8=======>

2021-12-21 · +1d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0806
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
23.5%
in alpha space · 26.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.6861-0.03%1.7654+4.67%0.0493✗0.528.7M2021-12-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.06874-0.09%0.0712+3.49%0.0437✗1.362.7M2021-12-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.4203-0.10%19.92+2.47%0.0334✗1.2769.7M2021-12-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1123.0854-0.11%23.34+1.00%0.0194✗1.3420.8M2021-12-22
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.2785-0.12%1.3279+3.73%0.0443✗1.03131.8M2021-12-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4368-0.13%2.47+1.23%0.0195✗0.954.8M2021-12-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3135.2636-0.13%35.63+0.91%0.0167✗1.0121.2M2021-12-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.356524-0.13%0.357+0.00%0.0060✗0.7454k2021-12-22
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4194.1236-0.14%206.65+6.30%0.0691✗1.05228k2021-12-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.111656-0.16%0.11507+2.89%0.0370✗1.1030k2021-12-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.7928-0.16%3.862+1.66%0.0224✗0.68544k2021-12-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1725.1283-0.17%27.24+8.22%0.0885✗1.2475.1M2021-12-22
XMRMoneroMonero188.96188.629-0.18%190.53+0.83%0.0160✗0.952.9M2021-12-22
XVSVenusEthereum15.2815.2524-0.18%15.56+1.83%0.0271✗1.146.2M2021-12-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94437.1346-0.18%438.3+0.08%0.0091✗1.0314.2M2021-12-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.4982-0.18%8.258+9.93%0.1048✗1.32635k2021-12-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.1238-0.20%2.227+4.65%0.0544✗1.113.3M2021-12-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9382-0.20%4.024+1.98%0.0266✗0.80734k2021-12-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.3233-0.20%3.39+1.80%0.0260✗0.981.3M2021-12-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6523.602-0.20%27.39+15.81%0.1543✗0.8741.0M2021-12-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.022703-0.20%0.022989+1.05%0.0201✗1.211.9M2021-12-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7048,813.30-0.21%48,608.62-0.63%0.0021✓1.00754.4M2021-12-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.0661-0.21%5.151+1.46%0.0206✗0.631.0M2021-12-22
TRXTRONTron0.078850.078679-0.22%0.079046+0.25%0.0107✗0.96787k2021-12-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8154.4612-0.22%155.44+0.41%0.0151✗1.4060.7M2021-12-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.1019-0.22%1.0889-1.40%0.0024✓1.523.3M2021-12-22
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.8369-0.22%6.36+8.72%0.0941✗1.3213.8M2021-12-22
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0615.0249-0.23%16.21+7.64%0.0839✗1.2714.2M2021-12-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3335.2473-0.23%35.67+0.96%0.0185✗1.046.5M2021-12-22
QNTQuantEthereum186.26185.8231-0.23%182.5-2.02%0.0123✓0.9112.3M2021-12-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.209405-0.24%0.2078-1.00%0.0022✓0.87756k2021-12-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.13468-0.24%0.1365+1.11%0.0202✗1.08559k2021-12-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0331.953-0.24%33.76+5.40%0.0645✗1.501.5M2021-12-22
SOLSolanaSolana179.75179.3122-0.24%178.45-0.72%0.0015✓1.01275.4M2021-12-22
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.242481-0.25%0.2424-0.29%0.0025✓0.46428k2021-12-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.170467-0.26%0.173188+1.34%0.0227✗1.105.5M2021-12-22
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.2247-0.26%4.5418+7.23%0.0806✗1.304.7M2021-12-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.942.9324-0.26%3.07+4.42%0.0539✗1.293.1M2021-12-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.267266-0.26%0.267724-0.09%0.0079✗0.9940.4M2021-12-22
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000108991-0.26%0.00011055+1.16%0.0204✗0.9912.6M2021-12-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.4476-0.26%8.79+3.78%0.0439✗0.661.2M2021-12-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.9646-0.27%5.0079+0.60%0.0135✗0.7631k2021-12-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64124.3058-0.27%123.67-0.78%0.0011✓0.982.5M2021-12-22
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16185.6586-0.27%206.48+10.92%0.1124✗0.9711.0M2021-12-22
