O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s6

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 357

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

112

of 119 predictions shown

direction hit

60.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0802

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0069

actual -0.0298

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.43434	0.430816	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-21	oos	0.43252	0.430533	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.43742	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.408773	+0.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.427033	-0.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.443726	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.456558	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.452464	-0.67%	0.43434	-4.65%	0.0542	✓	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.457434	-0.80%	0.43252	-6.20%	0.0717	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.470387	-0.60%	0.439245	-7.18%	0.0674	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.479036	-1.06%	0.407545	-15.82%	0.1623	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.475292	-1.11%	0.42721	-11.12%	0.0943	✓	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.471476	-1.43%	0.445015	-6.96%	0.0462	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.44544	-0.89%	0.4589	+2.11%	0.0377	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.450979	-0.80%	0.455525	+0.20%	0.0068	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.467395	-0.93%	0.46111	-2.26%	0.0012	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.500129	-0.58%	0.47322	-5.93%	0.0389	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.504335	-0.58%	0.48416	-4.55%	0.0139	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.511795	-0.26%	0.480645	-6.33%	0.0449	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.509931	-0.55%	0.47832	-6.71%	0.0522	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.518952	-0.28%	0.449425	-13.64%	0.1315	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.538911	-0.02%	0.454605	-15.66%	0.1497	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.551572	-0.27%	0.47178	-14.70%	0.1545	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.564289	-0.32%	0.503025	-11.14%	0.1267	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.529322	+0.02%	0.50726	-4.15%	0.0582	✗	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.54041	+0.22%	0.513105	-4.85%	0.0664	✗	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.545413	+0.32%	0.51275	-5.69%	0.0642	✗	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.550542	+0.40%	0.5204	-5.10%	0.0592	✗	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.554399	+0.54%	0.539035	-2.24%	0.0313	✗	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.548721	+0.60%	0.55308	+1.40%	0.0136	✓	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.562987	+0.76%	0.566075	+1.31%	0.0302	✓	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.549939	+0.95%	0.52923	-2.86%	0.0204	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.551905	+0.34%	0.53924	-1.96%	0.0479	✗	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.569391	+0.45%	0.543685	-4.09%	0.0691	✗	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.575453	+0.43%	0.548345	-4.30%	0.0732	✗	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.559025	+0.03%	0.55141	-1.33%	0.0771	✗	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.538445	+0.45%	0.54546	+1.76%	0.0589	✗	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.529767	+0.56%	0.55875	+6.06%	0.0521	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.549095	+0.56%	0.54479	-0.23%	0.0893	✗	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.510348	+0.86%	0.550025	+8.70%	0.0327	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.544026	+0.44%	0.566845	+4.65%	0.0036	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.550773	+0.53%	0.572975	+4.58%	0.0048	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.536112	+0.69%	0.55887	+4.96%	0.0434	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.530628	+1.07%	0.536045	+2.10%	0.0315	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.539474	+1.08%	0.52681	-1.30%	0.0048	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.550172	+1.02%	0.54605	+0.26%	0.0014	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.543734	+1.57%	0.506	-5.48%	0.0365	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.543358	+1.58%	0.541645	+1.26%	0.0225	✓	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.56201	+1.43%	0.54789	-1.12%	0.0008	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.569519	+1.56%	0.53246	-5.05%	0.0199	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.554602	+0.85%	0.525035	-4.53%	0.0650	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.563523	+1.01%	0.53373	-4.33%	0.0653	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.560092	+1.26%	0.54462	-1.53%	0.0336	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.540648	+1.26%	0.53535	+0.27%	0.0377	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.537344	+1.18%	0.53493	+0.72%	0.0212	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.462003	+2.15%	0.55411	+22.52%	0.1628	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.44809	+2.63%	0.56077	+28.44%	0.2133	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.457394	+2.30%	0.549935	+22.99%	0.2044	