XRD

Radix · native · gru_s6

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2636

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0532

actual -0.1628

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00018625	0.000169819	-8.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000186368	-8.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000146898	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000142703	-8.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000132441	-8.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000188659	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000251253	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.00027841	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000287266	-8.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000300762	-9.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000288674	-8.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000287002	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000280109	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000287818	-8.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000299995	-9.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000301461	-9.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000311264	-10.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000319197	-10.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000316199	-11.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000323929	-11.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000332086	-12.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.00033113	-12.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000351855	-13.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.00035667	-14.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.00037863	-14.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000391699	-14.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.00037505	-14.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000403834	-14.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000428312	-13.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000465442	-11.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000410888	-12.45%	0.00018625	-60.31%	0.8263	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000463274	-15.17%	0.00020335	-62.76%	0.8120	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000447979	-14.70%	0.0001597	-69.59%	1.0276	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000487102	-14.20%	0.0001555	-72.61%	1.1350	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000485939	-15.65%	0.000145	-74.83%	1.1761	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000430948	-14.39%	0.000202	-59.87%	0.7222	✓	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000472878	-14.90%	0.0002698	-51.44%	0.5187	✓	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000434052	-14.02%	0.0003023	-40.12%	0.3444	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000426129	-13.58%	0.000314	-36.32%	0.2720	✓	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.00044066	-13.72%	0.0003316	-35.08%	0.2603	✓	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000420755	-13.16%	0.0003167	-34.63%	0.2502	✓	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000425418	-13.18%	0.000315	-35.71%	0.2678	✓	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000409038	-12.88%	0.0003063	-34.76%	0.2693	✓	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.00041809	-12.83%	0.0003161	-34.09%	0.2652	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000379451	-12.47%	0.0003327	-23.25%	0.1150	✓	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000425545	-11.77%	0.0003347	-30.60%	0.2152	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000419323	-11.20%	0.0003482	-26.26%	0.1566	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000455073	-9.33%	0.00035815	-28.64%	0.2096	✓	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000441922	-8.50%	0.0003558	-26.33%	0.2025	✓	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000540402	-5.21%	0.0003674	-35.56%	0.3804	✓	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000566268	-4.25%	0.0003791	-35.90%	0.3948	✓	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000606946	-2.53%	0.0003794	-39.07%	0.4611	✓	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000829858	+0.04%	0.0004078	-50.84%	0.7090	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000873437	+0.72%	0.00041535	-52.10%	0.7433	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000877987	+0.65%	0.0004422	-49.31%	0.6858	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000830676	+2.25%	0.000458	-43.62%	0.5982	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.0008335	+1.75%	0.00043745	-46.60%	0.6483	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000920056	+1.82%	0.0004705	-47.93%	0.6764	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000950243	+2.49%	0.0004971	-46.39%	0.6541	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000899046	+1.81%	0.00052705	-40.32%	0.5395	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000798651	+0.99%	0.0004693	-40.66%	0.5360	✗	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000942216	+2.28%	0.0005461	-40.72%	0.5446	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000909922	-1.52%	0.0005252	-43.16%	0.5449	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000926997	-4.08%	0.0005677	-41.26%	0.4946	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.000973308	-6.37%	0.0005761	-44.58%	0.5593	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000839434	-5.78%	0.0005034	-43.50%	0.5389	✓	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000869772	-6.12%	0.00055565	-40.03%	0.4864	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000901732	-6.13%	0.00050485	-47.44%	0.6245	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000866052	-5.80%	0.0004931	-46.37%	0.6040	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000885178	-5.72%	0.00051075	-45.60%	0.5908	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000922572	-5.91%	0.0004845	