XCH

Chia · native · gru_s6

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

76.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1455

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0289

actual -0.0875

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.3987	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4427	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.4834	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.4813	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5019	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5082	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5057	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.4851	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.551	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5035	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5242	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5209	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4545	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.4012	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4358	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.5122	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5211	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5363	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.5245	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.4926	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5448	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5692	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.541	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.5201	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5388	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.5846	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.5927	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.5907	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.5314	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.6081	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.7134	-0.44%	1.4765	-14.21%	0.1186	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.5061	-2.17%	1.512	-1.79%	0.0080	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.5075	-1.83%	1.5675	+2.08%	0.0350	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4783	-1.74%	1.57	+4.35%	0.0527	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.3674	-3.81%	1.6035	+12.80%	0.1286	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.333	-3.44%	1.6015	+16.01%	0.1514	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.318	-3.59%	1.5965	+16.79%	0.1530	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.4203	-3.44%	1.576	+7.14%	0.0864	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4197	-4.01%	1.6315	+10.31%	0.1060	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4456	-3.24%	1.586	+6.16%	0.0694	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4358	-3.57%	1.5905	+6.82%	0.0698	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4457	-3.17%	1.5935	+6.73%	0.0630	✗	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5225	-3.06%	1.521	-3.15%	0.0222	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.575	-2.69%	1.469	-9.24%	0.0861	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.6147	-1.84%	1.495	-9.12%	0.0979	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.4851	-0.56%	1.5675	+4.95%	0.0225	✗	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4541	+0.32%	1.5835	+9.24%	0.0496	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.4224	+0.45%	1.5855	+11.97%	0.0608	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.4551	+0.98%	1.5745	+9.26%	0.0541	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4202	+0.08%	1.534	+8.10%	0.0262	✓	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.463	+1.04%	1.599	+10.43%	0.0366	✓	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4372	+0.96%	1.625	+14.16%	0.0874	✓	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4384	+1.80%	1.593	+12.74%	0.0536	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.4418	+4.22%	1.558	+12.61%	0.0389	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.449	+3.54%	1.5795	+12.86%	0.0374	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.4961	+6.03%	1.649	+16.87%	0.0668	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.4468	+4.96%	1.6535	+19.95%	0.0965	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.446	+4.25%	1.63	+17.52%	0.0750	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.4558	+4.89%	1.544	+11.24%	0.0167	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.5306	+2.38%	1.626	+8.76%	0.0118	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.5424	+2.42%	1.721	+14.28%	0.0271	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.6	+5.16%	1.5395	+1.18%	0.0635	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.4386	-0.14%	1.5355	+6.59%	0.0071	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.3883	-3.99%	1.5045	+4.05%	0.0455	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3106	-4.96%	1.4215	+3.08%	0.0528	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.329	-3.91%	1.3805	-0.18%	0.1018	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3107	-4.78%	1.367	-0.69%	0.1148	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.2695	-4.40%	1.471	+10.77%	0.0338	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2505	-4.14%	1.479	+13.38%	0.0030	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2603	-4.16%	1.494	+13.61%	0.0133	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2401	-4.68%	1.489	+14.45%	0.0210	✓	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.2892	-4.04%	1.493	+11.13%	0.0057	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3098	-4.60%	1.5705	+14.38%	0.0285	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.2688	