PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s6

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

57.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3663

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0885

actual -0.1645

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.09534	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.094953	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.092194	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.084346	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.086424	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.088991	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.09169	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.093353	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.096455	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.098583	-7.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.100076	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.101954	-9.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.101996	-9.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.101694	-9.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.101561	-9.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.101589	-9.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.104303	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.105439	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.10777	-6.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.105443	-9.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.104924	-9.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.106229	-9.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.103265	-11.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.102666	-11.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.102188	-11.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.109375	-10.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.109689	-10.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.108578	-10.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.107964	-9.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.104576	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.113473	-6.08%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.1377	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.111801	-5.35%	0.099215	-16.00%	0.1295	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.106928	-7.41%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.0991	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.109831	-6.02%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.2361	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.109688	-3.98%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.1987	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.104245	-4.27%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0841	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.104049	-4.80%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0389	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.104209	-3.00%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0095	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.110031	-2.88%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0403	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.106976	-3.28%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0435	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.1132	-3.56%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0068	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.11113	-2.94%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.0607	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.107665	-1.82%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.0915	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.117237	-0.54%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0041	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.124223	-1.17%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0798	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.131466	-0.82%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.1268	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.128273	+0.50%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0877	✗	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.128199	+1.64%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0735	✗	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.126799	+2.33%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0622	✗	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.134693	+4.32%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.1276	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.140211	+2.68%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.1633	✗	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.152459	+2.49%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.2351	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.163704	+3.21%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.3173	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.17703	+1.78%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.4023	✗	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.185689	+1.84%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.4597	✗	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.189824	+1.42%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.4192	✗	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.207695	+2.44%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.5112	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.207083	+1.52%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.5197	✗	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.21424	+0.98%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5646	✗	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.221042	+0.53%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.6422	✗	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.227266	-1.70%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.6048	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.223541	-2.55%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.6069	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.246244	-2.40%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7460	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.233515	-9.07%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6591	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.276379	-12.72%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.8909	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.382751	-14.59%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4112	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.335435	-14.05%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.2711	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.343278	-13.67%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.3374	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.309838	-12.62%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2107	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.306231	-12.69%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2077	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.268011	-10.72%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0241	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.284846	-12.04%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1286	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.288163	-12.71%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.1644	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.267439	-12.24%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0362	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.242433	-11.78%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.8744	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.261482	-13.06%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9059	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.24811	-12.64%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.8944	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.244498	-12.59%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.8957	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.237827	-12.52%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.8796	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.22693	-11.73%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8133	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.228676	-11.52%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7194	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.233813	-11.94%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.6623	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.216991	-10.29%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5478	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.221134	-10.16%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4614	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.222009	-10.18%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4007	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.195509	-7.69%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2186	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.172069	-5.06%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0277	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.172188	-4.76%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0154	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.181557	-5.22%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0103	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.172003	-4.79%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1303	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.170602	-5.10%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1906	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.164058	-4.58%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2315	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.162693	-4.51%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3344	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.16714	-5.50%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3740	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.163372	-6.04%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.6248	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.161063	-6.51%	0.44811	+160.12%	1.0232	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.160267	-7.20%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8937	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.157845	-7.22%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.9352	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.156833	-7.13%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.8257	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.15674	-7.50%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.8238	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.161311	-7.87%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.6396	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.153364	-7.21%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.7341	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.157185	-8.08%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.7443	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.155833	-7.91%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6695	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.159358	-8.41%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.5396	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.155769	-8.17%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.6451	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.158386	-8.02%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5649	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.172139	-9.22%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4795	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.171992	-9.48%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.4541	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.158188	-8.29%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4830	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.167137	-9.22%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.4336	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.162781	-9.16%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4818	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.15327	-8.75%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.4466	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.150758	-9.14%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4683	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.144642	-9.07%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4890	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.147884	-9.41%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.3319	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.140414	-8.93%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.2326	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.137654	-8.74%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.2579	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.132528	-8.04%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.3486	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.132547	-8.07%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2923	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.128206	-7.57%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.3141	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.130428	-8.05%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2664	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.128217	-7.52%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2751	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.131308	-7.87%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2832	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.133818	-7.58%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2575	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.133395	-7.65%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.2504	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.13871	-8.23%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.2101	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.144757	-8.06%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1638	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.15179	-7.87%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.1139	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.169214	-8.14%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0068	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.173705	-8.65%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0105	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.176695	-9.82%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.0579	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.172043	-10.24%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0069	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.177187	-10.87%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0469	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.158137	-10.04%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0902	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.160986	-10.55%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0493	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.167661	-11.23%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0279	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.157914	-11.28%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1830	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.154259	-11.05%	0.19	+9.55%	0.2051	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.155391	-11.16%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.1017	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.165764	-11.96%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.1044	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.181914	-12.27%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0164	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.170688	-12.37%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0135	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.173568	-12.28%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0484	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.178748	-12.08%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1322	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.17855	-12.02%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1035	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.161816	-10.95%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.0684	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.15944	-10.69%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.0746	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.141793	-7.85%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0144	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.147293	-8.09%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0337	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.158477	-8.22%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1642	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.164548	-8.40%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1744	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.175079	-8.65%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2542	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.173306	-8.22%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2179	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.180695	-8.46%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2607	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.184247	-8.12%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2849	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.185529	-7.52%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2463	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.191976	-7.20%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2364	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.187573	-6.04%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1631	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.192625	-5.40%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0804	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.205369	-6.65%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1299	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.225937	-10.06%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.2640	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.228433	-10.46%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.2889	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.227788	-10.66%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.2613	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.242515	-11.50%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5031	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.242076	-10.79%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.4800	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.250963	-13.42%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.4242	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.245711	-13.43%	0.178	-37.29%	0.4574	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.240081	-12.50%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.4813	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.239702	-10.38%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.4788	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.250784	-11.58%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4176	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.232575	-12.40%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.2455	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.218909	-13.25%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2213	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.225488	-14.15%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.1948	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.217902	-13.81%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1097	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.23334	-16.85%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.1562	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.255846	-18.44%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.3563	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.284772	-19.70%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.4873	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.260926	-19.74%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.5473	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.196868	-10.81%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2037	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.185223	-10.89%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.0700	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.184015	-10.44%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0240	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.184003	-8.90%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0618	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.208151	-10.89%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.0615	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.195895	-13.34%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.189302	-14.05%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.162859	-14.31%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.1693	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.161062	-10.55%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.2345	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.220989	-11.01%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1057	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.239565	-19.40%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.2010	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.16366	-9.47%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.2409	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.161452	-10.01%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.3531	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.158702	-9.68%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.4117	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.162975	-12.00%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.3187	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.154186	-10.57%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4633	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.146079	-9.69%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.5005	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.15189	-10.01%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.5299	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.156808	-10.26%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4729	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.154026	-10.20%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4707	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.15444	-9.76%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3813	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.171026	-11.33%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3467	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.1507	-8.87%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3951	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.13406	-7.06%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4728	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.