UPROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s6

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

67.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4307

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0495

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.263328	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.264153	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.239026	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.21329	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.224295	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.269037	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.266803	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.262692	-4.26%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0202	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.278118	-6.48%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0026	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.201412	+1.50%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2090	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.234313	-0.85%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0230	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.211989	+1.68%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1242	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.21024	+2.17%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3199	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.203647	+2.85%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3075	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.232202	+1.31%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2075	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.244013	+0.16%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2546	✓	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.263373	-1.14%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1900	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.279923	-2.74%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1055	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.283662	-2.29%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2655	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.270384	-1.11%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2274	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.29137	-2.84%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3135	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.37857	-6.74%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.4950	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.366441	-6.93%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4542	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.286046	-1.76%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1276	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.303371	-3.71%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1019	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.342676	-5.98%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.1737	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.318925	-5.04%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1639	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.321203	-5.52%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.0798	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.367816	-6.95%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.1182	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.44254	-8.37%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.0614	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.507037	-8.98%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.4890	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.429747	-7.01%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.3740	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.44982	-7.37%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.2711	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.528621	-9.60%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5146	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.447334	-5.47%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4008	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.368555	-1.40%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0624	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.318392	-0.18%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2496	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.360058	-2.91%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3293	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.367348	-3.08%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1702	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.338514	-4.37%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.3046	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.359981	-5.79%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4341	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.369613	-6.77%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2498	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.383187	-8.51%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.45764	-8.83%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3238	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.508327	-8.89%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3037	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.620712	-8.62%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4482	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.714887	-9.54%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.6702	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.576888	-8.58%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.3806	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.701611	-8.84%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5109	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.753908	-10.05%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6004	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.774422	-11.42%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4471	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.790224	-13.58%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3548	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.465367	-11.29%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.3443	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.303073	-6.56%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9382	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.233192	-3.34%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9721	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.255502	-3.47%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0905	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.336088	-9.71%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.9358	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.156137	-0.89%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7371	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.192547	-3.07%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5632	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.13875	-1.53%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3308	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.084127	-1.14%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3343	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110414	-0.26%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.7879	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.103199	-2.09%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8471	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.