PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s6

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 132

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 44 predictions shown

direction hit

48.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1152

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0020

actual -0.0441

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001409	0.001413	+0.23%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.002014	+1.31%	0.001409	-29.10%	0.3467	✗	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003306	+1.23%	0.001988	-39.13%	0.5602	✗	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003676	+1.05%	0.003266	-10.21%	0.1103	✗	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.00399	+0.95%	0.003638	-7.96%	0.1221	✗	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.004847	+0.36%	0.003952	-18.17%	0.1985	✗	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.005083	+0.23%	0.004829	-4.76%	0.0218	✗	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004883	+0.59%	0.005071	+4.47%	0.0117	✓	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004373	+1.06%	0.004854	+12.18%	0.1804	✓	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004973	+0.76%	0.004327	-12.32%	0.2091	✗	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005705	-0.01%	0.004935	-13.50%	0.0469	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004881	+0.98%	0.005705	+18.04%	0.1180	✓	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.005024	+0.98%	0.004834	-2.84%	0.0569	✗	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005478	+0.74%	0.004975	-8.51%	0.1399	✗	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005489	+0.61%	0.005437	-0.33%	0.0735	✓	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005936	-0.09%	0.005456	-8.18%	0.0338	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005724	+0.06%	0.005941	+3.85%	0.0480	✓	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005948	-0.23%	0.005721	-4.03%	0.0003	✓	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005952	-0.11%	0.005961	+0.04%	0.0921	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006904	-0.57%	0.005959	-14.18%	0.1600	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007453	-0.75%	0.006944	-7.52%	0.0523	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.00801	-0.90%	0.007509	-7.10%	0.1359	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007181	-0.65%	0.008083	+11.82%	0.1229	✗	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.0082	-0.84%	0.007228	-12.59%	0.1283	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.00845	-0.82%	0.00827	-2.93%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008857	-0.82%	0.00852	-4.60%	0.0394	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010818	-1.13%	0.00893	-18.38%	0.1956	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012812	-1.90%	0.010942	-16.22%	0.1543	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010949	-1.30%	0.01306	+17.73%	0.1762	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.010066	-0.94%	0.011093	+9.17%	0.1185	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.010083	-1.02%	0.010161	-0.26%	0.0123	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008915	-0.88%	0.010187	+13.26%	0.0686	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008791	-0.79%	0.008994	+1.50%	0.0237	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009839	-1.41%	0.008861	-11.21%	0.1091	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.008042	-0.54%	0.00998	+23.42%	0.1582	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.00751	-0.23%	0.008086	+7.43%	0.0712	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.00746	-0.13%	0.007527	+0.76%	0.0015	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.009126	-0.90%	0.00747	-18.88%	0.1666	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007907	-0.35%	0.009209	+16.06%	0.1347	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008348	-0.57%	0.007935	-5.49%	0.0447	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008127	-0.70%	0.008396	+2.59%	0.0319	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006723	-0.25%	0.008184	+21.42%	0.1879	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.007006	-0.22%	0.00674	-4.01%	0.0161	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009171	-0.52%	0.007021	-23.84%	0.2650	✓	1.00