QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s6

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

71.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1510

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0079

actual -0.0673

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007562	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007893	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008311	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008507	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.00876	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008742	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.00886	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008688	-2.05%	0.00768	-13.42%	0.1328	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008854	-1.84%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.0996	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008946	-2.02%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0566	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009436	-1.96%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0655	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.00953	-2.10%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0423	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009295	-1.43%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0233	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.00934	-0.69%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0367	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009314	-0.28%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0282	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.00994	+0.10%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0686	✗	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010218	+0.03%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0678	✗	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.011047	-0.12%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.1069	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011348	-0.85%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1325	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010899	-0.51%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.1223	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010293	+0.23%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0533	✗	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.01042	-0.00%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.1060	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010783	+0.07%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.1009	✗	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.01133	-0.27%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1312	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010867	+0.44%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0046	✗	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011235	+0.09%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0150	✓	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010373	+1.10%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0503	✓	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.010138	+1.28%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0081	✓	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010256	+1.24%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0245	✓	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.010108	+1.69%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.0928	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009881	+1.81%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.1757	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008636	+0.95%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.1892	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008779	+0.79%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2110	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008722	+0.26%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1282	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008524	-1.34%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0688	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008546	-1.43%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0773	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.00865	-2.09%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0309	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008547	-1.88%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0406	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008738	-2.09%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0699	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.00958	-2.39%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1380	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009865	-2.43%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1642	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.01034	-2.82%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.1776	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.01107	-2.08%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2225	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.010957	-1.64%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.1864	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012623	-1.65%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.3623	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010828	+0.40%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1537	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010843	-0.16%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.0710	✓	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009743	+0.09%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0635	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.00839	+0.84%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.2964	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007454	-0.41%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.4060	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.00791	-0.50%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.3312	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008516	-0.40%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.4050	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008802	-0.55%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.1787	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008926	-0.49%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.1818	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009406	-0.36%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0177	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010621	+0.96%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2521	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010067	+0.52%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.2826	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011176	+0.41%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3313	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011667	+0.45%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.3073	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011698	-0.01%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.2785	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011752	-0.24%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.2797	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011995	+0.21%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2355	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011863	-1.55%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.1846	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011761	-2.32%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2549	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011581	-3.33%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.1955	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011298	-3.02%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1371	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011231	-3.02%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1334	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011046	-2.25%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.1009	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011236	-2.29%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.1151	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.01127	-2.51%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0474	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010813	-1.61%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0385	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010954	-1.67%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0763	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011456	-2.08%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0105	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011656	-2.25%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0157	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011588	-2.21%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0045	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011599	-2.20%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0113	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011493	-1.94%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0145	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011255	-2.04%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0116	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011383	-2.08%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0164	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011169	-1.68%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0420	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012001	-2.27%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0196	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012014	-1.93%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0351	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011491	-1.78%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0111	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011943	-2.47%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0145	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012922	-2.40%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1241	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013654	-2.40%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1628	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013687	-2.24%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1842	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015382	-2.03%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2102	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014953	-1.75%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1875	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014514	-1.80%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2061	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016534	-2.11%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.2982	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016603	-1.87%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2116	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016837	-1.57%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1672	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017135	-1.78%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1907	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016887	-1.31%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0778	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.018089	-1.82%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1693	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.018256	-1.64%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.2125	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019381	-3.09%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1459	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016931	-1.99%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0116	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018415	-3.74%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0866	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013357	-0.84%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2651	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016807	-1.86%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0198	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.028133	-9.97%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.4218	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013123	-0.21%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3468	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013478	-0.38%	0.02	+47.82%	0.3943	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012724	+0.11%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3073	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.012041	+0.55%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4631	✓	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012722	+0.57%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0566	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012923	+0.37%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.2816	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012385	+0.48%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9259	✓	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.012078	+0.57%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.0861	✓	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011171	+0.73%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.1942	✓	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014492	-2.02%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.1365	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010324	+1.42%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1635	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009286	+1.93%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3147	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010416	+1.81%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2149	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009722	+2.23%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2387	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009908	+2.41%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.1935	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009764	+2.67%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1284	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010644	+1.86%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3275	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.01117	+1.54%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.1010	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012221	+1.08%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.3046	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012305	+1.32%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.1959	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011884	+1.57%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2337	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012735	+1.59%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2822	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.01357	+1.57%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3613	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012611	+1.86%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1900	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012314	+2.23%	0.011	-8.68%	0.1134	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.013146	+2.07%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0848	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013674	+2.05%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.1193	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.014045	+2.18%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1827	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.015138	+1.94%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1887	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015791	+1.81%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1668	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015796	+2.40%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2439	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.01733	+1.67%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3638	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.018196	+1.26%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3439	✗	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.018081	+1.52%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.2984	✗	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.018347	+2.33%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2863	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019933	+1.65%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2926	✗	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.020172	+1.01%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2631	✗	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.02114	+0.62%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.3180	✗	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.0215	-0.14%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2404	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021768	-1.28%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2176	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.02204	-1.76%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2503	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.02118	-1.35%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.2119	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022014	-1.55%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1569	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020917	-0.87%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0763	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021408	-1.16%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0528	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022677	-1.85%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.0940	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021832	-1.30%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0105	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022803	-1.39%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0276	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.022036	-0.69%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0360	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024146	-1.54%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0812	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024648	-1.60%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1663	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026504	-2.13%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2106	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025581	-1.86%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.1048	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027367	-2.09%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2118	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.02807	-2.03%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.1953	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027962	-1.66%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2363	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.028003	-1.38%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1451	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027867	-0.94%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.1176	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028721	-1.40%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0634	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.028001	-1.02%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0783	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.028089	-0.78%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0133	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027777	-0.48%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0239	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029018	-0.86%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0219	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.02912	-1.02%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029944	-1.17%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0758	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029817	-0.68%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030065	-0.84%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0556	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030484	-1.28%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.0972	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029896	-1.59%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1141	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031161	-1.48%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.0874	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031483	-1.56%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.0924	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032707	-2.07%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1238	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034014	-2.37%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.1973	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033522	-2.21%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1588	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034502	-2.01%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1425	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.03439	-1.52%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1225	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035357	-1.94%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1246	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034984	-1.95%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.0997	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036555	-1.65%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0647	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035324	-1.55%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0181	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034015	-2.10%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033144	-2.17%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0409	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034293	-2.96%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0455	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034411	-2.46%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0217	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.