KAIA

Kaia · native · gru_s6

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,139

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

66.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1654

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0313

actual -0.0578

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04027	0.037229	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.038706	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.03764	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.038262	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.040539	-7.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.039313	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.039426	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.04025	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.043653	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.042109	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.047957	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.051594	-8.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.053742	-11.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.034629	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.03592	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.037309	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.038338	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.035921	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.035651	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.034467	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.035127	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.03305	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.032463	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.031244	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.032147	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.033559	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.033243	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.031905	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.03096	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.031221	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.032045	-1.99%	0.04027	+23.17%	0.2922	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.02937	-3.21%	0.041885	+38.03%	0.3250	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.029353	-3.76%	0.040865	+33.98%	0.3206	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.028957	-3.38%	0.041415	+38.19%	0.3386	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.027289	-5.25%	0.044045	+52.93%	0.3871	✗	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.026762	-3.84%	0.04206	+51.13%	0.3547	✗	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.026195	-3.36%	0.04226	+55.91%	0.3602	✗	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.028226	-2.57%	0.04303	+48.53%	0.3625	✗	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.028275	-3.38%	0.046865	+60.14%	0.3949	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.028174	-3.52%	0.0451	+54.45%	0.3914	✗	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.028079	-4.00%	0.05169	+76.72%	0.4967	✗	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.026244	-4.04%	0.05665	+107.13%	0.6577	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.02896	-3.69%	0.0605	+101.20%	0.6651	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.030405	-4.42%	0.03702	+16.38%	0.1414	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.029645	-4.51%	0.0382	+23.05%	0.1821	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.030348	-3.56%	0.03959	+25.80%	0.1772	✗	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.029847	-3.31%	0.040385	+30.82%	0.2020	✗	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.029415	-3.46%	0.03753	+23.17%	0.1330	✗	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.029816	-1.68%	0.03741	+23.36%	0.1693	✗	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.027878	-0.63%	0.03605	+28.50%	0.1365	✗	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.028537	-1.19%	0.036805	+27.44%	0.1292	✗	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.029045	-1.29%	0.034525	+17.33%	0.0918	✗	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027008	-2.00%	0.033875	+22.91%	0.1319	✗	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.028334	-1.72%	0.032585	+13.02%	0.0619	✗	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.028936	-0.03%	0.03336	+15.25%	0.0436	✗	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.031815	+0.33%	0.03517	+10.91%	0.0414	✓	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.032591	-0.44%	0.034845	+6.45%	0.0069	✓	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.032036	-0.04%	0.033055	+3.14%	0.0530	✓	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.031245	+0.84%	0.031735	+2.42%	0.0622	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.031578	+0.09%	0.031995	+1.41%	0.1100	✗	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.031743	-0.69%	0.032695	+2.28%	0.1097	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.030444	+1.45%	0.030345	+1.12%	0.0469	✗	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.025961	-1.33%	0.0305	+15.93%	0.0419	✗	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.023527	-1.54%	0.02997	+25.42%	0.0820	✗	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.020869	-2.96%	0.0288	+33.92%	0.1666	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.022114	-3.37%	0.02783	+21.61%	0.0701	✗	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.021923	-4.12%	0.027105	+18.54%	0.0316	✓	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.022786	-4.54%	0.02897	+21.37%	0.0298	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.023475	-4.69%	0.029265	+18.82%	0.0321	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.024653	-4.54%	0.0292	+13.07%	0.0164	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.024954	-4.72%	0.02925	+11.68%	0.0271	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.025408	-5.37%	0.02735	+1.86%	0.1012	