NOCK

Nockchain · Base · gru_s6

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 333

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

104

of 111 predictions shown

direction hit

64.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2339

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0268

actual -0.0266

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02273	0.021252	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-21	oos	0.02224	0.020746	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.020004	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.018812	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.018147	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.017515	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.01923	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.018539	-2.38%	0.02273	+19.69%	0.1710	✗	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.01975	-2.95%	0.02224	+9.29%	0.0797	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.021469	-4.20%	0.02115	-5.62%	0.0124	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.021232	-3.18%	0.01957	-10.76%	0.0831	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.023405	-4.72%	0.018735	-23.73%	0.1928	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.025683	-5.84%	0.01787	-34.48%	0.3363	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.022801	-2.89%	0.01995	-15.03%	0.1155	✓	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.020148	+0.32%	0.01899	-5.45%	0.0666	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.023165	-2.11%	0.02035	-14.01%	0.1024	✓	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.024056	-3.18%	0.02241	-9.80%	0.0333	✓	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.02431	-3.24%	0.02193	-12.72%	0.0383	✓	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.020098	+0.74%	0.024565	+23.13%	0.2470	✓	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.019763	+2.03%	0.027275	+40.81%	0.3523	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.019985	+2.28%	0.02348	+20.16%	0.1931	✓	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.020681	+1.50%	0.020085	-1.42%	0.0226	✓	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.023035	+0.97%	0.023665	+3.73%	0.0317	✓	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.024369	+0.59%	0.024845	+2.56%	0.0137	✗	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.023128	+0.84%	0.025125	+9.55%	0.0433	✓	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.021823	-0.98%	0.01995	-9.48%	0.1273	✓	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.029508	-4.40%	0.01937	-37.24%	0.4268	✓	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.029819	-5.02%	0.01954	-37.76%	0.4304	✓	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.029163	-5.68%	0.020375	-34.10%	0.3672	✓	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.028966	-5.96%	0.022815	-25.93%	0.2233	✓	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.034506	-6.17%	0.024225	-34.13%	0.3093	✓	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.038794	-6.45%	0.022935	-44.69%	0.4722	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.036353	-5.88%	0.02204	-42.94%	0.5596	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.040812	-6.21%	0.030865	-29.07%	0.3358	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.044509	-7.51%	0.031395	-34.76%	0.4064	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.036827	-5.08%	0.03092	-20.31%	0.2982	✓	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.037251	-5.50%	0.0308	-21.87%	0.3167	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.034309	-4.97%	0.036775	+1.86%	0.0909	✓	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.037446	-5.51%	0.04147	+4.64%	0.0162	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.047711	-6.88%	0.038625	-24.61%	0.2829	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.046464	-8.76%	0.043515	-14.55%	0.1308	✓	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.03422	-5.49%	0.048125	+32.91%	0.2792	✗	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.031616	-4.76%	0.0388	+16.89%	0.2080	✗	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.029585	-3.93%	0.03942	+28.01%	0.3263	✗	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.036269	-6.03%	0.036105	-6.45%	0.0466	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.031444	-5.18%	0.03963	+19.51%	0.2483	✗	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.030621	-6.86%	0.051235	+55.85%	0.5811	✗	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.020567	-1.59%	0.050925	+143.66%	0.9536	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.022008	-2.23%	0.03621	+60.86%	0.5429	✗	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.018054	-0.75%	0.033195	+82.49%	0.7085	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.016526	-1.16%	0.030795	+84.18%	0.6020	✗	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.020324	-2.76%	0.038595	+84.67%	0.6200	✗	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.016858	-0.63%	0.03316	+95.46%	0.6646	✗	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.01583	-1.12%	0.032875	+105.34%	0.6712	✗	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.015341	