XRD

Radix · native · gru_s6

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1178

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0169

actual -0.0502

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00020255	0.000184994	-8.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.00020935	0.000188844	-9.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.00018434	-9.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000155185	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000153006	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000147059	+1.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000204803	+1.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000266276	-1.31%	0.00020255	-24.93%	0.2512	✓	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000295729	-2.17%	0.00020935	-30.75%	0.3194	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000300636	-4.26%	0.00020335	-35.24%	0.3928	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000318789	-3.86%	0.0001597	-51.84%	0.6902	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000299938	-5.29%	0.0001555	-50.90%	0.6734	✓	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000300377	-4.64%	0.000145	-53.97%	0.7422	✓	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000295225	-3.62%	0.000202	-34.05%	0.3891	✓	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000306802	-2.94%	0.0002698	-14.65%	0.1246	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000313617	-5.74%	0.0003023	-9.14%	0.0530	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000314151	-6.14%	0.000314	-6.18%	0.0234	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000325148	-6.62%	0.0003316	-4.77%	0.0190	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.00033549	-6.33%	0.0003167	-11.57%	0.0846	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000331695	-6.77%	0.000315	-11.47%	0.0697	✓	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000341064	-7.17%	0.0003063	-16.63%	0.1268	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000351455	-7.29%	0.0003161	-16.62%	0.1372	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000351018	-7.48%	0.0003327	-12.31%	0.0564	✓	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000375167	-8.00%	0.0003347	-17.93%	0.0958	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000382072	-8.01%	0.0003482	-16.17%	0.0718	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000407903	-7.76%	0.00035815	-19.01%	0.1113	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000421447	-7.98%	0.0003558	-22.31%	0.1663	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000404709	-7.48%	0.0003674	-16.01%	0.0929	✓	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000437085	-7.10%	0.0003791	-19.43%	0.1380	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000461149	-7.23%	0.0003794	-23.68%	0.2030	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000492005	-6.65%	0.0004078	-22.63%	0.2125	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000439295	-6.39%	0.00041535	-11.50%	0.0841	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000501226	-8.22%	0.0004422	-19.03%	0.1043	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000485728	-7.52%	0.000458	-12.80%	0.0388	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000524626	-7.59%	0.00043745	-22.94%	0.1624	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000532015	-7.65%	0.0004705	-18.33%	0.0708	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000477842	-5.08%	0.0004971	-1.25%	0.0931	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000524521	-5.60%	0.00052705	-5.15%	0.0721	✗	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000485519	-3.83%	0.0004693	-7.04%	0.0077	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000482813	-2.09%	0.0005461	+10.75%	0.1465	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000501209	-1.87%	0.0005252	+2.83%	0.0681	✗	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000484576	+0.02%	0.0005677	+17.17%	0.1779	✓	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000492186	+0.45%	0.0005761	+17.57%	0.1564	✓	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000475026	+1.18%	0.0005034	+7.22%	0.0476	✓	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000484434	+1.01%	0.00055565	+15.86%	0.1239	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000443092	+2.21%	0.00050485	+16.46%	0.1268	✓	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000488598	+1.31%	0.0004931	+2.24%	0.0088	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000483206	+2.33%	0.00051075	+8.16%	0.0420	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000515493	+2.71%	0.0004845	-3.47%	0.0734	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000502845	+4.12%	0.00049	+1.46%	0.0463	✗	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000593763	+4.15%	0.0004695	-17.65%	0.2340	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000617387	+4.39%	0.0004796	-18.90%	0.2516	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000651367	+4.60%	0.0004335	-30.38%	0.4062	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000850921	+2.58%	0.0004823	-41.86%	0.5671	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000887858	+2.38%	0.0004722	-45.55%	0.6314	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000889993	