XCH

Chia · native · gru_s6

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0812

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0071

actual -0.0213

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.4508	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4881	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5394	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5401	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5679	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5726	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5677	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.5475	-1.81%	1.4765	-6.31%	0.0585	✓	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.6042	-1.68%	1.512	-7.32%	0.0575	✓	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5612	-1.57%	1.5675	-1.17%	0.0031	✓	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5694	-1.33%	1.57	-1.29%	0.0168	✗	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5703	-1.46%	1.6035	+0.63%	0.0360	✗	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4968	-1.59%	1.6015	+5.29%	0.0780	✗	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.4494	-1.34%	1.5965	+8.68%	0.0924	✗	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4767	-1.22%	1.576	+5.42%	0.0816	✗	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.5537	-0.88%	1.6315	+4.08%	0.0714	✗	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5662	-1.09%	1.586	+0.16%	0.0501	✗	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5722	-0.84%	1.5905	+0.32%	0.0381	✗	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.5604	-0.89%	1.5935	+1.21%	0.0385	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.519	-0.98%	1.521	-0.85%	0.0201	✗	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5813	-1.11%	1.469	-8.13%	0.0438	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.604	-1.29%	1.495	-8.00%	0.0677	✓	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5762	-1.05%	1.5675	-1.60%	0.0228	✓	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.54	-1.15%	1.5835	+1.64%	0.0070	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5657	-0.87%	1.5855	+0.38%	0.0034	✓	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.6291	-1.20%	1.5745	-4.52%	0.0366	✓	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.6329	-1.25%	1.534	-7.23%	0.0657	✓	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.6144	-0.96%	1.599	-1.90%	0.0132	✓	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.5322	-0.77%	1.625	+5.25%	0.0654	✗	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.618	-0.49%	1.593	-2.03%	0.0035	✓	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.7075	-0.78%	1.558	-9.47%	0.0675	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.5301	-0.61%	1.5795	+2.60%	0.0099	✗	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.5269	-0.56%	1.649	+7.39%	0.0558	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4964	-0.54%	1.6535	+9.90%	0.0788	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.4004	-1.48%	1.63	+14.67%	0.1036	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3707	-0.71%	1.544	+11.84%	0.0705	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.3556	-0.83%	1.626	+18.95%	0.1205	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.4601	-0.74%	1.721	+17.00%	0.1221	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4646	-0.97%	1.5395	+4.09%	0.0268	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4833	-0.72%	1.5355	+2.78%	0.0139	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4771	-0.80%	1.5045	+1.04%	0.0004	✓	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4834	-0.64%	1.4215	-4.79%	0.0416	✓	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5594	-0.70%	1.3805	-12.10%	0.1108	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.6075	-0.68%	1.367	-15.54%	0.1470	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.635	-0.61%	1.471	-10.58%	0.1009	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.4968	+0.22%	1.479	-0.97%	0.0106	✓	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4577	+0.56%	1.494	+3.07%	0.0409	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.4236	+0.54%	1.489	+5.16%	0.0631	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.4489	+0.55%	1.493	+3.61%	0.0655	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4223	+0.23%	1.5705	+10.68%	0.0920	✓	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.4518	+0.26%	1.6185	+11.77%	0.1011	✓	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4343	+0.76%	1.645	+15.56%	0.1332	✓	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4259	+0.92%	1.4935	+5.70%	0.0241	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.4046	+1.52%	1.4495	+4.77%	0.0194	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.418	+1.32%	1.416	+1.18%	0.0154	✗	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.4379	+1.91%	1.441	+2.13%	0.0053	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.4027	+1.76%	1.419	+2.94%	0.0246	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.4077	+1.50%	1.448	+4.40%	