-50.59%	0.6866	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000873813	-5.72%	0.00049	-47.13%	0.6163	✓	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000857121	-5.61%	0.0004695	-48.30%	0.6449	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000867734	-5.65%	0.0004796	-47.85%	0.6324	✓	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.00087912	-5.73%	0.0004335	-53.52%	0.7480	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000872867	-5.74%	0.0004823	-47.92%	0.6355	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000860456	-5.78%	0.0004722	-48.29%	0.6425	✓	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000905539	-5.95%	0.0005019	-47.87%	0.6298	✓	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000889969	-5.95%	0.00048295	-48.96%	0.6562	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000921924	-6.08%	0.0005701	-41.92%	0.5212	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000924416	-6.05%	0.0005914	-39.89%	0.4863	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000893787	-5.86%	0.0006227	-34.41%	0.4051	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.00091019	-5.59%	0.0008295	-13.96%	0.1342	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000915176	-4.88%	0.0008672	-9.86%	0.0930	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000919026	-4.69%	0.0008723	-9.53%	0.0925	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000934054	-4.49%	0.0008124	-16.93%	0.1857	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000950649	-4.41%	0.0008192	-17.63%	0.1927	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.000980462	-4.06%	0.0009036	-11.59%	0.1183	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000954312	-3.84%	0.0009272	-6.57%	0.0682	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001057	-4.82%	0.0008831	-20.48%	0.2217	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000805744	-2.45%	0.0007908	-4.26%	0.0785	✓	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000810286	-2.33%	0.0009212	+11.04%	0.0696	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000793182	-2.16%	0.000924	+13.98%	0.1200	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000812441	-2.48%	0.0009664	+16.00%	0.1508	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000822571	-2.55%	0.00104	+23.15%	0.2341	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000841158	-2.46%	0.0008909	+3.30%	0.0593	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.00087051	-2.62%	0.0009265	+3.65%	0.0685	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000853771	-2.53%	0.0009606	+9.67%	0.1223	✗	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000843502	-2.39%	0.0009194	+6.39%	0.0980	✗	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000831613	-2.27%	0.0009389	+10.34%	0.1319	✗	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000826557	-2.22%	0.0009805	+15.99%	0.1626	✗	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000900498	-2.66%	0.0009268	+0.18%	0.0301	✗	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000837145	-2.28%	0.0009081	+6.00%	0.0804	✗	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000868386	-2.42%	0.0009197	+3.35%	0.0528	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000887669	-2.51%	0.0009326	+2.43%	0.0378	✗	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000895181	-2.54%	0.000926	+0.82%	0.0165	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000879943	-2.41%	0.0009132	+1.28%	0.0308	✗	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000889151	-2.41%	0.0009628	+5.67%	0.0756	✗	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000909166	-2.47%	0.0009463	+1.51%	0.0374	✗	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000877426	-2.31%	0.0009816	+9.29%	0.1101	✗	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000860851	-2.24%	0.0009839	+11.73%	0.1280	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000871378	-2.40%	0.0009494	+6.34%	0.0781	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000867097	-2.49%	0.0009641	+8.42%	0.0886	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000831151	-2.31%	0.0009621	+13.08%	0.1120	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000837368	-2.52%	0.0009642	+12.25%	0.1203	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000848261	-2.67%	0.000978	+12.22%	0.1163	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000841399	-2.75%	0.0009945	+14.94%	0.1452	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.00086765	-3.04%	0.001022	+14.20%	0.1325	✗	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000886741	-3.26%	0.0009924	+8.27%	0.0852	✗	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000911825	-3.51%	0.001111	+17.52%	0.1758	✗	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000936067	-3.80%	0.000826	-15.11%	0.1416	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001013	-4.21%	0.0008296	-21.59%	0.2132	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001023	-3.99%	0.0008107	-23.95%	0.2532	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001064	-4.35%	0.0008331	-25.08%	0.2502	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001049	-4.15%	0.0008441	-22.84%	0.2243	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001054	-4.37%	0.0008624	-21.74%	0.2120	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.00104	-4.63%	0.0008939	-17.99%	0.1478	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001052	-4.87%	0.0008759	-20.80%	0.1729	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001065	-4.99%	0.0008642	-22.91%	0.1999	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001059	-5.04%	0.0008509	-23.69%	0.2145	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001069	-5.19%	0.0008453	-25.06%	0.2221	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001047	-5.03%	0.0009251	-16.05%	0.1246	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001057	-5.05%	0.0008567	-23.03%	0.2112	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001057	-4.96%	0.0008899	-19.97%	0.1886	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001068	-5.16%	0.0009105	-19.17%	0.1692	