GTGateEthereum6.04466.0283-0.27%6.125+1.33%0.0210✗0.814.9M2021-12-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.085867-0.27%0.0865+0.46%0.0143✗1.1024k2021-12-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1633.0691-0.27%33.08-0.24%0.0045✗0.67744k2021-12-22
XEMNEMnative0.1280.127638-0.28%0.1305+1.95%0.0290✗1.09202k2021-12-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.4777-0.29%1.569+5.87%0.0682✗1.325.6M2021-12-22
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.86251-0.29%0.898+3.82%0.0496✗1.479.9M2021-12-22
DASHDashDash133.6133.2066-0.29%135.16+1.17%0.0224✗1.252.2M2021-12-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.2173-0.30%1.271+4.10%0.0493✗0.984.4M2021-12-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.3437-0.30%5.53+3.17%0.0411✗1.085.5M2021-12-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.8981-0.31%2.973+2.27%0.0308✗0.84104k2021-12-22
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.114,004.81-0.31%3,981.12-0.90%0.0007✓1.06768.5M2021-12-22
XVGVergenative0.017350.017296-0.31%0.01724-0.63%0.0041✗1.183.1M2021-12-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2796.9565-0.32%101.56+4.41%0.0524✗0.969.8M2021-12-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7424.6602-0.32%24.51-0.93%0.0006✓1.062.8M2021-12-22
BANDBandEthereum5.325.3027-0.32%5.36+0.75%0.0182✗1.182.8M2021-12-22
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.4196-0.33%3.4753+1.30%0.0227✗1.04819k2021-12-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7702-0.33%1.801+1.41%0.0253✗1.296.8M2021-12-22
KSMKusamaHydration267.01266.091-0.34%273.22+2.33%0.0332✗1.081.5M2021-12-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.056002-0.35%0.05685+1.16%0.0221✗1.1222k2021-12-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.3529-0.35%1.3641+0.47%0.0148✗1.0535.7M2021-12-22
QTUMQtumQtum9.21859.1857-0.36%9.4299+2.29%0.0353✗1.45349k2021-12-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2412.1963-0.36%12.18-0.49%0.0033✓-0.315.7M2021-12-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.780268-0.36%0.824208+5.25%0.0615✗1.074.8M2021-12-22
KCSKuCoinnative21.87521.796-0.36%21.435-2.01%0.0061✓1.6922.7M2021-12-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.00003273-0.36%0.000035+6.54%0.0733✗1.001.8M2021-12-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3048,270.69-0.37%48,803.20+0.73%0.0172✗0.9915k2021-12-22
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964183.2882-0.37%181.9072-1.12%0.0004✓1.14853k2021-12-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.658-0.37%8.83+1.61%0.0245✗0.77934k2021-12-22
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.7533-0.38%10.02+2.35%0.0329✗0.951.9M2021-12-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.5875-0.38%3.5995-0.04%0.0028✓-0.09372k2021-12-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.2275-0.39%3.31+2.16%0.0313✗0.97807k2021-12-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01094.9911-0.39%5.0655+1.09%0.0234✗1.375.2M2021-12-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.446716-0.40%0.4511+0.58%0.0187✗1.421.8M2021-12-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.048184-0.41%0.05029+3.95%0.0487✗0.9515.8M2021-12-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.36819-0.41%0.3774+2.08%0.0329✗1.306.6M2021-12-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.2788-0.42%1.3628+6.12%0.0704✗1.081.6M2021-12-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.203036-0.42%0.2077+1.86%0.0302✗1.198.6M2021-12-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0514.9862-0.42%15.79+4.92%0.0564✗0.671.6M2021-12-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.279099-0.43%0.2856+1.89%0.0309✗1.267.0M2021-12-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.4266-0.43%2.579+5.83%0.0667✗0.923.2M2021-12-22
ZENHorizenBase64.3764.093-0.43%68+5.64%0.0687✗1.521.9M2021-12-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.098773-0.43%0.1026+3.43%0.0465✗1.353.3M2021-12-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.061395-0.44%0.060937-1.18%0.0019✓1.4913.0M2021-12-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.706567-0.44%0.6944-2.16%0.0093✓1.2915.1M2021-12-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.101834-0.45%0.0942-7.91%0.0685✓1.516.8M2021-12-22