0.0372	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.4091	+1.52%	1.4235	+2.56%	0.0136	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.5067	+0.78%	1.413	-5.48%	0.0636	✗	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.5151	+0.61%	1.3835	-8.13%	0.1016	✗	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.5375	+1.05%	1.3995	-8.02%	0.0897	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.437	-0.24%	1.411	-2.05%	0.0825	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4252	-1.44%	1.3785	-4.67%	0.1403	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3577	-1.55%	1.387	+0.58%	0.1355	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3678	-1.10%	1.388	+0.36%	0.1559	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3576	-1.37%	1.495	+8.61%	0.0841	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.3125	-1.17%	1.506	+13.40%	0.0314	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2906	-1.06%	1.5215	+16.63%	0.0166	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.3005	-1.10%	1.4405	+9.54%	0.0096	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2838	-1.32%	1.446	+11.15%	0.0460	✗	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.3298	-1.02%	1.379	+2.64%	0.0217	✗	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.355	-1.31%	1.383	+0.73%	0.0138	✗	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.3146	-1.38%	1.3765	+3.26%	0.0708	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3919	-0.97%	1.328	-5.51%	0.0236	✓	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.2999	-0.88%	1.3045	-0.53%	0.0277	✗	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3517	-0.90%	1.315	-3.59%	0.0168	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4407	-1.29%	1.301	-10.86%	0.0866	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.4893	-1.53%	1.3435	-11.17%	0.0964	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.5125	-1.75%	1.373	-10.82%	0.1025	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.68	-2.89%	1.333	-22.95%	0.2488	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.4318	-1.66%	1.4055	-3.47%	0.0433	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3926	-1.65%	1.3115	-7.38%	0.0837	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.4084	-1.89%	1.364	-4.98%	0.0268	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3463	-1.63%	1.4595	+6.65%	0.0734	✗	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.3106	-1.75%	1.5125	+13.38%	0.1411	✗	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2511	-0.82%	1.5395	+22.04%	0.2098	✗	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.3103	-0.73%	1.73	+31.06%	0.2960	✗	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2719	-0.52%	1.456	+13.88%	0.1504	✗	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1553	-0.06%	1.416	+22.49%	0.2156	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1553	-0.27%	1.4355	+23.91%	0.2202	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.23	-0.77%	1.3685	+10.41%	0.1270	✗	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.204	-0.12%	1.334	+10.66%	0.1272	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.2033	-0.22%	1.2615	+4.60%	0.0629	✗	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2809	+0.03%	1.32	+3.08%	0.0230	✓	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.3251	+0.12%	1.2785	-3.40%	0.0302	✗	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3689	+0.14%	1.156	-15.44%	0.1712	✗	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.393	+0.11%	1.1585	-16.74%	0.1981	✗	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4798	-0.12%	1.2395	-16.33%	0.1908	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.402	-0.18%	1.2055	-14.17%	0.1664	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.4001	+0.01%	1.206	-13.86%	0.1817	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.4261	-0.07%	1.2805	-10.27%	0.1180	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.4503	-0.01%	1.3235	-8.76%	0.1020	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4845	-0.14%	1.367	-8.04%	0.0800	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.5308	-0.40%	1.3915	-9.47%	0.1019	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.51	-0.23%	1.4815	-2.11%	0.0445	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5526	-0.25%	1.4045	-9.77%	0.1173	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.6161	-0.21%	1.4	-13.55%	0.1256	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.5998	-0.08%	1.427	-10.87%	0.1159	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6553	-0.04%	1.4505	-12.41%	0.1393	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6799	+0.02%	1.4865	-11.49%	0.1393	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.7285	-0.12%	1.537	-11.18%	0.1360	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.7496	-0.19%	1.5135	-13.66%	0.1713	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.7189	-0.21%	1.5565	-9.64%	0.1556	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5704	+0.38%	1.6195	+3.52%	0.0192	✗	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.6215	