2021-12-18 · +1d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1984

135 of 135 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.12%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

73.3%

in alpha space · 78.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.37%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07277	0.07314	+0.51%	0.0709	-2.57%	0.0274	✗	1.00	23.7M	2021-12-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.7088	1.7149	+0.35%	1.6518	-3.34%	0.0354	✗	0.56	9.4M	2021-12-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.031882	0.031898	+0.05%	0.038495	+20.74%	0.1917	✓	1.02	15.0M	2021-12-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.69	23.6917	+0.01%	22.67	-4.31%	0.0393	✗	1.31	20.6M	2021-12-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.67	3.6701	+0.00%	3.53	-3.81%	0.0352	✗	1.00	15.6M	2021-12-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.243	1.243	-0.00%	1.2443	+0.10%	0.0048	✗	1.00	133.3M	2021-12-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0764	0.076374	-0.03%	0.0707	-7.46%	0.0721	✓	1.39	3.6M	2021-12-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.621	3.6197	-0.04%	3.55	-1.96%	0.0170	✓	0.67	576k	2021-12-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.361	0.360806	-0.05%	0.363	+0.55%	0.0088	✗	0.73	54k	2021-12-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.48	2.4783	-0.07%	2.42	-2.42%	0.0204	✓	0.92	4.9M	2021-12-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	181.62	181.4878	-0.07%	183.97	+1.29%	0.0169	✗	0.89	3.0M	2021-12-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.79	2.7879	-0.07%	2.71	-2.87%	0.0237	✓	1.26	2.9M	2021-12-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.36	36.3322	-0.08%	35.8	-1.54%	0.0110	✓	1.02	21.0M	2021-12-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.55	19.5351	-0.08%	18.88	-3.43%	0.0297	✓	1.20	71.4M	2021-12-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6063	0.605803	-0.08%	0.6482	+6.91%	0.0718	✗	1.12	15.1M	2021-12-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.49	25.4686	-0.08%	24.78	-2.79%	0.0229	✓	1.22	75.5M	2021-12-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.94	8.9313	-0.10%	9.09	+1.68%	0.0217	✗	1.11	4.1M	2021-12-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.02251	0.022487	-0.10%	0.023172	+2.94%	0.0346	✗	1.25	1.8M	2021-12-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2723	0.272019	-0.10%	0.2631	-3.38%	0.0288	✓	1.25	7.6M	2021-12-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.85	0.849065	-0.11%	0.826	-2.82%	0.0223	✓	1.42	12.1M	2021-12-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.61	5.6038	-0.11%	5.33	-4.99%	0.0454	✓	1.28	12.7M	2021-12-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,859.46	46,805.15	-0.12%	46,687.19	-0.37%	0.0012	✗	1.00	763.6M	2021-12-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.75	148.5715	-0.12%	153.31	+3.07%	0.0366	✗	1.41	65.8M	2021-12-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.74	8.7292	-0.12%	8.58	-1.83%	0.0147	✓	0.70	2.3M	2021-12-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	23.2	23.1699	-0.13%	22.18	-4.40%	0.0406	✓	0.83	42.5M	2021-12-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.01697	0.016948	-0.13%	0.01674	-1.36%	0.0080	✓	1.18	4.1M	2021-12-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	435.97	435.3988	-0.13%	432.94	-0.70%	0.0019	✓	1.03	14.2M	2021-12-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	204.84	204.5662	-0.13%	195.44	-4.59%	0.0418	✓	1.03	228k	2021-12-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.2469	4.2412	-0.13%	4.1383	-2.56%	0.0198	✓	1.30	4.2M	2021-12-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.31	15.2895	-0.13%	15.48	+1.11%	0.0166	✗	1.14	6.7M	2021-12-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11266	0.112507	-0.14%	0.11104	-1.44%	0.0091	✓	1.10	31k	2021-12-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,822.30	46,758.32	-0.14%	47,160.00	+0.72%	