TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
61.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1317
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0742
actual -0.0223
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.819992 | -3.63% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.821587 | -3.26% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.857661 | -3.77% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.865873 | -3.78% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.817442 | -2.41% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.853317 | -3.02% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.859876 | -3.05% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 0.980802 | -5.99% | 0.85085 | -18.45% | 0.1673 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.968481 | -5.97% | 0.8493 | -17.54% | 0.1610 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.954709 | -5.83% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0668 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.930808 | -5.72% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0349 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0082 | -7.23% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.1651 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0418 | -8.36% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1503 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 0.974313 | -7.84% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.0813 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.955129 | -7.79% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0830 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 0.996215 | -8.26% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0541 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.055 | -7.71% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0109 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0314 | -7.47% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.0768 | -7.89% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0425 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.072 | -10.83% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0806 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.793415 | -5.65% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.3105 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.807592 | -5.30% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2868 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.825321 | -6.02% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2778 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.93576 | -6.86% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1777 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0424 | -8.42% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0398 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 0.991792 | -8.63% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1404 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.845861 | -6.24% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3477 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.771022 | -5.88% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0819 | ✗ | 1.00 |