O
o1.exchange · Base · gru_s6
- token id
- #266
- symbol
- O
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-17
- predictions
- 354
Track record at +30d
assessed
88
of 118 predictions shown
direction hit
84.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1443
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0208
actual -0.1436
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.44305 | 0.428258 | -3.34% | – | pending | – | – | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.439245 | 0.425976 | -3.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.407545 | 0.395519 | -2.95% | – | pending | – | – | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.42721 | 0.413266 | -3.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.445015 | 0.42855 | -3.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4589 | 0.441292 | -3.84% | – | pending | – | – | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.455525 | 0.437693 | -3.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.46111 | 0.441811 | -4.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.47322 | 0.457394 | -3.34% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.48416 | 0.466577 | -3.63% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.480645 | 0.465344 | -3.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.47832 | 0.462141 | -3.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.449425 | 0.43537 | -3.13% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.454605 | 0.439612 | -3.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.47178 | 0.457822 | -2.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.503025 | 0.490717 | -2.45% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.50726 | 0.494633 | -2.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.513105 | 0.502178 | -2.13% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.51275 | 0.50016 | -2.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5204 | 0.509541 | -2.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.539035 | 0.52815 | -2.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.55308 | 0.540234 | -2.32% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.566075 | 0.551604 | -2.56% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.52923 | 0.518357 | -2.05% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.53924 | 0.528461 | -2.00% | – | pending | – | – | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.543685 | 0.533154 | -1.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.548345 | 0.538454 | -1.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.55141 | 0.543787 | -1.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.54546 | 0.538948 | -1.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.55875 | 0.555266 | -0.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.82 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.54479 | 0.544273 | -0.09% | 0.44305 | -18.68% | 0.1833 | ✓ | 0.49 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.550025 | 0.538994 | -2.01% | 0.439245 | -20.14% | 0.2181 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.566845 | 0.556248 | -1.87% | 0.407545 | -28.10% | 0.3155 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.572975 | 0.562635 | -1.80% | 0.42721 | -25.44% | 0.2842 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.55887 | 0.540643 | -3.26% | 0.445015 | -20.37% | 0.2351 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.536045 | 0.522261 | -2.57% | 0.4589 | -14.39% | 0.1769 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.52681 | 0.513967 | -2.44% | 0.455525 | -13.53% | 0.1872 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.54605 | 0.537378 | -1.59% | 0.46111 | -15.56% | 0.1869 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.506 | 0.498924 | -1.40% | 0.47322 | -6.48% | 0.1131 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.541645 | 0.533036 | -1.59% | 0.48416 | -10.61% | 0.1384 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.54789 | 0.540891 | -1.28% | 0.480645 | -12.27% | 0.1783 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.53246 | 0.526706 | -1.08% | 0.47832 | -10.17% | 0.1558 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.525035 | 0.525538 | +0.10% | 0.449425 | -14.40% | 0.1973 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.53373 | 0.536333 | +0.49% | 0.454605 | -14.82% | 0.1965 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.54462 | 0.546455 | +0.34% | 0.47178 | -13.37% | 0.1864 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.53535 | 0.542632 | +1.36% | 0.503025 | -6.04% | 0.1251 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.53493 | 0.541681 | +1.26% | 0.50726 | -5.17% | 0.1218 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.55411 | 0.561289 | +1.30% | 0.513105 | -7.40% | 0.1543 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.56077 | 0.573751 | +2.31% | 0.51275 | -8.56% | 0.1456 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.549935 | 0.552714 | +0.51% | 0.5204 | -5.37% | 0.1330 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.55791 | 0.563145 | +0.94% | 0.539035 | -3.38% | 0.1188 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.55311 | 0.563711 | +1.92% | 0.55308 | -0.01% | 0.0703 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.53392 | 0.545115 | +2.10% | 0.566075 | +6.02% | 0.0232 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.5311 | 0.545901 | +2.79% | 0.52923 | -0.35% | 0.0845 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.452265 | 0.468155 | +3.51% | 0.53924 | +19.23% | 0.0749 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.4366 | 0.45763 | +4.82% | 0.543685 | +24.53% | 0.1269 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.44712 | 0.467165 | +4.48% | 0.548345 | +22.64% | 0.1033 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.446145 | 0.465919 | +4.43% | 0.55141 | +23.59% | 0.1026 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.43008 | 0.45119 | +4.91% | 0.54546 | +26.83% | 0.1281 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.44159 | 0.458447 | +3.82% | 0.55875 | +26.53% | 0.0997 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.4364 | 0.448653 | +2.81% | 0.54479 | +24.84% | 0.0837 