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001041	-5.12%	0.0009185	-16.27%	0.1196	✓	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001006	-4.99%	0.0009017	-14.85%	0.1097	✓	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.000987831	-4.74%	0.0009111	-12.14%	0.1006	✓	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.000980546	-4.80%	0.0009322	-9.50%	0.0674	✓	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001021	-5.84%	0.0008982	-17.14%	0.1236	✓	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.000993435	-5.84%	0.0008806	-16.53%	0.1102	✓	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.000953785	-6.03%	0.0008928	-12.04%	0.0246	✓	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.000970785	-6.66%	0.0008892	-14.50%	0.0127	✓	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001006	-6.81%	0.0008508	-21.22%	0.0348	✓	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.000998677	-6.67%	0.000859	-19.72%	0.0330	✓	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001014	-6.80%	0.0008715	-19.90%	0.0185	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001011	-6.76%	0.0008652	-20.18%	0.0239	✓	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001045	-6.72%	0.0008949	-20.10%	0.0286	✓	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001087	-6.44%	0.0009166	-21.12%	0.0324	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001053	-5.62%	0.000945	-15.32%	0.0505	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.000963204	-5.38%	0.000973	-4.42%	0.1526	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.000960367	-5.48%	0.001058	+4.13%	0.2265	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001001	-5.89%	0.001066	+0.19%	0.1898	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001015	-5.38%	0.001112	+3.63%	0.2272	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001023	-5.38%	0.001094	+1.20%	0.2135	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001063	-5.69%	0.001102	-2.22%	0.1845	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001084	-5.62%	0.00109	-5.05%	0.1362	✗	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001084	-5.56%	0.001106	-3.66%	0.1319	✗	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.00111	-5.38%	0.001121	-4.43%	0.1207	✗	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001132	-5.15%	0.001115	-6.62%	0.1105	✗	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001159	-4.20%	0.001128	-6.78%	0.1251	✗	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.00116	-5.16%	0.001102	-9.89%	0.0923	✗	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001186	-4.90%	0.001113	-10.75%	0.0896	✗	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001194	-4.47%	0.001112	-11.04%	0.1249	✗	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001193	-4.24%	0.001126	-9.59%	0.1390	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001195	-5.07%	0.001097	-12.87%	0.0848	✗	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001179	-5.27%	0.001059	-14.94%	0.0547	✗	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001192	-5.43%	0.001037	-17.76%	0.0444	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001224	-4.66%	0.00103	-19.78%	0.0766	✗	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001211	-4.91%	0.001084	-14.91%	0.1169	✗	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.00122	-5.21%	0.001055	-18.03%	0.0778	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001193	-5.58%	0.001015	-19.64%	0.0016	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001191	-5.79%	0.00104	-17.72%	0.0363	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001186	-5.87%	0.00108	-14.29%	0.0310	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.00118	-6.45%	0.00107	-15.15%	0.0590	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001195	-6.54%	0.001088	-14.93%	0.0577	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001197	-6.70%	0.001084	-15.51%	0.0591	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.00124	-6.67%	0.00112	-15.73%	0.0591	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001281	-6.07%	0.001162	-14.81%	0.0570	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.00126	-6.72%	0.001116	-17.39%	0.1158	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.00124	-6.57%	0.001018	-23.29%	0.1898	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001215	-6.07%	0.001016	-21.42%	0.1540	✓	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.00121	-6.17%	0.001064	-17.52%	0.0872	✓	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001191	-7.20%	0.001073	-16.37%	0.1223	✓	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001193	-7.27%	0.001081	-15.94%	0.1238	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001197	-7.47%	0.001127	-12.91%	0.1027	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001194	-7.08%	0.001148	-10.66%	0.0564	✓	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001235	-6.58%	0.001148	-13.16%	0.0773	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001156	-6.86%	0.001173	-5.48%	0.0262	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001169	-6.54%	0.001194	-4.56%	0.0376	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001161	-6.26%	0.00121	-2.34%	0.0529	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001154	-6.07%	0.001223	-0.41%	0.0084	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001104	-6.24%	0.001247	+5.95%	0.0132	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001112	-5.90%	0.00125	+5.75%	0.0017	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001129	-5.69%	0.001246	+4.09%	0.0270	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001164	-5.75%	0.001259	+1.94%	0.0459	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.00118	-5.84%	0.001245	-0.64%	0.0759	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001195	-5.75%	0.001261	-0.55%	0.0611	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001228	-6.72%	0.001284	-2.51%	0.1442	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001146	-6.05%	0.001274	+4.43%	0.0727	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001117	-5.49%	0.001287	+8.88%	0.0473	