-4.81%	1.6185	+21.42%	0.0938	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3515	-3.84%	1.645	+17.04%	0.0398	✗	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.2672	-3.38%	1.4935	+13.88%	0.0079	✓	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3179	-3.38%	1.4495	+6.27%	0.0819	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.3998	-4.09%	1.416	-2.98%	0.1617	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.4422	-4.65%	1.441	-4.73%	0.1950	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.4606	-5.12%	1.419	-7.83%	0.1912	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.6145	-6.68%	1.448	-16.30%	0.2726	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.3819	-5.09%	1.4235	-2.23%	0.1355	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3454	-4.98%	1.413	-0.21%	0.1066	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.3676	-4.73%	1.3835	-3.62%	0.1289	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3098	-4.29%	1.3995	+2.27%	0.0663	✓	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.2763	-4.32%	1.411	+5.77%	0.0525	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2216	-3.16%	1.3785	+9.27%	0.0208	✓	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.2881	-2.41%	1.387	+5.08%	0.0426	✓	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2551	-1.83%	1.388	+8.56%	0.0289	✓	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1441	-1.03%	1.495	+29.33%	0.1493	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.143	-1.33%	1.506	+30.00%	0.1720	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2102	-2.36%	1.5215	+22.75%	0.1268	✗	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.192	-1.12%	1.4405	+19.49%	0.1333	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.1867	-1.60%	1.446	+19.90%	0.1574	✗	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2686	-0.93%	1.379	+7.69%	0.0834	✗	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.3163	-0.55%	1.383	+4.50%	0.0530	✗	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3614	-0.41%	1.3765	+0.69%	0.0233	✗	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.384	-0.54%	1.328	-4.56%	0.0331	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4676	-0.94%	1.3045	-11.95%	0.1001	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.3921	-0.88%	1.315	-6.37%	0.0408	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.385	-1.07%	1.301	-7.07%	0.0754	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.4136	-0.94%	1.3435	-5.85%	0.0485	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.434	-1.14%	1.373	-5.34%	0.0449	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4678	-1.26%	1.333	-10.33%	0.1038	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.5084	-1.86%	1.4055	-8.56%	0.0893	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.4806	-2.17%	1.3115	-13.35%	0.1484	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5243	-2.07%	1.364	-12.37%	0.1208	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.5894	-1.86%	1.4595	-9.88%	0.0913	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.577	-1.50%	1.5125	-5.53%	0.0466	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6344	-1.30%	1.5395	-7.04%	0.0638	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6617	-1.06%	1.73	+3.01%	0.0299	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.7075	-1.33%	1.456	-15.86%	0.1735	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.7247	-1.61%	1.416	-19.22%	0.2302	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.6965	-1.51%	1.4355	-16.66%	0.2389	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5513	-0.84%	1.3685	-12.53%	0.1741	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.5984	-1.15%	1.334	-17.50%	0.2386	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.5853	-1.59%	1.2615	-21.69%	0.2778	✓	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6557	-2.15%	1.32	-21.99%	0.2958	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.6684	-2.15%	1.2785	-25.01%	0.3265	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.6672	-2.27%	1.156	-32.24%	0.4094	✓	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.7614	-2.85%	1.1585	-36.10%	0.4499	✓	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.8412	-3.20%	1.2395	-34.83%	0.4222	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8403	-3.17%	1.2055	-36.57%	0.4637	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.8287	-3.19%	1.206	-36.16%	0.4289	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.8766	-2.54%	1.2805	-33.50%	0.3979	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.954	-2.25%	1.3235	-33.79%	0.4148	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.9711	-2.52%	1.367	-32.39%	0.3587	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	2.0024	-3.01%	1.3915	-32.60%	0.3397	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.0085	-3.81%	1.4815	-29.05%	0.2824	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.0531	-3.77%	1.4045	-34.17%	0.3697	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.0719	-4.26%	1.4	-35.30%	0.3593	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	1.9464	-3.74%	1.427	-29.43%	0.3134	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	1.9579	-3.88%	1.4505	-28.79%	0.3031	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.936	-3.27%	1.4865	-25.73%	0.3049	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	1.996	-3.03%	1.537	-25.33%	0.2841	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.098	-4.33%	1.5135	-30.98%	0.3143	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.1175	-4.45%	1.5565	-29.76%	0.3081	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	1.9661	-2.96%	1.6195	-20.06%	0.2351	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.0967	-3.78%	1.601	-26.53%	0.3022	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.0881	