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.025226	-5.48%	0.03007	+12.66%	0.0136	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.025517	-5.56%	0.03181	+17.73%	0.0418	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.025835	-5.12%	0.031045	+14.01%	0.0019	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.025906	-4.37%	0.03147	+16.17%	0.0088	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.025398	-4.88%	0.03087	+15.62%	0.0091	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.025537	-5.03%	0.03047	+13.31%	0.0223	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.025503	-4.97%	0.030325	+13.01%	0.0501	✓	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.024984	-5.11%	0.028055	+6.55%	0.0677	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.024955	-5.11%	0.02888	+9.81%	0.0393	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.024364	-4.75%	0.029425	+15.03%	0.0198	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.024052	-4.54%	0.02756	+9.39%	0.0606	✓	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.025033	-4.65%	0.02883	+9.81%	0.0331	✓	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.02488	-4.01%	0.028945	+11.67%	0.0266	✓	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.025172	-3.52%	0.03171	+21.54%	0.0254	✓	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.024765	-4.07%	0.032735	+26.81%	0.0852	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.02895	-4.35%	0.03205	+5.90%	0.0438	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.028592	-4.12%	0.030985	+3.91%	0.0815	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.030247	-3.46%	0.03155	+0.70%	0.1100	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.030615	-2.17%	0.031965	+2.14%	0.0918	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.03118	-2.79%	0.03001	-6.44%	0.1725	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.032015	-2.48%	0.02631	-19.86%	0.2698	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.031539	-2.34%	0.023895	-26.01%	0.3239	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.031435	-2.56%	0.021505	-33.34%	0.3796	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.032153	-2.36%	0.022885	-30.50%	0.3362	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.032153	-2.58%	0.022865	-30.72%	0.3276	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.033021	-2.53%	0.02387	-29.55%	0.3149	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.033189	-1.88%	0.02463	-27.18%	0.2748	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.033307	-2.33%	0.025825	-24.27%	0.2334	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.03315	-2.28%	0.02619	-22.80%	0.2523	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.03414	-2.47%	0.02685	-23.30%	0.2372	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.033893	-2.54%	0.02669	-23.25%	0.2408	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.03401	-2.55%	0.02702	-22.58%	0.2398	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.032767	-2.51%	0.02723	-18.98%	0.2084	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.032316	-2.73%	0.02709	-18.47%	0.2122	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.03274	-3.31%	0.0267	-21.15%	0.2166	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.032668	-3.52%	0.02689	-20.58%	0.2027	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.033822	-4.10%	0.026835	-23.92%	0.2377	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.033982	-3.65%	0.02633	-25.35%	0.2602	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.034012	-3.98%	0.0263	-25.75%	0.2701	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.033151	-3.77%	0.02558	-25.75%	0.2762	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.032421	-3.65%	0.025195	-25.13%	0.2903	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.03356	-3.87%	0.026255	-24.79%	0.3297	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.033641	-3.84%	0.02592	-25.91%	0.3122	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.032886	-3.86%	0.02609	-23.72%	0.2929	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.032579	-3.44%	0.025815	-23.49%	0.2854	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.032718	-3.87%	0.030265	-11.08%	0.1516	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.031656	-3.69%	0.02982	-9.28%	0.1233	✓	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.032436	-3.51%	0.03133	-6.80%	0.0785	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.035034	-4.32%	0.031295	-14.53%	0.1445	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.035336	-4.79%	0.032075	-13.58%	0.1243	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.033998	-4.81%	0.03283	-8.08%	0.0765	✓	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.03441	-4.71%	0.032295	-10.56%	0.0757	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.03492	-3.72%	0.03226	-11.06%	0.0943	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.034867	-3.96%	0.03293	-9.30%	0.0812	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.036236	-3.42%	0.033005	-12.03%	0.0866	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.036459	-3.37%	0.03388	-10.20%	0.0503	✓	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.036384	-3.44%	0.033825	-10.23%	0.0535	✓	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.036242	-3.63%	0.0341	-9.32%	0.0520	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.034955	-3.49%	0.033925	-6.34%	0.0025	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.034781	-3.24%	0.035005	-2.62%	0.0039	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.034846	-3.74%	0.034775	-3.94%	0.0047	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.033138	-2.39%	0.0349	+2.80%	0.0195	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.03436	-2.66%	0.03361	-4.79%	0.0401	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.036436	-2.91%	0.033225	-11.47%	0.0826	✓	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.035547	-2.48%	0.03386	-7.11%	0.0489	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.03568	-2.65%	0.03386	-7.61%	