PROLOGUE
Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s6
- token id
- #747
- symbol
- PROLOGUE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-30
- predictions
- 135
Track record at +7d
assessed
38
of 45 predictions shown
direction hit
63.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2671
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0427
actual -0.2077
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.001203 | 0.001031 | -14.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001207 | 0.001033 | -14.39% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.001955 | -1.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003266 | 0.003347 | +2.47% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003638 | 0.003721 | +2.29% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003952 | 0.004055 | +2.61% | – | pending | – | – | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004829 | 0.004857 | +0.57% | – | pending | – | – | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005071 | 0.005059 | -0.24% | 0.001203 | -76.29% | 1.5337 | ✓ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004925 | +1.47% | 0.001207 | -75.14% | 1.5206 | ✗ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004327 | 0.004443 | +2.67% | 0.001988 | -54.06% | 0.7961 | ✗ | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004935 | 0.005045 | +2.23% | 0.003266 | -33.82% | 0.4397 | ✗ | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005705 | 0.005503 | -3.55% | 0.003638 | -36.25% | 0.3294 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004834 | 0.004934 | +2.07% | 0.003952 | -18.24% | 0.1450 | ✗ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.005083 | +2.17% | 0.004829 | -2.92% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005437 | 0.005506 | +1.26% | 0.005071 | -6.74% | 0.1044 | ✗ | 4.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005456 | 0.005387 | -1.26% | 0.004854 | -11.03% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 4.32 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005941 | 0.005534 | -6.86% | 0.004327 | -27.17% | 0.1185 | ✓ | 4.41 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005721 | 0.005377 | -6.01% | 0.004935 | -13.74% | 0.1263 | ✗ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005961 | 0.005557 | -6.79% | 0.005705 | -4.29% | 0.1742 | ✗ | 4.44 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005959 | 0.005635 | -5.44% | 0.004834 | -18.89% | 0.0542 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006944 | 0.0064 | -7.83% | 0.004975 | -28.36% | 0.1452 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007509 | 0.006828 | -9.07% | 0.005437 | -27.59% | 0.0564 | ✓ | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008083 | 0.007295 | -9.75% | 0.005456 | -32.51% | 0.2749 | ✓ | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007228 | 0.006653 | -7.96% | 0.005941 | -17.80% | 0.2182 | ✓ | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00827 | 0.007553 | -8.66% | 0.005721 | -30.82% | 0.3050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00852 | 0.007798 | -8.48% | 0.005961 | -30.03% | 0.2925 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00893 | 0.008209 | -8.08% | 0.005959 | -33.27% | 0.3242 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010942 | 0.010019 | -8.44% | 0.006944 | -36.54% | 0.3714 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01306 | 0.011854 | -9.23% | 0.007509 | -42.50% | 0.4621 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011093 | 0.010152 | -8.49% | 0.008083 | -27.13% | 0.2181 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.010161 | 0.009396 | -7.53% | 0.007228 | -28.86% | 0.2321 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.010187 | 0.009394 | -7.79% | 0.00827 | -18.82% | 0.0905 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.008994 | 0.008353 | -7.12% | 0.00852 | -5.27% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.008861 | 0.008251 | -6.88% | 0.00893 | +0.78% | 0.0407 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.00998 | 0.009177 | -8.04% | 0.010942 | +9.64% | 0.1369 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.008086 | 0.007842 | -3.02% | 0.01306 | +61.51% | 0.4100 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007527 | 0.007414 | -1.50% | 0.011093 | +47.38% | 0.3002 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00747 | 0.007425 | -0.61% | 0.010161 | +36.02% | 0.1823 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009209 | 0.00888 | -3.57% | 0.010187 | +10.62% | 0.0350 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007935 | 0.007889 | -0.58% | 0.008994 | +13.35% | 0.0758 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008396 | 0.008263 | -1.59% | 0.008861 | +5.54% | 0.0198 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.008184 | 0.008037 | -1.79% | 0.00998 | +21.94% | 0.1700 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00674 | 0.006827 | +1.30% | 0.008086 | +19.97% | 0.1716 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.007021 | 0.007035 | +0.19% | 0.007527 | +7.20% | 0.0954 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.009219 | 0.008953 | -2.88% | 0.00747 | -18.97% | 0.1439 | ✓ | 1.00 |