.9456	✓	0.52	8.5M	2022-01-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6721	0.590815	-12.09%	0.6365	-5.30%	0.6034	✗	1.84	12.6M	2022-01-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2895	2.8936	-12.03%	2.2219	-32.45%	0.0196	✓	0.85	9.3M	2022-01-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.1998	1.9426	-11.69%	0.8678	-60.55%	0.2295	✓	2.00	2.3M	2022-01-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.49	36.8149	-11.27%	24.86	-40.08%	0.1059	✓	1.73	5.2M	2022-01-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.31	1.1643	-11.13%	0.8913	-31.96%	0.0205	✓	1.00	196k	2022-01-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.08	9.9105	-10.55%	6.49	-41.43%	0.2767	✓	0.51	3.4M	2022-01-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0877	0.078568	-10.41%	0.05552	-36.69%	0.0098	✓	1.24	22.6M	2022-01-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.05	4.5302	-10.29%	3.31	-34.46%	0.0753	✓	1.35	28.7M	2022-01-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20351	0.183405	-9.88%	0.16704	-17.92%	0.3753	✗	1.63	34k	2022-01-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	45.03	40.6544	-9.72%	17.88	-60.29%	0.2885	✓	1.85	10.6M	2022-01-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	116.66	105.5523	-9.52%	66.07	-43.37%	0.1363	✓	1.15	158.3M	2022-01-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6078	1.4621	-9.06%	0.91734	-42.95%	0.1770	✓	1.01	7.8M	2022-01-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.634	0.578015	-8.83%	0.352	-44.48%	0.1440	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-01-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.46	8.6255	-8.82%	6.6	-30.23%	0.0454	✓	1.09	4.1M	2022-01-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.45	4.9849	-8.53%	2.29	-57.98%	0.4902	✓	1.00	6.8M	2022-01-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6893	0.632754	-8.20%	0.4811	-30.20%	0.0807	✓	1.23	6.5M	2022-01-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.58	9.7181	-8.15%	7.826	-26.03%	0.2671	✓	-0.18	129k	2022-01-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.036887	0.033903	-8.09%	0.022082	-40.14%	0.1354	✓	1.02	13.9M	2022-01-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2856	0.262826	-7.97%	0.198	-30.67%	0.0793	✓	1.26	6.6M	2022-01-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.579	2.3794	-7.74%	1.738	-32.61%	0.0501	✓	0.92	2.8M	2022-01-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	181.9072	168.3407	-7.46%	95	-47.78%	0.2440	✓	1.14	748k	2022-01-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	68	63.0872	-7.22%	38.94	-42.74%	0.0458	✓	1.52	1.7M	2022-01-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.04	4.6791	-7.16%	4.65	-7.74%	0.2814	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-01-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.000035	0.000032507	-7.12%	0.00002226	-36.40%	0.0910	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-01-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01601	0.014907	-6.89%	0.01044	-34.79%	0.0906	✓	0.92	1.5M	2022-01-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0712	0.066322	-6.85%	0.0363	-49.02%	0.2099	✓	1.37	2.7M	2022-01-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3774	0.351731	-6.80%	0.2523	-33.15%	0.0408	✓	1.30	6.6M	2022-01-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060937	0.056803	-6.78%	0.041641	-31.67%	0.1190	✗	1.49	11.0M	2022-01-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2119	0.197559	-6.77%	0.0939	-55.69%	0.4137	✓	1.15	4.2M	2022-01-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.759	3.5068	-6.71%	2.795	-25.65%	0.0608	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-01-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.14	9.4684	-6.62%	5.957	-41.25%	0.2783	✓	0.64	455k	2022-01-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.9655	1.8384	-6.47%	1.1848	-39.72%	0.2399	✓	0.69	1.3M	2022-01-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3409	0.319863	-6.17%	0.2396	-29.72%	0.0337	✓	0.89	401k	2022-01-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05685	0.053488	-5.91%	0.03977	-30.04%	0.0270	✓	1.12	20k	2022-01-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.2709	1.196	-5.89%	0.857	-32.57%	0.0269	✓	1.07	23.6M	2022-01-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.5402	6.1579	-5.84%	4.7186	-27.85%	0.0750	✗	1.19	833k	2022-01-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0194	0.018281	-5.77%	0.01394	-28.14%	0.1126	✓	0.55	61k	2022-01-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.898	0.8483	-5.53%	0.561	-37.53%	0.0096	✓	1.47	9.7M	2022-01-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.435	20.2673	-5.45%	16.808	-21.59%	0.2987	✗	1.69	22.7M	2022-01-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1026	0.09704	-5.42%	0.0619	-39.67%	0.0612	✓	1.35	3.3M	2022-01-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10602	0.100312	-5.38%	0.07197	-32.12%	0.1755	✓	0.54	143k	2022-01-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,630.71	29,998.65	-5.16%	25,741.64	-18.62%	0.0017	✓	0.54	6.8M	2022-01-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	206.65	195.9966	-5.16%	139.37	-32.56%	0.0384	✓	1.05	