0.0932	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.036782	-2.77%	0.03527	-6.77%	0.0762	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.03909	-3.65%	0.03527	-13.06%	0.0939	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.04178	-4.42%	0.03542	-18.97%	0.1466	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.042503	-4.47%	0.03445	-22.57%	0.1465	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.046064	-4.65%	0.03365	-30.35%	0.1951	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.044491	-4.37%	0.03491	-24.97%	0.0717	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.046613	-4.02%	0.034985	-27.96%	0.1406	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.046511	-4.69%	0.034205	-29.91%	0.1564	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.046969	-3.74%	0.03374	-30.85%	0.1849	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.045763	-3.56%	0.034035	-28.27%	0.1411	✓	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.047522	-2.51%	0.03287	-32.57%	0.1967	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.049179	-2.13%	0.033615	-33.10%	0.2011	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.049761	-2.83%	0.036615	-28.50%	0.1505	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.051007	-2.45%	0.037115	-29.02%	0.1800	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.051277	-2.16%	0.035715	-31.85%	0.2259	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.052812	-1.86%	0.03611	-32.89%	0.2357	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.050867	-1.36%	0.03627	-29.67%	0.1853	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.049186	-1.43%	0.036305	-27.24%	0.1521	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.050354	-1.34%	0.03752	-26.48%	0.1598	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.050534	-1.32%	0.03773	-26.32%	0.1672	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.045645	-0.53%	0.03768	-17.89%	0.0628	✓	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.046875	+1.18%	0.037605	-18.83%	0.0716	✗	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.048471	+1.43%	0.03622	-24.21%	0.1042	✗	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.0469	-0.88%	0.035945	-24.03%	0.0875	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.046762	-1.20%	0.0362	-23.52%	0.0670	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.048178	-0.72%	0.03395	-30.04%	0.1312	✓	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.049516	+0.12%	0.0353	-28.62%	0.1188	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.047457	-0.84%	0.03753	-21.58%	0.0485	✓	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.048162	-1.59%	0.03645	-25.52%	0.0993	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.046079	-2.17%	0.03665	-22.19%	0.0198	✓	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.047013	-0.06%	0.03783	-19.58%	0.0332	✗	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.047502	+0.77%	0.04057	-13.94%	0.0580	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.046064	-0.38%	0.04371	-5.47%	0.1457	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.045282	-0.63%	0.04449	-2.37%	0.1323	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.04518	-1.03%	0.04831	+5.83%	0.1605	✗	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.045304	-0.41%	0.046525	+2.28%	0.0850	✗	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.044851	-1.27%	0.048565	+6.90%	0.1113	✗	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.045164	-1.71%	0.0488	+6.20%	0.1075	✗	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.046167	-2.24%	0.048795	+3.32%	0.0922	✗	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.047096	-1.50%	0.04745	-0.76%	0.0469	✗	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.048578	+0.23%	0.048745	+0.58%	0.0397	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.048542	-0.58%	0.05025	+2.92%	0.0396	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.04795	-1.02%	0.05121	+5.71%	0.0722	✗	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.048437	-0.28%	0.05229	+7.65%	0.0978	✗	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.04814	+0.76%	0.05241	+9.70%	0.1215	✓	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.048282	-0.16%	0.05381	+11.27%	0.0924	✗	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.048205	-0.97%	0.05157	+5.94%	0.0458	✗	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.046973	-0.31%	0.0499	+5.90%	0.0196	✗	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.049158	-0.03%	0.051035	+3.78%	0.0210	✗	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.051927	+0.82%	0.05121	-0.57%	0.0181	✗	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.048347	+0.18%	0.04589	-4.91%	0.0917	✗	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.047172	-0.41%	0.04633	-2.19%	0.0745	✓	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.046657	-0.73%	0.04779	+1.68%	0.0680	✓	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.047538	-1.01%	0.047315	-1.48%	0.0694	✓	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.045564	-2.13%	0.04733	+1.66%	0.0970	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.046446	-2.16%	0.048525	+2.22%	0.0735	✓	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.046447	-2.34%	0.049455	+3.98%	0.0618	✓	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.045955	-2.54%	0.04786	+1.50%	0.0816	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.045804	-2.22%	0.04894	+4.47%	0.0605	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.046778	-2.41%	0.0471	-1.74%	0.1052	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.045044	-4.07%	0.04704	+0.18%	0.1358	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.044986	-4.36%	0.04714	+0.22%	0.1232	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.045375	-4.71%	0.04624	-2.90%	0.1689	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.046675	-4.85%	0.04557	-7.10%	0.2009	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.04652	-5.34%	0.04565	-7.11%	0.1985	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.045585	