UPROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s6

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +1d

assessed

62

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

64.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1465

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0157

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.27364	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.274212	-1.22%	0.276795	-0.28%	0.0162	✗	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.246737	-0.85%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0868	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.218697	-0.44%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1340	✗	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.230019	-0.45%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0641	✓	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.278921	-1.12%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1848	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.276669	-1.17%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0372	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.271428	-1.07%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0150	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.290178	-2.42%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0129	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.19969	+0.63%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3626	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.236243	-0.03%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1262	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.209837	+0.65%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1001	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.207368	+0.77%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0037	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.199888	+0.95%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0080	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.230487	+0.57%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1143	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.244339	+0.29%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0113	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.266331	-0.03%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0843	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.286467	-0.47%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0557	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.289219	-0.37%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0449	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.273325	-0.03%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0548	✗	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.298538	-0.45%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0801	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.398554	-1.81%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3157	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.385617	-2.06%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0533	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.290673	-0.18%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.2990	✗	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.312983	-0.66%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0476	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.359614	-1.33%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1333	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.332553	-0.98%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0838	✗	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.336347	-1.06%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0056	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.389495	-1.46%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1362	✓	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.473027	-2.06%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1403	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.541883	-2.73%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1069	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.454395	-1.67%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.1003	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.476555	-1.87%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0293	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.564177	-3.52%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1569	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.464812	-1.78%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1568	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.372761	-0.27%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2352	✗	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.319632	+0.21%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1471	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.368754	-0.56%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1098	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.3766	-0.64%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0345	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.350957	-0.86%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0837	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.377385	-1.23%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0648	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.390689	-1.46%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0319	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.410854	-1.90%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.491355	-2.11%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1576	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.545583	-2.21%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0752	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.662693	-2.44%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1565	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.761933	-3.59%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1212	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.61566	-2.43%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2477	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.745378	-3.16%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1468	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.803834	-4.09%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.0933	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.824309	-5.72%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0178	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.838833	-8.26%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0563	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.491713	-6.27%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.6089	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.313474	-3.35%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.5223	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.237596	-1.52%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.3062	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.259511	-1.96%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0421	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.347209	-6.72%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.2871	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.156446	-0.69%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8605	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.193842	-2.42%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.2016	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.139118	-1.26%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3402	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.084758	-0.40%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.4995	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110399	-0.27%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2439	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.104838	-0.53%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0158	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.