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001123	-5.13%	0.001263	+6.67%	0.0588	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001109	-4.98%	0.001264	+8.31%	0.0477	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001115	-4.81%	0.00126	+7.60%	0.0301	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001154	-4.11%	0.001261	+4.82%	0.0342	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001125	-3.78%	0.001279	+9.41%	0.0108	✓	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001156	-2.97%	0.001283	+7.72%	0.0554	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001217	-2.30%	0.001329	+6.66%	0.0810	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001304	-2.21%	0.001364	+2.33%	0.1417	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001424	-2.30%	0.001351	-7.34%	0.1841	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001476	-2.28%	0.001327	-12.18%	0.1962	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001489	-2.24%	0.001293	-15.10%	0.2540	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001509	-2.02%	0.00129	-16.23%	0.2635	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001494	-1.76%	0.001283	-15.65%	0.2830	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001552	-1.83%	0.001286	-18.66%	0.2939	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001548	-1.76%	0.001294	-17.89%	0.2304	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001728	-2.32%	0.001285	-27.36%	0.3861	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001738	-2.46%	0.001322	-25.81%	0.3628	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001798	-2.66%	0.001241	-32.81%	0.3895	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001814	-2.82%	0.001251	-32.99%	0.3710	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001814	-2.85%	0.001239	-33.64%	0.4016	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001795	-2.84%	0.001228	-33.51%	0.4291	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001797	-2.91%	0.001177	-36.41%	0.4202	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001763	-2.94%	0.001182	-34.91%	0.4396	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001765	-3.06%	0.001197	-34.27%	0.4322	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001749	-3.17%	0.001235	-31.62%	0.3768	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001815	-3.46%	0.001253	-33.35%	0.4139	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001773	-3.46%	0.001268	-30.97%	0.4337	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001866	-3.74%	0.001317	-32.08%	0.3752	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001865	-3.76%	0.00122	-37.05%	0.4392	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.001997	-4.12%	0.001182	-43.25%	0.4667	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002071	-4.36%	0.001184	-45.31%	0.4693	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.001991	-4.13%	0.001167	-43.81%	0.5106	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.00213	-4.52%	0.001171	-47.51%	0.5872	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002105	-4.51%	0.001203	-45.42%	0.5985	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002362	-5.41%	0.001169	-53.18%	0.6997	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002307	-5.41%	0.001191	-51.17%	0.6627	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002208	-5.14%	0.001246	-46.48%	0.5538	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002211	-5.33%	0.001333	-42.91%	0.4800	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.00207	-4.90%	0.001458	-33.03%	0.4249	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002267	-6.00%	0.001511	-37.35%	0.5088	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002393	-7.02%	0.001523	-40.83%	0.4956	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002245	-7.25%	0.00154	-36.39%	0.4207	✓	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001751	-4.87%	0.001521	-17.38%	0.1389	✓	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001689	-4.76%	0.001581	-10.83%	0.0948	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001666	-4.83%	0.001576	-9.99%	0.1165	✓	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001658	-5.23%	0.001769	+1.09%	0.0292	✓	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001507	-5.35%	0.001782	+11.93%	0.1327	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001502	-5.48%	0.001847	+16.24%	0.1327	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.00155	-6.02%	0.001867	+13.22%	0.1134	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.00167	-6.15%	0.001867	+4.95%	0.0520	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001693	-5.68%	0.001847	+2.90%	0.0082	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.00172	-6.04%	0.001851	+1.09%	0.0132	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001837	-6.88%	0.001816	-7.96%	0.0370	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001841	-7.34%	0.001821	-8.35%	0.0126	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001893	-7.60%	0.001806	-11.86%	0.0425	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.001919	-7.52%	0.00188	-9.40%	0.0084	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001885	-8.00%	0.001837	-10.35%	0.0436	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001635	-5.69%	0.001939	+11.82%	0.1046	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.001902	-9.00%	0.001938	-7.27%	0.0746	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002175	-10.21%	0.002083	-14.00%	0.0030	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002177	-10.87%	0.002165	-11.38%	0.0497	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002021	-10.65%	0.002077	-8.18%	0.1075	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002185	-10.61%	0.002231	-8.72%	0.1098	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002706	-11.52%	0.002204	-27.93%	0.1145	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002664	-12.06%	0.002497	-17.56%	0.0217	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002525	-11.98%	0.002439	-14.99%	0.1084	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002278	-11.92%	0.002328	-9.98%	0.1531	