+2.03%	0.0005019	-42.46%	0.5728	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000835138	+2.80%	0.00048295	-40.55%	0.5484	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000838572	+2.36%	0.0005701	-30.41%	0.3846	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000916975	+1.48%	0.0005914	-34.55%	0.4374	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.00093705	+1.06%	0.0006227	-32.84%	0.4082	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000891148	+0.91%	0.0008295	-6.07%	0.0716	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000800593	+1.24%	0.0008672	+9.66%	0.0794	✓	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000927792	+0.72%	0.0008723	-5.31%	0.0618	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000923756	-0.03%	0.0008124	-12.08%	0.1243	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000949666	-1.73%	0.0008192	-15.23%	0.1514	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.001003	-3.52%	0.0009036	-13.07%	0.1451	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000872676	-2.05%	0.0009272	+4.07%	0.0269	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000912383	-1.52%	0.0008831	-4.68%	0.0767	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000942278	-1.91%	0.0007908	-17.68%	0.2167	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000906736	-1.38%	0.0009212	+0.20%	0.0290	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000922427	-1.75%	0.000924	-1.59%	0.0274	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000958144	-2.28%	0.0009664	-1.44%	0.0106	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000907728	-2.06%	0.00104	+12.16%	0.1319	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000887446	-2.27%	0.0008909	-1.89%	0.0020	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.0008915	-3.07%	0.0009265	+0.74%	0.0450	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.00090288	-3.19%	0.0009606	+3.00%	0.0681	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000897325	-3.10%	0.0009194	-0.71%	0.0302	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000886727	-2.90%	0.0009389	+2.81%	0.0598	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000931174	-3.28%	0.0009805	+1.84%	0.0551	✗	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000917777	-3.01%	0.0009268	-2.06%	0.0113	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000952166	-3.00%	0.0009081	-7.49%	0.0488	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000953533	-3.09%	0.0009197	-6.53%	0.0403	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000925058	-2.56%	0.0009326	-1.77%	0.0016	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000941176	-2.38%	0.000926	-3.95%	0.0226	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000943703	-1.91%	0.0009132	-5.08%	0.0314	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000949629	-1.51%	0.0009628	-0.15%	0.0115	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000965084	-1.32%	0.0009463	-3.24%	0.0203	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000981577	-1.30%	0.0009816	-1.30%	0.0008	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.001012	-0.93%	0.0009839	-3.73%	0.0229	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000980965	-1.15%	0.0009494	-4.33%	0.0281	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001084	-2.43%	0.0009641	-13.19%	0.1126	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000825739	-0.03%	0.0009621	+16.48%	0.1546	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000831669	+0.25%	0.0009642	+16.22%	0.1595	✓	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000814516	+0.47%	0.000978	+20.64%	0.1973	✓	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.00083404	+0.11%	0.0009945	+19.37%	0.1848	✓	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000843603	-0.06%	0.001022	+21.08%	0.1880	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.00086116	-0.14%	0.0009924	+15.07%	0.1447	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000888747	-0.58%	0.001111	+24.24%	0.2218	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000869838	-0.69%	0.000826	-5.70%	0.0592	✓	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.00085843	-0.67%	0.0008296	-4.00%	0.0433	✓	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000845082	-0.68%	0.0008107	-4.72%	0.0516	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000838474	-0.81%	0.0008331	-1.44%	0.0273	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000914431	-1.15%	0.0008441	-8.76%	0.0858	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.00084939	-0.85%	0.0008624	+0.67%	0.0083	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000880996	-1.00%	0.0008939	+0.45%	0.0161	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000900271	-1.12%	0.0008759	-3.80%	0.0315	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000907401	-1.21%	0.0008642	-5.91%	0.0650	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000890897	-1.20%	0.0008509	-5.63%	0.0569	✓	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000899423	-1.28%	0.0008453	-7.22%	0.0504	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000918689	-1.45%	0.0009251	-0.76%	0.0061	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000885931	-1.37%	0.0008567	-4.62%	0.0373	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000869072	