KAIA

Kaia · native · gru_s6

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,142

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0765

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0074

actual -0.0138

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04134	0.040441	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.04212	0.041139	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.040818	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.039911	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.040472	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.04292	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.041251	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.041379	-2.08%	0.04134	-2.18%	0.0428	✓	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.04213	-2.09%	0.04212	-2.11%	0.0497	✓	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.045547	-2.81%	0.041885	-10.63%	0.0806	✓	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.044114	-2.19%	0.040865	-9.39%	0.0784	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.050137	-3.00%	0.041415	-19.88%	0.1614	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.053867	-4.91%	0.044045	-22.25%	0.1736	✓	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.056088	-7.29%	0.04206	-30.48%	0.2688	✓	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.036242	-2.10%	0.04226	+14.15%	0.1463	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.037327	-2.29%	0.04303	+12.64%	0.1711	✗	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.038752	-2.12%	0.046865	+18.38%	0.2305	✗	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.039511	-2.16%	0.0451	+11.68%	0.1989	✗	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.03694	-1.57%	0.05169	+37.73%	0.3830	✗	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.036818	-1.58%	0.05665	+51.43%	0.4619	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.035479	-1.58%	0.0605	+67.82%	0.5670	✗	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.036168	-1.73%	0.03702	+0.58%	0.0769	✗	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.034058	-1.35%	0.0382	+10.64%	0.1195	✗	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.033435	-1.30%	0.03959	+16.87%	0.1374	✗	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.032224	-1.11%	0.040385	+23.94%	0.1887	✗	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.032962	-1.19%	0.03753	+12.50%	0.0979	✗	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.034652	-1.47%	0.03741	+6.37%	0.0715	✗	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.034277	-1.63%	0.03605	+3.46%	0.0440	✗	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.032511	-1.65%	0.036805	+11.34%	0.1168	✗	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.031316	-1.32%	0.034525	+8.79%	0.1107	✗	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.031839	-0.49%	0.033875	+5.88%	0.1027	✗	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.032536	-0.49%	0.032585	-0.34%	0.0525	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.030095	-0.82%	0.03336	+9.94%	0.0478	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.030168	-1.09%	0.03517	+15.31%	0.0999	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.029575	-1.32%	0.034845	+16.27%	0.1101	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.028129	-2.33%	0.033055	+14.77%	0.0177	✓	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.027681	-0.53%	0.031735	+14.03%	0.0105	✓	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.027026	-0.29%	0.031995	+18.04%	0.0182	✓	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.028888	-0.28%	0.032695	+12.86%	0.0187	✓	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.029148	-0.40%	0.030345	+3.69%	0.0371	✓	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.029032	-0.58%	0.0305	+4.45%	0.0210	✓	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.028969	-0.96%	0.02997	+2.46%	0.0315	✓	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.027164	-0.68%	0.0288	+5.30%	0.0619	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.029787	-0.94%	0.02783	-7.45%	0.0305	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.031501	-0.97%	0.027105	-14.79%	0.0995	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.030758	-0.92%	0.02897	-6.68%	0.0437	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.031272	-0.63%	0.029265	-7.01%	0.0027	✓	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.030689	-0.59%	0.0292	-5.41%	0.0038	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.030257	-0.70%	0.02925	-4.00%	0.0085	✗	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.030259	-0.22%	0.02735	-9.81%	0.0187	✓	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.028139	+0.30%	0.03007	+7.18%	0.0494	✓	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.028757	-0.43%	0.03181	+10.15%	0.0826	✗	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.029397	-0.09%	0.031045	+5.51%	0.0457	✗	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027532	-0.10%	0.03147	+14.19%	0.0905	✗	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.028783	-0.16%	0.03087	+7.08%	0.0456	✗	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.029063	+0.41%	0.03047	+5.27%	0.0191	✓	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.031772	