TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +1d
assessed
27
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
55.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0639
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0184
actual +0.0029
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.841501 | -1.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.841506 | -0.92% | 0.85085 | +0.18% | 0.0118 | ✗ | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.881168 | -1.13% | 0.8493 | -4.71% | 0.0333 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.889178 | -1.19% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0056 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.831965 | -0.68% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0780 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.872634 | -0.83% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0394 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.88013 | -0.76% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0006 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0263 | -1.63% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1383 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0131 | -1.64% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0226 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.997407 | -1.62% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0508 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.972239 | -1.52% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0254 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0647 | -2.03% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0521 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1093 | -2.42% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0297 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0333 | -2.26% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0910 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0142 | -2.09% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0312 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.063 | -2.11% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1205 | -1.98% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0935 | -1.89% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0469 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1429 | -2.23% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0162 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1508 | -4.27% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.829152 | -1.40% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3687 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.842189 | -1.24% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.866386 | -1.34% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.98835 | -1.63% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1172 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1099 | -2.50% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.1017 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0478 | -3.47% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0949 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.883755 | -2.04% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.2051 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.800399 | -2.29% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1159 | ✗ | 1.00 |