236k	2022-01-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2077	0.197031	-5.14%	0.1206	-41.94%	0.1475	✓	1.19	7.6M	2022-01-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.31	3.1434	-5.03%	2.9	-12.39%	0.1984	✗	0.97	807k	2022-01-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4511	0.428453	-5.02%	0.5351	+18.62%	0.6306	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-01-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.02	9.5229	-4.96%	5.68	-43.31%	0.2439	✓	0.95	1.9M	2022-01-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	165.84	157.7526	-4.88%	102.35	-38.28%	0.0408	✓	1.36	13.6M	2022-01-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.53	4.3115	-4.82%	2.71	-40.18%	0.1767	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4567	2.3385	-4.81%	1.6672	-32.14%	0.0079	✓	1.20	147k	2022-01-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.6	1.5241	-4.74%	0.97	-39.38%	0.0362	✓	1.70	1.6M	2022-01-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7367	0.70319	-4.55%	0.5619	-23.73%	0.1260	✗	1.22	7.7M	2022-01-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0655	4.8371	-4.51%	3.555	-29.82%	0.0851	✗	1.37	5.0M	2022-01-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.01724	0.016468	-4.48%	0.01002	-41.88%	0.1581	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-01-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1865	1.1336	-4.46%	0.81011	-31.72%	0.1659	✗	1.74	1.6M	2022-01-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	206.48	197.2858	-4.45%	171.09	-17.14%	0.1353	✗	0.97	11.4M	2022-01-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0179	0.017108	-4.42%	0.01111	-37.93%	0.0705	✓	1.26	3.6M	2022-01-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.271	1.2153	-4.38%	0.764	-39.89%	0.1824	✓	0.98	4.4M	2022-01-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2372	3.096	-4.36%	3.11	-3.93%	0.3512	✗	1.21	4.0M	2022-01-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	273.22	261.3816	-4.33%	213.87	-21.72%	0.1101	✗	1.08	1.5M	2022-01-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6944	0.664323	-4.33%	0.4366	-37.13%	0.0499	✓	1.29	14.9M	2022-01-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.33	39.544	-4.32%	38.52	-6.80%	0.2793	✗	1.06	23.4M	2022-01-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1365	0.13076	-4.21%	0.0834	-38.90%	0.1386	✓	1.08	508k	2022-01-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3641	1.3072	-4.17%	1.0303	-24.47%	0.0638	✗	1.05	35.5M	2022-01-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		5.0079	4.8003	-4.14%	3.2277	-35.55%	0.1783	✓	0.76	31k	2022-01-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.4299	9.0443	-4.09%	6.1225	-35.07%	0.0261	✓	1.45	349k	2022-01-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.1305	0.125173	-4.08%	0.097	-25.67%	0.0574	✗	1.09	202k	2022-01-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0942	0.090365	-4.07%	0.05388	-42.80%	0.0830	✓	1.51	6.4M	2022-01-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.21	1.1613	-4.02%	0.73	-39.67%	0.1766	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-01-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.18	11.691	-4.02%	6.72	-44.83%	0.6438	✓	-0.31	5.4M	2022-01-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05029	0.048277	-4.00%	0.0303	-39.75%	0.1935	✓	0.95	16.3M	2022-01-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.3103	-3.97%	4.17	-24.59%	0.0692	✗	1.08	5.3M	2022-01-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.824208	0.791719	-3.94%	0.55846	-32.24%	0.0421	✓	1.07	4.7M	2022-01-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	155.44	149.3143	-3.94%	114.51	-26.33%	0.1370	✗	1.40	60.2M	2022-01-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011055	0.000106241	-3.90%	0.00007968	-27.92%	0.0022	✓	0.99	12.0M	2022-01-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3293	0.316483	-3.89%	0.2921	-11.30%	0.3377	✗	1.45	4.4M	2022-01-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3628	1.3106	-3.83%	1.4321	+5.09%	0.3977	✗	1.07	1.5M	2022-01-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.37	9.9888	-3.68%	9.4	-9.35%	0.1533	✗	0.74	1.6M	2022-01-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.36	5.1655	-3.63%	3.96	-26.12%	0.0744	✗	1.18	2.8M	2022-01-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.5418	4.379	-3.58%	3.3417	-26.42%	0.1034	✗	1.30	5.1M	2022-01-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.76	32.5619	-3.55%	21.23	-37.11%	0.0045	✓	1.50	1.6M	2022-01-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.93	7.6593	-3.41%	5.64	-28.88%	0.1241	✓	0.63	1.1M	2022-01-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.07	2.9659	-3.39%	2	-34.85%	0.0242	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-01-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.24	26.3232	-3.37%	19.67	-27.79%	0.0655	✗	1.24	75.5M	2022-01-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.39	26.4754	-3.34%	34.64	+26.47%	0.5181	✗	0.87	41.0M	2022-01-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	135.16	130.6512	-3.34%	105.73	-21.77%	0.1472	✗	1.25	2.2M	2022-01-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.79	15.2682	-3.30%	