+0.19%	0.030325	-4.37%	0.0609	✗	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.03269	-0.14%	0.028055	-14.30%	0.1268	✓	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.031987	-0.20%	0.02888	-9.89%	0.0852	✓	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.031014	+0.09%	0.029425	-5.03%	0.0463	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.03147	-0.25%	0.02756	-12.65%	0.1317	✓	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.031738	-0.71%	0.02883	-9.81%	0.1142	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.029879	-0.44%	0.028945	-3.55%	0.0241	✓	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.02603	-1.06%	0.03171	+20.52%	0.0914	✗	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.023826	-0.29%	0.032735	+37.00%	0.1816	✗	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.021461	-0.20%	0.03205	+49.04%	0.2191	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.022772	-0.49%	0.030985	+35.39%	0.1131	✗	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.022698	-0.73%	0.03155	+37.98%	0.1213	✗	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.023616	-1.06%	0.031965	+33.91%	0.1065	✗	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.024322	-1.25%	0.03001	+21.84%	0.0031	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.025487	-1.31%	0.02631	+1.88%	0.1006	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.025822	-1.40%	0.023895	-8.76%	0.1614	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.026407	-1.65%	0.021505	-19.91%	0.2222	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.026208	-1.81%	0.022885	-14.26%	0.1438	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.026549	-1.74%	0.022865	-15.38%	0.1198	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.026788	-1.62%	0.02387	-12.34%	0.0876	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.026699	-1.44%	0.02463	-9.08%	0.0521	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.026239	-1.73%	0.025825	-3.28%	0.0035	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.026473	-1.55%	0.02619	-2.60%	0.0069	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.026406	-1.60%	0.02685	+0.06%	0.0243	✗	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.0259	-1.63%	0.02669	+1.37%	0.0235	✗	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.025927	-1.42%	0.02702	+2.74%	0.0216	✗	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.025266	-1.23%	0.02723	+6.45%	0.0437	✗	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.024908	-1.14%	0.02709	+7.52%	0.0539	✗	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.025907	-1.33%	0.0267	+1.69%	0.0366	✗	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.025648	-1.05%	0.02689	+3.74%	0.0374	✗	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.025798	-1.12%	0.026835	+2.86%	0.0366	✗	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.025502	-1.21%	0.02633	+1.99%	0.0352	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.029937	-1.08%	0.0263	-13.10%	0.1069	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.029531	-0.97%	0.02558	-14.22%	0.1247	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.03109	-0.76%	0.025195	-19.58%	0.1946	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.031194	-0.32%	0.026255	-16.10%	0.1683	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.0319	-0.55%	0.02592	-19.19%	0.1810	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.032687	-0.44%	0.02609	-20.53%	0.1931	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.032198	-0.30%	0.025815	-20.07%	0.2030	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.03213	-0.40%	0.030265	-6.18%	0.0675	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.032784	-0.44%	0.02982	-9.44%	0.0888	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.032882	-0.37%	0.03133	-5.07%	0.0507	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.03373	-0.44%	0.031295	-7.63%	0.0911	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.033719	-0.31%	0.032075	-5.17%	0.0680	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.033943	-0.46%	0.03283	-3.72%	0.0534	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.0338	-0.37%	0.032295	-4.80%	0.0876	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.03479	-0.61%	0.03226	-7.84%	0.0888	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.034589	-0.53%	0.03293	-5.31%	0.0632	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.034671	-0.66%	0.033005	-5.43%	0.0460	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.033386	-0.67%	0.03388	+0.80%	0.0066	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.032992	-0.70%	0.033825	+1.81%	0.0085	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.033417	-1.31%	0.0341	+0.71%	0.0020	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.033398	-1.37%	0.033925	+0.19%	0.0394	✗	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.034806	-1.31%	0.035005	-0.75%	0.0036	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.034826	-1.26%	0.034775	-1.40%	0.0107	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.034771	-1.83%	0.0349	-1.47%	0.0175	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.033995	-1.32%	0.03361	-2.44%	0.0337	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.033246	-1.20%	0.033225	-1.26%	0.0310	