-1.31%	0.0008899	+1.06%	0.0145	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000880417	-1.39%	0.0009105	+1.98%	0.0236	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000877018	-1.37%	0.0009185	+3.30%	0.0323	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000841447	-1.10%	0.0009017	+5.98%	0.0423	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000848244	-1.25%	0.0009111	+6.07%	0.0502	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000860227	-1.29%	0.0009322	+6.97%	0.0559	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000854204	-1.27%	0.0008982	+3.81%	0.0317	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000882498	-1.39%	0.0008806	-1.60%	0.0172	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000903623	-1.42%	0.0008928	-2.60%	0.0229	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000930654	-1.52%	0.0008892	-5.90%	0.0383	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000958214	-1.52%	0.0008508	-12.56%	0.0891	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001042	-1.53%	0.000859	-18.81%	0.1688	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.00105	-1.49%	0.0008715	-18.25%	0.1620	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001095	-1.48%	0.0008652	-22.19%	0.2095	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001078	-1.47%	0.0008949	-18.20%	0.1642	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001085	-1.56%	0.0009166	-16.82%	0.1486	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001075	-1.34%	0.000945	-13.30%	0.1088	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001093	-1.19%	0.000973	-12.03%	0.0992	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001109	-1.11%	0.001058	-5.62%	0.0330	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001102	-1.14%	0.001066	-4.39%	0.0189	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001112	-1.39%	0.001112	-1.42%	0.0009	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001086	-1.44%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0076	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001097	-1.47%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0090	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001091	-1.87%	0.00109	-1.98%	0.0197	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001104	-1.99%	0.001106	-1.82%	0.0223	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001078	-1.69%	0.001121	+2.19%	0.0181	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001042	-1.58%	0.001115	+5.29%	0.0530	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001016	-2.03%	0.001128	+8.78%	0.0823	✗	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001009	-1.99%	0.001102	+6.99%	0.0711	✗	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001063	-1.89%	0.001113	+2.68%	0.0469	✗	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001036	-1.81%	0.001112	+5.40%	0.0887	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.001003	-1.22%	0.001126	+10.99%	0.1564	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.00103	-0.93%	0.001097	+5.48%	0.1339	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001071	-0.86%	0.001059	-1.94%	0.0766	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001063	-0.64%	0.001037	-3.08%	0.0862	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001079	-0.79%	0.00103	-5.33%	0.0697	✗	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001077	-0.67%	0.001084	+0.00%	0.0979	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001113	-0.64%	0.001055	-5.80%	0.0344	✗	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001154	-0.69%	0.001015	-12.65%	0.0538	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001113	-0.25%	0.00104	-6.81%	0.0143	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.001026	+0.79%	0.00108	+6.09%	0.0825	✓	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.001025	+0.90%	0.00107	+5.31%	0.0702	✓	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.00107	+0.60%	0.001088	+2.26%	0.0365	✓	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001077	+0.39%	0.001084	+1.03%	0.0450	✓	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001087	+0.52%	0.00112	+3.61%	0.0609	✓	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.00113	+0.31%	0.001162	+3.11%	0.0367	✓	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001149	+0.06%	0.001116	-2.79%	0.0318	✗	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001146	-0.13%	0.001018	-11.32%	0.1151	✓	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001165	-0.67%	0.001016	-13.38%	0.1242	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001181	-1.08%	0.001064	-10.89%	0.0725	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001202	-0.65%	0.001073	-11.32%	0.0841	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001208	-1.19%	0.001081	-11.61%	0.0964	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001235	-0.96%	0.001127	-9.62%	0.0609	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001244	-0.45%	0.001148	-8.16%	0.0391	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001244	-0.12%	0.001148	-7.87%	0.0396	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001252	-0.54%	0.001173	-6.83%	0.0431	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.00124	-0.40%	0.001194	-4.10%	0.0281	✓	