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.51216 | 0.528854 | +3.26% | 0.550025 | +7.39% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.48057 | 0.481011 | +0.09% | 0.566845 | +17.95% | 0.0782 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.48616 | 0.478938 | -1.49% | 0.572975 | +17.86% | 0.0344 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.484325 | 0.471043 | -2.74% | 0.55887 | +15.39% | 0.0310 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.45821 | 0.444224 | -3.05% | 0.536045 | +16.99% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.449445 | 0.436294 | -2.93% | 0.52681 | +17.21% | 0.0361 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.455485 | 0.441723 | -3.02% | 0.54605 | +19.88% | 0.0499 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.429549 | -2.84% | 0.506 | +14.45% | 0.0769 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44526 | 0.432518 | -2.86% | 0.541645 | +21.65% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.439325 | 0.426501 | -2.92% | 0.54789 | +24.71% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.445895 | 0.431797 | -3.16% | 0.53246 | +19.41% | 0.0168 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.45317 | 0.437464 | -3.47% | 0.525035 | +15.86% | 0.0639 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.47207 | 0.453121 | -4.01% | 0.53373 | +13.06% | 0.0639 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.467935 | 0.447822 | -4.30% | 0.54462 | +16.39% | 0.0408 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.47738 | 0.455911 | -4.50% | 0.53535 | +12.14% | 0.0950 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.4807 | 0.458639 | -4.59% | 0.53493 | +11.28% | 0.1077 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.489915 | 0.466198 | -4.84% | 0.55411 | +13.10% | 0.0796 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.50446 | 0.478563 | -5.13% | 0.56077 | +11.16% | 0.1336 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.49863 | 0.472696 | -5.20% | 0.549935 | +10.29% | 0.0898 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.47985 | 0.455085 | -5.16% | 0.55791 | +16.27% | 0.0384 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.51585 | 0.488228 | -5.35% | 0.55311 | +7.22% | 0.1680 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.496455 | 0.471264 | -5.07% | 0.53392 | +7.55% | 0.1520 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.5026 | 0.478045 | -4.89% | 0.5311 | +5.67% | 0.1586 | ✓ | 1.39 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.47888 | 0.457888 | -4.38% | 0.452265 | -5.56% | 0.2784 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.487225 | 0.466647 | -4.22% | 0.4366 | -10.39% | 0.3754 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.48183 | 0.462705 | -3.97% | 0.44712 | -7.20% | 0.3243 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4778 | 0.460589 | -3.60% | 0.446145 | -6.63% | 0.3021 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.51004 | 0.490764 | -3.78% | 0.43008 | -15.68% | 0.4607 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.48595 | 0.469546 | -3.38% | 0.44159 | -9.13% | 0.3665 | ✓ | 1.58 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.54517 | 0.525172 | -3.67% | 0.4364 | -19.95% | 0.4312 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.59166 | 0.569604 | -3.73% | 0.51216 | -13.44% | 0.3377 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.6201 | 0.596393 | -3.82% | 0.48057 | -22.50% | 0.3404 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.6262 | 0.600321 | -4.13% | 0.48616 | -22.36% | 0.2964 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.5895 | 0.566823 | -3.85% | 0.484325 | -17.84% | 0.1573 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.57496 | 0.554099 | -3.63% | 0.45821 | -20.31% | 0.1833 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.56643 | 0.545194 | -3.75% | 0.449445 | -20.65% | 0.1703 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.521855 | 0.504597 | -3.31% | 0.455485 | -12.72% | 0.0905 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.556 | 0.537599 | -3.31% | 0.4421 | -20.49% | 0.1683 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.55588 | 0.537769 | -3.26% | 0.44526 | -19.90% | 0.1644 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.525275 | 0.50772 | -3.34% | 0.439325 | -16.36% | 0.1629 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.542635 | 0.524973 | -3.25% | 0.445895 | -17.83% | 0.1600 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.56335 | 0.544457 | -3.35% | 0.45317 | -19.56% | 0.1857 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.55385 | 0.536428 | -3.15% | 0.47207 | -14.77% | 0.1390 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.57192 | 0.552235 | -3.44% | 0.467935 | -18.18% | 0.1927 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.55441 | 0.5355 | -3.41% | 0.47738 | -13.89% | 0.1566 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.558795 | 0.540151 | -3.34% | 0.4807 | -13.98% | 0.1314 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.53254 | 0.516045 | -3.10% | 0.489915 | -8.00% | 0.0613 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.55362 | 0.535941 | -3.19% | 0.50446 | -8.88% | 0.0679 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.609515 | 0.585837 | -3.88% | 0.49863 | -18.19% | 0.1672 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.54012 | 0.521651 | -3.42% | 0.47985 | -11.16% | 0.0991 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.557835 | 0.537085 | -3.72% | 0.51585 | -7.53% | 0.0609 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.558 | 0.535684 | -4.00% | 0.496455 | -11.03% | 0.1227 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.505 | 0.48618 | -3.73% | 0.5026 | -0.48% | 0.0674 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.535035 | 0.515257 | -3.70% | 0.47888 | -10.50% | 0.1334 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.488 | 0.46962 | -3.77% | 0.487225 | -0.16% | 0.0342 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.427605 | 0.410759 | -3.94% | 0.48183 | +12.68% | 0.0987 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.457 | 0.440029 | -3.71% | 0.4778 | +4.55% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.00 |