MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s6

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

137

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

78.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1754

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0310

actual -0.1607

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.043522	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.043546	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.041057	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.041565	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.041272	-5.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.042362	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.043695	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.042388	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.042442	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.041411	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.04069	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.043577	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.040127	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.038719	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.038293	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.041482	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.043542	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.046892	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.046277	-5.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.046839	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.043771	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.046905	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.03983	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.040162	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.040523	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.04219	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.04305	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.044587	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043506	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042755	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045665	-1.89%	0.04613	-0.89%	0.0444	✗	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044911	-0.80%	0.04599	+1.58%	0.0696	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.041762	-2.86%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0035	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041409	-2.30%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0502	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040208	-1.64%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0651	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034315	-2.76%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1879	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.033789	-2.12%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2326	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033253	-2.43%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2074	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035295	-1.16%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2048	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.034719	-2.12%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1452	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036461	-1.66%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1089	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037016	-1.62%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1320	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036233	-1.71%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0634	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038781	+0.35%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0043	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041994	-0.36%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0792	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040442	+0.68%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0193	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.040224	+1.63%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0482	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.04058	+1.07%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1061	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.03927	+1.76%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1026	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.041293	+3.05%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1286	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036671	-0.05%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.1016	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037239	-0.54%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1602	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038024	+0.22%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0060	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036463	-0.63%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0385	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038395	-0.04%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0066	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037346	-0.17%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0506	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040247	+2.86%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0391	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040278	+1.94%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0586	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039688	+2.03%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0238	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.041298	+2.76%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0355	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.043556	+1.62%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.0810	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040763	+1.30%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0594	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.043676	+2.81%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0654	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.036872	-2.48%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0033	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.033278	-4.62%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0004	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030488	-4.88%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0757	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.030759	-4.47%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.1074	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030335	-3.85%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1322	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030054	-3.76%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.1186	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030136	-3.25%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.1052	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031668	-3.02%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.1117	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.03235	-2.62%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.1188	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032288	-2.57%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.1223	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035049	-3.71%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1807	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.034507	-4.09%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0684	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.034473	-4.68%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1266	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.033649	-4.62%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1382	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.033883	-4.69%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1381	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.034213	-5.15%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1781	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.03392	-5.36%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1728	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.034658	-5.54%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2255	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.034478	-5.57%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.2016	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.034485	-5.52%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2273	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034603	-5.30%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2454	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.035166	-4.96%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1839	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.034759	-4.49%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1966	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.037738	-4.63%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2785	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.037985	-4.37%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2569	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.041435	-4.20%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.3102	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.040751	-4.17%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2893	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.041774	-3.95%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2333	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.041628	-3.56%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2642	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042295	-3.19%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2286	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042077	-2.96%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2352	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.041672	-2.59%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2613	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.04318	-1.98%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2981	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043726	-1.69%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2991	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042485	-1.88%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2747	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045133	-2.10%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3519	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.046796	-2.56%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3694	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.047744	-2.64%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3463	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.045983	-2.70%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3506	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.044957	-2.47%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.3002	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.04557	-2.38%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2278	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046488	-1.99%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2724	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047193	-1.60%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.3058	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046705	-1.32%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3416	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049445	-1.74%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3514	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048778	-1.28%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.3155	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050355	-1.88%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3508	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.05153	-1.70%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3486	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050308	-1.41%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3435	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049142	-0.86%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3274	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044974	-0.37%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2714	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044991	-0.53%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3355	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047613	-0.99%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3519	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045423	-0.58%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2333	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046883	-0.78%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2475	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046423	-0.61%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1849	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046235	-0.59%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1824	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050027	-1.31%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.2044	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054259	-2.25%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2760	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054464	-2.44%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2626	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055047	-2.54%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.3040	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053431	-2.32%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2427	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055523	-2.66%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2572	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.059864	-3.71%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3398	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.055405	-2.99%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2330	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.05557	-3.34%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1410	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.057709	-4.27%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1455	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.059572	-5.25%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1767	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.059289	-5.46%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1705	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046138	-1.10%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0052	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045594	-1.08%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0191	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042488	-0.08%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0594	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.046772	-0.93%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0034	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049153	-1.89%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0222	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.047648	-1.72%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0542	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044331	-0.60%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0598	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.045679	-0.93%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0769	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.049319	-2.47%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0712	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.052496	-3.31%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0066	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.052114	-4.48%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0392	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.05475	-7.41%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0388	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.05571	-8.63%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1463	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.057425	-8.94%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1387	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.05642	-8.45%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.057906	-8.67%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.061233	-9.33%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0568	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.061455	-9.22%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.066754	-9.69%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0388	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.06996	-9.59%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0254	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.072592	-9.43%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.0815	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.072895	-9.24%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.0786	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.07877	-9.46%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1761	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.074447	-8.77%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0670	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.07416	-8.58%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0232	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.078924	-8.23%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1463	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.082905	-7.82%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.2008	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.086294	-6.94%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.1945	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.094182	-6.06%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2192	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.100428	-4.70%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2411	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.09756	-5.62%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.5163	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.104704	-4.62%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5845	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.114176	-3.71%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.7026	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.122627	-3.38%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6674	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.120098	-4.31%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6282	✓	1.00