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001258	-0.28%	0.00121	-4.04%	0.0475	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001285	+0.10%	0.001223	-4.75%	0.0266	✗	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001276	+0.15%	0.001247	-2.12%	0.0179	✗	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001286	-0.10%	0.00125	-2.87%	0.0516	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001259	-0.29%	0.001246	-1.35%	0.0556	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.00126	-0.34%	0.001259	-0.40%	0.0255	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001256	-0.28%	0.001245	-1.19%	0.0343	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001249	-0.96%	0.001261	+0.00%	0.0443	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001264	-1.15%	0.001284	+0.39%	0.0670	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001271	-0.96%	0.001274	-0.70%	0.0598	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.00132	-0.69%	0.001287	-3.16%	0.0590	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001361	-0.23%	0.001263	-7.40%	0.0730	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001343	-0.59%	0.001264	-6.44%	0.0751	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001322	-0.35%	0.00126	-5.05%	0.0598	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001296	+0.22%	0.001261	-2.47%	0.0025	✓	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001292	+0.19%	0.001279	-0.85%	0.0266	✓	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001272	-0.89%	0.001283	+0.00%	0.0094	✗	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001272	-1.07%	0.001329	+3.34%	0.0198	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001268	-2.03%	0.001364	+5.41%	0.0046	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001272	-1.01%	0.001351	+5.14%	0.0332	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001312	-0.77%	0.001327	+0.38%	0.0065	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001227	-1.17%	0.001293	+4.19%	0.0095	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001233	-1.41%	0.00129	+3.12%	0.0021	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001218	-1.69%	0.001283	+3.55%	0.0215	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001208	-1.63%	0.001286	+4.72%	0.0425	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001157	-1.71%	0.001294	+9.94%	0.0674	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001162	-1.69%	0.001285	+8.71%	0.0628	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001176	-1.78%	0.001322	+10.44%	0.0594	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001207	-2.30%	0.001241	+0.49%	0.0208	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001222	-2.46%	0.001251	-0.16%	0.0320	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001229	-3.04%	0.001239	-2.29%	0.0256	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001288	-2.20%	0.001228	-6.76%	0.1353	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001206	-1.18%	0.001177	-3.52%	0.0521	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001188	+0.54%	0.001182	+0.00%	0.0965	✗	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001193	+0.73%	0.001197	+1.10%	0.0915	✗	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001177	+0.86%	0.001235	+5.83%	0.0298	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001175	+0.32%	0.001253	+7.00%	0.0174	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001205	+0.12%	0.001268	+5.40%	0.0066	✗	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001183	+1.16%	0.001317	+12.66%	0.0734	✓	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001207	+1.33%	0.00122	+2.43%	0.0387	✗	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.00126	+1.08%	0.001182	-5.14%	0.0795	✗	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001342	+0.66%	0.001184	-11.18%	0.1351	✗	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001454	-0.24%	0.001167	-19.96%	0.1904	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001518	+0.45%	0.001171	-22.50%	0.2100	✗	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001529	+0.39%	0.001203	-21.01%	0.2037	✗	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001547	+0.45%	0.001169	-24.09%	0.2149	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001521	-0.02%	0.001191	-21.70%	0.2132	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001583	+0.12%	0.001246	-21.19%	0.1971	✗	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001587	+0.67%	0.001333	-15.42%	0.1070	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001776	+0.42%	0.001458	-17.58%	0.1789	✗	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001795	+0.72%	0.001511	-15.21%	0.1730	✗	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001862	+0.83%	0.001523	-17.54%	0.1477	✗	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.00188	+0.71%	0.00154	-17.51%	0.1375	✗	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001878	+0.61%	0.001521	-18.53%	0.1318	✗	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001857	+0.52%	0.001581	-14.40%	0.1234	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001859	+0.43%	0.001576	-14.86%	0.1581	✗	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001823	+0.39%	0.001769	-2.59%	0.0203	✗	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001827	+0.31%	0.001782	-2.14%	0.0412	✗	