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.034603	-0.88%	0.03386	-3.01%	0.0877	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.034633	-1.01%	0.03386	-3.22%	0.0755	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.033951	-0.74%	0.03527	+3.11%	0.0197	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.033545	-0.58%	0.03527	+4.53%	0.0058	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.033771	-0.78%	0.03542	+4.07%	0.0122	✗	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.032674	-0.59%	0.03445	+4.81%	0.0277	✗	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.033401	-0.64%	0.03365	+0.10%	0.0223	✗	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.036189	-1.16%	0.03491	-4.66%	0.0212	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.036558	-1.50%	0.034985	-5.74%	0.0070	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.035238	-1.33%	0.034205	-4.23%	0.0206	✗	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.035612	-1.38%	0.03374	-6.56%	0.0013	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.035929	-0.94%	0.034035	-6.16%	0.0091	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.035972	-0.92%	0.03287	-9.46%	0.0487	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.037209	-0.83%	0.033615	-10.41%	0.0578	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.037412	-0.84%	0.036615	-2.96%	0.0160	✗	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.037331	-0.93%	0.037115	-1.50%	0.0233	✗	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.037247	-0.95%	0.035715	-5.03%	0.0108	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.036121	-0.27%	0.03611	-0.30%	0.0023	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.035975	+0.08%	0.03627	+0.90%	0.0090	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.03624	+0.11%	0.036305	+0.29%	0.0104	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.034572	+1.83%	0.03752	+10.52%	0.0458	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.03597	+1.90%	0.03773	+6.88%	0.0012	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.038083	+1.47%	0.03768	+0.40%	0.0470	✗	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.037288	+2.30%	0.037605	+3.17%	0.0205	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.037936	+3.51%	0.03622	-1.17%	0.0926	✗	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.039105	+3.37%	0.035945	-4.98%	0.1179	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.041212	+1.58%	0.0362	-10.77%	0.1267	✗	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.044035	+0.74%	0.03395	-22.33%	0.2282	✗	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.044506	+0.04%	0.0353	-20.66%	0.1708	✗	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.047836	-0.98%	0.03753	-22.31%	0.1583	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.046041	-1.04%	0.03645	-21.66%	0.1214	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.048043	-1.07%	0.03665	-24.53%	0.1325	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.048286	-1.05%	0.03783	-22.48%	0.1117	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.048425	-0.76%	0.04057	-16.86%	0.0758	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.047196	-0.53%	0.04371	-7.88%	0.0311	✗	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.048581	-0.34%	0.04449	-8.73%	0.0047	✗	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.050067	-0.36%	0.04831	-3.86%	0.0249	✗	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.050928	-0.55%	0.046525	-9.15%	0.0561	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.051992	-0.57%	0.048565	-7.12%	0.0390	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.052208	-0.39%	0.0488	-6.89%	0.0460	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.053614	-0.36%	0.048795	-9.32%	0.0532	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.051463	-0.21%	0.04745	-7.99%	0.0492	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.049761	-0.28%	0.048745	-2.31%	0.0113	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.050877	-0.31%	0.05025	-1.54%	0.0154	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.050741	-0.92%	0.05121	+0.00%	0.0134	✗	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.045937	+0.10%	0.05229	+13.95%	0.1443	✓	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.046415	+0.18%	0.05241	+13.12%	0.1591	✓	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.047796	+0.01%	0.05381	+12.60%	0.1548	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.047011	-0.64%	0.05157	+8.99%	0.1112	✗	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.046977	-0.75%	0.0499	+5.43%	0.0982	✗	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.048487	-0.08%	0.051035	+5.17%	0.0975	✗	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.04959	+0.27%	0.05121	+3.55%	0.0781	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.047831	-0.06%	0.04589	-4.12%	0.0171	✓	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.048686	-0.52%	0.04633	-5.33%	0.0388	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.046803	-0.63%	0.04779	+1.46%	0.0107	✗	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.046982	-0.12%	0.047315	+0.58%	0.0303	✗	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.047218	+0.17%	0.04733	+0.40%	0.0071	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.046271	