FTTFTXEthereum41.9641.7719-0.45%41.33-1.50%0.0040✓1.0625.2M2021-12-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.25810.2116-0.45%10.14-1.15%0.0030✓0.64388k2021-12-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.017977-0.46%0.0179-0.89%0.0036✓1.263.6M2021-12-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.311764-0.46%0.3293+5.14%0.0639✗1.454.9M2021-12-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.71669-0.46%0.7367+2.32%0.0352✗1.227.7M2021-12-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13546.1071-0.46%6.5402+6.60%0.0760✗1.19833k2021-12-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.1757-0.47%3.2372+1.46%0.0268✗1.214.7M2021-12-22
HIVEHivenative1.47581.4688-0.48%1.5055+2.01%0.0329✗1.3111.9M2021-12-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.5924-0.49%3.59-0.55%0.0056✗1.0012.1M2021-12-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5336.3492-0.49%41.49+13.58%0.1432✗1.745.5M2021-12-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.6218-0.50%1.6-1.84%0.0029✓1.701.8M2021-12-22
ZECZcashZcash162.44161.6224-0.50%165.84+2.09%0.0343✗1.3613.6M2021-12-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.019611-0.50%0.0194-1.57%0.0073✓0.5561k2021-12-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.620772-0.52%0.634+1.60%0.0288✗1.223.2M2021-12-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9240.7061-0.52%45.03+10.04%0.1126✗1.8513.1M2021-12-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.4219-0.53%2.4567+0.90%0.0218✗1.20169k2021-12-22
UMAUMAEthereum98.9526-0.53%9.46+5.11%0.0620✗1.094.1M2021-12-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.103731-0.56%0.10602+1.64%0.0252✗0.54143k2021-12-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.1598-0.57%1.1865+1.72%0.0337✗1.751.5M2021-12-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1832-0.58%1.21+1.68%0.0287✗1.002.4M2021-12-22
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.5832-0.58%4.53-1.74%0.0054✓1.002.5M2021-12-22
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.015667-0.59%0.01601+1.59%0.0275✗0.921.6M2021-12-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.8094-0.62%3.759-1.93%0.0070✓1.003.6M2021-12-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.9094-0.62%5.04+2.02%0.0325✗1.001.9M2021-12-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.5912-0.62%5.05+9.31%0.1037✗1.3628.7M2021-12-22
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4639.4036-0.63%10.58+11.80%0.1168✗-0.17119k2021-12-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.9310.8608-0.63%11.08+1.37%0.0232✗0.514.1M2021-12-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.330665-0.64%0.3409+2.43%0.0361✗0.89544k2021-12-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.6234-0.65%5.45-3.71%0.0250✓1.007.1M2021-12-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.666848-0.65%0.6893+2.70%0.0409✗1.237.1M2021-12-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.204658-0.65%0.20351-1.21%0.0046✓1.6334k2021-12-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.549.4746-0.69%10.62+11.32%0.1134✗-0.123.7M2021-12-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.8915-0.69%10.37+4.12%0.0519✗0.741.9M2021-12-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9934,453.91-0.70%31,630.71-8.84%0.0821✓0.536.8M2021-12-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.4891-0.77%1.6078+7.14%0.0830✗1.017.8M2021-12-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.7953-0.78%1.9655+8.63%0.0949✗0.701.4M2021-12-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.037997-0.78%0.036887-3.68%0.0233✓1.0215.0M2021-12-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.77.6349-0.85%7.93+2.99%0.0419✗0.631.1M2021-12-22
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28693.2573-0.90%3.2895+0.08%0.0151✗0.8510.1M2021-12-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.1209-0.98%1.31+15.72%0.1622✗1.00215k2021-12-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.3013-1.02%1.2709-3.33%0.0169✓1.0623.6M2021-12-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27122.0088-1.02%116.66-5.36%0.0376✓1.15164.3M2021-12-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.219845-1.15%0.2119-4.72%0.0296✓1.154.2M2021-12-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.59446-1.25%0.6721+11.64%0.1343✗1.8412.4M2021-12-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.096166-1.64%0.0877-10.30%0.0844✓1.2422.6M2021-12-22
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.3613-1.68%2.1998-8.40%0.0583✓2.002.4M2021-12-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.022469-2.05%0.02388+4.10%0.0672✗1.0033.0M2021-12-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.