PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s6

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

51.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1659

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0299

actual -0.0304

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.097198	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.096747	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.094249	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.086516	+0.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.088954	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.091844	-0.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.094921	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.09666	-2.26%	0.099715	+0.83%	0.0438	✗	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.100344	-2.78%	0.099215	-3.87%	0.0036	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.102712	-4.10%	0.09595	-10.41%	0.0691	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.104622	-3.99%	0.086455	-20.66%	0.1901	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.106823	-5.35%	0.089395	-20.79%	0.1873	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.106888	-5.25%	0.09256	-17.95%	0.1519	✓	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.106837	-5.44%	0.09638	-14.70%	0.1085	✓	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.106687	-5.12%	0.098895	-12.05%	0.0736	✓	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.10648	-5.65%	0.10321	-8.55%	0.0399	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.108682	-4.91%	0.1071	-6.30%	0.0273	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.109786	-4.78%	0.10897	-5.49%	0.0257	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.111326	-3.40%	0.11286	-2.07%	0.0011	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.110363	-5.19%	0.11281	-3.09%	0.0138	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.110008	-5.41%	0.112985	-2.85%	0.0178	✓	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.111428	-5.32%	0.112445	-4.46%	0.0051	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.10915	-6.41%	0.112855	-3.24%	0.0322	✓	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.108652	-6.40%	0.114295	-1.53%	0.0582	✓	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.108229	-6.20%	0.1153	-0.07%	0.0717	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.115558	-5.54%	0.115245	-5.79%	0.0046	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.115903	-5.53%	0.11641	-5.12%	0.0055	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.114552	-5.22%	0.1163	-3.77%	0.0166	✓	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.113356	-4.65%	0.117695	-1.00%	0.0392	✓	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.109206	-4.10%	0.11663	+2.42%	0.0628	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.117206	-2.99%	0.116075	-3.93%	0.0207	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.114853	-2.76%	0.115385	-2.31%	0.0077	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.112091	-2.94%	0.12233	+5.92%	0.1044	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.114172	-2.31%	0.12269	+4.98%	0.0886	✗	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.112952	-1.12%	0.12086	+5.80%	0.0842	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.109995	+1.01%	0.11888	+9.16%	0.1323	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.110485	+1.08%	0.11387	+4.18%	0.0871	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.109641	+2.05%	0.12082	+12.46%	0.1650	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.114464	+1.03%	0.118115	+4.25%	0.0886	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.112685	+1.88%	0.11549	+4.42%	0.0542	✓	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.119111	+1.48%	0.11687	-0.43%	0.0088	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.117298	+2.44%	0.11423	-0.24%	0.0004	✓	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.11371	+3.69%	0.1089	-0.69%	0.0446	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.120988	+2.64%	0.1093	-7.27%	0.1188	✗	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.128353	+2.11%	0.107435	-14.53%	0.1961	✗	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.134586	+1.54%	0.113295	-14.53%	0.1781	✗	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.13079	+2.48%	0.110605	-13.34%	0.1875	✗	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.130116	+3.16%	0.117375	-6.94%	0.1179	✗	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.1287	+3.87%	0.1145	-7.59%	0.1297	✗	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.134303	+4.02%	0.10966	-15.06%	0.2288	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.141156	+3.37%	0.117875	-13.68%	0.1769	✗	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.152618	+2.59%	0.125695	-15.50%	0.1906	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.162365	+2.36%	0.13255	-16.44%	0.2005	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.176296	+1.36%	0.12763	-26.62%	0.3140	✗	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.184487	+1.18%	0.12613	-30.83%	0.3752	✗	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.188713	+0.82%	0.12391	-33.80%	0.4149	✗	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.20474	+0.98%	0.12911	-36.32%	0.4574	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.20492	+0.46%	0.13655	-33.06%	0.4126	✗	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.212252	+0.04%	0.14876	-29.88%	0.3603	✗	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.219168	-0.33%	0.15862	-27.86%	0.3250	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.228112	-1.34%	0.17393	-24.77%	0.2714	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.225625	-1.65%	0.18234	-20.51%	0.2090	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.248077	-1.68%	0.187175	-25.82%	0.2837	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.247388	-3.67%	0.20275	-21.05%	0.1696	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.301783	-4.70%	0.20398	-35.59%	0.3980	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.422856	-5.64%	0.21216	-52.65%	0.8701	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.370371	-5.10%	0.219885	-43.66%	0.7041	