0.0122	✗	0.99	15k	2021-12-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.935	4.9282	-0.14%	4.722	-4.32%	0.0405	✓	0.61	961k	2021-12-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.955	3.9496	-0.14%	3.889	-1.67%	0.0125	✓	0.80	812k	2021-12-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.604	0.603116	-0.15%	0.604	+0.00%	0.0059	✗	1.22	3.8M	2021-12-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.11	8.098	-0.15%	7.96	-1.85%	0.0148	✓	0.65	1.1M	2021-12-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.148	2.1447	-0.15%	2.131	-0.79%	0.0023	✓	1.11	3.4M	2021-12-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2005	0.200188	-0.16%	0.2012	+0.35%	0.0082	✗	0.85	776k	2021-12-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	129.54	129.3358	-0.16%	129.18	-0.28%	0.0033	✗	1.21	2.3M	2021-12-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.172336	0.172062	-0.16%	0.16953	-1.63%	0.0108	✓	1.10	5.3M	2021-12-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.448	191.1419	-0.16%	183.3809	-4.21%	0.0378	✓	0.98	1.3M	2021-12-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.2647	-0.16%	3.22	-1.53%	0.0102	✓	0.96	1.3M	2021-12-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	35.08	35.0231	-0.16%	34.89	-0.54%	0.0001	✓	1.01	7.1M	2021-12-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.147	8.1337	-0.16%	7.908	-2.93%	0.0233	✓	1.31	745k	2021-12-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.255929	0.255499	-0.17%	0.253885	-0.80%	0.0027	✓	0.98	40.9M	2021-12-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.83	6.8183	-0.17%	6.64	-2.78%	0.0242	✓	0.64	1.1M	2021-12-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.0001109	0.00011071	-0.17%	0.00010867	-2.01%	0.0149	✓	0.99	14.6M	2021-12-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0848	0.084649	-0.18%	0.0846	-0.24%	0.0034	✗	1.07	29k	2021-12-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.28	33.2196	-0.18%	31.84	-4.33%	0.0371	✓	1.44	1.6M	2021-12-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09072	0.090553	-0.18%	0.09206	+1.48%	0.0219	✗	1.46	7.1M	2021-12-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.17	5.1602	-0.19%	5.12	-0.97%	0.0036	✓	1.14	2.8M	2021-12-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	65.39	65.2647	-0.19%	65.52	+0.20%	0.0092	✗	1.44	2.2M	2021-12-19
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.080449	0.080292	-0.19%	0.079504	-1.17%	0.0063	✓	0.97	735k	2021-12-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1492	1.147	-0.20%	1.0769	-6.29%	0.0574	✓	1.53	3.9M	2021-12-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7021	0.700727	-0.20%	0.6909	-1.60%	0.0098	✓	1.18	8.9M	2021-12-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2972	9.2789	-0.20%	9.0839	-2.29%	0.0161	✓	1.40	379k	2021-12-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	185.67	185.3041	-0.20%	182.22	-1.86%	0.0136	✓	0.87	12.5M	2021-12-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.7862	5.7747	-0.20%	5.7983	+0.21%	0.0069	✗	0.75	5.4M	2021-12-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01626	0.016227	-0.20%	0.01761	+8.30%	0.0863	✗	1.23	3.6M	2021-12-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.449	1.446	-0.21%	1.453	+0.28%	0.0096	✗	1.31	5.4M	2021-12-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1964	0.195996	-0.21%	0.1922	-2.14%	0.0153	✓	1.16	8.9M	2021-12-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.19	5.179	-0.21%	5.21	+0.39%	0.0099	✗	1.06	5.5M	2021-12-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05599	0.055871	-0.21%	0.05564	-0.63%	0.0002	✓	1.07	23k	2021-12-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.786153	0.784462	-0.22%	0.77037	-2.01%	0.0144	✓	1.02	5.2M	2021-12-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		127.05	126.7743	-0.22%	123.02	-3.17%	0.0265	✓	0.98	2.3M	2021-12-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	182.91	182.5127	-0.22%	179.95	-1.62%	0.0108	✓	0.92	288.0M	