MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s6

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

74.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0844

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0064

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042095	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042575	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043196	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042921	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044238	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045681	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044336	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044548	-2.54%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0593	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043346	-2.40%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0034	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042648	-2.32%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0305	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045457	-2.72%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0050	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042038	-2.31%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.1022	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040556	-2.20%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1630	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040132	-2.15%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1175	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043306	-2.34%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0842	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.04521	-2.23%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0243	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048737	-2.60%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0399	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047968	-2.41%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0224	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.04863	-2.69%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0901	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045208	-2.40%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0517	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048297	-3.67%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1079	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041112	-1.58%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0805	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041352	-1.50%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0791	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041605	-1.42%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1458	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043256	-1.47%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.0934	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044145	-1.53%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1185	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.04571	-1.75%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0062	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044345	-1.26%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1147	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043289	-0.78%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0214	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046084	-0.99%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0488	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045003	-0.60%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0081	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042594	-0.92%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0323	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042086	-0.71%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0030	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040724	-0.38%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0735	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035302	+0.03%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1004	✓	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034659	+0.40%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.0884	✓	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034201	+0.35%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1403	✓	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035878	+0.47%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1030	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035526	+0.16%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1200	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037148	+0.20%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0685	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037659	+0.09%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0238	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036891	+0.07%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0410	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038929	+0.74%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0829	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.04227	+0.30%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1643	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040494	+0.81%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1093	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.04002	+1.11%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0552	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040492	+0.85%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0408	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038992	+1.04%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0109	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.04059	+1.30%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0073	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036864	+0.47%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0286	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037504	+0.17%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0966	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038068	+0.34%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0442	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036683	-0.03%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0292	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038464	+0.14%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0154	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037405	-0.01%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0005	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039484	+0.91%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0020	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039705	+0.49%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0487	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039061	+0.41%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0223	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040393	+0.51%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0554	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042843	-0.04%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1537	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040199	-0.10%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0669	✓	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042481	+0.00%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1184	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037284	-1.39%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0784	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034215	-1.93%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0314	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.03151	-1.68%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0490	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031717	-1.50%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0350	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031231	-1.01%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0303	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030952	-0.89%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0091	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030949	-0.65%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0219	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032435	-0.67%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0388	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.033049	-0.52%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0675	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032989	-0.46%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0534	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.036008	-1.08%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1239	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035527	-1.26%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0743	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035619	-1.51%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0897	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034756	-1.48%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0674	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.035024	-1.48%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0513	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035454	-1.71%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0386	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035227	-1.71%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0495	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036034	-1.79%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0001	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035873	-1.74%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0272	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035913	-1.61%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0413	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035998	-1.48%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0665	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036433	-1.53%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0144	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035962	-1.19%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0121	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039	-1.44%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0889	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039221	-1.26%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0618	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042674	-1.33%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1176	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041994	-1.25%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1079	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042984	-1.16%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1358	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042732	-1.00%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1371	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043311	-0.87%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1278	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043023	-0.78%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0273	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042529	-0.59%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0359	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043902	-0.34%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0290	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044363	-0.26%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0316	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043183	-0.27%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0030	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045914	-0.40%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0892	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047725	-0.62%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1172	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048701	-0.69%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1482	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046997	-0.56%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1585	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045896	-0.43%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0623	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046486	-0.42%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0672	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047283	-0.31%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0827	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047879	-0.17%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0516	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047313	-0.04%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0422	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050175	-0.29%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0605	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049343	-0.14%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0028	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051109	-0.41%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.1069	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052224	-0.37%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1283	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050922	-0.21%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.1084	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049601	+0.06%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0732	✗	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045366	+0.50%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0085	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045507	+0.61%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0091	✗	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.04819	+0.21%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0605	✗	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045926	+0.52%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0212	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047421	+0.36%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0314	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046908	+0.42%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0292	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.04672	+0.45%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0201	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050674	-0.03%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0937	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055194	-0.57%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1138	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055423	-0.72%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0635	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.056041	-0.78%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1250	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054302	-0.73%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0469	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056502	-0.94%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1135	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061191	-1.58%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.2005	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056468	-1.12%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0209	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.05669	-1.39%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0535	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059074	-2.00%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0007	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.061035	-2.92%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0152	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.060642	-3.30%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.0978	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046723	+0.16%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2008	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046256	+0.36%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3101	✓	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.04317	+1.53%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2233	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047763	+1.17%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1117	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050498	+0.79%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1183	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.049279	+1.65%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.1996	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.046218	+3.63%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2500	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.047877	+3.83%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0648	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.051967	+2.76%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.1166	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.055603	+2.42%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2309	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.05572	+2.13%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0801	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059366	+0.40%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0053	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060882	-0.14%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0053	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062912	-0.23%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0455	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.062025	+0.65%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1124	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063771	+0.58%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0903	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067415	-0.17%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0677	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067645	-0.08%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0861	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.072926	-1.34%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1298	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.076258	-1.45%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1786	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079042	-1.38%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1876	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.079745	-0.72%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2298	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.085015	-2.28%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2399	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.080476	-1.38%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1337	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080291	-1.02%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1582	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.084821	-1.37%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1416	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.088435	-1.67%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1280	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.091158	-1.69%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1099	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.09853	-1.73%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1575	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.103835	-1.47%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1324	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.10157	-1.74%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1957	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.108137	-1.49%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2402	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.11712	-1.22%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2485	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.125428	-1.18%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2725	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.123592	-1.53%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2552	✓	1.00