+0.07%	0.048525	+4.94%	0.0267	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.045507	-0.14%	0.049455	+8.53%	0.0419	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.045482	-0.37%	0.04786	+4.84%	0.0274	✗	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.045548	+0.13%	0.04894	+7.58%	0.0484	✓	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.045457	+0.06%	0.0471	+3.68%	0.0089	✗	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.04584	-0.24%	0.04704	+2.37%	0.0422	✓	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.047068	-0.33%	0.04714	-0.18%	0.0559	✓	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.047727	-0.18%	0.04624	-3.29%	0.0627	✓	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.048626	+0.33%	0.04557	-5.97%	0.0635	✗	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.048827	+0.00%	0.04565	-6.50%	0.0800	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.048398	-0.10%	0.04549	-6.10%	0.0721	✓	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.048641	+0.14%	0.04543	-6.47%	0.0425	✗	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.047931	+0.33%	0.04595	-3.82%	0.0098	✗	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.048138	-0.46%	0.047225	-2.35%	0.0187	✓	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.048532	-0.30%	0.047815	-1.78%	0.0351	✓	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.047033	-0.18%	0.048465	+2.85%	0.0365	✓	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.049208	+0.07%	0.048825	-0.71%	0.0338	✗	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.051538	+0.06%	0.048445	-5.94%	0.0668	✗	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.048345	+0.18%	0.048575	+0.65%	0.0372	✗	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.047493	+0.27%	0.047775	+0.87%	0.0395	✗	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.04706	+0.13%	0.04836	+2.89%	0.0026	✗	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.048059	+0.07%	0.04868	+1.36%	0.0066	✗	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.046434	-0.26%	0.04712	+1.21%	0.0298	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.04734	-0.27%	0.049175	+3.59%	0.0006	✓	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.0474	-0.34%	0.051505	+8.29%	0.0257	✗	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.046972	-0.39%	0.04826	+2.34%	0.0211	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.046709	-0.29%	0.047365	+1.11%	0.0401	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.047715	-0.46%	0.047	-1.95%	0.0477	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.046482	-1.01%	0.048025	+2.28%	0.0507	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.046467	-1.21%	0.046555	-1.02%	0.0249	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.046975	-1.36%	0.04747	-0.31%	0.0801	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.04832	-1.50%	0.04756	-3.05%	0.1115	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.048229	-1.86%	0.047155	-4.05%	0.1008	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.047281	-1.40%	0.046845	-2.30%	0.0570	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.046202	-0.91%	0.047935	+2.81%	0.0221	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.044526	-0.52%	0.046955	+4.90%	0.0183	✗	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.044928	-0.04%	0.047035	+4.65%	0.0046	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.044869	+0.13%	0.04762	+6.27%	0.0433	✓	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.046272	+0.20%	0.049055	+6.23%	0.0482	✓	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.049103	+0.15%	0.049145	+0.23%	0.0316	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.050796	+0.13%	0.04795	-5.48%	0.0067	✗	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.051599	-0.07%	0.046625	-9.70%	0.0641	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.051073	+0.11%	0.04476	-12.26%	0.0646	✗	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.050233	-0.10%	0.044945	-10.62%	0.0790	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.050529	-0.25%	0.04481	-11.54%	0.0763	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.051414	-0.31%	0.04618	-10.46%	0.0381	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.051475	-0.15%	0.04903	-4.89%	0.0297	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.053582	-0.12%	0.05073	-5.43%	0.0556	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.055418	-0.22%	0.051635	-7.03%	0.0155	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.055921	-0.18%	0.051015	-8.94%	0.0261	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.054544	-0.39%	0.050285	-8.16%	0.0033	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.054163	-0.36%	0.050655	-6.82%	0.0272	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.053843	-0.44%	0.051575	-4.63%	0.0354	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.054499	-0.50%	0.05155	-5.89%	0.0451	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.054862	-0.43%	0.053645	-2.64%	0.0401	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.054746	-0.56%	0.05554	+0.88%	0.0520	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.050394	-0.43%	0.056025	+10.70%	0.0009	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.049624	+0.16%	0.054755	+10.52%	0.0195	✗	