2021-12-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	96.3	96.087	-0.22%	95.29	-1.05%	0.0048	✓	0.96	11.1M	2021-12-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1305	0.130207	-0.22%	0.1288	-1.30%	0.0070	✓	1.06	191k	2021-12-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.3752	3.3676	-0.22%	3.3556	-0.58%	0.0002	✓	1.02	803k	2021-12-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,961.92	3,952.96	-0.23%	3,925.79	-0.91%	0.0030	✓	1.06	794.7M	2021-12-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.36	36.2756	-0.23%	35.14	-3.36%	0.0254	✓	1.75	7.5M	2021-12-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.43	32.3545	-0.23%	32.25	-0.56%	0.0009	✓	0.63	786k	2021-12-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.83	13.7978	-0.23%	13.45	-2.75%	0.0231	✓	0.66	1.7M	2021-12-19
HIVE	Hive	native	1.515	1.5114	-0.23%	1.4642	-3.35%	0.0269	✓	1.31	13.8M	2021-12-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		5.002	4.9899	-0.24%	4.9334	-1.37%	0.0088	✓	0.70	31k	2021-12-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0985	0.098259	-0.24%	0.0947	-3.86%	0.0318	✓	1.37	4.0M	2021-12-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.989	2.9816	-0.25%	2.984	-0.17%	0.0039	✗	0.85	105k	2021-12-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	42.61	42.5041	-0.25%	40.83	-4.18%	0.0330	✓	1.95	15.5M	2021-12-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.34	8.3191	-0.25%	8.34	+0.00%	0.0053	✗	0.74	838k	2021-12-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.58	15.5408	-0.25%	14.97	-3.92%	0.0328	✓	1.25	15.1M	2021-12-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003146	0.000031381	-0.25%	0.00003076	-2.23%	0.0163	✓	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.01	11.9787	-0.26%	11.88	-1.08%	0.0094	✓	-0.31	5.9M	2021-12-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.9201	4.9072	-0.26%	4.7362	-3.74%	0.0304	✓	1.37	5.4M	2021-12-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0154	0.015359	-0.27%	0.01537	-0.19%	0.0041	✗	0.91	2.2M	2021-12-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1378	0.137431	-0.27%	0.1365	-0.94%	0.0027	✓	1.10	662k	2021-12-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.21037	0.209801	-0.27%	0.20367	-3.18%	0.0237	✓	1.62	43k	2021-12-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4045	2.398	-0.27%	2.3316	-3.03%	0.0240	✓	1.09	191k	2021-12-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.23	3.221	-0.28%	3.18	-1.55%	0.0093	✓	0.95	845k	2021-12-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3797	1.3758	-0.28%	1.3564	-1.69%	0.0105	✓	1.01	42.1M	2021-12-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.34	25.266	-0.29%	24.73	-2.41%	0.0189	✓	0.69	3.3M	2021-12-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.408	2.4009	-0.29%	2.335	-3.03%	0.0245	✓	0.91	3.5M	2021-12-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2609	0.260129	-0.30%	0.2577	-1.23%	0.0076	✓	0.49	443k	2021-12-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.48	21.4162	-0.30%	21.23	-1.16%	0.0025	✓	1.70	25.7M	2021-12-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060267	0.060088	-0.30%	0.060896	+1.04%	0.0187	✗	1.45	15.1M	2021-12-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.66	0.658022	-0.30%	0.6458	-2.15%	0.0142	✓	1.23	9.3M	2021-12-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.745	1.7397	-0.30%	1.755	+0.57%	0.0135	✗	1.28	7.6M	2021-12-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0519	6.0336	-0.30%	5.9559	-1.59%	0.0089	✓	1.11	971k	2021-12-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	280.28	279.4126	-0.31%	274.31	-2.13%	0.0145	✓	1.08	1.5M	2021-12-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.26	4.2466	-0.32%	4.2	-1.41%	0.0073	✓	1.00	1.4M	2021-12-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10248	0.102141	-0.33%	0.10048	-1.95%	0.0144	✓	0.54	149k	2021-12-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5162	3.5045	-0.33%	3.4774	-1.10%	0.0081	