+0.28%	1.601	-0.99%	0.0671	✗	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.6133	+0.14%	1.656	+2.79%	0.0154	✗	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6899	-0.12%	1.6795	-0.74%	0.0396	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.7039	-0.07%	1.7305	+1.50%	0.0084	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.7034	-0.15%	1.753	+2.75%	0.0434	✗	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.8039	-0.50%	1.7225	-4.99%	0.0096	✗	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.888	-0.74%	1.5645	-17.74%	0.1387	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8861	-0.76%	1.617	-14.92%	0.1046	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.875	-0.74%	1.611	-14.72%	0.0947	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.9155	-0.52%	1.692	-12.13%	0.0772	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9894	-0.48%	1.705	-14.71%	0.1107	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	2.0104	-0.57%	1.706	-15.63%	0.1176	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	2.0484	-0.78%	1.813	-12.18%	0.0826	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.0659	-1.06%	1.902	-8.91%	0.0498	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.1128	-0.97%	1.9005	-10.92%	0.0712	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.14	-1.11%	1.889	-12.71%	0.1217	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	2.0069	-0.75%	1.9255	-4.77%	0.0405	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	2.021	-0.78%	1.999	-1.87%	0.0008	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.9965	-0.25%	2.022	+1.02%	0.0327	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	2.0557	-0.14%	2.0645	+0.29%	0.0546	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.177	-0.73%	2.088	-4.79%	0.0880	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.2007	-0.69%	2.1335	-3.72%	0.0651	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	2.0537	+1.37%	2.164	+6.81%	0.0058	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.2008	+1.00%	2.022	-7.21%	0.1166	✗	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.2091	+0.37%	2.037	-7.45%	0.0779	✗	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.2179	+0.68%	2.0015	-9.15%	0.0675	✗	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.2441	-0.26%	2.0585	-8.51%	0.0178	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.4131	-2.26%	2.193	-11.18%	0.0081	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.3003	-1.59%	2.216	-5.20%	0.1002	✗	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.3186	-1.59%	2.026	-14.01%	0.0352	✗	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.4038	-1.76%	2.179	-10.95%	0.0675	✗	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.2922	-1.62%	2.201	-5.54%	0.0876	✗	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.5358	-2.15%	2.203	-14.99%	0.0144	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.6421	-2.40%	2.25	-16.88%	0.0536	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.8721	-2.99%	2.469	-16.60%	0.0832	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.6749	-2.91%	2.3375	-15.15%	0.0956	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.8411	-3.56%	2.356	-20.03%	0.1534	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.8469	-3.13%	2.447	-16.74%	0.1267	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.2518	-3.52%	2.33	-30.87%	0.2904	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.4677	-4.62%	2.5915	-28.72%	0.2578	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.1958	-4.59%	2.707	-19.18%	0.1563	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.7502	-2.84%	2.9605	+4.59%	0.0704	✗	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.6247	-1.24%	2.755	+3.67%	0.0531	✗	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.5843	-1.14%	2.946	+12.70%	0.1467	✗	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3704	-0.84%	2.939	+22.94%	0.2560	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.5076	-1.41%	3.3705	+32.51%	0.3344	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4681	-2.21%	3.6355	+44.04%	0.4075	✗	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.1902	-1.08%	3.3495	+51.29%	0.4697	✗	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.3095	-0.45%	2.8305	+22.00%	0.2598	✗	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.429	-0.16%	2.6575	+9.23%	0.1451	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3427	+0.12%	2.614	+11.71%	0.1389	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.3951	-0.37%	2.3905	-0.56%	0.0108	✗	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.1883	+0.26%	2.5435	+16.54%	0.1388	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.1201	+0.41%	2.524	+19.54%	0.1974	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.1204	-0.05%	2.214	+4.36%	0.0472	✗	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.1136	-0.06%	2.32	+9.69%	0.0757	✗	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1281	-0.46%	2.433	+13.80%	0.0998	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.131	