-4.93%	0.04549	-5.13%	0.1570	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.04487	-3.76%	0.04543	-2.56%	0.1129	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.043275	-3.32%	0.04595	+2.66%	0.0813	✓	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.043923	-2.27%	0.047225	+5.07%	0.0903	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.043955	-1.91%	0.047815	+6.71%	0.0879	✓	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.04546	-1.56%	0.048465	+4.95%	0.1262	✓	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.048257	-1.58%	0.048825	-0.42%	0.1233	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.05002	-1.40%	0.048445	-4.50%	0.1243	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.050657	-1.89%	0.048575	-5.93%	0.1586	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.050375	-1.26%	0.047775	-6.35%	0.1632	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.049188	-2.18%	0.04836	-3.83%	0.1517	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.049445	-2.39%	0.04868	-3.90%	0.1254	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.050347	-2.38%	0.04712	-8.64%	0.1189	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.050606	-1.83%	0.049175	-4.61%	0.1201	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.052824	-1.53%	0.051505	-3.99%	0.1168	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.054773	-1.38%	0.04826	-13.11%	0.1459	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.055594	-0.77%	0.047365	-15.46%	0.1594	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.054233	-0.95%	0.047	-14.16%	0.1650	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.053473	-1.63%	0.048025	-11.65%	0.1604	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.052908	-2.17%	0.046555	-13.91%	0.1247	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.053502	-2.32%	0.04747	-13.34%	0.1624	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.053997	-2.00%	0.04756	-13.68%	0.1738	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.053918	-2.06%	0.047155	-14.35%	0.1652	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.049629	-1.94%	0.046845	-7.44%	0.1028	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.049197	-0.70%	0.047935	-3.25%	0.1288	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.052725	-1.06%	0.046955	-11.89%	0.1436	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.052466	-0.70%	0.047035	-10.98%	0.1247	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.053472	-0.79%	0.04762	-11.65%	0.0536	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.05461	-0.62%	0.049055	-10.73%	0.0088	✓	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.053267	-1.17%	0.049145	-8.82%	0.0540	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.054575	-1.30%	0.04795	-13.28%	0.1163	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.053574	-2.01%	0.046625	-14.72%	0.1849	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.054177	-2.47%	0.04476	-19.42%	0.1866	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.054458	-2.12%	0.044945	-19.21%	0.1938	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.055368	-2.15%	0.04481	-20.81%	0.1896	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.055366	-2.97%	0.04618	-19.07%	0.1508	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.051944	-2.08%	0.04903	-7.57%	0.1464	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.051942	-2.71%	0.05073	-4.98%	0.1446	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.053583	-3.34%	0.051635	-6.85%	0.0894	✓	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.054808	-3.69%	0.051015	-10.36%	0.1238	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.054353	-3.77%	0.050285	-10.97%	0.0753	✓	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.053752	-3.83%	0.050655	-9.37%	0.0948	✓	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.054352	-3.89%	0.051575	-8.81%	0.1269	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.054988	-4.30%	0.05155	-10.29%	0.1085	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.055611	-4.37%	0.053645	-7.76%	0.0781	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.054781	-4.14%	0.05554	-2.81%	0.0753	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.057904	-4.86%	0.056025	-7.94%	0.1197	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.055165	-4.13%	0.054755	-4.84%	0.0766	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.054237	-4.23%	0.05436	-4.02%	0.0882	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.053044	-4.37%	0.05408	-2.51%	0.0515	✓	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.05185	-4.48%	0.054775	+0.91%	0.0235	✓	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.052584	-4.78%	0.0551	-0.23%	0.0448	✓	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.05287	-4.78%	0.055055	-0.85%	0.0463	✓	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.052769	-4.36%	0.05061	-8.27%	0.0267	✓	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.05424	-4.69%	0.049545	-12.94%	0.0059	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.04872	-2.10%	0.05329	+7.08%	0.0011	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.05578	-3.98%	0.052835	-9.05%	0.0472	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.05611	-5.01%	0.0539	-8.75%	0.0562	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.059514	-6.07%	0.05495	-13.27%	0.0380	✓	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.051489	-4.76%	0.0539	-0.30%	0.2139	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.052515	-5.09%	0.055295	-0.06%	0.2485	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.054261	-5.94%	0.05467	-5.23%	0.3938	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.054301	-5.87%	0.05555	-3.70%	0.3887	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.061394	-6.47%	0.055635	-15.24%	0.3598	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.068716	-7.39%	0.056585	-23.74%	0.2312	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.066742	-7.62%	0.05706	-21.02%	0.2365	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.070971	