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.053355	+0.12%	0.05436	+2.01%	0.0492	✗	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.052938	+0.20%	0.05408	+2.36%	0.0269	✗	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.053906	+0.01%	0.054775	+1.62%	0.0220	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.054807	-0.26%	0.0551	+0.27%	0.0470	✗	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.053969	+0.13%	0.055055	+2.14%	0.0094	✗	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.055301	+0.01%	0.05061	-8.47%	0.0814	✗	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.054527	-0.26%	0.049545	-9.37%	0.0997	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.055276	-0.49%	0.05329	-4.07%	0.0420	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.055509	-0.23%	0.052835	-5.03%	0.0913	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.056453	-0.23%	0.0539	-4.75%	0.1079	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.05673	-0.58%	0.05495	-3.70%	0.1156	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.053025	-0.04%	0.0539	+1.61%	0.0644	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.053255	-0.25%	0.055295	+3.57%	0.0400	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.055107	-0.59%	0.05467	-1.38%	0.0264	✗	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.056469	-0.77%	0.05555	-2.39%	0.0017	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.056027	-0.80%	0.055635	-1.50%	0.0323	✗	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.055447	-0.80%	0.056585	+1.23%	0.0108	✗	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.056083	-0.83%	0.05706	+0.89%	0.0120	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.056869	-1.03%	0.053045	-7.68%	0.0060	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.05751	-1.11%	0.05339	-8.19%	0.0041	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.056577	-0.99%	0.055435	-2.99%	0.0009	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.060006	-1.40%	0.05691	-6.49%	0.0203	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.056974	-0.98%	0.05648	-1.84%	0.0060	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.056126	-0.90%	0.055895	-1.31%	0.0183	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.054973	-0.90%	0.056555	+1.96%	0.0397	✗	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.053838	-0.82%	0.05746	+5.86%	0.0900	✗	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.054693	-0.96%	0.058155	+5.31%	0.0840	✗	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.055031	-0.89%	0.057145	+2.92%	0.0649	✗	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.054932	-0.44%	0.06086	+10.30%	0.0925	✗	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.056495	-0.73%	0.05754	+1.11%	0.0495	✗	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.0516	+3.69%	0.056635	+13.80%	0.0249	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.058011	-0.14%	0.05547	-4.51%	0.0801	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.058612	-0.78%	0.05428	-8.11%	0.0637	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.062338	-1.61%	0.055225	-12.84%	0.0505	✗	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.053811	-0.46%	0.055525	+2.71%	0.1596	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.054833	-0.90%	0.055175	-0.28%	0.1943	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.056723	-1.67%	0.05691	-1.34%	0.2799	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.056675	-1.75%	0.049765	-13.73%	0.3372	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.064106	-2.34%	0.05809	-11.50%	0.2041	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.071844	-3.18%	0.05907	-20.39%	0.0548	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.069695	-3.53%	0.06336	-12.30%	0.0780	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.074253	-4.67%	0.05406	-30.59%	0.1313	✓	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.088027	-7.67%	0.05533	-41.97%	0.2825	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.068162	-5.57%	0.057685	-20.08%	0.0763	✓	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.051677	-1.21%	0.057685	+10.28%	0.1919	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.05177	-1.16%	0.06564	+25.33%	0.2406	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.050014	-0.96%	0.0742	+46.93%	0.3814	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.053676	-1.58%	0.072245	+32.46%	0.3651	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.054395	-1.71%	0.07789	+40.75%	0.4705	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.058111	-1.91%	0.09534	+60.94%	0.5867	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.058447	-2.07%	0.07218	+20.95%	0.3027	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.059134	-2.18%	0.05231	-13.47%	0.0295	✓	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.062105	-2.21%	0.052375	-17.53%	0.0560	✓	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.063253	-2.06%	0.0505	-21.80%	0.1158	✓	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.059425	-2.09%	0.05454	-10.14%	0.1069	✓	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.062244	-2.17%	0.05534	-13.02%	0.1604	✓	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.062526	-2.17%	0.05924	-7.31%	0.1277	✓	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.064288	