-0.79%	2.34	+8.94%	0.0750	✗	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.1493	-1.14%	2.404	+10.58%	0.0934	✗	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.2544	-0.22%	2.1825	-3.41%	0.0689	✓	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.2578	-0.50%	2.1115	-6.94%	0.1228	✓	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2532	-0.39%	2.1215	-6.21%	0.1048	✓	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.2736	+0.14%	2.115	-6.85%	0.0965	✗	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.3634	-0.11%	2.138	-9.64%	0.0991	✓	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.3501	-0.16%	2.148	-8.75%	0.1001	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.4565	+0.02%	2.174	-11.48%	0.1299	✗	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.5969	-0.06%	2.2595	-13.05%	0.1194	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.7698	-0.40%	2.269	-18.41%	0.1748	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.5625	-0.89%	2.262	-12.51%	0.1244	✓	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.4732	-0.09%	2.2705	-8.28%	0.1003	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.3833	-0.41%	2.366	-1.13%	0.0542	✓	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.4385	-0.25%	2.354	-3.70%	0.0538	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.2924	+0.19%	2.456	+7.34%	0.0654	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.3066	-0.36%	2.5985	+12.25%	0.0881	✗	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.1917	-0.13%	2.781	+26.73%	0.2047	✗	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.1573	+0.06%	2.5855	+19.92%	0.1591	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.2359	-0.25%	2.4755	+10.44%	0.0874	✗	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.2176	-0.76%	2.393	+7.09%	0.0427	✗	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.2904	-1.17%	2.4445	+5.48%	0.0373	✗	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.2563	-0.95%	2.288	+0.44%	0.0292	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3674	-1.30%	2.315	-3.48%	0.0591	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.3148	-0.20%	2.1945	-5.39%	0.0943	✓	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.374	-0.57%	2.156	-9.70%	0.1210	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.2965	-0.84%	2.2415	-3.22%	0.0856	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3432	-1.11%	2.2345	-5.70%	0.0672	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.3203	-1.07%	2.3175	-1.19%	0.0684	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.3688	-0.93%	2.278	-4.73%	0.1095	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3954	-0.67%	2.3985	-0.54%	0.0562	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4859	-0.72%	2.3195	-7.37%	0.1040	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5904	-0.60%	2.3875	-8.38%	0.1247	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5913	-0.58%	2.316	-11.15%	0.1380	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.6225	-0.34%	2.3695	-9.96%	0.1386	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.6601	-0.48%	2.3455	-12.25%	0.1379	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.5943	-0.41%	2.391	-8.21%	0.0891	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.8008	-0.63%	2.4115	-14.44%	0.1272	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.8234	-0.66%	2.504	-11.89%	0.0825	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.8	-0.64%	2.606	-7.52%	0.0444	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.7195	-0.51%	2.6065	-4.65%	0.0071	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.611	-0.36%	2.6315	+0.42%	0.0309	✗	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.6328	-0.78%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0465	✗	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6718	-0.73%	2.605	-3.21%	0.0243	✗	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.7141	-0.62%	2.8185	+3.20%	0.0514	✗	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.8255	-0.40%	2.842	+0.18%	0.0051	✗	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.1179	-1.04%	2.818	-10.55%	0.0629	✓	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	2.9609	-0.71%	2.7335	-8.33%	0.0343	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.7646	-0.52%	2.6205	-5.70%	0.0036	✓	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7178	-0.59%	2.6535	-2.94%	0.0028	✓	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.6396	-0.58%	2.6915	+1.37%	0.0246	✗	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.5878	-0.47%	2.731	+5.04%	0.0609	✗	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.5703	+0.05%	2.837	+10.43%	0.0869	✓	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.5361	+0.38%	3.1505	+24.70%	0.1726	✓	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5442	+0.27%	2.982	+17.52%	0.0860	✓	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5663	+0.33%	2.779	+8.64%	0.0030	✓	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.5176	+0.48%	2.734	+9.12%	0.0341	✓	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.61	