✓	-0.10	384k	2021-12-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3193	1.3149	-0.33%	1.2785	-3.09%	0.0241	✓	1.07	1.6M	2021-12-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.129	1.1252	-0.34%	1.0641	-5.75%	0.0524	✓	0.92	25.0M	2021-12-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.56	1.5547	-0.34%	1.55	-0.64%	0.0031	✓	1.65	2.1M	2021-12-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.9	39.7626	-0.34%	39.74	-0.40%	0.0031	✓	1.01	27.3M	2021-12-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	157.56	157.013	-0.35%	157.78	+0.14%	0.0097	✗	1.30	15.2M	2021-12-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	9.84	9.8056	-0.35%	9.9	+0.61%	0.0131	✗	0.96	2.0M	2021-12-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04863	0.04846	-0.35%	0.048	-1.30%	0.0061	✓	0.93	15.8M	2021-12-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4507	0.449117	-0.35%	0.4351	-3.46%	0.0280	✓	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0955	3.0842	-0.37%	3.0233	-2.33%	0.0155	✓	1.21	5.2M	2021-12-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3157	0.314527	-0.37%	0.3063	-2.98%	0.0214	✓	1.39	4.9M	2021-12-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.753	3.7386	-0.38%	3.628	-3.33%	0.0263	✓	1.00	4.4M	2021-12-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.14	11.0967	-0.39%	10.6	-4.85%	0.0440	✓	0.50	4.2M	2021-12-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3342	0.332837	-0.41%	0.3252	-2.69%	0.0200	✓	0.88	819k	2021-12-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1632	0.162524	-0.41%	0.2768	+69.61%	0.5368	✗	1.19	3.7M	2021-12-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	193.22	192.4015	-0.42%	183.44	-5.06%	0.0443	✓	0.93	10.9M	2021-12-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3616	0.36005	-0.43%	0.3658	+1.16%	0.0207	✗	1.31	7.0M	2021-12-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01813	0.018046	-0.46%	0.02035	+12.24%	0.1219	✗	0.48	60k	2021-12-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.91	9.8627	-0.48%	9.2	-7.16%	0.0700	✓	-0.11	3.7M	2021-12-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.259	1.2529	-0.48%	1.219	-3.18%	0.0239	✓	0.97	5.1M	2021-12-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.895	9.8468	-0.49%	9.279	-6.23%	0.0600	✓	-0.16	119k	2021-12-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0696	2.0595	-0.49%	2.0519	-0.86%	0.0035	✓	1.95	2.4M	2021-12-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.24	1.2339	-0.50%	1.17	-5.65%	0.0495	✓	1.00	2.6M	2021-12-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.63	4.606	-0.52%	4.5	-2.81%	0.0196	✓	1.00	3.1M	2021-12-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1772	1.1711	-0.52%	1.1312	-3.91%	0.0282	✓	1.73	1.8M	2021-12-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.7836	1.7739	-0.55%	1.6847	-5.55%	0.0491	✓	0.67	1.5M	2021-12-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	6.25	6.214	-0.58%	5.72	-8.48%	0.0792	✓	1.00	11.6M	2021-12-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5271	1.5178	-0.60%	1.4701	-3.73%	0.0282	✓	1.01	7.8M	2021-12-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.77	10.6989	-0.66%	10.322	-4.16%	0.0333	✓	0.71	388k	2021-12-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.478	0.474542	-0.72%	0.429	-10.25%	0.0944	✓	1.77	10.3M	2021-12-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.4369	3.4112	-0.75%	3.2567	-5.24%	0.0431	✓	0.89	14.0M	2021-12-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.53	4.4953	-0.77%	4.17	-7.95%	0.0703	✓	1.30	28.7M	2021-12-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,319.34	31,044.83	-0.88%	31,997.51	+2.17%	0.0324	✗	0.59	5.4M	2021-12-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	115.94	114.772	-1.01%	107.6	-7.19%	0.0606	✓	1.07	164.3M	2021-12-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01672	0.016504	-1.29%	0.01689	+1.02%	0.0268	✗	1.00	29.9M	2021-12-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.