-8.88%	0.053045	-31.90%	0.1817	✗	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.08396	-11.94%	0.05339	-44.00%	0.0156	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.065559	-9.17%	0.055435	-23.20%	0.2425	✗	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.049473	-5.42%	0.05691	+8.79%	0.5359	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.049639	-5.22%	0.05648	+7.84%	0.5225	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.047939	-5.07%	0.055895	+10.68%	0.5501	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.05159	-5.41%	0.056555	+3.69%	0.5655	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.052286	-5.52%	0.05746	+3.83%	0.5597	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.055773	-5.85%	0.058155	-1.83%	0.4937	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.056052	-6.08%	0.057145	-4.25%	0.4806	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.056637	-6.31%	0.06086	+0.68%	0.5144	✗	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.059513	-6.29%	0.05754	-9.40%	0.4473	✗	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.060705	-6.00%	0.056635	-12.30%	0.4488	✗	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.05694	-6.19%	0.05547	-8.61%	0.4096	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.059686	-6.19%	0.05428	-14.69%	0.3033	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.059986	-6.14%	0.055225	-13.59%	0.2837	✗	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.061821	-5.95%	0.055525	-15.53%	0.2582	✗	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.063508	-5.08%	0.055175	-17.53%	0.2478	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.06379	-5.12%	0.05691	-15.35%	0.3358	✗	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.066425	-5.32%	0.049765	-29.07%	0.4116	✗	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.064029	-4.62%	0.05809	-13.47%	0.3401	✗	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.060065	-3.62%	0.05907	-5.22%	0.3105	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.05708	-3.04%	0.06336	+7.63%	0.3454	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.057096	-2.60%	0.05406	-7.78%	0.2124	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.055289	-2.21%	0.05533	-2.14%	0.2050	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.054057	-2.22%	0.057685	+4.34%	0.1313	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.054503	-2.62%	0.057685	+3.06%	0.1319	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.05391	-2.85%	0.06564	+18.29%	0.1586	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.055029	-2.64%	0.0742	+31.28%	0.2759	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.056723	-2.07%	0.072245	+24.73%	0.2337	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.054676	-1.74%	0.07789	+39.98%	0.3675	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.054653	-1.58%	0.09534	+71.69%	0.5214	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.056511	-2.26%	0.07218	+24.85%	0.2106	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.057267	-1.95%	0.05231	-10.44%	0.1268	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.05854	-2.11%	0.052375	-12.42%	0.1255	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.0583	-1.80%	0.0505	-14.94%	0.1378	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.058835	-2.08%	0.05454	-9.23%	0.1500	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.059238	-1.52%	0.05534	-8.00%	0.1646	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.05479	-0.97%	0.05924	+7.08%	0.0880	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.061889	-1.58%	0.05968	-5.09%	0.1938	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.069373	-2.48%	0.06045	-15.02%	0.2646	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.069959	-1.85%	0.06351	-10.90%	0.2710	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.072327	-2.08%	0.06458	-12.56%	0.2326	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.074266	-2.26%	0.060695	-20.12%	0.2174	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.073442	-1.72%	0.063625	-14.86%	0.1535	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.07543	-1.36%	0.06391	-16.42%	0.1294	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.075362	-1.01%	0.065735	-13.65%	0.1112	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.078077	-1.16%	0.066905	-15.30%	0.1268	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.077308	-0.91%	0.06723	-13.83%	0.1501	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.077431	-1.10%	0.07016	-10.38%	0.1534	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.076957	-1.41%	0.06713	-14.00%	0.2137	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.076071	-1.17%	0.06232	-19.03%	0.2359	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.078717	-1.95%	0.05887	-26.67%	0.2653	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.079436	-1.90%	0.05862	-27.61%	0.2449	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.077744	-2.04%	0.05654	-28.76%	0.2741	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.074325	-1.56%	0.055285	-26.77%	0.3185	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.076654	-2.04%	0.05597	-28.47%	0.2781	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.077283	-1.89%	0.05549	-29.56%	0.2625	✓	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.077996	-1.84%	0.05652	-28.87%	0.2663	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.079642	-1.95%	0.05792	-28.70%	0.2539	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.080187	-2.22%	0.055645	-32.15%	0.3064	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.080235	-1.85%	0.05553	-32.07%	0.3650	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.079937	-1.59%	0.057815	-28.83%	0.3112	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.078851	-1.00%	0.058405	-26.67%	0.3124	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.076541	-0.74%	0.059805	-22.44%	0.3236	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.07564	-0.47%	0.05937	-21.88%	0.3128	✓	