-5.13%	1.656	-24.76%	0.2224	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.0924	-5.02%	1.6795	-23.76%	0.1993	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.1122	-6.13%	1.7305	-23.09%	0.1279	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.269	-8.10%	1.753	-29.00%	0.1117	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.1822	-6.64%	1.7225	-26.31%	0.0272	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.1995	-6.64%	1.5645	-33.60%	0.1606	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.2782	-6.90%	1.617	-33.92%	0.1539	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.1678	-6.96%	1.611	-30.86%	0.1120	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.4001	-7.39%	1.692	-34.71%	0.1680	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.5069	-7.39%	1.705	-37.02%	0.1869	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.7247	-7.96%	1.706	-42.37%	0.2669	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.5359	-7.95%	1.813	-34.19%	0.1568	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.6991	-8.38%	1.902	-35.44%	0.1900	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.6867	-8.58%	1.9005	-35.34%	0.1904	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.0981	-8.08%	1.889	-43.95%	0.3432	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.3036	-9.13%	1.9255	-47.04%	0.3797	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.0442	-9.12%	1.999	-40.32%	0.2645	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.6199	-7.44%	2.022	-28.56%	0.1133	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.5343	-4.63%	2.0645	-22.31%	0.0685	✓	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.5055	-4.15%	2.088	-20.12%	0.0455	✓	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3192	-2.98%	2.1335	-10.75%	0.0786	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.4747	-2.71%	2.164	-14.92%	0.0656	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4219	-4.04%	2.022	-19.89%	0.0132	✓	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.1701	-1.98%	2.037	-7.99%	0.1609	✗	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.3264	+0.28%	2.0015	-13.73%	0.1164	✓	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.4078	-1.04%	2.0585	-15.39%	0.1071	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3386	-0.06%	2.193	-6.28%	0.1605	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.3954	-0.36%	2.216	-7.82%	0.1345	✗	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.1885	+0.28%	2.026	-7.17%	0.1620	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.1324	+0.99%	2.179	+3.20%	0.2705	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.1364	+0.70%	2.201	+3.75%	0.2113	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.0949	-0.95%	2.203	+4.16%	0.2161	✗	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1017	-1.70%	2.25	+5.24%	0.1916	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.1035	-2.07%	2.469	+14.94%	0.2340	✗	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.1105	-2.92%	2.3375	+7.52%	0.1485	✗	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.2135	-2.04%	2.356	+4.27%	0.0884	✗	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.2012	-2.99%	2.447	+7.84%	0.1306	✗	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2051	-2.51%	2.33	+3.01%	0.0837	✗	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.2497	-0.91%	2.5915	+14.14%	0.1721	✗	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.3328	-1.40%	2.707	+14.41%	0.1768	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.324	-1.27%	2.9605	+25.76%	0.2460	✗	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.4489	-0.29%	2.755	+12.17%	0.1227	✗	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.5988	+0.01%	2.946	+13.37%	0.1417	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.7777	-0.12%	2.939	+5.68%	0.0843	✗	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.5692	-0.63%	3.3705	+30.36%	0.2597	✗	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.5004	+1.00%	3.6355	+46.86%	0.3585	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.3831	-0.42%	3.3495	+39.97%	0.3116	✗	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.4525	+0.33%	2.8305	+15.79%	0.1316	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.3094	+0.94%	2.6575	+16.15%	0.1374	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.3241	+0.39%	2.614	+12.92%	0.0882	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.1738	-0.94%	2.3905	+8.93%	0.0533	✗	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.1496	-0.30%	2.5435	+17.97%	0.1005	✗	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.2265	-0.67%	2.524	+12.60%	0.0775	✗	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.1799	-2.44%	2.214	-0.92%	0.0859	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.263	-2.35%	2.32	+0.11%	0.0625	✓	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.2083	-3.06%	2.433	+6.80%	0.0032	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3087	-3.74%	2.34	-2.44%	0.0798	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.2897	-1.29%	2.404	+3.64%	0.0471	✓	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3381	-2.07%	2.1825	-8.59%	0.1536	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.24	-3.28%	2.1115	-8.83%	0.1910	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.2868	-3.49%	2.1215	-10.47%	0.2000	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.2576	-3.75%	2.115	-9.83%	0.2045	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.2962	-3.96%	2.138	-10.58%	0.2017	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3253	-3.57%	2.148	-10.93%	0.2113	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4195	-3.37%	2.174	-13.18%	0.2196	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5321	-2.84%	2.2595	-13.30%	0.2056	