TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

62.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1082

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0066

actual -0.0513

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.009344	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.009122	-0.64%	0.00942	+2.61%	0.0414	✗	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009132	-0.52%	0.00918	+0.00%	0.0369	✓	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008902	-0.48%	0.00918	+2.63%	0.0373	✗	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008356	-0.22%	0.008945	+6.81%	0.0441	✗	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007984	-0.01%	0.008375	+4.88%	0.0524	✗	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007956	+0.08%	0.007985	+0.44%	0.0278	✓	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008692	+0.02%	0.00795	-8.52%	0.1109	✗	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010329	-0.44%	0.00869	-16.24%	0.1144	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.01038	-0.29%	0.010375	-0.34%	0.0521	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.012449	-1.12%	0.01041	-17.32%	0.1076	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.010989	-0.51%	0.01259	+13.99%	0.1087	✗	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010604	-0.29%	0.011045	+3.86%	0.0277	✗	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.010678	-0.06%	0.010635	-0.47%	0.0346	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.012304	-0.53%	0.010685	-13.62%	0.0854	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012552	-0.66%	0.01237	-2.10%	0.0691	✗	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.014127	-1.25%	0.012635	-11.67%	0.1040	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.015133	-3.24%	0.014305	-8.54%	0.0289	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.011567	-0.07%	0.01564	+35.12%	0.2452	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.011186	-0.12%	0.011575	+3.35%	0.0265	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014868	-3.14%	0.0112	-27.04%	0.2725	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.008807	+0.31%	0.01535	+74.83%	0.5231	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.008907	+0.24%	0.00878	-1.18%	0.0122	✗	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.008809	+0.05%	0.008885	+0.91%	0.0039	✓	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.010805	+0.23%	0.008805	-18.32%	0.1802	✗	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012163	+0.06%	0.01078	-11.31%	0.1218	✗	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.011697	-0.24%	0.012155	+3.67%	0.0306	✗	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.015603	-0.68%	0.011725	-25.37%	0.2790	✓	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.018443	-1.27%	0.01571	-15.90%	0.1604	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.020727	-1.81%	0.01868	-11.51%	0.0827	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.020517	-1.74%	0.02111	+1.10%	0.0331	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.020934	-1.35%	0.02088	-1.60%	0.0674	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.020239	-1.18%	0.02122	+3.61%	0.0483	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.020809	-1.00%	0.02048	-2.57%	0.0204	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.022099	-0.61%	0.02102	-5.46%	0.1077	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.023638	-0.64%	0.022235	-6.54%	0.0639	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.026531	-0.72%	0.02379	-10.98%	0.1165	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.032325	-1.31%	0.026725	-18.41%	0.1565	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.029249	-1.09%	0.032755	+10.77%	0.0955	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.032646	-1.19%	0.02957	-10.50%	0.0929	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.02966	-1.13%	0.03304	+10.13%	0.1072	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.030532	-1.01%	0.03	-2.74%	0.0263	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.036076	-0.55%	0.030845	-14.97%	0.1341	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.047631	-0.42%	0.036275	-24.16%	0.2703	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.05544	-0.15%	0.04783	-13.86%	0.1395	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.078572	-0.18%	0.055525	-29.46%	0.3315	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.094586	-0.29%	0.078715	-17.02%	0.1900	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.094595	-0.11%	0.094865	+0.17%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.114307	-0.16%	0.0947	-17.29%	0.1684	✓	1.00