TMX
TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #846
- symbol
- TMX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
69.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3767
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1307
actual -0.3305
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.01012 | 0.009266 | -8.44% | – | pending | – | – | 3.22 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00992 | 0.009059 | -8.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.008474 | -7.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.008489 | -7.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.008945 | 0.008264 | -7.62% | – | pending | – | – | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008375 | 0.007884 | -5.87% | – | pending | – | – | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007985 | 0.007602 | -4.80% | – | pending | – | – | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00795 | 0.00758 | -4.65% | 0.01012 | +27.30% | 0.2089 | ✗ | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.00827 | -4.83% | 0.00992 | +14.15% | 0.0870 | ✗ | 3.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.010375 | 0.009504 | -8.39% | 0.00918 | -11.52% | 0.0285 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01041 | 0.009611 | -7.68% | 0.00918 | -11.82% | 0.0495 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01259 | 0.011086 | -11.94% | 0.008945 | -28.95% | 0.1532 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.011045 | 0.009934 | -10.06% | 0.008375 | -24.17% | 0.1154 | ✓ | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010635 | 0.009629 | -9.46% | 0.007985 | -24.92% | 0.1496 | ✓ | 2.95 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.010685 | 0.00973 | -8.94% | 0.00795 | -25.60% | 0.2175 | ✓ | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.010927 | -11.66% | 0.00869 | -29.75% | 0.1689 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012635 | 0.010953 | -13.31% | 0.010375 | -17.89% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.014305 | 0.011994 | -16.15% | 0.01041 | -27.23% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01564 | 0.012191 | -22.05% | 0.01259 | -19.50% | 0.1355 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.011575 | 0.009592 | -17.13% | 0.011045 | -4.58% | 0.2009 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0112 | 0.008942 | -20.16% | 0.010635 | -5.04% | 0.2376 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.01535 | 0.011016 | -28.23% | 0.010685 | -30.39% | 0.0696 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00878 | 0.007476 | -14.85% | 0.01237 | +40.89% | 0.5106 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008885 | 0.007268 | -18.20% | 0.012635 | +42.21% | 0.5051 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.008805 | 0.006769 | -23.13% | 0.014305 | +62.46% | 0.6906 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01078 | 0.008751 | -18.82% | 0.01564 | +45.08% | 0.5318 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.012155 | 0.009603 | -21.00% | 0.011575 | -4.77% | 0.1790 | ✓ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.011725 | 0.008606 | -26.60% | 0.0112 | -4.48% | 0.2536 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01571 | 0.013047 | -16.95% | 0.01535 | -2.29% | 0.1519 | ✓ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01868 | 0.015908 | -14.84% | 0.00878 | -53.00% | 0.5846 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.02111 | 0.017635 | -16.46% | 0.008885 | -57.91% | 0.6554 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02088 | 0.01749 | -16.23% | 0.008805 | -57.83% | 0.6494 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02122 | 0.018789 | -11.46% | 0.01078 | -49.20% | 0.5955 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.02048 | 0.017902 | -12.59% | 0.012155 | -40.65% | 0.4256 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02102 | 0.018234 | -13.26% | 0.011725 | -44.22% | 0.4806 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.022235 | 0.020442 | -8.06% | 0.01571 | -29.35% | 0.3634 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.02379 | 0.021466 | -9.77% | 0.01868 | -21.48% | 0.2417 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.026725 | 0.023929 | -10.46% | 0.02111 | -21.01% | 0.2567 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.032755 | 0.02928 | -10.61% | 0.02088 | -36.25% | 0.4404 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.02957 | 0.026009 | -12.04% | 0.02122 | -28.24% | 0.2587 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.03304 | 0.029546 | -10.58% | 0.02048 | -38.01% | 0.4166 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03 | 0.024919 | -16.94% | 0.02102 | -29.93% | 0.2166 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.030845 | 0.025244 | -18.16% | 0.022235 | -27.91% | 0.1245 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.036275 | 0.033985 | -6.31% | 0.02379 | -34.42% | 0.3289 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.04783 | 0.049087 | +2.63% | 0.026725 | -44.13% | 0.5708 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.055525 | 0.057423 | +3.42% | 0.032755 | -41.01% | 0.5497 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.078715 | 0.079869 | +1.47% | 0.02957 | -62.43% | 0.9486 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.094865 | 0.095246 | +0.40% | 0.03304 | -65.17% | 1.0260 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.0947 | 0.095535 | +0.88% | 0.03 | -68.32% | 1.1268 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.11449 | 0.114448 | -0.04% | 0.030845 | -73.06% | 1.2512 | ✓ | 1.00 |