+0.33%	2.655	+2.06%	0.0171	✗	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7443	+0.16%	2.6	-5.11%	0.0498	✗	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.8637	-0.33%	2.569	-10.58%	0.0799	✓	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.6905	-0.13%	2.5265	-6.22%	0.0820	✓	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6584	+0.07%	2.5375	-4.48%	0.0419	✗	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.6245	+0.15%	2.558	-2.39%	0.0283	✗	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.7138	-0.61%	2.5055	-8.24%	0.0836	✓	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.6839	-0.28%	2.6015	-3.34%	0.0603	✓	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.646	-0.28%	2.74	+3.26%	0.0082	✓	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6206	-0.39%	2.873	+9.20%	0.0333	✗	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.4139	+0.35%	2.694	+11.99%	0.0558	✓	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.6049	-0.00%	2.6565	+1.98%	0.0321	✓	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7237	-0.58%	2.6205	-4.34%	0.0159	✓	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.6577	-0.28%	2.7305	+2.46%	0.0390	✗	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.6468	-0.35%	2.6915	+1.34%	0.0425	✗	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.6081	-0.21%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0110	✗	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7167	-0.01%	2.631	-3.17%	0.0513	✓	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.9137	-0.18%	2.4055	-17.59%	0.1507	✓	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.922	-0.17%	2.605	-11.00%	0.0640	✓	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.9534	-0.44%	2.7395	-7.65%	0.0614	✓	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.09	-0.22%	2.665	-13.95%	0.1268	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.9118	+0.16%	2.656	-8.63%	0.0824	✗	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.8292	+0.54%	2.6135	-7.13%	0.0882	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	2.989	-0.13%	2.717	-9.22%	0.0887	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.045	-0.75%	2.919	-4.86%	0.0278	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.0637	-0.26%	2.927	-4.70%	0.0324	✓	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.2369	-0.56%	2.9665	-8.86%	0.0710	✓	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.413	-0.31%	3.097	-9.54%	0.1030	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.3234	-0.23%	2.907	-12.73%	0.1136	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.1382	+2.09%	2.814	-8.46%	0.1539	✗	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.34	-0.18%	2.993	-10.55%	0.0113	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.3578	-0.07%	3.068	-8.69%	0.0177	✗	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.4457	-0.23%	3.0715	-11.06%	0.0185	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.4397	+0.31%	3.255	-5.07%	0.0529	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.5437	-0.09%	3.4235	-3.48%	0.1208	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.7238	-0.72%	3.331	-11.20%	0.1116	✗	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.8897	-0.87%	3.074	-21.66%	0.1443	✗	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	4.0128	-0.83%	3.346	-17.31%	0.0826	✗	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.1851	-0.91%	3.36	-20.45%	0.0010	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.1789	-0.48%	3.4535	-17.75%	0.0398	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.9988	-0.22%	3.429	-14.44%	0.0004	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.1932	-0.42%	3.547	-15.77%	0.0062	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.1559	-0.65%	3.751	-10.33%	0.0221	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.3131	-0.44%	3.924	-9.42%	0.0207	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.5495	-0.94%	4.0465	-11.89%	0.1142	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.4764	-0.96%	4.2235	-6.56%	0.0698	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.5822	-0.72%	4.199	-9.02%	0.0240	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.8539	-0.94%	4.0075	-18.21%	0.0881	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.9285	-0.90%	4.211	-15.32%	0.0719	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.9407	-0.70%	4.183	-15.93%	0.0812	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	5.0685	-0.73%	4.332	-15.15%	0.0705	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.3807	-0.84%	4.5925	-15.37%	0.0521	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.3988	-1.21%	4.52	-17.29%	0.0778	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	5.126	-1.70%	4.6155	-11.49%	0.1243	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.412	-2.48%	4.9	-11.70%	0.1387	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.9797	-1.95%	4.973	-2.09%	0.0674	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	5.1263	-1.75%	4.9755	-4.64%	0.1022	