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001752	-9.24%	0.002335	+20.98%	0.3827	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001755	-9.19%	0.002177	+12.62%	0.3265	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.00216	-10.84%	0.002412	-0.45%	0.1802	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002258	-11.69%	0.002574	+0.66%	0.1924	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002551	-15.87%	0.002421	-20.15%	0.0101	✓	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.001916	-11.93%	0.001841	-15.40%	0.0115	✓	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.0015	-8.45%	0.001773	+8.24%	0.1972	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001195	-6.22%	0.001751	+37.44%	0.5281	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001166	-6.03%	0.00175	+41.02%	0.5602	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001142	-5.60%	0.001592	+31.57%	0.4902	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.00118	-5.57%	0.001589	+27.12%	0.4651	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001182	-5.48%	0.001649	+31.81%	0.4947	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001089	-5.42%	0.001779	+54.56%	0.6633	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001027	-5.50%	0.001795	+65.13%	0.7538	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001019	-5.08%	0.001831	+70.64%	0.7573	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001004	-4.66%	0.001973	+87.37%	0.8314	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001019	-4.21%	0.001987	+86.75%	0.8103	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001251	-3.54%	0.002049	+57.98%	0.6430	✗	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001381	-3.26%	0.002075	+45.31%	0.5795	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001399	-3.02%	0.002049	+42.00%	0.5943	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001441	-2.83%	0.001734	+16.93%	0.5120	✗	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.00144	-2.71%	0.00209	+41.22%	0.5790	✗	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001471	-2.74%	0.002422	+60.19%	0.6587	✗	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001471	-2.72%	0.002443	+61.57%	0.6273	✗	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001473	-2.66%	0.002262	+49.50%	0.5599	✗	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001461	-2.54%	0.002444	+63.04%	0.6145	✗	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001456	-2.37%	0.003058	+105.10%	0.7745	✗	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001466	-2.21%	0.003029	+102.07%	0.7628	✗	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001497	-2.24%	0.002869	+87.39%	0.6311	✗	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001519	-2.18%	0.002586	+66.52%	0.5202	✗	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001516	-2.08%	0.00193	+24.68%	0.2374	✗	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.00148	-1.87%	0.001933	+28.18%	0.2741	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.00149	-1.78%	0.002423	+59.72%	0.4683	✗	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001518	-1.76%	0.002557	+65.50%	0.5041	✗	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001478	-1.62%	0.003032	+101.86%	0.6996	✗	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001499	-1.66%	0.002176	+42.78%	0.3654	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001534	-1.77%	0.001638	+4.87%	0.0685	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001523	-1.79%	0.001274	-17.86%	0.2176	✓	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.0015	-1.74%	0.001241	-18.73%	0.2402	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001443	-1.55%	0.00121	-17.46%	0.2621	✓	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001561	-1.87%	0.00125	-21.43%	0.3033	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.00154	-1.99%	0.001251	-20.37%	0.2750	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001668	-2.18%	0.001151	-32.49%	0.4671	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001721	-2.41%	0.001087	-38.34%	0.5236	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001732	-2.48%	0.001073	-39.58%	0.4872	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001707	-2.30%	0.001053	-39.73%	0.4883	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001728	-2.57%	0.001064	-40.02%	0.4658	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001763	-2.67%	0.001297	-28.38%	0.2932	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001804	-2.34%	0.001428	-22.69%	0.2191	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.00182	-2.11%	0.001443	-22.38%	0.2375	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001832	-1.93%	0.001483	-20.61%	0.2400	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001866	-2.04%	0.00148	-22.31%	0.2728	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.00191	-2.17%	0.001512	-22.54%	0.2533	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001897	-2.20%	0.001512	-22.06%	0.2130	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001865	-1.76%	0.001513	-20.28%	0.1759	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002063	-2.39%	0.001499	-29.06%	0.2922	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.001978	-2.25%	0.001491	-26.30%	0.2957	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002037	-2.38%	0.001499	-28.17%	0.2858	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002004	-2.32%	0.001531	-25.39%	0.2301	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002051	-2.50%	0.001553	-26.19%	0.2464	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002098	-2.71%	0.001548	-28.20%	0.2669	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002173	-3.13%	0.001508	-32.77%	0.3328	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002068	-2.79%	0.001517	-28.68%	0.3082	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002052	-2.88%	0.001545	-26.88%	0.2774	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.00201	-2.77%	0.001502	-27.33%	0.2975	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.001997	-2.69%	0.001524	-25.73%	0.3099	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.001975	