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.37764	-5.02%	0.2312	-41.85%	0.6930	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.338039	-4.67%	0.2294	-35.30%	0.5786	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.334115	-4.74%	0.25231	-28.07%	0.4889	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.28994	-3.42%	0.25681	-14.45%	0.2629	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.310535	-4.10%	0.31667	-2.21%	0.0784	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.314944	-4.60%	0.44811	+35.74%	0.3336	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.291351	-4.40%	0.39028	+28.06%	0.2829	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.263331	-4.17%	0.39762	+44.69%	0.4481	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.28607	-4.89%	0.354585	+17.89%	0.2486	✗	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.27059	-4.73%	0.35075	+23.49%	0.2917	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.266505	-4.72%	0.300195	+7.33%	0.1333	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.259034	-4.71%	0.323825	+19.12%	0.2434	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.246099	-4.27%	0.330115	+28.41%	0.3022	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.247436	-4.26%	0.304755	+17.92%	0.2011	✗	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.252905	-4.74%	0.2748	+3.50%	0.0607	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.232806	-3.75%	0.300765	+24.35%	0.2210	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.236406	-3.95%	0.284025	+15.40%	0.1497	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.236461	-4.34%	0.279705	+13.16%	0.1755	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.205183	-3.12%	0.27185	+28.35%	0.2716	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.178039	-1.77%	0.257085	+41.85%	0.3647	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.177687	-1.72%	0.25844	+42.95%	0.3777	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.187558	-2.09%	0.2655	+38.60%	0.3702	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.177724	-1.62%	0.24187	+33.89%	0.3217	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.176511	-1.81%	0.24613	+36.91%	0.3441	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.169276	-1.55%	0.24718	+43.76%	0.3817	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.167892	-1.46%	0.2118	+24.31%	0.2530	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.173577	-1.86%	0.18124	+2.47%	0.0676	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.170219	-2.10%	0.180795	+3.98%	0.0746	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.168385	-2.26%	0.19156	+11.20%	0.1227	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.168259	-2.57%	0.180655	+4.61%	0.0768	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.165818	-2.53%	0.17977	+5.67%	0.0788	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.164844	-2.38%	0.17194	+1.82%	0.0255	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.165244	-2.48%	0.170375	+0.55%	0.0165	✓	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.170498	-2.62%	0.176875	+1.02%	0.0190	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.161334	-2.38%	0.17387	+5.20%	0.0413	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.166311	-2.74%	0.17227	+0.75%	0.0248	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.164877	-2.56%	0.1727	+2.06%	0.0374	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.169188	-2.76%	0.17012	-2.23%	0.0072	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.165158	-2.63%	0.168865	-0.45%	0.0178	✓	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.16792	-2.48%	0.16945	-1.59%	0.0088	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.183969	-2.99%	0.175085	-7.67%	0.0599	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.183994	-3.16%	0.165275	-13.01%	0.0965	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.16795	-2.63%	0.170995	-0.87%	0.0171	✓	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.178422	-3.09%	0.16921	-8.10%	0.0571	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.173656	-3.09%	0.173995	-2.90%	0.0101	✓	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.163096	-2.90%	0.16962	+0.99%	0.0265	✓	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.160891	-3.04%	0.172195	+3.78%	0.0504	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.154397	-2.94%	0.18963	+19.21%	0.1689	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.157876	-3.29%	0.19	+16.39%	0.1572	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.149608	-2.96%	0.172495	+11.88%	0.1210	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.146431	-2.92%	0.184115	+22.06%	0.2166	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.140516	-2.49%	0.17919	+24.34%	0.2336	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.140586	-2.49%	0.167965	+16.50%	0.1710	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.135666	-2.19%	0.16593	+19.63%	0.2095	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.138226	-2.55%	0.15907	+12.15%	0.1583	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.135557	-2.23%	0.16325	+17.74%	0.2029	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.139309	-2.25%	0.154175	+8.18%	0.1192	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.141707	-2.13%	0.150835	+4.18%	0.0822	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.141638	-1.94%	0.14411	-0.23%	0.0334	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.148069	-2.04%	0.14418	-4.61%	0.0110	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.154232	-2.04%	0.1387	-11.90%	0.0908	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.161435	-2.02%	0.14184	-13.91%	0.1175	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.180204	-2.17%	0.13865	-24.73%	0.2540	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.185693	-2.34%	0.14252	-25.05%	0.2555	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.190469	-2.79%	0.14479	-26.10%	0.2734	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.18613	-2.89%	0.144445	-24.64%	0.2533	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.191907	-3.47%	0.151155	-23.97%	0.2360	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.171434	-2.48%	0.15744	-10.44%	0.0911	