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.8902	-1.84%	5.1055	+2.48%	0.0206	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.9809	-1.80%	5.4265	+6.99%	0.0123	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.9908	-1.68%	5.465	+7.66%	0.0618	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.1279	-1.73%	5.2145	-0.07%	0.0645	✗	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.6765	-1.49%	5.5495	+16.91%	0.1821	✗	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.6434	-1.83%	5.079	+7.38%	0.0936	✗	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.7296	-2.04%	5.2175	+8.07%	0.0882	✗	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.6407	-1.93%	4.982	+5.28%	0.0299	✗	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.5356	-0.74%	5.072	+11.00%	0.0443	✗	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.6039	-0.83%	5.076	+9.34%	0.0046	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.6165	-1.05%	5.218	+11.84%	0.0034	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.7543	-0.95%	4.747	-1.10%	0.0657	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.9158	-1.71%	4.73	-5.43%	0.0875	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.5517	-0.47%	4.828	+5.58%	0.0127	✗	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.7394	-1.00%	4.732	-1.16%	0.0290	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.9276	-0.59%	4.5695	-7.82%	0.0735	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.7974	-0.46%	4.6425	-3.67%	0.0498	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.8154	-0.43%	4.6655	-3.53%	0.0062	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.8007	-0.42%	4.8	-0.44%	0.0132	✗	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.8558	-0.54%	5.0015	+2.45%	0.0387	✗	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.8554	-1.06%	4.573	-6.82%	0.0458	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.4757	-0.75%	4.7875	+6.16%	0.0372	✗	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.5464	-0.98%	4.957	+7.96%	0.0620	✗	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.7725	-1.16%	4.8195	-0.19%	0.0171	✗	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.798	-1.52%	4.836	-0.74%	0.0295	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	5.0154	-0.61%	4.821	-4.46%	0.0476	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.2139	-0.48%	4.882	-6.81%	0.0330	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.2763	-0.36%	4.9075	-7.33%	0.0352	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.4543	-0.60%	4.5095	-17.81%	0.0691	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.5977	-0.96%	4.5915	-18.76%	0.0980	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.7146	-0.63%	4.8285	-16.04%	0.0866	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.4681	-0.43%	4.872	-11.28%	0.0428	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.4903	-0.48%	5.046	-8.54%	0.0465	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.5411	-0.86%	5.239	-6.26%	0.0728	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.4996	-0.54%	5.2955	-4.23%	0.0536	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.7144	-0.65%	5.487	-4.61%	0.0480	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.8441	-0.80%	5.652	-4.06%	0.0100	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	6.0494	-0.82%	5.751	-5.71%	0.0741	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.4826	-0.40%	5.4915	-0.24%	0.0745	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.8574	-0.70%	5.517	-6.48%	0.0604	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.923	-0.78%	5.589	-6.37%	0.0316	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.8512	-0.60%	5.5295	-6.06%	0.0302	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.9234	-0.66%	5.752	-3.53%	0.0422	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	6.0553	-0.81%	5.891	-3.50%	0.0747	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	6.0626	-0.72%	6.0995	-0.11%	0.0614	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.2249	-0.55%	5.5045	-12.05%	0.0886	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.2255	-0.18%	5.899	-5.42%	0.1159	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.2471	+0.00%	5.9695	-4.44%	0.1566	✗	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.4177	-0.29%	5.8865	-8.55%	0.1915	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.7725	-0.26%	5.9625	-12.19%	0.2115	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.9047	-0.69%	6.1045	-12.20%	0.1053	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	7.1603	-0.78%	6.1065	-15.38%	0.0583	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	7.2075	-0.77%	6.259	-13.83%	0.0718	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.3816	-1.32%	6.237	-16.62%	0.0371	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.5929	-1.51%	6.247	-18.96%	0.0011	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.7808	-1.76%	6.4365	-18.74%	0.0187	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.782	-2.02%	6.7905	-14.50%	0.1094	✗	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.8089	