-2.20%	0.05968	-9.21%	0.1519	✓	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.06547	-2.14%	0.06045	-9.65%	0.1492	✓	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.06586	-2.04%	0.06351	-5.53%	0.1416	✓	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.068178	-2.83%	0.06458	-7.95%	0.0850	✓	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.065932	-1.78%	0.060695	-9.59%	0.0323	✓	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.061214	-1.78%	0.063625	+2.09%	0.0504	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.058286	-0.99%	0.06391	+8.56%	0.0963	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.058125	-0.84%	0.065735	+12.14%	0.1125	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.056391	-0.26%	0.066905	+18.33%	0.1279	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.055123	-0.29%	0.06723	+21.61%	0.1275	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.055601	-0.66%	0.07016	+25.35%	0.1348	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.055113	-0.68%	0.06713	+20.98%	0.0743	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.056225	-0.52%	0.06232	+10.26%	0.0366	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.057672	-0.43%	0.05887	+1.64%	0.0304	✓	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.055769	+0.22%	0.05862	+5.35%	0.0013	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.055698	+0.30%	0.05654	+1.82%	0.0138	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.057813	-0.00%	0.055285	-4.38%	0.0427	✓	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.058472	+0.12%	0.05597	-4.17%	0.0611	✗	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.059805	-0.00%	0.05549	-7.22%	0.0490	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.059433	+0.11%	0.05652	-4.80%	0.0367	✗	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.060094	+0.01%	0.05792	-3.60%	0.0276	✗	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.060287	+0.22%	0.055645	-7.50%	0.0657	✗	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.055666	+0.62%	0.05553	+0.37%	0.0332	✗	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.06302	+0.22%	0.057815	-8.06%	0.1110	✗	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.070926	-0.29%	0.058405	-17.90%	0.1869	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.071342	+0.09%	0.059805	-16.10%	0.2134	✗	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.073827	-0.04%	0.05937	-19.62%	0.2260	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.075845	-0.18%	0.060085	-20.92%	0.2000	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.074745	+0.02%	0.060155	-19.50%	0.1799	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.076528	+0.08%	0.055325	-27.65%	0.2025	✗	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.07625	+0.16%	0.06288	-17.40%	0.0927	✗	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.079027	+0.05%	0.071135	-9.94%	0.0235	✗	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.078136	+0.15%	0.07128	-8.64%	0.0191	✗	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.078252	-0.05%	0.07386	-5.66%	0.0198	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.078161	+0.14%	0.07598	-2.66%	0.0452	✗	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.077136	+0.22%	0.07473	-2.91%	0.0477	✗	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.080157	-0.16%	0.07647	-4.75%	0.0546	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.080819	-0.19%	0.07613	-5.98%	0.0361	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.079218	-0.18%	0.07899	-0.47%	0.0263	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.075624	+0.16%	0.07802	+3.34%	0.0484	✗	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.078158	-0.12%	0.07829	+0.05%	0.0011	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.078731	-0.06%	0.078055	-0.91%	0.0199	✗	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.079426	-0.04%	0.07697	-3.13%	0.0029	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.081157	-0.09%	0.080285	-1.16%	0.0248	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.081836	-0.21%	0.080975	-1.26%	0.0642	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.081811	+0.08%	0.07936	-2.92%	0.1066	✗	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.081378	+0.18%	0.0755	-7.05%	0.0361	✗	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.080117	+0.59%	0.07825	-1.76%	0.0924	✗	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.077903	+1.03%	0.078775	+2.16%	0.1093	✗	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.076996	+1.31%	0.07946	+4.55%	0.0824	✗	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.080821	+1.06%	0.08123	+1.57%	0.0868	✗	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.08361	+0.37%	0.08201	-1.55%	0.0001	✓	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.085841	+0.02%	0.081745	-4.75%	0.0617	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.084889	+0.25%	0.08123	-4.07%	0.0320	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.087153	-0.06%	0.07965	-8.66%	0.0568	✗	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.087866	-0.06%	0.07711	-12.29%	0.0875	✗	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.08707	+0.43%	0.076	-12.34%	0.0544	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.092983	