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.175136	-2.69%	0.16476	-8.45%	0.0687	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.182752	-3.24%	0.18421	-2.47%	0.0034	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.172515	-3.08%	0.19015	+6.83%	0.0937	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.169014	-2.55%	0.195935	+12.98%	0.1440	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.1706	-2.47%	0.191665	+9.57%	0.1138	✗	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.182141	-3.27%	0.1988	+5.58%	0.0873	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.19933	-3.87%	0.17579	-15.22%	0.1280	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.18776	-3.61%	0.179975	-7.61%	0.0399	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.191406	-3.26%	0.18887	-4.54%	0.0158	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.1966	-3.30%	0.178	-12.45%	0.1096	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.196508	-3.17%	0.17343	-14.55%	0.1381	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.179209	-1.38%	0.17492	-3.74%	0.0418	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.176622	-1.06%	0.18829	+5.47%	0.0507	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.157254	+2.20%	0.20735	+34.76%	0.2753	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.16343	+1.98%	0.19479	+21.55%	0.1689	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.174163	+0.86%	0.19786	+14.58%	0.1171	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.180919	+0.72%	0.20331	+13.18%	0.1110	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.191955	+0.16%	0.20295	+5.89%	0.0513	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.189909	+0.58%	0.181715	-3.76%	0.0476	✗	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.19719	-0.10%	0.17852	-9.56%	0.1106	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.200363	-0.08%	0.15387	-23.27%	0.2727	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.201129	+0.26%	0.16026	-20.11%	0.2297	✗	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.206665	-0.10%	0.17268	-16.53%	0.1788	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.200688	+0.53%	0.17963	-10.02%	0.1120	✗	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.203488	-0.06%	0.191655	-5.87%	0.0640	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.215851	-1.88%	0.18882	-14.17%	0.1472	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.239227	-4.77%	0.19739	-21.42%	0.2158	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.243212	-4.67%	0.200525	-21.40%	0.2048	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.242339	-4.95%	0.200605	-21.32%	0.2141	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.259052	-5.47%	0.206865	-24.51%	0.2633	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.257807	-4.99%	0.19963	-26.43%	0.2941	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.271247	-6.42%	0.20361	-29.76%	0.3051	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.265505	-6.46%	0.219995	-22.49%	0.1961	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.258125	-5.92%	0.2512	-8.45%	0.0196	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.254557	-4.82%	0.25513	-4.61%	0.0129	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.267716	-5.61%	0.25496	-10.11%	0.0517	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.250085	-5.80%	0.27403	+3.22%	0.1052	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.237246	-5.99%	0.27135	+7.53%	0.1632	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.245757	-6.44%	0.28986	+10.36%	0.1812	✗	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.237698	-5.98%	0.28383	+12.27%	0.1936	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.25964	-7.47%	0.27438	-2.22%	0.0785	✗	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.287391	-8.38%	0.26746	-14.74%	0.0397	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.319547	-9.89%	0.283635	-20.02%	0.0876	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.287428	-11.59%	0.26549	-18.34%	0.0643	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.209628	-5.03%	0.25235	+14.33%	0.1856	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.197379	-5.04%	0.26266	+26.36%	0.2855	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.195597	-4.80%	0.25282	+23.05%	0.2565	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.194011	-3.94%	0.28061	+38.94%	0.3946	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.221479	-5.18%	0.31369	+34.30%	0.3800	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.211396	-6.48%	0.35463	+56.88%	0.5177	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.204379	-7.20%	0.3251	+47.61%	0.4446	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.177213	-6.75%	0.22072	+16.14%	0.1559	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.171509	-4.74%	0.20786	+15.45%	0.1673	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.235257	-5.26%	0.205465	-17.26%	0.1401	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.26309	-11.49%	0.20197	-32.05%	0.3050	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.173964	-3.77%	0.23358	+29.21%	0.2506	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.172106	-4.07%	0.22605	+26.00%	0.2438	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.168805	-3.94%	0.22024	+25.34%	0.2471	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.175824	-5.06%	0.19005	+2.62%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.164475	-4.60%	0.18005	+4.43%	0.0548	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.155207	-4.05%	0.24832	+53.51%	0.4153	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.161934	-4.06%	0.29724	+76.11%	0.5615	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.167504	-4.14%	0.18078	+3.46%	0.0249	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.164175	-4.29%	0.17941	+4.59%	0.0577	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.165054	-3.56%	0.17572	+2.67%	0.0155	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.1833	-4.96%	0.18519	-3.98%	0.0148	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.159749	-3.39%	0.17241	+4.26%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.141314	-2.04%	0.16176	+12.14%	0.0488	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.