-2.66%	6.9525	-13.34%	0.0700	✗	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.9023	-1.76%	7.2165	-10.29%	0.0866	✗	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.4994	-2.14%	7.2635	-16.37%	0.0779	✗	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.9973	-3.36%	7.48	-19.66%	0.0025	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.6212	-1.99%	7.709	-0.86%	0.1222	✗	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.9858	-3.34%	7.9205	-4.13%	0.1334	✗	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.326	-0.50%	7.9425	+24.93%	0.2518	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.9656	-0.35%	8.0225	+34.01%	0.3291	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.8001	-0.02%	8.044	+38.65%	0.3041	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.3244	-0.42%	8.6855	+36.76%	0.3254	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.7814	-0.78%	9.31	+36.22%	0.3976	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.7334	-0.95%	7.776	+14.39%	0.2535	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.2867	-0.74%	8.262	+30.45%	0.3607	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.3893	-0.76%	6.3575	-1.25%	0.0949	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.7223	-1.03%	5.9865	-11.87%	0.0316	✓	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.7118	-0.73%	5.8015	-14.19%	0.0144	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.9121	-0.96%	6.351	-9.00%	0.0175	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.7821	-0.96%	6.8345	-0.20%	0.0611	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.5231	-0.84%	6.798	+3.34%	0.0633	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.6828	-0.99%	6.3335	-6.16%	0.0332	✓	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.8015	-1.40%	6.438	-6.67%	0.0296	✓	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.7702	-1.34%	6.7925	-1.02%	0.0315	✓	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.9318	-0.68%	6.761	-3.12%	0.0887	✓	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.1319	-0.77%	6.979	-2.90%	0.0709	✓	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.1952	-0.79%	6.848	-5.58%	0.1310	✓	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	7.0459	-0.75%	6.5785	-7.33%	0.1316	✓	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	7.095	-0.51%	6.7495	-5.36%	0.1148	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.4474	-0.78%	6.898	-8.10%	0.1035	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.4383	-0.83%	6.8625	-8.51%	0.0353	✓	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.5658	-0.37%	6.979	-8.10%	0.0148	✓	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.7656	-0.42%	7.1875	-7.83%	0.0119	✓	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.7472	-0.66%	7.2525	-7.01%	0.0224	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	7.038	-0.47%	7.099	+0.39%	0.0565	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.5279	+0.22%	7.1315	+9.49%	0.1830	✓	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.6519	-0.33%	7.506	-13.53%	0.0235	✓	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.879	-0.30%	7.5005	-15.78%	0.0581	✓	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.7457	-0.06%	7.594	-13.22%	0.0730	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.9477	-0.05%	7.798	-12.89%	0.0577	✓	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.6179	-0.02%	7.799	-9.52%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.5052	-0.44%	7.0715	-17.22%	0.0843	✓	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.6986	-0.32%	6.5135	-25.36%	0.2099	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.7572	-0.34%	8.6805	-1.21%	0.0179	✓	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.6022	-0.39%	8.906	+3.13%	0.0048	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.1655	-0.38%	8.751	+6.77%	0.0078	✗	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.395	-0.70%	8.952	+5.88%	0.0243	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.6212	-0.88%	8.6195	-0.90%	0.1042	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.4782	-1.01%	8.5425	-0.26%	0.1121	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.6632	-1.08%	8.7265	-0.35%	0.1108	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.4402	-1.09%	8.787	+2.98%	0.0687	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.9517	-1.43%	8.6355	-4.92%	0.0836	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.9188	-1.56%	8.1965	-9.54%	0.1035	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.9732	-1.58%	8.4545	-7.27%	0.0743	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.484	-1.50%	8.698	-9.66%	0.0591	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.3734	-1.66%	8.565	-10.14%	0.0349	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.4328	-1.70%	8.7575	-8.74%	0.0183	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.6575	-2.09%	8.533	-13.49%	0.0478	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.6022	-2.19%	9.082	-7.49%	0.0269	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.