NOCK
Nockchain · Base · gru_s6
- token id
- #744
- symbol
- NOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-25
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +1d
assessed
109
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
56.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0963
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0077
actual -0.0059
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.021 | 0.020768 | -1.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.58 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.02115 | 0.020898 | -1.19% | 0.021 | -0.71% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.01957 | 0.019442 | -0.65% | 0.02115 | +8.07% | 0.0648 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.018735 | 0.018651 | -0.45% | 0.01957 | +4.46% | 0.0509 | ✗ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01787 | 0.017851 | -0.11% | 0.018735 | +4.84% | 0.0384 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.019826 | -0.62% | 0.01787 | -10.43% | 0.1020 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.01899 | 0.018955 | -0.18% | 0.01995 | +5.06% | 0.0611 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.02035 | 0.020281 | -0.34% | 0.01899 | -6.68% | 0.0747 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.02241 | 0.022254 | -0.70% | 0.02035 | -9.19% | 0.0652 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.02193 | 0.021847 | -0.38% | 0.02241 | +2.19% | 0.0039 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.024565 | 0.024356 | -0.85% | 0.02193 | -10.73% | 0.0705 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.027275 | 0.026876 | -1.46% | 0.024565 | -9.94% | 0.1030 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.02348 | 0.023366 | -0.49% | 0.027275 | +16.16% | 0.1484 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.020085 | 0.020179 | +0.47% | 0.02348 | +16.90% | 0.1369 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.023665 | 0.023605 | -0.25% | 0.020085 | -15.13% | 0.1363 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.024845 | 0.024679 | -0.67% | 0.023665 | -4.75% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.025125 | 0.024902 | -0.89% | 0.024845 | -1.11% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.020036 | +0.43% | 0.025125 | +25.94% | 0.2386 | ✓ | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01937 | 0.01952 | +0.77% | 0.01995 | +2.99% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01954 | 0.019694 | +0.79% | 0.01937 | -0.87% | 0.0204 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.020375 | 0.020498 | +0.60% | 0.01954 | -4.10% | 0.0423 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.022815 | 0.02292 | +0.46% | 0.020375 | -10.69% | 0.1394 | ✗ | 1.41 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.024225 | 0.024309 | +0.35% | 0.022815 | -5.82% | 0.0620 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.022935 | 0.023039 | +0.45% | 0.024225 | +5.62% | 0.0470 | ✓ | 1.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.02204 | 0.022051 | +0.05% | 0.022935 | +4.06% | 0.0581 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.030865 | 0.030552 | -1.02% | 0.02204 | -28.59% | 0.3274 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.031395 | 0.031022 | -1.19% | 0.030865 | -1.69% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.03092 | 0.030536 | -1.24% | 0.031395 | +1.54% | 0.0332 | ✗ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0308 | 0.030421 | -1.23% | 0.03092 | +0.39% | 0.0162 | ✗ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.036221 | -1.51% | 0.0308 | -16.25% | 0.1307 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.04147 | 0.040637 | -2.01% | 0.036775 | -11.32% | 0.0932 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.038625 | 0.038087 | -1.39% | 0.04147 | +7.37% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.043515 | 0.042748 | -1.76% | 0.038625 | -11.24% | 0.1001 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.048125 | 0.046629 | -3.11% | 0.043515 | -9.58% | 0.0756 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0388 | 0.038283 | -1.33% | 0.048125 | +24.03% | 0.1578 | ✗ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.03942 | 0.038779 | -1.63% | 0.0388 | -1.57% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.036105 | 0.035706 | -1.10% | 0.03942 | +9.18% | 0.0899 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.03963 | 0.039092 | -1.36% | 0.036105 | -8.89% | 0.0405 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.051235 | 0.049833 | -2.74% | 0.03963 | -22.65% | 0.2521 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050925 | 0.048526 | -4.71% | 0.051235 | +0.61% | 0.0622 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03621 | 0.035486 | -2.00% | 0.050925 | +40.64% | 0.3603 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.033195 | 0.032684 | -1.54% | 0.03621 | +9.08% | 0.0909 | ✗ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.030795 | 0.030469 | -1.06% | 0.033195 | +7.79% | 0.1177 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.038595 | 0.037517 | -2.79% | 0.030795 | -20.21% | 0.1946 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.03316 | 0.032342 | -2.47% | 0.038595 | +16.39% | 0.1886 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.032875 | 0.031448 | -4.34% | 0.03316 | +0.87% | 0.0761 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020761 | -0.67% | 0.032875 | +57.30% | 0.4505 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.02251 | 0.022258 | -1.12% | 0.0209 | -7.15% | 0.0657 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.01819 | 0.0181 | -0.49% | 0.02251 | +23.75% | 0.2508 | ✗ | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.016659 | -0.36% | 0.01819 | +8.79% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020549 | -1.68% | 0.01672 | -20.00% | 0.2043 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.016965 | 0.016891 | -0.44% | 0.0209 | +23.19% | 0.2395 | ✗ | 1.78 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01601 | 0.015919 | -0.57% | 0.016965 | +5.97% | 0.0434 | ✗ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01545 | 0.015397 | -0.34% | 