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001811	+0.25%	0.001847	+2.27%	0.0418	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.00188	-0.02%	0.001867	-0.69%	0.1095	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.00183	-0.37%	0.001867	+1.63%	0.0929	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001934	-0.24%	0.001847	-4.74%	0.1112	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001936	-0.12%	0.001851	-4.49%	0.0907	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.00208	-0.15%	0.001816	-12.82%	0.1301	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002155	-0.46%	0.001821	-15.89%	0.1306	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.00207	-0.33%	0.001806	-13.05%	0.1627	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002218	-0.57%	0.00188	-15.73%	0.1592	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002184	-0.89%	0.001837	-16.65%	0.1765	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002463	-1.38%	0.001939	-22.35%	0.2435	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002398	-1.69%	0.001938	-20.54%	0.2479	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002294	-1.47%	0.002083	-10.52%	0.1485	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002293	-1.80%	0.002165	-7.28%	0.1282	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002134	-1.98%	0.002077	-4.59%	0.0947	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002349	-2.60%	0.002231	-7.50%	0.1178	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002487	-3.36%	0.002204	-14.37%	0.0923	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002316	-4.34%	0.002497	+3.14%	0.0905	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.0018	-2.25%	0.002439	+32.48%	0.3364	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.00173	-2.40%	0.002328	+31.30%	0.2888	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001705	-2.61%	0.002335	+33.35%	0.2905	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001702	-2.75%	0.002177	+24.40%	0.2973	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001554	-2.38%	0.002412	+51.51%	0.5049	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001551	-2.38%	0.002574	+61.99%	0.5242	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.00161	-2.39%	0.002421	+46.82%	0.4357	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001731	-2.72%	0.001841	+3.49%	0.0745	✗	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001743	-2.88%	0.001773	-1.23%	0.0045	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.00178	-2.79%	0.001751	-4.37%	0.0068	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001914	-2.99%	0.00175	-11.30%	0.0695	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.00193	-2.87%	0.001592	-19.88%	0.1742	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001992	-2.77%	0.001589	-22.45%	0.2043	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.002027	-2.31%	0.001649	-20.53%	0.2145	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.002005	-2.16%	0.001779	-13.18%	0.0939	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001778	+2.51%	0.001795	+3.52%	0.0409	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.002066	-1.17%	0.001831	-12.39%	0.0519	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002365	-2.37%	0.001973	-18.54%	0.1140	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002386	-2.31%	0.001987	-18.67%	0.1024	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002231	-1.38%	0.002049	-9.42%	0.0239	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002402	-1.71%	0.002075	-15.10%	0.0616	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002931	-4.16%	0.002049	-33.00%	0.2930	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002891	-4.57%	0.001734	-42.75%	0.4008	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.00268	-6.60%	0.00209	-27.15%	0.1540	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002402	-7.12%	0.002422	-6.34%	0.0857	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001847	-4.31%	0.002443	+26.58%	0.3217	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001865	-3.50%	0.002262	+17.02%	0.2366	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002286	-5.65%	0.002444	+0.87%	0.0939	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002387	-6.63%	0.003058	+19.59%	0.2611	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.00273	-9.97%	0.003029	-0.10%	0.1169	✗	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.001977	-9.14%	0.002869	+31.85%	0.3727	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001501	-8.34%	0.002586	+57.88%	0.5428	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001215	-4.64%	0.00193	+51.49%	0.4839	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001198	-3.45%	0.001933	+55.76%	0.5153	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001178	-2.67%	0.002423	+100.25%	0.7535	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001211	-3.13%	0.002557	+104.56%	0.7809	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001207	-3.50%	0.003032	+142.37%	0.9550	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001119	-2.82%	0.002176	+89.05%	0.7064	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001058	-2.70%	0.001638	+50.69%	0.4787	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001053	-1.83%	0.001274	+18.73%	0.1819	