-2.64%	0.001562	-22.98%	0.2711	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002051	-2.98%	0.001551	-26.63%	0.2975	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002062	-3.21%	0.001527	-28.31%	0.2618	✓	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002285	-3.95%	0.001466	-38.38%	0.3606	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002284	-3.89%	0.001591	-33.04%	0.2956	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002404	-4.40%	0.001571	-37.53%	0.3559	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002394	-4.39%	0.001705	-31.91%	0.2376	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002387	-4.34%	0.001763	-29.34%	0.2326	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002432	-4.59%	0.001776	-30.33%	0.2085	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002273	-4.33%	0.001747	-26.47%	0.1297	✓	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002253	-4.35%	0.001774	-24.70%	0.1172	✓	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002313	-4.90%	0.001811	-25.53%	0.0829	✓	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002321	-5.10%	0.001847	-24.49%	0.0884	✓	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002233	-4.62%	0.001859	-20.59%	0.0467	✓	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002244	-4.65%	0.001868	-20.61%	0.0321	✓	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002199	-4.19%	0.001905	-16.99%	0.0012	✓	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002212	-4.62%	0.001952	-15.83%	0.0478	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.00224	-4.50%	0.00194	-17.31%	0.0313	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002328	-5.27%	0.001898	-22.75%	0.0414	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.00241	-5.89%	0.002113	-17.49%	0.1111	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002427	-5.85%	0.002023	-21.53%	0.1270	✗	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.00239	-5.74%	0.002087	-17.71%	0.1056	✗	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002359	-5.52%	0.002052	-17.82%	0.0797	✗	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002411	-5.93%	0.002104	-17.91%	0.0978	✗	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002385	-6.21%	0.002156	-15.22%	0.1807	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002396	-6.37%	0.002243	-12.35%	0.2433	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002403	-6.41%	0.002127	-17.17%	0.2445	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002384	-6.11%	0.002113	-16.78%	0.1978	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002426	-6.36%	0.002067	-20.22%	0.1772	✗	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002482	-6.36%	0.002052	-22.60%	0.1709	✗	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002407	-5.65%	0.002028	-20.50%	0.1451	✗	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002467	-5.66%	0.002114	-19.16%	0.1479	✗	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002599	-6.16%	0.00213	-23.10%	0.0550	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002595	-5.79%	0.002379	-13.62%	0.1158	✗	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002468	-5.18%	0.002376	-8.72%	0.1533	✗	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002451	-4.60%	0.002515	-2.10%	0.1786	✗	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.00222	-4.36%	0.002504	+7.88%	0.2856	✗	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002493	-4.77%	0.002495	-4.70%	0.2056	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002608	-5.34%	0.002549	-7.48%	0.1408	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.0027	-5.88%	0.002376	-17.18%	0.0402	✓	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002709	-5.82%	0.002356	-18.08%	0.0067	✓	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.00263	-5.22%	0.002432	-12.36%	0.0195	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.002943	-5.87%	0.002446	-21.78%	0.0845	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003479	-6.11%	0.002341	-36.82%	0.2086	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003379	-6.42%	0.002353	-34.84%	0.1531	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003311	-6.85%	0.002295	-35.42%	0.1436	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003394	-6.66%	0.002319	-36.22%	0.1520	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003326	-6.09%	0.002346	-33.77%	0.1067	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.00351	-6.17%	0.002457	-34.32%	0.1846	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003637	-6.09%	0.002561	-33.88%	0.2256	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003729	-6.29%	0.002578	-35.21%	0.2538	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003644	-6.75%	0.002536	-35.11%	0.2644	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.00351	-7.16%	0.002497	-33.96%	0.2771	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003509	-7.24%	0.002563	-32.25%	0.2642	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003531	-6.97%	0.002543	-33.01%	0.3366	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003506	-6.67%	0.002559	-31.87%	0.3666	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003587	-6.39%	0.002568	-32.99%	0.3911	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003587	-6.50%	0.002539	-33.81%	0.3767	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003753	-6.98%	0.002591	-35.79%	0.3430	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.003813	-7.24%	0.002651	-35.51%	0.3405	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.00382	-7.54%	0.002551	-38.25%	0.3404	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.003962	-7.66%	0.002615	-39.06%	0.3304	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.003902	-7.69%	0.00277	-34.47%	0.2784	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004231	-7.55%	0.002754	-39.83%	0.3452	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004252	-7.34%	0.002603	-43.28%	0.3689	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.004752	0.004408	-7.25%	0.002569	-45.94%	0.4191	✓	1.34

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.