0.01601 | +3.62% | 0.0521 | ✗ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014115 | 0.014082 | -0.23% | 0.01545 | +9.46% | 0.0836 | ✗ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016785 | 0.016723 | -0.37% | 0.014115 | -15.91% | 0.1191 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.01661 | 0.016551 | -0.35% | 0.016785 | +1.05% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.0199 | 0.019733 | -0.84% | 0.01661 | -16.53% | 0.1827 | ✓ | 1.65 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01984 | 0.019683 | -0.79% | 0.0199 | +0.30% | 0.0206 | ✗ | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.02078 | 0.020529 | -1.21% | 0.01984 | -4.52% | 0.0612 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.0206 | 0.020262 | -1.64% | 0.02078 | +0.87% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.02013 | 0.019802 | -1.63% | 0.0206 | +2.33% | 0.0682 | ✗ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.017805 | 0.017362 | -2.49% | 0.02013 | +13.06% | 0.0291 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.01454 | 0.014374 | -1.14% | 0.017805 | +22.46% | 0.1483 | ✗ | 1.26 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.01529 | 0.014919 | -2.43% | 0.01454 | -4.91% | 0.1649 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.01648 | 0.015796 | -4.15% | 0.01529 | -7.22% | 0.0389 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.00971 | 0.009679 | -0.32% | 0.01648 | +69.72% | 0.5114 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.01037 | 0.010326 | -0.43% | 0.00971 | -6.36% | 0.0592 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.009505 | 0.009481 | -0.25% | 0.01037 | +9.10% | 0.0890 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.00902 | 0.009009 | -0.12% | 0.009505 | +5.38% | 0.0598 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.011985 | 0.011915 | -0.58% | 0.00902 | -24.74% | 0.2785 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.01267 | 0.012553 | -0.92% | 0.011985 | -5.41% | 0.0447 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.01093 | 0.010868 | -0.57% | 0.01267 | +15.92% | 0.1592 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.009845 | 0.009811 | -0.34% | 0.01093 | +11.02% | 0.1256 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.010245 | 0.010196 | -0.48% | 0.009845 | -3.90% | 0.0339 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010443 | -0.78% | 0.010245 | -2.66% | 0.0195 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.01052 | 0.010479 | -0.39% | 0.010525 | +0.05% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 1.19 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.011685 | 0.011621 | -0.55% | 0.01052 | -9.97% | 0.0936 | ✓ | 1.14 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.012284 | -0.50% | 0.011685 | -5.35% | 0.0600 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.011605 | 0.011573 | -0.27% | 0.012345 | +6.38% | 0.0545 | ✗ | 1.10 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.0113 | 0.011278 | -0.19% | 0.011605 | +2.70% | 0.0291 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.01103 | 0.011032 | +0.02% | 0.0113 | +2.45% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.012835 | 0.012816 | -0.15% | 0.01103 | -14.06% | 0.1490 | ✓ | 1.04 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.01223 | 0.012206 | -0.19% | 0.012835 | +4.95% | 0.0933 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.012565 | 0.012551 | -0.11% | 0.01223 | -2.67% | 0.0448 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012982 | -0.14% | 0.012565 | -3.35% | 0.0338 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.01546 | 0.015412 | -0.31% | 0.013 | -15.91% | 0.1738 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.01542 | 0.015373 | -0.31% | 0.01546 | +0.26% | 0.0499 | ✗ | 1.73 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.015505 | 0.015465 | -0.26% | 0.01542 | -0.55% | 0.0310 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.01597 | 0.015924 | -0.29% | 0.015505 | -2.91% | 0.0300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.0161 | 0.016029 | -0.44% | 0.01597 | -0.81% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.014431 | -0.44% | 0.0161 | +11.07% | 0.1252 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.01253 | 0.012481 | -0.39% | 0.014495 | +15.68% | 0.1561 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.015555 | 0.015519 | -0.23% | 0.01253 | -19.45% | 0.2338 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.01812 | 0.018075 | -0.25% | 0.015555 | -14.16% | 0.1584 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.01853 | 0.018489 | -0.22% | 0.01812 | -2.21% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.01878 | 0.018747 | -0.18% | 0.01853 | -1.33% | 0.0257 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.020335 | 0.020289 | -0.22% | 0.01878 | -7.65% | 0.0792 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.022055 | 0.021979 | -0.35% | 0.020335 | -7.80% | 0.0630 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.02333 | 0.02319 | -0.60% | 0.022055 | -5.47% | 0.0460 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.01811 | 0.018058 | -0.29% | 0.02333 | +28.82% | 0.2133 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.016905 | 0.016862 | -0.25% | 0.01811 | +7.13% | 0.0948 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.01807 | 0.018028 | -0.23% | 0.016905 | -6.45% | 0.0638 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.020035 | 0.019997 | -0.19% | 0.01807 | -9.81% | 0.0957 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.02064 | 0.0206 | -0.20% | 0.020035 | -2.93% | 0.0428 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.02032 | 0.020285 | -0.17% | 0.02064 | +1.57% | 0.0024 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.02279 | 0.022739 | -0.23% | 0.02032 | -10.84% | 0.0952 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.020825 | 0.020783 | -0.20% | 0.02279 | +9.44% | 0.1028 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.02308 | 0.023024 | -0.24% | 0.020825 | -9.77% | 0.1069 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.02652 | 0.026413 | -0.40% | 0.02308 | -12.97% | 0.1427 | ✓ | 1.00 |