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001044	-0.81%	0.001241	+17.85%	0.1557	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001065	+0.12%	0.00121	+13.72%	0.0987	✓	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.0013	+0.22%	0.00125	-3.62%	0.0708	✗	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001431	+0.24%	0.001251	-12.39%	0.1656	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001448	+0.36%	0.001151	-20.24%	0.2795	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001493	+0.64%	0.001087	-26.70%	0.3314	✗	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.00149	+0.68%	0.001073	-27.50%	0.3045	✗	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001516	+0.25%	0.001053	-30.36%	0.3585	✗	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001512	+0.02%	0.001064	-29.63%	0.3495	✗	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.00151	-0.19%	0.001297	-14.28%	0.1573	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001494	-0.36%	0.001428	-4.74%	0.0660	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001484	-0.45%	0.001443	-3.22%	0.0627	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001491	-0.56%	0.001483	-1.07%	0.0532	✓	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001519	-0.79%	0.00148	-3.33%	0.0888	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001537	-1.02%	0.001512	-2.64%	0.0504	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001531	-1.13%	0.001512	-2.33%	0.0383	✓	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001494	-0.96%	0.001513	+0.33%	0.0119	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001501	-1.05%	0.001499	-1.19%	0.0162	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001524	-1.34%	0.001491	-3.50%	0.0211	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001485	-1.16%	0.001499	-0.20%	0.0005	✓	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001502	-1.43%	0.001531	+0.46%	0.0326	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001534	-1.77%	0.001553	-0.58%	0.0192	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001522	-1.84%	0.001548	-0.19%	0.0215	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.0015	-1.79%	0.001508	-1.24%	0.0131	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001452	-0.99%	0.001517	+3.48%	0.0282	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001563	-1.75%	0.001545	-2.89%	0.0244	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001543	-1.78%	0.001502	-4.39%	0.0231	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.00167	-2.05%	0.001524	-10.62%	0.1119	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001724	-2.23%	0.001562	-11.40%	0.1028	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001739	-2.06%	0.001551	-12.67%	0.0971	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001714	-1.87%	0.001527	-12.59%	0.0958	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001746	-1.60%	0.001466	-17.36%	0.1094	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.00178	-1.72%	0.001591	-12.15%	0.0589	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001818	-1.55%	0.001571	-14.94%	0.1034	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001829	-1.64%	0.001705	-8.28%	0.0316	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001838	-1.62%	0.001763	-5.62%	0.0216	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001871	-1.77%	0.001776	-6.77%	0.0612	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001917	-1.78%	0.001747	-10.50%	0.1016	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001913	-1.39%	0.001774	-8.56%	0.0796	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001881	-0.90%	0.001811	-4.58%	0.0246	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002084	-1.35%	0.001847	-12.59%	0.1351	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.001991	-1.56%	0.001859	-8.11%	0.1158	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.00206	-1.27%	0.001868	-10.49%	0.0984	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002029	-1.11%	0.001905	-7.16%	0.0468	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.00208	-1.13%	0.001952	-7.22%	0.0474	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002132	-1.13%	0.00194	-10.02%	0.1022	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002211	-1.42%	0.001898	-15.38%	0.1823	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002094	-1.57%	0.002113	-0.66%	0.0292	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002081	-1.49%	0.002023	-4.26%	0.0088	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002033	-1.63%	0.002087	+0.97%	0.0094	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002014	-1.87%	0.002052	+0.00%	0.0434	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.001993	-1.75%	0.002104	+3.75%	0.0049	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002078	-1.69%	0.002156	+1.99%	0.0110	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002108	-1.02%	0.002243	+5.31%	0.0731	✗	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002349	-1.28%	0.002127	-10.59%	0.0374	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002344	-1.35%	0.002113	-11.07%	0.0615	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002475	-1.59%	0.002067	-17.81%	0.0985	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002463	-1.64%	0.002052	-18.05%	0.0602	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002452	