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.455333	+2.06%	0.55791	+25.05%	0.2164	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.438778	+2.02%	0.55311	+28.61%	0.2365	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.448337	+1.53%	0.53392	+20.91%	0.1755	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.441756	+1.23%	0.5311	+21.70%	0.1698	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.516693	+0.88%	0.452265	-11.69%	0.1279	✗	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.481793	+0.25%	0.4366	-9.15%	0.1750	✗	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.481736	-0.91%	0.44712	-8.03%	0.1978	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.476741	-1.57%	0.446145	-7.88%	0.3026	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.450429	-1.70%	0.43008	-6.14%	0.2907	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.444559	-1.09%	0.44159	-1.75%	0.2654	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.44959	-1.29%	0.4364	-4.19%	0.2742	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.438168	-0.89%	0.51216	+15.85%	0.1085	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.440801	-1.00%	0.48057	+7.93%	0.0849	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.435256	-0.93%	0.48616	+10.66%	0.0026	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.440636	-1.18%	0.484325	+8.62%	0.0727	✗	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.445845	-1.62%	0.45821	+1.11%	0.0167	✗	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.458824	-2.81%	0.449445	-4.79%	0.0170	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.45291	-3.21%	0.455485	-2.66%	0.0410	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.460603	-3.51%	0.4421	-7.39%	0.0051	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.464734	-3.32%	0.44526	-7.37%	0.0269	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.470251	-4.01%	0.439325	-10.33%	0.0456	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.48296	-4.26%	0.445895	-11.61%	0.0699	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.479436	-3.85%	0.45317	-9.12%	0.0649	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.463035	-3.50%	0.47207	-1.62%	0.0064	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.49789	-3.48%	0.467935	-9.29%	0.1059	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.483017	-2.71%	0.47738	-3.84%	0.0540	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.488654	-2.77%	0.4807	-4.36%	0.0066	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.470167	-1.82%	0.489915	+2.30%	0.0263	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.478996	-1.69%	0.50446	+3.54%	0.0475	✗	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.475196	-1.38%	0.49863	+3.49%	0.0530	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.473767	-0.84%	0.47985	+0.43%	0.0548	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.504715	-1.04%	0.51585	+1.14%	0.0603	✗	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.482931	-0.62%	0.496455	+2.16%	0.0589	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.541472	-0.68%	0.5026	-7.81%	0.0671	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.588	-0.62%	0.47888	-19.06%	0.1594	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.615567	-0.73%	0.487225	-21.43%	0.1791	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.617896	-1.33%	0.48183	-23.05%	0.2156	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.581705	-1.32%	0.4778	-18.95%	0.2106	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.567835	-1.24%	0.51004	-11.29%	0.0967	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.5574	-1.59%	0.48595	-14.21%	0.1412	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.515443	-1.23%	0.54517	+4.47%	0.0362	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.549491	-1.17%	0.59166	+6.41%	0.0530	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.549081	-1.22%	0.6201	+11.55%	0.0984	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.517238	-1.53%	0.6262	+19.21%	0.1449	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.535062	-1.40%	0.5895	+8.64%	0.0822	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.554776	-1.52%	0.57496	+2.06%	0.0198	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.546217	-1.38%	0.56643	+2.27%	0.0400	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.56167	-1.79%	0.521855	-8.75%	0.0829	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.544045	-1.87%	0.556	+0.29%	0.0173	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.548582	-1.83%	0.55588	-0.52%	0.0127	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.524343	-1.54%	0.525275	-1.36%	0.0293	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.544478	-1.65%	0.542635	-1.98%	0.0059	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.594213	-2.51%	0.56335	-7.57%	0.0642	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.529147	-2.03%	0.55385	+2.54%	0.0202	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.544131	-2.46%	0.57192	+2.52%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.541173	-3.02%	0.55441	-0.64%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.491096	-2.75%	0.558795	+10.65%	0.0503	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.519682	-2.87%	0.53254	-0.47%	0.0374	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.475083	-2.65%	0.55362	+13.45%	0.0862	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.420967	-1.55%	0.609515	+42.54%	0.3189	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.449786	-1.58%	0.54012	+18.19%	0.1419	✗	1.00