13.42	-15.01%	0.0619	✗	0.66	1.5M	2022-01-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5995	3.4821	-3.26%	3.5345	-1.81%	0.0108	✓	-0.09	372k	2022-01-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.39	3.2803	-3.23%	2.46	-27.43%	0.0051	✓	0.98	1.3M	2022-01-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.267724	0.259314	-3.14%	0.202862	-24.23%	0.0384	✗	0.99	39.0M	2022-01-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2424	0.234952	-3.07%	0.1639	-32.38%	0.2288	✓	0.46	428k	2022-01-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0865	0.083883	-3.02%	0.0634	-26.71%	0.0366	✗	1.10	22k	2022-01-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.08	32.1101	-2.93%	23.31	-29.53%	0.1283	✓	0.67	711k	2022-01-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.83	8.5719	-2.92%	6.56	-25.71%	0.0456	✓	0.77	934k	2022-01-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0889	1.0585	-2.79%	0.6747	-38.04%	0.0138	✓	1.52	3.0M	2022-01-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.569	1.5255	-2.77%	0.984	-37.28%	0.0601	✓	1.32	5.4M	2022-01-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4753	3.3797	-2.75%	2.3265	-33.06%	0.0738	✓	1.04	819k	2022-01-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	190.53	185.4029	-2.69%	172.82	-9.30%	0.2034	✗	0.95	2.8M	2022-01-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.47	2.4039	-2.68%	1.84	-25.51%	0.0051	✓	0.95	4.7M	2022-01-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	101.56	98.8451	-2.67%	58.39	-42.51%	0.2514	✓	0.96	9.8M	2022-01-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	178.45	173.7663	-2.62%	112.32	-37.06%	0.1460	✓	1.01	265.5M	2022-01-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.973	2.8951	-2.62%	2.197	-26.10%	0.0337	✓	0.84	103k	2022-01-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.801	1.7549	-2.56%	1.209	-32.87%	0.0017	✓	1.29	6.8M	2022-01-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.34	22.7642	-2.47%	24.19	+3.64%	0.4449	✗	1.34	21.2M	2022-01-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	182.5	178.052	-2.44%	114.44	-37.29%	0.1789	✓	0.91	12.1M	2022-01-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11507	0.112292	-2.41%	0.08324	-27.66%	0.0174	✓	1.10	30k	2022-01-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.21	15.8516	-2.21%	12.63	-22.09%	0.1380	✗	1.27	14.1M	2022-01-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	35.67	34.8828	-2.21%	25.95	-27.25%	0.0045	✓	1.04	6.2M	2022-01-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173188	0.169408	-2.18%	0.142057	-17.98%	0.1399	✗	1.10	5.5M	2022-01-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3279	1.2994	-2.15%	1.1211	-15.57%	0.1477	✗	1.03	128.9M	2022-01-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	48,803.20	47,770.83	-2.12%	36,607.80	-24.99%	0.0171	✓	0.98	12k	2022-01-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		123.67	121.0781	-2.10%	95.68	-22.63%	0.0478	✗	0.98	2.8M	2022-01-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.125	6.005	-1.96%	6.243	+1.93%	0.2731	✗	0.81	4.7M	2022-01-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,981.12	3,907.04	-1.86%	2,569.01	-35.47%	0.1140	✓	1.06	768.5M	2022-01-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.258	8.1151	-1.73%	8.351	+1.13%	0.4085	✗	1.32	635k	2022-01-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.079046	0.07769	-1.72%	0.061109	-22.69%	0.0371	✗	0.96	787k	2022-01-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2078	0.204493	-1.59%	0.1474	-29.07%	0.0759	✓	0.87	776k	2022-01-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.227	2.1929	-1.53%	1.445	-35.11%	0.0975	✓	1.11	3.4M	2022-01-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.36	6.2653	-1.49%	4.96	-22.01%	0.1444	✗	1.31	13.8M	2022-01-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.024	3.9653	-1.46%	3.392	-15.71%	0.0749	✗	0.80	714k	2022-01-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.51	24.1538	-1.45%	15.55	-36.56%	0.1341	✓	1.06	2.7M	2022-01-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.92	19.6514	-1.35%	17.44	-12.45%	0.2467	✗	1.27	67.0M	2022-01-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022989	0.02272	-1.17%	0.016171	-29.66%	0.0080	✓	1.21	2.0M	2022-01-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.63	35.2528	-1.06%	21.98	-38.31%	0.1812	✓	1.01	22.5M	2022-01-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.151	5.0994	-1.00%	4.12	-20.02%	0.0313	✓	0.63	936k	2022-01-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.357	0.353462	-0.99%	0.271	-24.09%	0.0519	✓	0.74	49k	2022-01-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.79	8.7061	-0.95%	6.31	-28.21%	0.1332	✓	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	48,608.62	48,277.79	-0.68%	36,456.94	-25.00%	0.0068	✗	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.56	15.5485	-0.07%	9.94	-36.12%	0.1188	✓	1.14	5.7M	2022-01-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	438.3	438.8424	+0.12%	315.04	-28.12%	0.0346	✗	1.03	14.2M	2022-01-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.862	3.8773	+0.40%	3.168	-17.97%	0.0064	✗	0.68	487k	2022-01-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.