-0.70%	0.0209	+35.28%	0.2729	✗	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.014014	-0.72%	0.02251	+59.48%	0.4322	✗	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.016701	-0.50%	0.01819	+8.37%	0.0654	✗	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.016464	-0.88%	0.01672	+0.66%	0.0514	✗	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.019602	-1.50%	0.0209	+5.03%	0.0880	✗	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.019551	-1.46%	0.016965	-14.49%	0.1330	✓	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.020295	-2.33%	0.01601	-22.95%	0.2358	✓	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.019991	-2.96%	0.01545	-25.00%	0.2833	✓	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.019584	-2.71%	0.014115	-29.88%	0.3166	✓	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.016962	-4.73%	0.016785	-5.73%	0.1709	✓	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.01401	-3.65%	0.01661	+14.24%	0.0047	✓	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014437	-5.58%	0.0199	+30.15%	0.0705	✓	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.015221	-7.64%	0.01984	+20.39%	0.1465	✓	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.009495	-2.21%	0.02078	+114.01%	0.6115	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010111	-2.50%	0.0206	+98.65%	0.5525	✗	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.009305	-2.10%	0.02013	+111.78%	0.5980	✗	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.008852	-1.86%	0.017805	+97.39%	0.5769	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.011645	-2.84%	0.01454	+21.32%	0.1475	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012243	-3.37%	0.01529	+20.68%	0.2074	✗	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.010623	-2.81%	0.01648	+50.78%	0.4307	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009607	-2.42%	0.00971	-1.37%	0.0487	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.009968	-2.71%	0.01037	+1.22%	0.0751	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.010196	-3.13%	0.009505	-9.69%	0.0341	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.010275	-2.32%	0.00902	-14.26%	0.1146	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.011378	-2.62%	0.011985	+2.57%	0.0731	✗	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.012046	-2.43%	0.01267	+2.63%	0.0600	✗	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.011389	-1.87%	0.01093	-5.82%	0.0488	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.011112	-1.66%	0.009845	-12.88%	0.1445	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.010915	-1.04%	0.010245	-7.12%	0.0993	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012641	-1.51%	0.010525	-18.00%	0.2167	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.012011	-1.79%	0.01052	-13.98%	0.1224	✓	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012382	-1.45%	0.011685	-7.00%	0.0741	✓	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.012814	-1.43%	0.012345	-5.04%	0.0420	✓	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.015212	-1.60%	0.011605	-24.94%	0.2654	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.01517	-1.62%	0.0113	-26.72%	0.2449	✓	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.015273	-1.49%	0.01103	-28.86%	0.2835	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.015731	-1.50%	0.012835	-19.63%	0.1837	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.015821	-1.73%	0.01223	-24.04%	0.2524	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.014217	-1.92%	0.012565	-13.31%	0.0898	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.012241	-2.31%	0.013	+3.75%	0.1011	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.015332	-1.43%	0.01546	-0.61%	0.0319	✗	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.017884	-1.30%	0.01542	-14.90%	0.1584	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.018295	-1.27%	0.015505	-16.32%	0.1577	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.01856	-1.17%	0.01597	-14.96%	0.1532	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.020086	-1.23%	0.0161	-20.83%	0.2411	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.021743	-1.42%	0.014495	-34.28%	0.4264	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.022906	-1.82%	0.01253	-46.29%	0.6265	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.017865	-1.35%	0.015555	-14.11%	0.1847	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.016664	-1.42%	0.01812	+7.19%	0.0691	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.017831	-1.33%	0.01853	+2.55%	0.0226	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.019802	-1.16%	0.01878	-6.26%	0.0493	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.020402	-1.15%	0.020335	-1.48%	0.0127	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.02009	-1.13%	0.022055	+8.54%	0.0543	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.022519	-1.19%	0.02333	+2.37%	0.0094	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.020571	-1.22%	0.01811	-13.04%	0.0999	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.02279	-1.25%	0.016905	-26.75%	0.3012	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.026111	-1.54%	0.01807	-31.86%	0.3789	✓	1.00