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.532	-2.86%	2.269	-12.95%	0.2140	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.5614	-2.66%	2.262	-14.04%	0.2444	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.595	-2.92%	2.2705	-15.06%	0.2605	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.535	-2.69%	2.366	-9.17%	0.2089	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.7452	-2.60%	2.354	-16.48%	0.2525	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.7743	-2.38%	2.456	-13.58%	0.1899	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.7436	-2.64%	2.5985	-7.79%	0.1399	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.6718	-2.26%	2.781	+1.74%	0.0411	✓	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.5757	-1.71%	2.5855	-1.34%	0.0926	✓	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.5845	-2.60%	2.4755	-6.71%	0.1216	✓	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6169	-2.77%	2.393	-11.09%	0.1272	✓	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.6534	-2.84%	2.4445	-10.49%	0.1476	✓	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.7808	-1.98%	2.288	-19.35%	0.2616	✓	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.0622	-2.80%	2.315	-26.52%	0.2931	✓	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	2.912	-2.35%	2.1945	-26.41%	0.2823	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.7128	-2.38%	2.156	-22.42%	0.2445	✓	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.6564	-2.84%	2.2415	-18.01%	0.2055	✓	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.5782	-2.89%	2.2345	-15.84%	0.1409	✓	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.5343	-2.53%	2.3175	-10.87%	0.1181	✓	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.5423	-1.04%	2.278	-11.33%	0.1412	✓	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.5287	+0.09%	2.3985	-5.07%	0.0737	✗	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5333	-0.17%	2.3195	-8.59%	0.1189	✓	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.559	+0.04%	2.3875	-6.67%	0.1413	✗	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.5124	+0.28%	2.316	-7.56%	0.1011	✗	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.6032	+0.06%	2.3695	-8.92%	0.1050	✗	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7331	-0.25%	2.3455	-14.40%	0.1097	✓	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.853	-0.69%	2.391	-16.78%	0.1087	✓	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.6738	-0.75%	2.4115	-10.49%	0.0859	✓	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6371	-0.73%	2.504	-5.74%	0.0434	✓	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.6081	-0.47%	2.606	-0.55%	0.0322	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.683	-1.74%	2.6065	-4.54%	0.0259	✓	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.6357	-2.07%	2.6315	-2.23%	0.0029	✓	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.6045	-1.85%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0413	✗	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.5828	-1.83%	2.605	-0.99%	0.0300	✗	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.3979	-0.32%	2.8185	+17.17%	0.1023	✗	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.574	-1.19%	2.842	+9.10%	0.0184	✗	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7013	-1.39%	2.818	+2.87%	0.0078	✓	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.6085	-2.12%	2.7335	+2.57%	0.0124	✓	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.5899	-2.49%	2.6205	-1.34%	0.0134	✓	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.5579	-2.13%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0136	✓	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.6599	-2.10%	2.6915	-0.94%	0.0372	✓	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.8562	-2.15%	2.731	-6.44%	0.0732	✓	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.8696	-1.96%	2.837	-3.07%	0.0387	✓	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.8865	-2.70%	3.1505	+6.20%	0.0298	✗	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.0341	-2.03%	2.982	-3.71%	0.0736	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.8717	-1.21%	2.779	-4.40%	0.0774	✓	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.7906	-0.83%	2.734	-2.84%	0.0772	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	2.9157	-2.58%	2.655	-11.29%	0.1358	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	2.963	-3.42%	2.6	-15.25%	0.1490	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	2.9788	-3.02%	2.569	-16.36%	0.1491	✓	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.1309	-3.81%	2.5265	-22.38%	0.2110	✓	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.3162	-3.13%	2.5375	-25.88%	0.2587	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.2063	-3.74%	2.558	-23.21%	0.1708	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	2.992	-2.67%	2.5055	-18.49%	0.2356	✓	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.1955	-4.50%	2.6015	-22.25%	0.1257	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.2067	-4.56%	2.74	-18.45%	0.0832	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.2851	-4.88%	2.873	-16.81%	0.0425	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.2745	-4.51%	2.694	-21.43%	0.0534	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.3851	-4.56%	2.6565	-25.11%	0.0798	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.5534	-5.27%	2.6205	-30.14%	0.0071	✓	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.7229	-5.12%	2.7305	-30.42%	0.0127	✓	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	3.8562	-4.70%	2.6915	-33.49%	0.0407	✓	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.0262	-4.67%	2.6535	-37.17%	0.0457	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.0371	-3.86%	2.631	-37.34%	0.0860	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.8466	