QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s6

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

84.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3307

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0341

actual -0.2564

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.007425	0.007107	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007614	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.007977	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008171	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008391	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008362	-6.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008491	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008321	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008553	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008566	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009056	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009123	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.008968	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009075	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009138	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009867	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.01014	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010978	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011162	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010765	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010275	+0.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.01036	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010806	+0.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011238	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010906	+0.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011271	+0.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010511	+2.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.010337	+3.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010496	+3.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.010491	+5.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.010283	+5.95%	0.007425	-23.49%	0.2961	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008706	+1.77%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.1036	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008827	+1.34%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0492	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008714	+0.16%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0178	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008245	-4.57%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0228	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008245	-4.90%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0201	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008289	-6.18%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0195	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.00825	-5.28%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0366	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008427	-5.58%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0016	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009208	-6.19%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.0565	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009486	-6.17%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.0524	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.009899	-6.96%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.0817	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.010749	-4.92%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.1726	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.010721	-3.76%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.1623	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012633	-1.57%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3407	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010963	+1.65%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1541	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010975	+1.06%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1344	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009873	+1.42%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0441	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008493	+2.08%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2572	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007292	-2.58%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.3330	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007771	-2.26%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.2023	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008441	-1.28%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.1623	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008719	-1.48%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.1581	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008902	-0.75%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.1978	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009412	-0.29%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0812	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010961	+4.19%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0088	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010319	+3.03%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.0446	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011432	+2.72%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.1791	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.01193	+2.72%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.2072	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011845	+1.24%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.2410	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011833	+0.45%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.2720	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012248	+2.32%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.3815	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011644	-3.37%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.3627	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011357	-5.67%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.3774	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011003	-8.16%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.3749	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.010709	-8.07%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3463	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.01061	-8.38%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3345	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010467	-7.37%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3609	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.010648	-7.41%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3388	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.010673	-7.68%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2441	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010189	-7.29%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.1606	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010296	-7.58%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.1047	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.01077	-7.95%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.0963	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.010985	-7.88%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1203	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.010915	-7.89%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0233	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.01091	-8.01%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.1532	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.010782	-8.01%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1353	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.010532	-8.34%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2164	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.01061	-8.73%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.3966	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.010369	-8.72%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.4508	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011184	-8.92%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.4657	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011203	-8.55%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4129	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.010717	-8.40%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3254	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011273	-7.94%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3450	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012221	-7.69%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.3782	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.012928	-7.59%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3436	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013011	-7.06%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.3898	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.014757	-6.01%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.3787	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014383	-5.50%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.3154	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.013933	-5.73%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2658	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.015855	-6.13%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3687	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016022	-5.30%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3659	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016374	-4.27%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3477	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016624	-4.71%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3519	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016428	-3.99%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.3157	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017569	-4.64%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.4087	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017838	-3.89%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.4250	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.018868	-5.66%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.5077	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016476	-4.63%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.3452	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.01792	-6.32%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.4250	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013072	-2.95%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1742	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016343	-4.57%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3837	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.026896	-13.93%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.8322	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012955	-1.48%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0832	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013275	-1.88%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.1145	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.01264	-0.55%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0621	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.012012	+0.31%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0245	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012721	+0.56%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.1016	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012895	+0.16%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.1036	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012396	+0.58%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0871	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.012137	+1.06%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0124	✓	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011189	+0.90%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.0926	✓	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014347	-3.00%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.2105	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010257	+0.76%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.1966	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009213	+1.13%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.3680	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010404	+1.70%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.2992	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009675	+1.73%	0.014	+47.21%	0.3712	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009892	+2.24%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.4643	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.00971	+2.10%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4521	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010573	+1.18%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3393	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011114	+1.04%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4231	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012132	+0.35%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3384	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012242	+0.80%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3437	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011871	+1.46%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.3874	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012736	+1.60%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.2977	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013574	+1.60%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3089	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012626	+1.99%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.3849	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012413	+3.05%	0.02	+66.04%	0.4767	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.013253	+2.90%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.2643	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013765	+2.73%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3289	✓	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.01412	+2.73%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0475	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.015157	+2.07%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1220	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015758	+1.60%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.6845	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015668	+1.58%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1754	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017063	+0.10%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2320	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.01789	-0.45%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3423	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017709	-0.57%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3913	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017919	-0.06%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3460	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019424	-0.95%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.4094	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019629	-1.71%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4661	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020503	-2.41%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5365	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.020736	-3.69%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6344	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.020881	-5.30%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.3814	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.021038	-6.23%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.7825	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020212	-5.86%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8449	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.020968	-6.22%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.7647	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.019879	-5.78%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.7807	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.020278	-6.38%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.7889	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.021459	-7.13%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.8919	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.020674	-6.54%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7426	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.021635	-6.44%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7278	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.020825	-6.15%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.5909	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.022815	-6.97%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.6583	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.023429	-6.47%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7328	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.025203	-6.93%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7403	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.024237	-7.01%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6434	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.025905	-7.32%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.7848	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.026675	-6.89%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8409	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.026743	-5.95%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.7748	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.026964	-5.04%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7485	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027134	-3.54%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7371	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.027735	-4.79%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6687	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027253	-3.66%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.5970	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027519	-2.79%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.6181	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027403	-1.82%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.5085	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028452	-2.79%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4717	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028473	-3.22%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2328	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029171	-3.73%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2130	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029337	-2.27%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.1144	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.02952	-2.64%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1534	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.029667	-3.93%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1244	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.028936	-4.75%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1314	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.030297	-4.22%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2194	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.030606	-4.30%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2492	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.031596	-5.40%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3526	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.032648	-6.29%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3465	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.032281	-5.83%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.3877	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.033361	-5.25%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.3917	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.033568	-3.87%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3367	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.034374	-4.66%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4356	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034024	-4.64%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.3799	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.0359	-3.42%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4600	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.034759	-3.13%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.3127	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.03317	-4.53%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.2963	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.03232	-4.61%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.1979	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.033079	-6.40%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.2774	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.033676	-4.55%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.2022	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.