-0.35%	0.079975	-14.29%	0.1091	✗	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.097327	-0.63%	0.083305	-14.95%	0.0387	✗	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.098254	-0.68%	0.085825	-13.24%	0.0476	✗	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.103397	-0.90%	0.084675	-18.84%	0.0484	✗	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.100144	-0.71%	0.087205	-13.54%	0.0492	✗	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.100386	-0.51%	0.087915	-12.87%	0.0097	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.098499	-0.41%	0.086695	-12.34%	0.0294	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.090293	+0.31%	0.093305	+3.65%	0.0617	✓	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.091272	+0.02%	0.097945	+7.33%	0.1085	✓	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.08618	+1.09%	0.098925	+16.03%	0.1119	✓	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.093154	+0.44%	0.104335	+12.50%	0.1228	✓	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.104184	+0.03%	0.10086	-3.16%	0.0587	✓	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.104997	-0.00%	0.1009	-3.90%	0.0842	✗	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.103724	+0.19%	0.0989	-4.47%	0.0515	✓	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.102276	+0.32%	0.090015	-11.71%	0.0148	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.107254	+0.17%	0.091255	-14.77%	0.0649	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.108425	+0.28%	0.085255	-21.15%	0.0570	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.110322	+0.05%	0.092745	-15.89%	0.0563	✗	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.110792	-0.33%	0.104155	-6.30%	0.0005	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.107754	-0.39%	0.105	-2.94%	0.0005	✓	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.108518	-0.42%	0.103525	-5.00%	0.0236	✓	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.107908	-0.54%	0.101955	-6.03%	0.0278	✓	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.104376	-0.38%	0.107075	+2.20%	0.0137	✓	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.105244	-0.53%	0.108125	+2.19%	0.0447	✓	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.106521	-0.86%	0.110265	+2.62%	0.0213	✓	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.105513	-0.74%	0.111155	+4.57%	0.0418	✓	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.1026	-0.48%	0.108175	+4.93%	0.0196	✓	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.102041	-0.15%	0.108975	+6.63%	0.0089	✓	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.10593	-0.37%	0.108495	+2.04%	0.0071	✓	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.109174	-0.94%	0.104775	-4.94%	0.0107	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.11201	-1.28%	0.105805	-6.75%	0.0184	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.117179	-1.50%	0.10745	-9.68%	0.0131	✓	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.110109	-0.90%	0.106295	-4.33%	0.0645	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.10518	-0.04%	0.103095	-2.02%	0.0373	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.102699	-0.45%	0.102195	-0.94%	0.1013	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.136693	-1.76%	0.106325	-23.59%	0.1092	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.140562	-1.85%	0.110215	-23.04%	0.1162	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.139295	-1.94%	0.113465	-20.12%	0.1214	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.148036	-1.86%	0.118965	-21.13%	0.1297	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.146637	-1.92%	0.11111	-25.68%	0.1976	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.147801	-2.02%	0.105225	-30.24%	0.2262	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.151272	-2.07%	0.103165	-33.21%	0.2929	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.152106	-2.19%	0.139145	-10.53%	0.0994	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.151768	-2.31%	0.143215	-7.81%	0.1041	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.147522	-2.31%	0.142045	-5.93%	0.1140	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.149734	-2.37%	0.150835	-1.65%	0.0999	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.151103	-2.35%	0.149505	-3.38%	0.1327	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.148258	-2.30%	0.150845	-0.59%	0.1270	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.149636	-2.43%	0.154465	+0.72%	0.1107	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.145405	-2.64%	0.155515	+4.13%	0.0639	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.14755	-2.31%	0.155355	+2.86%	0.0118	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.147312	-2.32%	0.151005	+0.13%	0.0007	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.147825	-2.29%	0.153365	+1.37%	0.0174	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.158476	-2.41%	0.154735	-4.71%	0.0116	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.153388	-2.20%	0.151745	-3.25%	0.0668	✗	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.153344	-2.18%	0.153365	-2.16%	0.0753	✗	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.155637	-2.26%	0.14934	-6.22%	0.0613	✗	1.44

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.