-4.02%	2.4055	-39.98%	0.0778	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.0522	-3.77%	2.605	-38.14%	0.0267	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.0105	-4.12%	2.7395	-34.51%	0.0168	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.1768	-3.58%	2.665	-38.48%	0.0928	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.3767	-4.70%	2.656	-42.17%	0.1459	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.3038	-4.78%	2.6135	-42.18%	0.1457	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.4507	-3.57%	2.717	-41.13%	0.0525	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.714	-3.80%	2.919	-40.43%	0.0473	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.7898	-3.68%	2.927	-41.14%	0.0709	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.8194	-3.14%	2.9665	-40.38%	0.0560	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	4.9536	-2.97%	3.097	-39.34%	0.0588	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.2676	-2.93%	2.907	-46.43%	0.1476	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.2659	-3.64%	2.814	-48.51%	0.1536	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	4.9563	-4.95%	2.993	-42.60%	0.1037	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.2344	-5.68%	3.068	-44.72%	0.1689	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.8572	-4.37%	3.0715	-39.53%	0.1296	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	4.9665	-4.81%	3.255	-37.61%	0.0812	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.7737	-4.18%	3.4235	-31.28%	0.0237	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.8752	-3.88%	3.331	-34.33%	0.0379	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.903	-3.41%	3.074	-39.44%	0.1934	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.032	-3.56%	3.346	-35.88%	0.0059	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.6076	-2.94%	3.36	-29.22%	0.0125	✓	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.551	-3.78%	3.4535	-26.99%	0.0491	✓	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.6413	-3.87%	3.429	-28.98%	0.0496	✓	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.563	-3.57%	3.547	-25.04%	0.0574	✓	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.4321	-3.01%	3.751	-17.91%	0.1039	✓	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.4992	-3.09%	3.924	-15.48%	0.0653	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.4991	-3.57%	4.0465	-13.27%	0.1431	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.6536	-3.05%	4.2235	-12.01%	0.1193	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.8282	-3.47%	4.199	-16.05%	0.1475	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.4707	-2.24%	4.0075	-12.37%	0.0964	✓	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.6524	-2.82%	4.211	-12.04%	0.1331	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.8166	-2.83%	4.183	-15.61%	0.1736	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.7029	-2.42%	4.332	-10.12%	0.1176	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.7335	-2.12%	4.5925	-5.04%	0.0442	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.7238	-2.02%	4.52	-6.24%	0.0384	✓	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.7717	-2.26%	4.6155	-5.46%	0.1059	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.738	-3.45%	4.9	-0.15%	0.0610	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.3621	-3.27%	4.973	+10.28%	0.0316	✓	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.4376	-3.35%	4.9755	+8.36%	0.0414	✓	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.6396	-3.91%	5.1055	+5.74%	0.0321	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.6713	-4.12%	5.4265	+11.38%	0.0261	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	4.8895	-3.10%	5.465	+8.30%	0.0079	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.1067	-2.52%	5.2145	-0.47%	0.0053	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.1856	-2.08%	5.5495	+4.80%	0.0579	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.3467	-2.56%	5.079	-7.44%	0.0153	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.4832	-2.99%	5.2175	-7.69%	0.0242	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.581	-2.96%	4.982	-13.37%	0.0859	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.3498	-2.58%	5.072	-7.64%	0.0638	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.367	-2.72%	5.076	-7.99%	0.1104	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.3729	-3.87%	5.218	-6.64%	0.1058	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.3644	-2.99%	4.747	-14.15%	0.1584	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.5807	-2.98%	4.73	-17.77%	0.1404	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.7013	-3.22%	4.828	-18.04%	0.1079	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	5.8994	-3.28%	4.732	-22.42%	0.1758	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.3059	-3.61%	4.5695	-16.99%	0.1710	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.668	-3.92%	4.6425	-21.30%	0.1658	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.7272	-4.06%	4.6655	-21.84%	0.1413	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.6663	-3.74%	4.8	-18.46%	0.1143	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.7341	-3.83%	5.0015	-16.12%	0.0772	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	5.8454	-4.24%	4.573	-25.09%	0.1936	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	5.8297	-4.53%	4.7875	-21.60%	0.1943	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.0031	-4.09%	4.957	-20.80%	0.1802	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.0215	-3.45%	4.8195	-22.73%	0.2337	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.018	-3.67%	4.836	-22.59%	0.2897	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.1598	-4.30%	4.821	-25.10%	0.3102	