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.079229	-0.93%	0.060085	-24.87%	0.3115	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.081884	-1.71%	0.060155	-27.79%	0.2415	✓	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.083749	-2.42%	0.055325	-35.54%	0.2656	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.082682	-2.35%	0.06288	-25.74%	0.1555	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.084728	-2.84%	0.071135	-18.43%	0.0496	✓	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.085497	-2.75%	0.07128	-18.92%	0.0004	✓	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.08514	-1.79%	0.07386	-14.80%	0.0166	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.090589	-2.91%	0.07598	-18.57%	0.0063	✓	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.094659	-3.35%	0.07473	-23.70%	0.0181	✓	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.09557	-3.39%	0.07647	-22.70%	0.0330	✓	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.100625	-3.56%	0.07613	-27.03%	0.0296	✓	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.097388	-3.44%	0.07899	-21.68%	0.0065	✓	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.097812	-3.06%	0.07802	-22.68%	0.0084	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.096145	-2.79%	0.07829	-20.84%	0.0301	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.088343	-1.86%	0.078055	-13.29%	0.0948	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.089057	-2.41%	0.07697	-15.65%	0.1173	✗	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.084361	-1.05%	0.080285	-5.83%	0.1179	✗	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.091328	-1.53%	0.080975	-12.69%	0.1070	✗	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.102073	-2.00%	0.07936	-23.81%	0.0692	✗	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.102775	-2.12%	0.0755	-28.10%	0.1038	✗	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.101836	-1.63%	0.07825	-24.41%	0.0602	✗	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.100413	-1.51%	0.078775	-22.74%	0.0539	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.105265	-1.69%	0.07946	-25.79%	0.0388	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.106737	-1.28%	0.08123	-24.87%	0.0913	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.108381	-1.71%	0.08201	-25.62%	0.1196	✗	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.108361	-2.51%	0.081745	-26.46%	0.1843	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.105302	-2.66%	0.08123	-24.91%	0.1500	✗	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.105873	-2.85%	0.07965	-26.91%	0.1447	✗	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.105113	-3.12%	0.07711	-28.93%	0.1490	✗	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.101582	-3.05%	0.076	-27.46%	0.1196	✗	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.102367	-3.25%	0.079975	-24.41%	0.1459	✗	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.103399	-3.77%	0.083305	-22.47%	0.1221	✗	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.102376	-3.69%	0.085825	-19.26%	0.1033	✗	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.099492	-3.49%	0.084675	-17.87%	0.1092	✗	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.099213	-2.92%	0.087205	-14.67%	0.0881	✗	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.102851	-3.27%	0.087915	-17.31%	0.0629	✗	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.105627	-4.16%	0.086695	-21.34%	0.0823	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.108329	-4.53%	0.093305	-17.77%	0.0754	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.113463	-4.62%	0.097945	-17.67%	0.0752	✗	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.106977	-3.72%	0.098925	-10.97%	0.1151	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.102442	-2.64%	0.104335	-0.85%	0.0959	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.099852	-3.21%	0.10086	-2.23%	0.1462	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.132064	-5.09%	0.1009	-27.49%	0.0593	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.135825	-5.16%	0.0989	-30.94%	0.1070	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.134442	-5.35%	0.090015	-36.63%	0.1879	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.142964	-5.22%	0.091255	-39.50%	0.2424	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.141603	-5.29%	0.085255	-42.98%	0.2859	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.142322	-5.65%	0.092745	-38.52%	0.2709	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.145692	-5.68%	0.104155	-32.57%	0.2210	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.146384	-5.87%	0.105	-32.48%	0.2274	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.145834	-6.13%	0.103525	-33.36%	0.2477	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.141376	-6.38%	0.101955	-32.48%	0.2635	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.143505	-6.43%	0.107075	-30.18%	0.2450	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.144611	-6.54%	0.108125	-30.12%	0.2988	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.141975	-6.44%	0.110265	-27.34%	0.3043	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.143338	-6.54%	0.111155	-27.52%	0.3109	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.139499	-6.59%	0.108175	-27.56%	0.2853	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.141064	-6.60%	0.108975	-27.85%	0.2297	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.140837	-6.61%	0.108495	-28.06%	0.2369	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.141608	-6.40%	0.104775	-30.75%	0.2379	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.151569	-6.66%	0.105805	-34.84%	0.2785	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.146988	-6.28%	0.10745	-31.49%	0.2473	✓	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.147087	-6.17%	0.106295	-32.19%	0.2364	✓	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.149244	-6.28%	0.103095	-35.26%	0.2431	✓	1.44
2025-09-17	oos	0.160025	0.149757	-6.42%	0.102195	-36.14%	0.2567	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.