-1.73%	0.002028	-18.72%	0.0831	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002502	-1.85%	0.002114	-17.07%	0.0175	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002347	-1.22%	0.00213	-10.35%	0.0219	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002335	-0.89%	0.002379	+0.98%	0.1361	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002418	-0.58%	0.002376	-2.30%	0.1434	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002425	-0.84%	0.002515	+2.82%	0.1580	✗	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002317	-1.02%	0.002504	+6.96%	0.1546	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002333	-0.85%	0.002495	+6.03%	0.1680	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002272	-1.00%	0.002549	+11.07%	0.1338	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002307	-0.52%	0.002376	+2.46%	0.0544	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002326	-0.85%	0.002356	+0.43%	0.0047	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.00245	-0.29%	0.002432	-1.02%	0.0006	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002541	-0.77%	0.002446	-4.49%	0.0308	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002557	-0.80%	0.002341	-9.19%	0.0046	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002521	-0.59%	0.002353	-7.22%	0.0050	✓	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.00249	-0.29%	0.002295	-8.09%	0.0020	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002543	-0.77%	0.002319	-9.52%	0.0217	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002508	-1.39%	0.002346	-7.75%	0.0751	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002515	-1.73%	0.002457	-3.99%	0.0678	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.00252	-1.88%	0.002561	-0.27%	0.0645	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002516	-0.91%	0.002578	+1.54%	0.0441	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002563	-1.10%	0.002536	-2.12%	0.0080	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002618	-1.23%	0.002497	-5.81%	0.0247	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002546	-0.20%	0.002563	+0.47%	0.0236	✓	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002603	-0.47%	0.002543	-2.75%	0.0785	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002723	-1.70%	0.002559	-7.62%	0.1040	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002712	-1.51%	0.002568	-6.75%	0.1227	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002584	-0.73%	0.002539	-2.46%	0.0689	✓	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002553	-0.60%	0.002591	+0.86%	0.0379	✓	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.00235	+1.26%	0.002651	+14.22%	0.0971	✓	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002607	-0.42%	0.002551	-2.56%	0.0163	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002718	-1.33%	0.002615	-5.08%	0.0161	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002795	-2.59%	0.00277	-3.45%	0.0468	✗	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.00281	-2.29%	0.002754	-4.24%	0.0552	✗	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002764	-0.41%	0.002603	-6.20%	0.0164	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.003082	-1.45%	0.002569	-17.84%	0.1035	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003525	-4.86%	0.002321	-37.35%	0.2910	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003418	-5.34%	0.002618	-27.50%	0.1406	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003363	-5.38%	0.002755	-22.48%	0.1120	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003436	-5.50%	0.002869	-21.09%	0.0818	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.00338	-4.58%	0.002876	-18.80%	0.0741	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003555	-4.97%	0.002775	-25.82%	0.1235	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003687	-4.80%	0.003127	-19.26%	0.0667	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003766	-5.36%	0.003705	-6.89%	0.0276	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003682	-5.78%	0.003611	-7.60%	0.0671	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003633	-3.91%	0.003554	-6.00%	0.0983	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003623	-4.23%	0.003636	-3.89%	0.1085	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003698	-2.59%	0.003542	-6.69%	0.1691	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003703	-1.41%	0.003741	-0.40%	0.1348	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003777	-1.44%	0.003873	+1.07%	0.1178	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.00379	-1.20%	0.003979	+3.73%	0.0835	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003925	-2.73%	0.003908	-3.15%	0.0657	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.004005	-2.57%	0.003781	-8.03%	0.0820	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.004017	-2.77%	0.003783	-8.42%	0.0793	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004141	-3.48%	0.003796	-11.54%	0.0498	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.00409	-3.23%	0.003756	-11.14%	0.0098	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004417	-3.49%	0.003832	-16.28%	0.0704	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004429	-3.49%	0.003836	-16.41%	0.0451	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.