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.5531	-3.50%	4.882	-28.11%	0.3264	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.6818	-3.89%	4.9075	-29.41%	0.2473	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	6.9345	-3.91%	4.5095	-37.51%	0.2943	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	6.9774	-3.94%	4.5915	-36.79%	0.3107	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.099	-5.09%	4.8285	-35.45%	0.2733	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.2997	-5.31%	4.872	-36.80%	0.2429	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.4669	-5.73%	5.046	-36.29%	0.2792	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.4821	-5.80%	5.239	-34.04%	0.1842	✓	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.5226	-6.23%	5.2955	-33.99%	0.1419	✓	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.6075	-5.43%	5.487	-31.79%	0.1425	✓	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.1907	-5.70%	5.652	-34.93%	0.1347	✓	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.6887	-6.67%	5.751	-38.23%	0.2030	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.3934	-4.92%	5.4915	-29.38%	0.1012	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.7551	-6.14%	5.517	-33.22%	0.1281	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.1747	-2.87%	5.589	-12.09%	0.0841	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.8125	-2.91%	5.5295	-7.63%	0.1782	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.6594	-2.45%	5.752	-0.85%	0.1638	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.1925	-2.50%	5.891	-7.24%	0.1469	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.6124	-3.25%	6.0995	-10.75%	0.2032	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.5548	-3.58%	5.5045	-19.03%	0.1896	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.1269	-3.26%	5.899	-6.86%	0.2478	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.2303	-3.23%	5.9695	-7.28%	0.2198	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.5426	-3.68%	5.8865	-13.34%	0.1735	✗	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.5619	-2.94%	5.9625	-11.81%	0.2225	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.7494	-3.29%	6.1045	-12.53%	0.2467	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.6298	-3.19%	6.1065	-10.83%	0.3245	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.3548	-3.40%	6.259	-4.86%	0.3407	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.5046	-3.63%	6.237	-7.59%	0.3324	✗	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.6083	-4.20%	6.247	-9.44%	0.3459	✗	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.566	-4.32%	6.4365	-6.21%	0.3440	✗	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.7053	-3.92%	6.7905	-2.70%	0.3617	✗	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	6.914	-3.80%	6.9525	-3.27%	0.3035	✗	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	6.9712	-3.88%	7.2165	-0.50%	0.2775	✗	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	6.8183	-3.95%	7.2635	+2.32%	0.2981	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	6.8966	-3.29%	7.48	+4.89%	0.2701	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.2482	-3.43%	7.709	+2.70%	0.2519	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.2475	-3.37%	7.9205	+5.60%	0.3330	✗	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.418	-2.32%	7.9425	+4.59%	0.2647	✗	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.6184	-2.30%	8.0225	+2.88%	0.2494	✗	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.5985	-2.57%	8.044	+3.14%	0.2283	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	6.8956	-2.49%	8.6855	+22.82%	0.2956	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.4171	-1.48%	9.31	+42.93%	0.4933	✗	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.5685	-1.29%	7.776	-10.42%	0.0781	✗	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.7571	-1.67%	8.262	-7.23%	0.1250	✗	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.6693	-0.93%	6.3575	-27.35%	0.1363	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.9017	-0.56%	5.9865	-33.13%	0.2114	✓	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.5631	-0.65%	5.8015	-32.69%	0.1926	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.4424	-1.17%	6.351	-25.65%	0.1456	✓	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.5631	-1.87%	6.8345	-21.68%	0.1242	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.6308	-1.78%	6.798	-22.64%	0.1460	✓	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.4534	-2.11%	6.3335	-26.66%	0.2073	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.0005	-2.39%	6.438	-21.45%	0.1661	✓	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.1889	-3.14%	6.7925	-19.66%	0.1475	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.3841	-3.61%	6.761	-22.27%	0.2220	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.2218	-4.01%	6.979	-18.52%	0.2066	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.414	-3.92%	6.848	-21.80%	0.2529	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.1928	-3.99%	6.5785	-22.91%	0.2452	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.6771	-4.46%	6.7495	-25.68%	0.2298	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.6355	-4.69%	6.898	-23.87%	0.2067	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.7232	-4.32%	6.8625	-24.73%	0.1919	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.1951	-4.50%	6.979	-27.51%	0.2132	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.0874	-4.66%	7.1875	-24.60%	0.1875	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.1129	-5.03%	7.2525	-24.42%	0.1625	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.2744	-5.98%	7.099	-28.03%	0.1734	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.2168	-6.11%	7.1315	-27.36%	0.1617	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.